2022 Election Day Thread - Midterm Rumble

[Biff Tannen 45676]

So AZ called tonight?

[Js1 85313]

9 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

So AZ called tonight?

Very likely. Or just about. If Lake doesn’t win this batch bigly, her window closes 

[Bookman 4639]

And you have to remember that 4-8 is in the SEC. That's like 11-1 in other conferences.

[gmr548 16576]

Republicans won’t succeed in outlawing abortion. The backlash would be too strong. 
How did that work out?

They had historically weak midterms as an opposition party, in the midst of presidential approval in the low 40s and the highest inflation in the adult life of anyone under 55 or so?

[Biff Tannen 45676]

I think the point is that until the magat freaks go back under their rocks, we are going to need to bring out Dem voters at the highest levels in consecutive elections for a long time coming.  The concern is people (myself included) probably don't have the stamina for that.

[Neonmoon 38129]

3 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

They had historically weak midterms as an opposition party, in the midst of presidential approval in the low 40s and the highest inflation in the adult life of anyone under 55 or so?

They still reversed Roe, and outlawed abortion in many red states. There was some backlash, but not enough for real change. Just enough to not give Republicans power to impeach Biden for eating ice cream. 

[SydneyCarton 48081]

2 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

I think the point is that until the magat freaks go back under their rocks, we are going to need to bring out Dem voters at the highest levels in consecutive elections for a long time coming.  The concern is people (myself included) probably don't have the stamina for that.

Every year that passes Gen Z gets more engaged. That’s the hope. 

[atomheartbevo 89656]

2 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

The older people get, the more they believe a little bit more money is worth denying other peoples rights 

2 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Seems to be the case.  WTF is wrong with people?  Is it just getting jaded by life as you get older?  Fuck everyone, I got mine?  It's so weird to me.

2 hours ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

I really wouldn't think much further than that. it's that simple and that sinister

I think some of it is the olds are more likely to believe in stupid shit they see on the internet, while the youths are cynical as hell about a lot of stuff they see.

All those Republican fundraising spam emails that the GOP candidates keep sending out that are dumb as hell?  They work with more than a few of the olds.

[atomheartbevo 89656]

1 hour ago, Bookman said:

If the Texags politics board is any indication, then Republicans simply have no idea why they didn't do well this election. It's like they live in an alternative reality.

They know, they just don’t want to blame Trump or abortion and risk being alienated and threatened by their fellow Trumpers.

[Satchel 6938]

6 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

They know, they just don’t want to blame Trump or abortion and risk being alienated and threatened by their fellow Trumpers.

It’s amazing that they bristle at the notion that voters rejected Maga crazies because they’re all insane.

[Pig Bellmont 8715]

 

[tx 3 putt 76912]

1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

The republicans won’t succeed in stopping early voting and vote by mail. The backlash would be too strong. They’re just venting their frustrations, but they won’t be able to do anything about it.

 

due to massive fraud claims in texas counties with more than 500k population, all mail in ballots and early voting has been canceled 

[tx 3 putt 76912]

 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13511]

Unfortunately I do see that ranked choice voting, which is a fantastic idea, will not spread much especially in red states. The Alaska GOP has learned their lesson that it leads to democrats representing a deep red state and that their chosen senate candidate most likely will lose to a secondary gop candidate.

some red states may get to drop many mail in ballots. It helped the texas gop to limit mail on ballots. 

[Valmy77 13226]

The political situation in Alaska is super weird though.

They once had their house controlled by a coalition if Democrats and Moderate Republicans. It's not deep red like Idaho is deep red.

[cactusflinthead 27598]

 

[RabidM 2666]

15 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

I get what he's saying.  However, considering how deeply unpopular she is, the best thing she could have done for the party was stay away.  Of course, that's a problem of her own making.  I hope Gallego takes her out when she's up again.  It would not surprise me if she switches parties before her next campaign. 

[Bateshorn 9927]

2 hours ago, tbone_ said:

Agreed. But let’s be honest. Election Day has been during the day on a weekday for 177 years for a reason.

I think those reasons had to do with hauling in crops on the eastern seaboard/actual Sunday observance/dirt road travel.

As somebody who has lived from Texas to Maine: the first two weeks in November is actually the most affable travel season of the year: post hurricane, pre big snowstorms, post harvest.

 

[Bateshorn 9927]

13 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

The political situation in Alaska is super weird though.

They once had their house controlled by a coalition if Democrats and Moderate Republicans. It's not deep red like Idaho is deep red.

They also have basic income system that the GOP loves. It’s politics are weird AF

 

 

[Huckleberry 32856]

3 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

I think those reasons had to do with hauling in crops on the eastern seaboard/actual Sunday observance/dirt road travel.

As somebody who has lived from Texas to Maine: the first two weeks in November is actually the most affable travel season of the year: post hurricane, pre big snowstorms, post harvest.

 

You're crazy. It's in the 40s here and people are apparently about to die based on how bundled up they are on the way from the parking lot to the sporting goods store. 

[Js1 85313]

Crazy Lake only got 54% of the Maricopa dump. She needed more like 57-59%

Stick a fork in that bitch 

[Storm the Field 5294]

Lake's final hope came up way short. Hobbs wins!

97K votes, 54-45 Lake. Netted 8900 votes. Still down by 20K+

She needed probably 60% or better. 

Edited November 14, 2022 by Storm the Field

[Js1 85313]

Just now, Storm the Field said:

Lake's final hope came up way short. Hobbs wins!

97K votes, 54-45 Lake. 

She needed probably 63% or better. 

They may wait for one more dump to call it but I think Hobbs is the winner

Hodge (AZ-01) is now behind by 900 votes but this was a redder drop regardless 

[StassneyHorn 6575]

Alaska, the Republican state who loves unions, gets socialism checks from oil companies, and has a split lege.

[Biff Tannen 45676]

12 minutes ago, RabidM said:

I get what he's saying.  However, considering how deeply unpopular she is, the best thing she could have done for the party was stay away.  Of course, that's a problem of her own making.  I hope Gallego takes her out when she's up again.  It would not surprise me if she switches parties before her next campaign. 

She is Tulsi Gabbard in AZ clothing and a colored wig.  Fuck her.

[Js1 85313]

Not a good day for the House odds - CA-41, AZ-01/06 drop bad news. 

Looking more and more like 219-216 or 220-215

[tx 3 putt 76912]

14 minutes ago, RabidM said:

I get what he's saying.  However, considering how deeply unpopular she is, the best thing she could have done for the party was stay away.  Of course, that's a problem of her own making.  I hope Gallego takes her out when she's up again.  It would not surprise me if she switches parties before her next campaign. 

 

i like the idea of offering her an ambassadorship / easy way out. she wants not part of a primary campaign that she's not winning

 

[Biff Tannen 45676]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Not a good day for the House odds - CA-41, AZ-01/06 drop bad news. 

Looking more and more like 219-216 or 220-215

What's going to be interesting is how the Rs and our resident trumpkins are going to crow about taking the House (which they should, from a political standpoint), but they will absolutely not take anything under context.  

That said, the Rs being in control of the House, even by 1 person, is a bad thing for democracy.

[Js1 85313]

[chainsaw 9866]

Assuming Moore v. Harper happens what can CA's "independent state legislature" and NY's "independent state legislature" do to ratfuck the GOP?

[Js1 85313]

Biggest questions for the House:

Whats outstanding in Maricopa to push Hodge back over? If today was supposedly the “best” batch for the GOP, tomorrow might be a blue batch 

What’s outstanding in Pima for Engel? Same as above, today was supposedly the best GOP batch 

If the mail gets progressively bluer for CA-41, 22 and maybe 45. 27 is basically done for Garcia to survive another 2 years in a Biden seat barring some really good batches for Smith

Cured and overseas ballots in CO-03

220R-215D looks likeliest and there’s a lot of Republicans in blue seats for a presidential year in 2024

Edited November 14, 2022 by Js1

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[Js1 85313]

If/when Hobbs wins, @Voldemort86 better apologize. All you did was slander her as a bad candidate 

[Valmy77 13226]

35 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Not a good day for the House odds - CA-41, AZ-01/06 drop bad news. 

Looking more and more like 219-216 or 220-215

Yeah probably. Sucks to suck.

But its not over yet.

[Zonahorn 8079]

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Biggest questions for the House:

Whats outstanding in Maricopa to push Hodge back over? If today was supposedly the “best” batch for the GOP, tomorrow might be a blue batch 

What’s outstanding in Pima for Engel? Same as above, today was supposedly the best GOP batch 

If the mail gets progressively bluer for CA-41, 22 and maybe 45. 27 is basically done for Garcia to survive another 2 years in a Biden seat barring some really good batches for Smith

Cured and overseas ballots in CO-03

220R-215D looks likeliest and there’s a lot of Republicans in blue seats for a presidential year in 2024

From what I heard those were the reddest R precincts left. Haven't heard anything definitive about either race though. If we lose both seats by 1000 votes after Maloney triaged their races I'm going to flip out.

[StassneyHorn 6575]

The national narrative, if Dems fall short, need to be the Supreme Court inaction on Redistricting and gerrymandering. Save the Dem on Dem drama for inside ass tearing that Biden team will no doubt do.

EDIT:I swear to fucking god, if any of you can stop my phone from autocorrecting on to in, I’ll beej you.

Edited November 14, 2022 by StassneyHorn

[Neonmoon 38129]

 

[Valmy77 13226]

Booo!

[ChuckNorrisActionJeans 2663]

2 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

The second sentence contains two errors. 

[Zonahorn 8079]

https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2022/11/13/today-make-break-kari-lake-do-hear-john-mccain-laughing/10691172002/

Quote

The window hasn't slammed shut on Kari Lake, but it's darned close.

It's pray-for-a-miracle time for the candidate who slashed and burned her way through the 17-month campaign en route to this moment.

Because barring that, this race is over.

Lake didn’t need – or apparently want – moderate Republican voters or independents as she marched ever onward, onward, onward with her America First "movement".

And she isn’t getting them.

Consider this, from Saturday’s release of votes in Maricopa County:

Rachel Mitchell, the Republican candidate for Maricopa County, gained 9,059 votes over her Democratic opponent. Lake gained only 3,001 over Hobbs.

As red waves go, it was more like pinkish trickle – one that should set off alarms in “Karizona,” given that most of the ballots released on Saturday and Sunday came from Election Day early vote drop-offs in Republican strongholds in north Phoenix and the East Valley.

 

Lake fared better in the Sunday evening vote drop, as more heavily Republican areas reported in. But with just 170,000 of the 2.5 million ballots left to count, the window is sliding south for the pride of the ultra-MAGA movement.

Before Sunday's drop, Lake needed 56.5% of the remaining vote to catch up to Katie Hobbs, according to Paul Bentz, pollster for HighGround.

On Sunday evening, she got 54.6%

Now she needs 57.6% of the remaining 170,000 votes to catch Hobbs.

 

On Tuesday, as she has throughout the race, Lake predicted she’d win in a landslide. In the days to follow, as she trailed in the vote, she made the rounds of conservative media to sow doubt about the results, even as she continued to assure her voters that her victory is "inevitable."

"America & Arizona: We have the brightest & best attorneys in the Nation, right here on the ground in Arizona,” she tweeted on Friday. “Every ballot has eyes on it. GOP Ballots (Election Day) ballots start dropping tonight. Keep your Champagne cold, our votes are about to start.”

Since then Hobbs has slightly widened her lead.

And Lake has gone largely silent on social media.

It's worth mentioning, that Republican Treasurer Kimberly Yee has more than 113,000 more votes than the Republican nominee for governor -- votes that would have allowed her to sleep well all week. As of Sunday evening, Hobbs leads by 26,011.

But for Lake, the window is closing.

Me? I’m wondering whether she’s thinking at all right now of the late John McCain, a man she once called an “icon” and more recently "a loser."

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A few days after her primary election win, she stood at a CPAC summit in Dallas to celebrate her victory.

“We drove a stake through the heart of the McCain machine,” she proclaimed, to wild cheers of the ultra-MAGA crowd.

On the Friday before the general election, she sneered at "the party of McCain" during a campaign event, adding, "Boy, Arizona has delivered some losers, haven't they?"

“We don’t have any McCain Republicans in here, do we?” she asked.

“Well, get the hell out!” Lake told them.

Thus far, it appears they’ve done just that.

I picture John McCain, somewhere in the heavens, laughing his head off.

 

[tx 3 putt 76912]

8 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2022/11/13/today-make-break-kari-lake-do-hear-john-mccain-laughing/10691172002/

 

[cactusflinthead 27598]

 

[atomheartbevo 89656]

 

[chainsaw 9866]

6 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

 

[berlinerbaer 678]

@Zonahorn How is the AZ state legislature looking so far?

[babysdaddy 2721]

[tbone_ 14115]

Is it bad that I kinda want a threesome with Katie Hobbs and Kyrsten Sinema?

[chainsaw 9866]

Just now, tbone_ said:

Is it bad that I kinda want a threesome with Katie Hobbs and Kyrsten Sinema?

yes

[ConferenceRoom 6141]

It’s not bad. It’s not good either.

[RabidM 2666]

45 minutes ago, babysdaddy said:

 

Thanks again New York.  Here comes 2 years of Hunter Biden laptop investigations and bullshit impeachments.