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2022-2023 Winter Weather Thread

Hate

By Hate
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The Dog
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This was a big tree in the park behind our house: Same tree today:

GhostOfTomJoad
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The "chain saw" my wife ordered for me on Amazon the other day. Should make short work of the live oaks

HenryJames
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I might go for a jog and see if I end up governor.

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UnivTex34

UnivTex34 1763

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Steamboat1874 said:

Not sure this matters but Weather Channel 10 Day forecast shows nothing about any of that in Texas.

I looked at Dallas and Lubbock.

I guess none of y’all know what a single model means? Do none of y’all ever follow the hurricane threads? 
 

Yes, this will not be in a forecast as it is a single run by a single weather model, that forecasts are based on. If all models showed this a week out, we would be fucked. 3 days out, if multiple models show this, it will be in your forecast.

 

 

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Hate

Hate 20108

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Posted (edited)

The Weather Channel is pretty much worthless for anything more than a day or two. Watch the NWS forecast. It only goes out 5 days as anything past that is unreliable. There are multiple pro mets that are looking at the models and the weather patterns. What was posted is possible. We’ll know more by Sunday how likely it is.

Edited by Hate
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Posted
Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, Hate said:

The Weather Channel is pretty much worthless for anything more than a day or two. Watch the NWS forecast. It only goes out 5 days as anything past that is unreliable. There are multiple pro mets that are looking at the models and the weather patterns. What was posted is possible. We’ll know more by Sunday how likely it is.

It has never happened in recorded weather history...but yeah, there's a chance it will beat the standing record by 25% and just this one model can see it coming.

LOLz.

I've been through 31" of snow in Denver area in '03 and Harvey in 2017.  Wild ass weather events happen, of course.

Edited by slorch
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Judge Roybeanbag

Judge Roybeanbag 11819

Posted
Posted

Fucking fuck, man, maybe this should go on the Greg Abbott thread.  I just got my gas bill for this past month.  $165.24.   After not ever having one over $100 except in the coldest periods in modern history.  No, I don't have a leak either.  Bullshit.

 

Bill Date Days of Service Usage (CCF) Bill Amount
1/25/2023 35 102 $165.24
12/22/2022 29 62 $109.15
11/22/2022 28 32 $58.83
10/24/2022 30 11 $37.82
9/26/2022 32 9 $36.46
8/24/2022 30 8 $34.57
7/25/2022 30 9 $34.77
6/23/2022 33 9 $36.50
5/24/2022 28 9 $33.69
4/25/2022 30 25 $54.94
3/24/2022 32 94 $118.44
2/22/2022 28 107 $118.20
1/25/2022 31 78 $109.91
12/27/2021 33 45 $78.40
11/23/2021 28 23 $48.86
10/25/2021 29 10 $32.43
9/24/2021 32 7 $27.61
8/25/2021 30 8 $28.76
7/26/2021 30 5 $25.59
6/24/2021 32 9 $28.33
5/25/2021 29 12 $27.80
4/26/2021 30 21 $35.52
3/25/2021 31 33 $49.15
2/25/2021 28 114 $62.98
1/27/2021 34 103 $99.76
12/28/2020 29 73 $75.49
11/25/2020 30 36 $48.27
10/26/2020 29 8 $24.55
9/25/2020 33 7 ($1.33)
8/25/2020 29 7 $23.42
7/27/2020 33 9 $25.74
6/24/2020 30 10 $26.03
5/26/2020 30 10 $26.09
4/23/2020 31 30 $34.79
3/25/2020 29 45 $43.20
2/25/2020 29 80 $60.18
1/27/2020 34 83 $67.76
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Judge Roybeanbag

Judge Roybeanbag 11819

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, utee94 said:

It sucks.

But yeah, definitely the wrong thread for it.  There are at least a couple in DT, and I assume there's one in CR, related to this.

 

Sure, it's not CR-related.   I didn't intend for it to go that way either, except, hey here's a fact, between COL, insurance and other stuff, you can't survive on minimum wage.  It doesn't pay enough.  But cookies.  

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utee94

utee94 15811

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

Sure, it's not CR-related.   I didn't intend for it to go that way either, except, hey here's a fact, between COL, insurance and other stuff, you can't survive on minimum wage.  It doesn't pay enough.  But cookies.  

This sounds like an excellent topic-- for some other thread. 

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Judge Roybeanbag

Judge Roybeanbag 11819

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, utee94 said:

This sounds like an excellent topic-- for some other thread. 

I’m sure you’ll start it Aggie.   Nobody can live under this thunderdome.  I was going to challenge you to start another thread,  but realized that was dumb,  so I’m standing down.  

Edited by Judge Roybeanbag
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Orange&White

Orange&White 5522

Posted
Posted

Apparently the winter weather thread has turned into the thread of bitchassedness.

If y'all wanna have a slap fight with each other, take it to PM's.

If anyone doesn't want to see future models that are just shared for fucking reference and potential planning, go to a different thread.

Jesus Fuckstix, people.

 

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utee94

utee94 15811

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Orange&White said:

Apparently the winter weather thread has turned into the thread of bitchassedness.

If y'all wanna have a slap fight with each other, take it to PM's.

If anyone doesn't want to see future models that are just shared for fucking reference and potential planning, go to a different thread.

Jesus Fuckstix, people.

 

Eh, as an alternative... this surly poster says, Go Fuck Yourself.  :)

 

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YGIFS

YGIFS 19450

Posted
Posted (edited)

I love when a "Man" in Texas lectures us on being an old-school alpha male cut in the cloth of the founders of Texas.  Who also keeps his thermostat over 68 degrees in the Winter.  Buy all the guns and trucks you want, won't change the fact you're an energy-wasting pussy.

That said, I need to change out our filters this weekend.  Both heaters running too long overnight and causing debris.

Edited by YGIFS
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Posted
Posted

Still playing the Wintergeddon prediction, eh?

For Lubbock on the highest chance of precip next week:

Snow during the morning will give way to rain showers during the afternoon. High 46F. Winds N at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.

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Posted
Posted (edited)
18 hours ago, Orange&White said:

Apparently the winter weather thread has turned into the thread of bitchassedness.

If y'all wanna have a slap fight with each other, take it to PM's.

If anyone doesn't want to see future models that are just shared for fucking reference and potential planning, go to a different thread.

Jesus Fuckstix, people.

 

That wasn't the context at all, so fuck off.

There were a couple of "Is this shit real?" or "what is the real prediction here?"  questions.  We've all seen crazy outlier models.  It was not posted as such.  Then others have shared the subsequent Twitter posts about how bad it's gonna be downstate because of no wind energy.

I swear there's a few decent weather folks and then there's a metric crapton of people drumming up hysteria, who are  funded either by HEB or Lowes.

Edited by slorch
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UnivTex34

UnivTex34 1763

Posted
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14 minutes ago, slorch said:

That wasn't the context at all, so fuck off.

There were a couple of "Is this shit real?" or "what is the real prediction here?"  questions.  We've all seen crazy outlier models.  It was not posted as such.  Then others have shared the subsequent Twitter posts about how bad it's gonna be downstate because of no wind energy.

I swear there's a few decent weather folks and then there's a metric crapton of people drumming up hysteria, who are  funded either by HEB or Lowes.

Only from you, there was a single other question about scale, that was clarified.

 

Posted as such? It was literally says at the top of the screenshot what model it came from. I’m sorry you choose not to read before posting.

 

Everyone was literally just sharing info, until ol Neanderthal slorch had to come and and shout everyone down. Models like this get posted ALL THE TIME on this thread and other ones. A weather model in a weather thread doesn’t need context for apparently 99% of the other readers.

 

Sounds like you are talking about yourself in your last sentence. But I’m sure you’ll be around again to shout me down on how wrong I am. 

 

Sorry for the threadjack all. 

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UnivTex34

UnivTex34 1763

Posted
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9 minutes ago, slorch said:

not sorry I called out the idiocy of a prediction of a 125% record snow when nobody else is predicting more than 2 inches.

Still a moron, it wasn’t a prediction, it was a model run. Keep fucking that chicken homie. You can admit you were wrong, it will be ok.

 

Nahhhhhh 

 

Slorched

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Hate

Hate 20108

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Posted
12 minutes ago, slorch said:

not sorry I called out the idiocy of a prediction of a 125% record snow when nobody else is predicting more than 2 inches.

Jesus fucking christ Slorch.  I like you, but just fucking stop.  This was a model run.  There are several different models that are run several times a day.  The one that was posted was from several days before the possible event.  It was NOT A PREDICTION.  It is used to show that a winter weather event is possible in the future and posted as a means to inform other Surly posters that something may occur...to let them know that something that could impact them in a negative way may be on the horizon.  Goddamn, the fact that I've had to create this post is utterly goddam ridiculous.  Don't come to this thread if you are going to take every single model posted as the gospel 

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1 hour ago, Post Oak said:

gem-all-tx-frzr_total-5468800.thumb.png.9097fcf3db6c35fbe9dc3e88da12a814.png

Man, just no. The last ice storm ripped so many limbs off trees that it led to the summer killing the grass because there was no shade where there used to be shade. Now I've got to completely re-work the yard after this summer's drought fucked things up further.

Is there anywhere that gets more consistently hard weather than Central Texas? Not only do we get 105 degrees for days on end, drought, we get hail, ice storms, floods, hard freezes. True we don't get Houston floods or hurricanes, but the "day-to-day" just seems it can be way harsher than other places.  

Edited by FirstTimeCaller
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UnivTex34

UnivTex34 1763

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Hate said:

Jesus fucking christ Slorch.  I like you, but just fucking stop.  This was a model run.  There are several different models that are run several times a day.  The one that was posted was from several days before the possible event.  It was NOT A PREDICTION.  It is used to show that a winter weather event is possible in the future and posted as a means to inform other Surly posters that something may occur...to let them know that something that could impact them in a negative way may be on the horizon.  Goddamn, the fact that I've had to create this post is utterly goddam ridiculous.  Don't come to this thread if you are going to take every single model posted as the gospel 

image.gif.6cbca14c097b9b1d8c4885d21d074447.gif

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boknowstecmo

boknowstecmo 216

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

What the hell is going on?  I just got a Ring alert for ice the next three days and when I go to the apple weather app (Dark Sky died) it says we aren't getting lower than 36 the next week.

The air above will be cold enough to freeze the rain and the ice rain will fall fast enough that it will accumulate before it can melt. Basically.

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