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TCU@UT opening line -6.5 UT

nnm

By nnm
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Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

That doesn’t make any sense 

I predicted we’d open at -4 and end up -6.5. It makes total sense. 

6 hours ago, MirrOlure said:

[cut and paste] All of the ignorant replies from the @KSU betting line thread [/cut and paste]

Yep

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Valmy77

Valmy77 13626

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, billfromlaketravis said:

I think we cover. I'm probably more worried about at Kansas right now. 

You should be extremely worried about both. TCU seems like a team perfectly manufactured to rip our hearts out late in the 4th quarter.

The crowd can be a big factor in this game. They have to keep our fragile team's emotions up in the second half.

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TKthunder2

TKthunder2 5059

Posted
Posted

Sold my tickets due to a fucking family wedding. (Seriously, fuck anyone who schedules a wedding during football season)

I’m betting the $500 proceeds on TCU.

If TCU wins I get $500
If Texas wins and covers I’ll be so happy I won’t care
If Texas wins and doesn’t cover I’ll be extremely happy

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Pimphand

Pimphand 6370

Posted
Posted
20 hours ago, TKthunder2 said:

Sold my tickets due to a fucking family wedding. (Seriously, fuck anyone who schedules a wedding during football season)

I’m betting the $500 proceeds on TCU.

If TCU wins I get $500
If Texas wins and covers I’ll be so happy I won’t care
If Texas wins and doesn’t cover I’ll be extremely happy

Yeah this is the way.  I always bet against the Horns when they are favored.

Outcome 1: Money to offset the annoyance of losing
Outcome 2: Who cares about money
Outcome 3: Double win

You really cannot lose TBH because every scenario carries a win.

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Nick Nolte

Nick Nolte 31

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 9:28 AM, JOSEYWALES66 said:

Is that predictor worth a shit?  I’ve never seen it’s accuracy rate. 

FPI isn't terrible, but it does factor in things like recruiting rankings and stuff that is pretty irrelevant 9 games into the year.  Not sure how they treat the transfer portal.  But looking back, it has undersold TCU all year and oversold UT, so who knows.

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boilerhorn

boilerhorn 1631

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 6:00 PM, TKthunder2 said:

Sold my tickets due to a fucking family wedding. (Seriously, fuck anyone who schedules a wedding during football season)

I’m betting the $500 proceeds on TCU.

If TCU wins I get $500
If Texas wins and covers I’ll be so happy I won’t care
If Texas wins and doesn’t cover I’ll be extremely happy

 

If this is you emotional hedge, bet the moneyline.  It's presently at +225.  If TCU wins, you get $1125 (plus your original "deposit").  If Texas wins, you'll be happy.  

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TrashMaster G

TrashMaster G 18098

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 3:49 PM, Huckleberry said:

This thread is funny every week.

Sagarin: Texas by 6.73
Massey: Texas by 6
ESPN FPI: Texas 73%, Texas by 5.4 + homefield advantage
TeamRankings: Texas by 6.7

Texas is favored by 6.5 or 7 to open

SurlyHorns: THIS DOESN'T MAKE ANY SENSE

Surly consistently starts from a singular POV: Texas sucks.

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dcar00

dcar00 14974

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 3:49 PM, Huckleberry said:

This thread is funny every week.

Sagarin: Texas by 6.73
Massey: Texas by 6
ESPN FPI: Texas 73%, Texas by 5.4 + homefield advantage
TeamRankings: Texas by 6.7

Texas is favored by 6.5 or 7 to open

SurlyHorns: THIS DOESN'T MAKE ANY SENSE

The Tech loss has everyone all fucked in the head.  Everyone had Bama and OkState, on the road, penciled in as losses before the season.

We also have MDS(Max Duggan Syndrome)

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NashLonghorn

NashLonghorn 298

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 6:00 PM, TKthunder2 said:

Sold my tickets due to a fucking family wedding. (Seriously, fuck anyone who schedules a wedding during football season)

I’m betting the $500 proceeds on TCU.

If TCU wins I get $500
If Texas wins and covers I’ll be so happy I won’t care
If Texas wins and doesn’t cover I’ll be extremely happy

Just tell’m you think you have COVID.  
 

easy-peasy

 

 

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Duane Moore

Duane Moore 5756

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2022 at 4:49 PM, Huckleberry said:

This thread is funny every week.

Sagarin: Texas by 6.73
Massey: Texas by 6
ESPN FPI: Texas 73%, Texas by 5.4 + homefield advantage
TeamRankings: Texas by 6.7

Texas is favored by 6.5 or 7 to open

SurlyHorns: THIS DOESN'T MAKE ANY SENSE

I understand that the books use these computer rankings to set lines, but it is abundantly clear that the computers have massively overrated us this year. 

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