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2024 Senate Elections

Ghost of LL

By Ghost of LL
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Satchel

Satchel 6935

Posted
Posted

Something must be said about the embarrassing behavior of Tim Scott that has gone far beyond the usual parody normally associated with him. From quoting Fannie Lou Hamer in relation to virtues of Donald Trump to shamelessly buck dancing before him in New Hampshire last night, Tim has reached a new low. 
 

 

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HenryJames
HenryJames
Horn Under a Bad Sign
Horn Under a Bad Sign

This is a brilliant political commercial.          

cactusflinthead
cactusflinthead

This applies here too.  

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Satchel

Satchel 6935

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

I'm glad it's you saying it, because that shit is embarrassing.

When slave patrols and slave catchers would go on the prowl, they would bring along a happy, submissive Negro along to help ensnare escaping runaways. They paid him in butter biscuits. The moral of the story for Tim and others like him is don’t be a butter biscuit.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13509

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, Satchel said:

Something must be said about the embarrassing behavior of Tim Scott that has gone far beyond the usual parody normally associated with him. From quoting Fannie Lou Hamer in relation to virtues of Donald Trump to shamelessly buck dancing before him in New Hampshire last night, Tim has reached a new low. 
 

 

Even Trump seemed to have a revelation how fucked up it is that Tim Scott has zero loyalty to Nikki. Behind closed doors, I imagine Trump would have called him a POS for that move.

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cactusflinthead

cactusflinthead 27598

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Satchel said:

When slave patrols and slave catchers would go on the prowl, they would bring along a happy, submissive Negro along to help ensnare escaping runaways. They paid him in butter biscuits. The moral of the story for Tim and others like him is don’t be a butter biscuit.

Again, I am gonna have to nod in agreement and stay in my lane. 

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Js1

Js1 85298

Posted
Posted (edited)

2023 Q4 Approval Ratings for Senate:

2024 Dems:
Jon Tester: 56/33 (+23)
Bob Casey: 47/32 (+15)
Jacky Rosen: 45/34 (+11)
Sherrod Brown: 45/36 (+9)
Tammy Baldwin: 44/42 (+2)
Kyrsten Sinema: 41/45 (-4)
Bob Menendez: 25/59 (-34)

2024 Reps:
Ted Cruz: 47/44 (+3)
Josh Hawley: 45/38 (+7)
Rick Scott: 45/41 (+4)

Tester and Brown are truly gods in their states. I really cannot just write off either seat which how powerful those brands are.  Same with Casey in PA, but that isn't a risk seat to me.  

Edited by Js1
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Snake Diggity

Snake Diggity 4620

Posted
Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, Js1 said:

2023 Q4 Approval Ratings for Senate:

2024 Dems:
Jon Tester: 56/33 (+23)
Bob Casey: 47/32 (+15)
Jacky Rosen: 45/34 (+11)
Sherrod Brown: 45/36 (+9)
Tammy Baldwin: 44/42 (+2)
Kyrsten Sinema: 41/45 (-4)
Bob Menendez: 25/59 (-34)

2024 Reps:
Ted Cruz: 47/44 (+3)
Josh Hawley: 45/38 (+7)
Rick Scott: 45/41 (+4)

Tester and Brown are truly gods in their states. I really cannot just write off either seat which how powerful those brands are.  Same with Casey in PA, but that isn't a risk seat to me.  

Yep, I will be really surprised if the GOP picks up more than 2 seats.  They’ll pick up Manchin’s and probably Sinema’s. I am actually thinking they have a better chance of unseating Jacky Rosen in NV than beating Brown or Tester or Casey.  Seeing Baldwin at only +2 is discouraging but I think she’ll pull it out.  I’m also a little worried about Stabenow’s seat in Michigan.

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Js1

Js1 85298

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

Yep, I will be really surprised if the GOP picks up more than 2 seats.  They’ll pick up Manchin’s and probably Sinema’s. I am actually thinking they have a better chance of unseating Jacky Rosen in NV than beating Brown or Tester or Casey.  Seeing Baldwin at only +2 is discouraging but I think she’ll pull it out.  I’m also a little worried about Stabenow’s seat in Michigan.

My dude, what? 

The GOP is not taking Sinema’s seat. @Zonahorn

Michigan GOP is in shambles. As is NV. They do not have good candidates running in those states. They don’t even have decent ones - the worst of the worst. 2022 out front says candidate quality matters.

Same in Wisconsin - every big name decided not to challenge Baldwin. 

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Snake Diggity

Snake Diggity 4620

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

My dude, what? 

The GOP is not taking Sinema’s seat. @Zonahorn

Michigan GOP is in shambles. As is NV. They do not have good candidates running in those states. They don’t even have decent ones - the worst of the worst. 2022 out front says candidate quality matters.

Same in Wisconsin - every big name decided not to challenge Baldwin. 

Holy fuck is the AZ GOP really going to run Kari Fucking Lake??? Yeah never mind, they’re not winning that seat.  One can dream that the only seat they pick up is Manchin’s.  I’ll take 49-51 all day with Harris as VP.  

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Zonahorn

Zonahorn 8079

Posted
Posted

Yes, the AZ GOP is batshit. They're also broke and Kari Lake staged a coup for control of the state party and made the previous state chair resign. The current chair went on Steve Bannon's show and begged for money for "litigation"

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Js1

Js1 85298

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Posted
1 minute ago, Zonahorn said:

Yes, the AZ GOP is batshit. They're also broke and Kari Lake staged a coup for control of the state party and made the previous state chair resign. The current chair went on Steve Bannon's show and begged for money for "litigation"

MAGA also took over NV’s GOP party and is now whining that they don’t have money or infrastructure anymore 

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Doc Sam Beckett

Doc Sam Beckett 5792

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38 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

Holy fuck is the AZ GOP really going to run Kari Fucking Lake??? Yeah never mind, they’re not winning that seat.  One can dream that the only seat they pick up is Manchin’s.  I’ll take 49-51 all day with Harris as VP.  

Doesn't matter who they run, Ruben Gallego is a fucking dream candidate. 

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Chuckie Finster

Chuckie Finster 22694

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MAGA also took over NV’s GOP party and is now whining that they don’t have money or infrastructure anymore 

For decades, the leaders of the GOP were the dorky, debate obsessed weirdos from college that reminded the teacher when she forgot to assign homework… and then within 2 years they were completely overrun by trailer park lunatics. It would be hilarious if I wasn’t so worried for the country.
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RDCanecutter

RDCanecutter 26404

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:


For decades, the leaders of the GOP were the dorky, debate obsessed weirdos from college that reminded the teacher when she forgot to assign homework… and then within 2 years they were completely overrun by trailer park lunatics. It would be hilarious if I wasn’t so worried for the country.

Yep. It'd be a dude who knew how to act at a dinner party and you'd ask him for financial tips. Now it's somebody waiting to go inside the pawn shop eating a Hot Pocket with her mouth open and the kids going apeshit in the car.

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89630

Posted
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50 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

Yep. It'd be a dude who knew how to act at a dinner party and you'd ask him for financial tips. Now it's somebody waiting to go inside the pawn shop eating a Hot Pocket with her mouth open and the kids going apeshit in the car.

More importantly, he or she knew what forms needed to be filled out and filed at the county courthouse, and just as importantly, when they needed to be filed. Now it’s somebody who is arguing with the bank every month when the payment on the double-wide is due because they didn’t realize that it was the end of the month or who forget how much the payment was even though it hasn’t changed in years.

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RDCanecutter

RDCanecutter 26404

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2 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

More importantly, he or she knew what forms needed to be filled out and filed at the county courthouse, and just as importantly, when they needed to be filed. Now it’s somebody who is arguing with the bank every month when the payment on the double-wide is due because they didn’t realize that it was the end of the month or who forget how much the payment was even though it hasn’t changed in years.

They make it so it'll confuse you. Them forms I mean. That's how they repo it all back and sell it again and again.

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gmr548

gmr548 16576

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15 hours ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

Mike Johnson was set to endorse but backed out because of pressure from Republican Senate campaign arm, McConnell, etc. Maybe Rosendale will play that up and the primary gets nasty.

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Js1

Js1 85298

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Mike Johnson was set to endorse but backed out because of pressure from Republican Senate campaign arm, McConnell, etc. Maybe Rosendale will play that up and the primary gets nasty.

Johnson has no principles or even the ability to stick to a position. I get he’s going to bat for “his” guy bc Rosendale is part of his caucus but he backtracked so fast

Edited by Js1
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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

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1 hour ago, Js1 said:

Johnson has no principles or even the ability to stick to a position. I get he’s going to bat for “his” guy bc Rosendale is part of his caucus but he backtracked so fast

The Speaker of the House typically has some coattails for his party to ride.  This guy offers toilet paper on his shoe.  

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Js1

Js1 85298

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4 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

The Speaker of the House typically has some coattails for his party to ride.  This guy offers toilet paper on his shoe.  

He has now clarified he will donate to Rosendale, but not "support him," because that would go against the NRSC/McConnell. 

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

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27 minutes ago, Js1 said:

He has now clarified he will donate to Rosendale, but not "support him," because that would go against the NRSC/McConnell. 

The funny thing is just yesterday the was wide reporting on how McConnell's grip on the Republican Senate was loosening, now today we get this.  I wouldn't mind McConnell getting McCarthy'd, mind you, that would be quite hilarious, but just a day later the Speaker of the House is publicly kowtowing to him.  To say that they are an absolute mess right now is a grand understatement.  

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89630

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, BamaATL said:

The funny thing is just yesterday the was wide reporting on how McConnell's grip on the Republican Senate was loosening, now today we get this.  I wouldn't mind McConnell getting McCarthy'd, mind you, that would be quite hilarious, but just a day later the Speaker of the House is publicly kowtowing to him.  To say that they are an absolute mess right now is a grand understatement.  

Ted Cruz is out there talking shit about Turtle.

https://dailycaller.com/2024/02/07/senate-border-bill-mitch-mcconnell-rick-scott-jd-vance-ted-cruz-mike-lee/

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Js1

Js1 85298

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5 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Larry Hogan is running in MD.

https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/02/09/congress/hogan-running-for-senate-00140681

Still probably a slight underdog in a solid blue state with Trump on the top of the ticket, but certainly puts a previously safe Democratic seat in play.

I hope this was a joke 

A) he likely will not win the primary against MAGA Dan Cox and B) Trump lost this state by 33 points 

Former governors don’t make the best candidates for Senate. Bullock, Bredesen, Lingle, etc. 

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I hope this was a joke 

A) he likely will not win the primary against MAGA Dan Cox and B) Trump lost this state by 33 points 

Former governors don’t make the best candidates for Senate. Bullock, Bredesen, Lingle, etc. 

Cook has this seat prior to this as listed as likely Dem (a step just before solid), which sort of surprised me given the 33 point (I remember it being that high) differential.  It doesn't sound like Hogan, who isn't the worst of the worst, could make any sort of dent into that, even if he escapes the primary.  I wonder why it's only listed as likely and not solid? 

Any sort of thought on that Js1?  

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Js1

Js1 85298

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Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

Cook has this seat prior to this as listed as likely Dem (a step just before solid), which sort of surprised me given the 33 point (I remember it being that high) differential.  It doesn't sound like Hogan, who isn't the worst of the worst, could make any sort of dent into that, even if he escapes the primary.  I wonder why it's only listed as likely and not solid? 

Any sort of thought on that Js1?  

Cook is weirdly bullish on calling open seats “solid,” but they may wait to see if Cox wins the primary, in which case it will end up solid. Cox lost the governor’s race by 32 points. He’s MAGA as fuck and Maryland is very blue for federal races. 

Hogan is no different than Charlie Baker or Phil Scott or Laura Kelly or Andy Beshear - they can win governor races but they’d lose senate races bigly. Happens all the time - Linda Lingle won 2 terms as governor of Hawaii as a Republican and lost her senate race by 25 points 

Edited by Js1
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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

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Posted
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Cook is weirdly bullish on calling open seats “solid,” but they may wait to see if Cox wins the primary, in which case it will end up solid. Cox lost the governor’s race by 32 points. He’s MAGA as fuck and Maryland is very blue for federal races. 

I get the impression, and perhaps I am wrong, statistics will tell us, that Cook seems to put almost everything Democratic in some level of play, while rarely ever placing Republican stuff in play.  Perhaps that is my impression vs fact, but it sure seems like they are often far more bullish on Republican odds vs Democratic ones.  

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, South Austin said:

She’s going to get trounced.

Probably, but that's the best ad I've seen in a while.  I'm just glad to see a candidate, any candidate pushing for Anti-Trust legislation, long overdue.  The only missing element to me was executive compensation.

Bravo.  

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StassneyHorn

StassneyHorn 6575

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Posted

Good for her, and not in a sarcastic way. Small enough state to campaign and meet people. Easy to understand imagery. Would be interesting to see how this plays with Bank of North Dakota history flying in the face of the people they tend to vote for

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Bozo_Casanova

Bozo_Casanova 26438

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, Horn Under a Bad Sign said:

This is a brilliant political commercial.  
 

 

 

 

Good concept, good ideas, bad execution. Like most Democratic long form ads the tone is all over the place and the main thing drowns in miscellanea. It also doesn’t help that they have three wildly different musical themes without a narrative structure with any kind of continuity to tie them together, and somehow “Waymore’s Blues” only gets like 4 seconds.

When you say everything to everybody. You’re saying nothing to nobody. 

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