2022 Election Day Thread - Midterm Rumble

[henrygandorf 29189]

3 minutes ago, G650 said:

If nothing else, it seems like Indy's are really not into the crazy town shit this go round which is heartening.

i got into it on twitter right after the martha's vineyard nonsense, and some trumper was basically like, "this is amazing, the coastal elite dems don't want these immigrants anywhere close to them, it's a horrible look and will have a huge impact on ind voters who are finally figuring out the truth about dems and immigration blah blah"

i tried to explain to him that if you see that stunt and your response is "haha fuck those democrat hypocrites"...you're not an independent anything.

oddly enough, it proved difficult to reason with him.

[Js1 85311]

Boobert back up some more (800 votes), but Pueblo says all in-person votes are counted now.

5,000 mail-ins just in Puebo.  Should be Dem leaning. 

It's going to come down to the wire. 100% might have to wait until 2023. Just like that one Iowa race that was won by 6 votes

[Satchel 6938]

This is too good:

 

[washparkhorn 9939]

17 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

 

The dildo of consequences rarely comes lubed. 

[SydneyCarton 48076]

18 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Zero doubt about that. I hope Thiel loses Blake's number

I realize you're biased because you actually live in Arizona, and that's where this instinct comes from. But I personally hope Thiel and Masters remain besties and Thiels bankrolls him to run 3-4 more times, maybe in multiple states. Fuck it. 

[Dutchrudder 11137]

20 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

 

Need a clip pronto,before they delete it...

[Js1 85311]

There's approximately 125,652 urban votes in Nevada (Washoe/Clark).  CCM is currently winning both urban counties. 

Only 626 are election day votes. 13,000 came in the mail in Clark yesterday. 

She needs 56.5% of them and she's been winning them with 60-70% of the vote each drop. 

[Horn Dog 9818]

1 hour ago, HenryJames said:

 

[G650 14249]

10 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

oddly enough, it proved difficult to reason with him.

Who would have thought.

[Zonahorn 8079]

Lets. Fucking. Go

 

[G650 14249]

2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

I realize you're biased because you actually live in Arizona, and that's where this instinct comes from. But I personally hope Thiel and Masters remain besties and Thiels bankrolls him to run 3-4 more times, maybe in multiple states. Fuck it. 

Cosign

[G650 14249]

6 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Boobert back up some more (800 votes), but Pueblo says all in-person votes are counted now.

5,000 mail-ins just in Puebo.  Should be Dem leaning. 

It's going to come down to the wire. 100% might have to wait until 2023. Just like that one Iowa race that was won by 6 votes

Very close. If it's say 60% D, that's a 1000 vote net.

[SydneyCarton 48076]

1 minute ago, G650 said:

Very close. If it's say 60% D, that's a 1000 vote net.

Isn't CO a place where if the win is by over 1k, there's no recount? 

[BrickHorn 18218]

3 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

Universally I’m hearing all over town: Dems need to stop with the constant texting.  It’s incredibly off puttinf

It’s the subject of mockery.

[G650 14249]

1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't CO a place where if the win is by over 1k, there's no recount? 

Yeah I can almost guarantee it will be smaller than 1k delta.

[The Dog 44020]

if less than 0.5% then automatic recount.

[A-Tex Devil 2446]

30 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

 

[tigol 2395]

5 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't CO a place where if the win is by over 1k, there's no recount? 

770

[Jiggy-Z 3432]

13 minutes ago, washparkhorn said:

The dildo of consequences rarely comes lubed. 

Is that Old Testament or New Testament?...I kinda think Old.

[Js1 85311]

11 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Lets. Fucking. Go

 

God damn.  That drop was Hobbs 67-33, Kelly 69-29, Fontes 69-31 and Mayes 66-34

Tucson just dropped those ballots like "We already suffered through Kevin Sumlin, we don't want Kari Lake"

Edited November 10, 2022 by Js1

[Gil Bang 25944]

SIAP

 

 

[Js1 85311]

30 minutes ago, G650 said:

If nothing else, it seems like Indy's are really not into the crazy town shit this go round which is heartening.

They went for Fetterman 58-38, Kelly 55-39 and Warnock 53-42

That is unheard of considering the headwins the Dems had this cycle

[mdmost 43001]

Just now, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

Is that guy cosplaying as Bert Cooper from Mad Men?

[chainsaw 9865]

1 minute ago, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

motherfucker needs to go back to selling sliced fried potato crisps in a can.

[Gengs1 2583]

4 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

I would trust this dude with recommendations of what type of oatmeal to buy 

[Js1 85311]

7 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

LMAO this doofus is why Republicans thought there was a red wave and they would flip Washington and Colorado and make Dems sweat in Vermont.

[Voldemort86 2259]

10 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

I was anxiously waiting for when the GOP backlash would get to Trafalgar. Yesterday it was Trump, now it’s the polling, what will they kick and scream about tomorrow when they lose in Az, Nevada, and maybe lose boobert too?

[Valmy77 13226]

He looks like he was one of the A&M Boosters who funded the Jimbo hire.

[Left Coast 863]

11 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

SIAP

 

 

That is just Dave Foley doing a sketch comedy bit, right?

[Voldemort86 2259]

44 minutes ago, G650 said:

If nothing else, it seems like Indy's are really not into the crazy town shit this go round which is heartening.

It might be a combination of 2 things. Democrats didn’t knock on doors in 2020 because of the virus and it hurt them tremendously. It looks like we couldn’t wait to hit the pavement this year. 
 

People are probably sick of all the outlandish conspiracy theories and election denying bullshit. Hearing shit from gop candidates about a “weather machine” controlled by the deep state and sent to punish Florida for voting Republican or the dems working with the FBI to recruit school shooters so that they can trumpet their anti gun agenda afterwards is way too much. I don’t know any sane person who would believe that shit or take someone seriously who does.

[Voldemort86 2259]

Amazing that it’s still a possibility at this point.

[Pato del Muerto 52489]

That doesn’t even mention co-3

[Macanudo 12976]

14 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

He looks like he was one of the A&M Boosters who funded the Jimbo hire.

And made the 100 Year Decision.

[G650 14249]

2 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

That doesn’t even mention co-3

I think NBCs current projection is 218 for Rs, so its super close

[Voldemort86 2259]

Is it too early to start finding the many tweets who haven’t aged well?

[Js1 85311]

3 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

That doesn’t even mention co-3

There's a path without, I believe.  It would just be the cherry on top, really. 

[A-Tex Devil 2446]

1 minute ago, Voldemort86 said:

Amazing that it’s still a possibility at this point.

That seems overcomplicated.   Put CO3 in there and just say Dems have to win 6 of these 10.  Although I am not sure that's right, ultimately, is it?

[Voldemort86 2259]

Just now, G650 said:

I think NBCs current projection is 218 for Rs, so its super close

There’s talk on predict it of a California being a massive struggle for the GOP so the house race is by no means over. Booberts seat would help us stay in the hunt even longer.

[chainsaw 9865]

25 minutes ago, Js1 said:

make Dems sweat in Vermont.

to be fair that was just a climate change thing and it is half true

[Js1 85311]

Just now, chainsaw said:

to be fair that was just a climate change thing and it is half true

Paging @atomheartbevo and his fetish for Vermont

[RDCanecutter 26411]

1 hour ago, henrygandorf said:

 

Kari Lake is jacked up like a monkey in a flowery print dress on Mountain Dew and is gonna jump on Ron DeSantis' back and claw at his squinting eyes, while he, unable to reach her with his vestigial arms, will have to fight back by running backwards into walls.

[sidis 9826]

1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't CO a place where if the win is by over 1k, there's no recount? 

that simply isn't going to happen.  this is a race where every single vote is going to matter.

boebert is currently up by 794 votes.

however, pueblo county only has in 93% of their vote, garfield county only has 90% of its vote, and pitkin only has 93%. 

60,398 votes have been counted in pueblo and they have gone 54-46 to frisch so far.  if the 93% number is correct, that means there are ~4,546 votes left.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds ~2,451 and jailbird adds ~2,095 netting a cut down of ~355.

23,542 votes have been counted in garfield county and they have gone 57-43 to frisch so far.  if the 90% numbers is correct, that means there are ~2,616 votes left from there.  if the split comes through the same, frisch adds ~1,486 and jailbird adds ~1,129 netting a cutdown of 356.

9,297 votes have been counted in pitkin county and they have gone 79-21 to frisch so far.  if the 93% number is correct, that means there are ~700 votes left from there.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds 554 and jailbird adds ~145 netting a cutdown of ~409

that is ~1,121 combined.  thus, as i have been saying, this is going to be a photo finish with a recount and it is going to depend on the persuasion of this next drop relative to the rest of the counties' tallied votes.  there will also be some slight shrapnel from the other counties but all of them are 99% in.

 

eta: to add pitkin county which i idiotically left off previously...and again to update the pitkin % in due to a previous reporting error.

 

Edited November 10, 2022 by sidis

[henrygandorf 29189]

 

[Valmy77 13226]

That is always how I imagine those 4 people who voted for Biden in Loving County.

[bluto 4916]

16 minutes ago, sidis said:

that simply isn't going to happen.  this is a race where every single vote is going to matter.

boebert is currently up by 794 votes.

however, pueblo county only has in 93% of their vote, garfield county only has 90% of its vote, and pitkin only has 80%. 

60,398 votes have been counted in pueblo and they have gone 54-46 to frisch so far.  if the 93% number is correct, that means there are ~4,546 votes left.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds ~2,451 and jailbird adds ~2,095 netting a cut down of ~355.

23,542 votes have been counted in garfield county and they have gone 57-43 to frisch so far.  if the 90% numbers is correct, that means there are ~2,616 votes left from there.  if the split comes through the same, frisch adds ~1,486 and jailbird adds ~1,129 netting a cutdown of 356.

9,297 votes have been counted in pitkin county and they have gone 79-21 to frisch so far.  if the 80% number is correct, that means there are ~2,324 votes left from there.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds 1,841 and jailbird adds ~483 netting a cutdown of ~1,357

that is ~2,070 combined.  thus, as i have been saying, this is going to be a photo finish with a recount and it is going to depend on the persuasion of this next drop relative to the rest of the counties' tallied votes.  there will also be some slight shrapnel from the other counties but all of them are 99% in.

 

eta: to add pitkin county which i idiotically left off previously.

 

Are those % in figs votes or precincts? The vote totals seem awfully liquid. 

[sidis 9826]

just as a weird observation, delores county and san miguel county colorado are kind of fascinating.  they are right next to each other, both sparsely populated.

delores, with its population of 2,300 people almost all from dove creek, cahone, and rico went 80% for boebert.  right next door, san miguel, with its population of 8,020 almost all in telluride and placerville, went 80% for frisch. there isn't a god damn thing in either county (except a little skiing in telluride obviously) but that county line makes one hell of a difference.  curious if @MoJames could explain why these cousins hate each other...or is it just ski slope money?

Edited November 10, 2022 by sidis

[chainsaw 9865]

1 minute ago, sidis said:

just as a weird observation, delores county and san miguel county colorado are kind of fascinating.  they are right next to each other, both sparsely populated.

delores, with its population of 2,300 people almost all from dove creek, cahone, and rico went 80% for boebert.  right next door, san miguel, with its population of 8,020 almost all in telluride and placerville, went 80% for frisch. there isn't a god damn thing in either county (except a little skiing in telluride obviously) but that county line makes one hell of a difference.

Probably some local historical stuff. I'd bet good money that telluride brings in more tourism money and "coastal" values normalizing the locals and preventing them from embracing Q as it's bad for the bottom line.

[Voldemort86 2259]

Smallest Arizona county dropped. 1 thing to note is mcsally outran masters by 5 points in this county.

[Dahobbs 17534]

24 minutes ago, sidis said:

that simply isn't going to happen.  this is a race where every single vote is going to matter.

boebert is currently up by 794 votes.

however, pueblo county only has in 93% of their vote, garfield county only has 90% of its vote, and pitkin only has 80%. 

60,398 votes have been counted in pueblo and they have gone 54-46 to frisch so far.  if the 93% number is correct, that means there are ~4,546 votes left.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds ~2,451 and jailbird adds ~2,095 netting a cut down of ~355.

23,542 votes have been counted in garfield county and they have gone 57-43 to frisch so far.  if the 90% numbers is correct, that means there are ~2,616 votes left from there.  if the split comes through the same, frisch adds ~1,486 and jailbird adds ~1,129 netting a cutdown of 356.

9,297 votes have been counted in pitkin county and they have gone 79-21 to frisch so far.  if the 80% number is correct, that means there are ~2,324 votes left from there.  If one assumes the same split, that means that frisch adds 1,841 and jailbird adds ~483 netting a cutdown of ~1,357

that is ~2,070 combined.  thus, as i have been saying, this is going to be a photo finish with a recount and it is going to depend on the persuasion of this next drop relative to the rest of the counties' tallied votes.  there will also be some slight shrapnel from the other counties but all of them are 99% in.

 

eta: to add pitkin county which i idiotically left off previously.

 

People on the ground think the Pitkin percentage is in error and that there are closer to only a hundred votes left there. 

[Biff Tannen 45673]

3 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Probably some local historical stuff. I'd bet good money that telluride brings in more tourism money and "coastal" values normalizing the locals and preventing them from embracing Q as it's bad for the bottom line.

you would be correct