2022 Election Day Thread - Midterm Rumble

[Js1 87186]

23 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Growing signs that Engel hangs on. 

I was going to ask you about that.  Some people think DDHQ made an early call they shouldn't have, considering the ballots left in Pima and how they are more Dem friendly. 

[Js1 87186]

Jon Ralston's colleague at the Nevada Independent said on CNN the trends are favorable for calling the Senate race for CCM and the Governor race for Lombardo.

A disappointing governor result, but a Dem Lege, Dem SOS and Dem AG will neuter Lombardo into being about how consequential as Larry Hogan, Phil Scott and Charlie Baker. 

[Js1 87186]

And I mentioned the mail in CA gets bluer the later it gets - 

CA-22, the Republican's margin went from +8.3 to +5 with the latest batch of mail, and the vote count still only shows 53% counted

-3.3 and the votes counted went from 43% to 53%

[Macanudo 13327]

14 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Jon Ralston's colleague at the Nevada Independent said on CNN the trends are favorable for calling the Senate race for CCM and the Governor race for Lombardo.

A disappointing governor result, but a Dem Lege, Dem SOS and Dem AG will neuter Lombardo into being about how consequential as Larry Hogan, Phil Scott and Charlie Baker. 

If Lombardo acts and governs like Hogan and Baker is that such  bad thing?

[Js1 87186]

2 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

If Lombardo acts and governs like Hogan and Baker is that such  bad thing?

He probably won’t. He just won’t be able to be an effective asshole. He’ll be all bluster and no action without a friendly legislature or AG or SOS. It would be like if Beto won but Paxton also won and GOP kept the Texas Lege. 

Looks cool on paper, but ain’t nothing besides basics like budgets and stuff getting done 

[Storm the Field 5366]

Betting markets have flipped on Hobbs/Lake. Hobbs now a 60/40 favorite. 

[Biff Tannen 46168]

1 minute ago, Storm the Field said:

Betting markets have flipped on Hobbs/Lake. Hobbs now a 60/40 favorite. 

[Dahobbs 18324]

18 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Betting markets have flipped on Hobbs/Lake. Hobbs now a 60/40 favorite. 

Do it. 

[Stringer 1487]

Outside of any statistical analysis, Lake sure is acting like she thinks she's going to lose.  

[Horndog 2299]

2 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Trone (D) in MD looks to have held onto his seat after being being since Tues.

How existential.

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[Js1 87186]

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

These results are well to the left of the current margin in the county. 

 

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

Ruben backing me up

 

[Storm the Field 5366]

Lake and Masters underperform again. Yuma was a Trump +6 county.

 

Edited November 12, 2022 by Storm the Field

[Js1 87186]

 

[Firemans4Horn 18533]

When does Kelly’s race officially get called? After tonight’s dump?

[Biff Tannen 46168]

[Zonahorn 8079]

4 minutes ago, Firemans4Horn said:

When does Kelly’s race officially get called? After tonight’s dump?

Yes

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[Firemans4Horn 18533]

 

[chainsaw 10294]

1 minute ago, Firemans4Horn said:

 

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0278435/

 

[Firemans4Horn 18533]

4 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

[Js1 87186]

13 minutes ago, Firemans4Horn said:

 

She’s crushing her margins. She will win by tomorrow. Or tonight if Washoe dumps 

I have a lot of people to remind “I told you so” when I said she wouldn’t lose based on the mail. 

Edited November 12, 2022 by Js1

[Js1 87186]

Karen Bass has taken the lead on R-turned-D luxury developer Caruso who tried to buy the mayor’s race

 

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

LOL bye Blake

[Js1 87186]

Lombardo beat Sisolak. DDHQ and Ralston called it. 

D to R flip but one that looked bad for a while 

[chainsaw 10294]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Lombardo beat Sisolak. DDHQ and Ralston called it. 

D to R flip but one that looked bad for a while 

Anyone who can explain why Sisolak lost?

[Js1 87186]

Just now, chainsaw said:

Anyone who can explain why Sisolak lost?

Covid restrictions. Vegas is a tourist town and got hit hard and people are mad at him 

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[chainsaw 10294]

Just now, Js1 said:

Covid restrictions. Vegas is a tourist town and got hit hard and people are mad at him 

So it's not like a Warnock/Kemp voter

[Js1 87186]

2 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

Aguilar, Benson (MI) and Fontes were really the 3 biggest SOS races that involve election duties 

[The Dog 44861]

Zona beat me to it.

Edited November 12, 2022 by The Dog

[Valmy77 13626]

8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Lombardo beat Sisolak. DDHQ and Ralston called it. 

D to R flip but one that looked bad for a while 

Fortunately it doesn't look like Lombardo had big coattails.

[Js1 87186]

[Js1 87186]

 

[Js1 87186]

That’s not tonight’s batch. But the red votes are coming 

[Fudge Nuggets 19455]

On 11/10/2022 at 1:56 PM, Satchel said:

Barnes made a epic mistake by not leaning into and embracing the Biden agenda. He brought in Bernie Sanders to stomp for him while Governor Eavers brought in Biden. He got some really bad advice.

Bernie always fucks up.  He needs to go away already.

[SizzleChest 8314]

She's banking on this shit.

 

[G650 14437]

20 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Karen Bass has taken the lead on R-turned-D luxury developer Caruso who tried to buy the mayor’s race

 

 

This gruntles me. Caruso sucks bigly.

[chainsaw 10294]

1 minute ago, SizzleChest said:

She's banking on this shit.

 

I'd love to know which lawyers she's talking about

[gmr548 16701]

I'd love to know which lawyers she's talking about

[elfenix 34752]

3 hours ago, Captainant said:

GenZ being born post-9/11, only knowing the republican party as a bunch of crazy racists trying to take down the first black president, and living through multiple financial meltdowns... Not a complete shock to see them a bit more blue lol

party ID is set early and if your formative years (for late millenials and then gen z) were spent with clinton (generally competent); bush (2 land wars in asia and a financial meltdown); obama (generally competent); and then trump, well, no shocker there i say. 

[Gil Bang 26241]

6 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

They said before the election that their “agenda” will consist of :

Hunter Biden and Biden family investigations

Covid 19 response review

Afghanistan withdrawal review

they will probably throw in some crap about critical race theory, killing Obamacare, and Biden impeachment.

 

in other words, extremely crazy. Nothing productive or useful to the country. Total waste of time and makes them look terrible to dems and independents.

Imagine Gohmert and Gosar questioning Fauci. 

[Neonmoon 38130]

 

[henrygandorf 29225]

38 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Karen Bass has taken the lead on R-turned-D luxury developer Caruso who tried to buy the mayor’s race

caruso spent more time on my tv in october than the astros.  he's such a beating.

[RabidM 2757]

23 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

Do we have an idea of how hard they'll break for Lake?  Does Hobbes have enough votes to survive that drop?

[Gil Bang 26241]

 

[bluto 4997]

Lake was just on tucker, “100% sure we’ll win” she said. And that there has been major fraud. And that it’s time the ppl start talking about it, bc politicians just tell ppl who question things that they’re nuts… despite the fact the az state pols were the most outlandish in the US in chasing 20 election conspiracy. 
 

then masters came in saying ballots got doubled counted and McConnell didn’t support him out of either malice or fraud. 

[Biff Tannen 46168]

2 minutes ago, bluto said:

Lake was just on tucker, “100% sure we’ll win” she said. And that there has been major fraud. And that it’s time the ppl start talking about it, bc politicians just tell ppl who question things that they’re nuts… despite the fact the az state pols were the most outlandish in the US in chasing 20 election conspiracy. 
 

then masters came in saying ballots got doubled counted and McConnell didn’t support him out of either malice or fraud. 

Not sure how you can tolerate watching that.