2022 Election Day Thread - Midterm Rumble

[MC Fresh Breath 4074]

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/republicans-house-midterm-elections-1234627054/

 

[bolverk 29707]

Realizing fully that this interactive map of Austin area election results is for the TX governor race, it still serves as a decent proxy for overall partisan preferences in the region. Obviously Austin proper and especially central Austin skew blue, but the campus area has some "holy cow" margins.

https://www.kxan.com/news/your-local-election-hq/interactive-map-how-did-your-neighborhood-vote-in-the-texas-gubernatorial-election/

[Goredho 17413]

18 minutes ago, sidis said:

you guys don't remember this dude?

 

@Goredho definitely has the skills to rock out a sequel.

That guy is really, really good at changing the time signature of what he's playing to match the rant.

[sidis 9832]

4 minutes ago, Goredho said:

That guy is really, really good at changing the time signature of what he's playing to match the rant.

his cadence on the batshit insane bank teller hypothetical is pretty consistent...probably only one tempo and time sig there.  but then you can ratchet up the tempo a little bit after the mark zuckerburg line and really go into a good metal chug.

[YGIFS 19452]

Yeah, 90/10. Shit, all that means is they're gonna outlaw voting on campus because "of all those out-of-staters and foreigners at UT who shouldn't be casting ballots"...says the same Legislature that mandates 90% of the student body be from the state of Texas.  Nevermind that they still have to show ID, and yes---a University of Texas student or faculty ID is considered government issued ID.  

I was genuinely surprised at my precinct, 60-38 for Beto.  I figured it closer to 50-48, not based on yard signs but past results.  Interesting.  But as I suspected, my little patch of moderate gets real fucking blue real fucking quick in two directions and real fucking red in the other two.  Like real blue and red not that light shit.  Also-Lee County.  Poorest county in Central Texas, rest of us swimming in capital.  96-4 for Abbott.  Well done shitheads.  You stay downtrodden, lee County/ronburgundy

Anyway, cool map...have some rep

Edited November 17, 2022 by YGIFS

[Biff Tannen 45702]

17 minutes ago, bolverk said:

Realizing fully that this interactive map of Austin area election results is for the TX governor race, it still serves as a decent proxy for overall partisan preferences in the region. Obviously Austin proper and especially central Austin skew blue, but the campus area has some "holy cow" margins.

https://www.kxan.com/news/your-local-election-hq/interactive-map-how-did-your-neighborhood-vote-in-the-texas-gubernatorial-election/

My precinct was 90% Beto to 8% Abbott.  Only 53% turnout, which was unexpectedly low.  182 Abbott voters in my hood.  Gross.

[Js1 85495]

Dave Wasserman calls AK-AL for Mary Peltola (D).  Dem hold.  I believe she's a Dem who represents the reddest seat.

And she'll probably hold it forever. 

[mchookem 16361]

2 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Wait for it 

 

 

48 minutes ago, sidis said:

you guys don't remember this dude?

 

@Goredho definitely has the skills to rock out a sequel.

you're in for some serious bidness when Mr. Baker dons his lime green liberty shirt, motherfuckers!!

[bolverk 29707]

9 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

My precinct was 90% Beto to 8% Abbott.  Only 53% turnout, which was unexpectedly low.  182 Abbott voters in my hood.  Gross.

I'm on the edge of a neighborhood and am stuck in a precinct clumped in with a different neighborhood. The precinct for my side of the street was 77.2% Beto; the precinct for the other side of the street was 82.8%. I should start a petition for us to secede from the other so we can join up with our rightful neighbors.

[Js1 85495]

👀

 

[chainsaw 9873]

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

👀

 

[Goredho 17413]

1 hour ago, sidis said:

his cadence on the batshit insane bank teller hypothetical is pretty consistent...probably only one tempo and time sig there.  but then you can ratchet up the tempo a little bit after the mark zuckerburg line and really go into a good metal chug.

I didn’t listen to this particular vid, but I have seen some where he is definitely shifting time sigs.  Think it was for a fire & brimstone sermon or something.

[Pancho 44946]

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

👀

 

[Js1 85495]

3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Frisch getting the right margins, but there may not be *enough* outstanding votes to overtake Boobert.

She's sweating, but like, 85 degree sweating, not 102 and 95% humidity sweating.

[washparkhorn 9939]

P’blo used to be solid Dem (old steel city). It should still break against Bobo. (I hope, I hope, I hope). 

[Ghost of LL 15539]

20 minutes ago, Pancho said:

It means that there are a lot of people who, on seeing that the race was close, hustled their assess down to the county offices to cure their ballots.

You might imagine that those will break heavily Democratic, but I'm not sure that's a safe assumption.

[Pato del Muerto 52557]

Stopped looking, is she still 1200 up? 

[Texas73 421]

1 minute ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Stopped looking, is she still 1200 up? 

Boobert is up by 1097.

[Pato del Muerto 52557]

Cool. And the 1000-1400 number reads like it’s both late mail and cured ballots, so that should be the balance from Pueblo?  

[SquishMitten 10425]

So ~450 cured ballots, plus somewhere between 1000 and 1400 other ballots, for a max of ~1,800 ballots. Frisch would need something like 80% of that, and he's currently at 53% of the counted ballots. That doesn't sound too sweat inducing, but I'll continue to hold out hope!

[Js1 85495]

2 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

So ~450 cured ballots, plus somewhere between 1000 and 1400 other ballots, for a max of ~1,800 ballots. Frisch would need something like 80% of that, and he's currently at 53% of the counted ballots. That doesn't sound too sweat inducing, but I'll continue to hold out hope!

That 1000-1400 is just Pueblo.  There's other counties in the district.

Edited November 17, 2022 by Js1

[SquishMitten 10425]

Edit: I'm just going to stop talking here since I clearly don't know what's going on

Edited November 17, 2022 by SquishMitten

[sidis 9832]

1 hour ago, Goredho said:

I didn’t listen to this particular vid, but I have seen some where he is definitely shifting time sigs.  Think it was for a fire & brimstone sermon or something.

probably this one.

 

actually, it was probably this one which is his chef-d'œuvre:

 

Edited November 17, 2022 by sidis

[chainsaw 9873]

 

[Chooky 13317]

36 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

 

This should be a crime. 

[Pato del Muerto 52557]

2 minutes ago, Chooky said:

This should be a crime. 

Free press is free press

[yoladu 4094]

5 hours ago, bolverk said:

Realizing fully that this interactive map of Austin area election results is for the TX governor race, it still serves as a decent proxy for overall partisan preferences in the region. Obviously Austin proper and especially central Austin skew blue, but the campus area has some "holy cow" margins.

https://www.kxan.com/news/your-local-election-hq/interactive-map-how-did-your-neighborhood-vote-in-the-texas-gubernatorial-election/

i was like whoa... what dem enclave is that? Zoomed in...

Somerville Lake

Edited November 17, 2022 by yoladu

[yoladu 4094]

5 hours ago, bolverk said:

Realizing fully that this interactive map of Austin area election results is for the TX governor race, it still serves as a decent proxy for overall partisan preferences in the region. Obviously Austin proper and especially central Austin skew blue, but the campus area has some "holy cow" margins.

https://www.kxan.com/news/your-local-election-hq/interactive-map-how-did-your-neighborhood-vote-in-the-texas-gubernatorial-election/

surprising, at least for me. Is Beto getting the win in city propers, like : Elgin, Lockhart, Bastrop.

Edited November 17, 2022 by yoladu

[henrygandorf 29194]

 

[Js1 85495]

Idk what is left, but Wasserman still hasn't called it for Boobs. 

[chainsaw 9873]

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Idk what is left, but Wasserman still hasn't called it for Boobs. 

Well he can fucking uncall it!

[Voldemort86 2259]

2 hours ago, chainsaw said:

 

They always need a distraction and / or a boogeyman to keep the people who are poor, but for some reason vote GOP in the fold. The GOP has nothing to offer these people so they always find shiny distractions to anger them and make them feel like their lives will somehow get worse if they don’t support their candidates. 

[henrygandorf 29194]

we just need to find 558 votes, which is one more than we have.

 

 

Edited November 17, 2022 by henrygandorf

[RabidM 2668]

Just when I thought I was out...

[TexEx15 17564]

1 hour ago, henrygandorf said:

we just need to find 558 votes, which is one more than we have.

 

 

Someone should call them…

[chainsaw 9873]

2 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

Someone should call them…

it would be a perfect call

[Bozo_Casanova 26521]

2 hours ago, yoladu said:

i was like whoa... what dem enclave is that? Zoomed in...

Somerville Lake

Catfish for Beto

[tx 3 putt 77287]

 

[Pato del Muerto 52557]

13 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

Interesting syntax. Interesting picture. 

[Js1 85495]

4 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Interesting syntax. Interesting picture. 

Yeah I’m confused 

[washparkhorn 9939]

Some people just want to watch the world burn. 

1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

[cactusflinthead 27601]

 

[Horn Dog 9900]

3 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

was he raped by his mother?

[Horn Dog 9900]

On 11/16/2022 at 10:59 PM, Voldemort86 said:

Nevada house went pretty well too.  We need to end these bipartisan redistricting commissions because they just help republicans. Republicans just take what they can get in those states and screw over the dems as hard as possible in states they control.

if anything, we need to fight fire with fire if they’re not going to fight fairly.  There’s no reason Ohio should be 12-4 or 13-3 gop when the gop wins statewide races with less then 60% of the statewide vote. No reason North Carolina should be 10-4 after they jam the new map thru when they only win statewide races by 3-4 points.

This.  California, New York, and every other Dem controlled state needs to take the exact same formulas used by TX, NC, OH and partisan gerrymander the fuck out of there states.  I mean EXTREME... like draw it so pubs get 2 CA seats and dems get 48.  Dare the supremes to do something about it. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

4 minutes ago, Horn Dog said:

This.  California, New York, and every other Dem controlled state needs to take the exact same formulas used by TX, NC, OH and partisan gerrymander the fuck out of there states.  I mean EXTREME... like draw it so pubs get 2 CA seats and dems get 48.  Dare the supremes to do something about it. 

Not so sure a 48-2 gerrymander is possible in CA

[berlinerbaer 678]

The redistricting commissions in California and other states were enacted by ballot measures, not the normal legislative process. Voters in those states would need to repeal them. It is highly unlikely that even Dem voters would do that.

SCOTUS could rule them unconstitutional next spring. That is the only realistic way they can be undone.

[Js1 85495]

Gerrymandering helped Dems in IL, NM, NV.  We won in CO in spite of the commission drawing CO-08 to be more neutral/GOP leaning.  

Dems may end up keeping their NY State Senate supermajority and Hochul is replacing the Chief Justice who retired in August.  The Hochulmander ain't dead if they can bring it back to the Courts in 2023. 

The Hochulmander maps were thrown out 4-3 so replacing the Chief Justice with a Hochul appointee could flip a decision if it's brought back.

[YGIFS 19452]

Yeah, whenever you think Texas has fucked up Congressional draws (and we do), take a look at what happened to the Illinois map between 2010 and 2020.  It looks like Dali and Rorschach had a baby named Horseshack.  

[Left Coast 863]

9 hours ago, berlinerbaer said:

The redistricting commissions in California and other states were enacted by ballot measures, not the normal legislative process. Voters in those states would need to repeal them. It is highly unlikely that even Dem voters would do that.

SCOTUS could rule them unconstitutional next spring. That is the only realistic way they can be undone.

Look, as a CA resident I can see why others say “it’s not fair” to have a blue state like CA have a relatively fair process for drawing political districts while red states like FL and TX have criminally been gerrymandered. But the bigger “big picture” is that I don’t want to live in a state drawn to the benefit of/by/for a single political party. Giving the Democrats that much power in CA wouldn’t be good for our state.
 

Even with these fair districts 75-80% of the CA congressional delegation will be Dems. The answer shouldn’t have to be go back to gerrymandering the shit out CA/CO/WA etc. districts. Maybe the Dem party in states like TX and FL should stop sucking so fucking hard. 

[Js1 85495]

Oh and Dems need to win the SCOWI seat next year to get those shit maps struck down as well.  NY + fairer maps in WI could offset NC lege/SCONC decimating the current 7-7 map into 11-3.