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2024 Senate Elections

Ghost of LL

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HenryJames
HenryJames
Horn Under a Bad Sign
Horn Under a Bad Sign

This is a brilliant political commercial.          

cactusflinthead
cactusflinthead

This applies here too.  

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Js1

Js1 85261

Posted
Posted
48 minutes ago, TheStoicPaisano said:

 

Tillis hasn't announced if he's running again in 2026.  Wouldn't surprise me. 

Also a hearty FUCK YOU CAL CUNNINGHAM - you should be in that seat, but you couldn't keep it in your g-d pants.  If you won that race, Dems would be favored to keep the Senate this year.

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Mo Horn said:

Having an abortion referendum on the ballot is going to help, but I doubt Kunce can actually win... sadly. 

Unlikely, but 4 points is within the realm of possibility, which is saying something in Missouri.  

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Gil Bang

Gil Bang 25907

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Heh.   Trump says "Garvey needs to suck my cock before I endorse him"

Former President Donald Trump said he wouldn’t back Steve Garvey unless the Republican candidate in California’s U.S. Senate race first gives him a call.

Trump — following an hour-long press conference where he castigated Gov. Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris — told reporters that he has not spoken with Garvey, a former Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres MLB player who faces Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Burbank, in the race for the open U.S. Senate seat in the upcoming election.

“I don’t know much about Steve Garvey,” Trump said. “I think he’s made a big mistake because he hasn’t reached out to MAGA, and if he doesn’t have MAGA, he’s got no chance.”

“I’m hearing he wants the MAGA endorsement, but he’s got to call me,” Trump, who’s vying for a second term in the White House, said.

Garvey, for his part, has not rushed to align himself with the former president like other Republican candidates — in California or other parts of the country — have done, particularly since Trump was first elected in 2016.

In an interview with Politico earlier this year, Garvey even suggested he was open to voting for President Joe Biden for president. (Since that interview, Biden dropped his re-election effort and Harris was picked to lead the top of the Democratic ticket.)

Since Day One, I’ve ran a different type of campaign,” Garvey said in a statement through a spokesperson Friday. “I have not taken or asked for a single political endorsement, the only endorsements I want are from the law enforcement community and the first responders.”

“My focus is, and always has been, on the issues that truly matter to Californians — affordability, public safety, securing the border, fixing the homeless crisis and restoring California’s leadership,” Garvey continued. “I’m running a ‘Steve Garvey’ campaign for all the people of California, not for partisan or special interests.”

Trump said he did not “know (Garvey) at all” but still called him a “nice guy.” He suggested that Garvey would not win in California without the “MAGA” endorsement — referring to his base of supporters who adopted the “make America great again” mantra — and alleged without providing evidence that California does not have “honest” elections.

Trump also lambasted Schiff, who led one of Democrats’ efforts to impeach Trump when he was still president. Trump called Schiff a “sleaze bag” and “crooked,” the latter one of his favorite nicknames for the Burbank congressman.

“Adam Schiff, to represent this area, is impossible to believe,” said Trump.

Polling shows Schiff with a solid lead over Garvey heading into the final few weeks before ballots are mailed out to registered voters in Califonia in early October, according to RealClearPolitics’ aggregated data.

A spokesperson for Schiff did not immediately respond to a request for comment Friday afternoon, but Schiff’s X (formerly Twitter) account shared a clip of Trump’s comments. “I don’t think he likes me,” the post said.

During his press conference, Trump criticized state and federal leaders for not doing what he said was enough to help residents impacted by the reactivation of an ancient landslide complex on the Palos Verdes Peninsula. He called California a “mess,” decrying the cost of living as well as homelessness and illegal immigration.

 

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LCHorn

LCHorn 2612

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On 9/13/2024 at 4:00 PM, Js1 said:

Also a hearty FUCK YOU CAL CUNNINGHAM - you should be in that seat, but you couldn't keep it in your g-d pants.  If you won that race, Dems would be favored to keep the Senate this year.

Counterpoint-she was hot.  
 

This is why we can’t trust retired Army candidates.  At least retired USMC officers know chasing thicc Latinas is asking for trouble.  

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Snake Diggity

Snake Diggity 4619

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38 minutes ago, TheStoicPaisano said:

 

I don’t think this will help Allred.  It wouldn’t surprise me if Cruz saw his lead eroding and asked to debate.  Cruz is a soulless scumbag but he’s not stupid or senile so debating against someone like Allred is unlikely to hurt him.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13507

Posted
Posted

Re: Montana race.

A big issue in Montana is public land mgmt especially with the belief that billionaires have locked up too many private lands.  The federal govt owns about 30% of Montana. Tester wants the feds to continue to own/manage the land, whereas his gop opponent Tim Sheehy has made comments about transferring federal land to the state or counties, and there is a belief that he wants some of it sold off to private ownership. Sell it off and the public can't access it.

Sheehy has of course said that he doesn't want the public to lose access to these lands. Tester is doing his best to make Montanans not believe that. Not a difficult talk since Sheehy is himself a very wealthy, first generation ranch owner.

Sheehy has also been very quiet about his past. He just seemed to pop up in Montana in 2014 and admits that he grew up in Minnesota. That doesn't disqualify him from running for Senate but smaller Western communities can be wary of carpetbaggers.

 

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Pato del Muerto

Pato del Muerto 52484

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Posted
1 hour ago, Snake Diggity said:

I don’t think this will help Allred.  It wouldn’t surprise me if Cruz saw his lead eroding and asked to debate.  Cruz is a soulless scumbag but he’s not stupid or senile so debating against someone like Allred is unlikely to hurt him.

As I said in the other thread, this is also happening after the registration deadline for this election. So if he does motivate any unregistered Texans to take action, well too damn bad. 

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Js1

Js1 85261

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TBH, I don't think Tester is that close.  But I fully appreciate that a) Montana is hard to poll; b) he's been in this position before (2012); c) He could easily end up pulling a Susan Collins and defying all the polls.

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Burt

Burt 4080

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Posted
4 hours ago, Js1 said:

TBH, I don't think Tester is that close.  But I fully appreciate that a) Montana is hard to poll; b) he's been in this position before (2012); c) He could easily end up pulling a Susan Collins and defying all the polls.

He's done.

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Js1

Js1 85261

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Burt said:

He's done.

Feels that way, but man oh man, did I also think that about Susan Collins - down anywhere from 5 to 12 in polling all of October. 

Sucks Bad Luck GIF by HannahWitton

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Bateshorn

Bateshorn 9927

Posted
Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, Horn Under a Bad Sign said:

 

 

 

I've been doing a Lindsay Graham impression for 20 years that involves a fainting couch and a companion called Aloysius. Somebody has clearly caught my act. 

Also, I don't care what they say: Every low country South Carolina man is three drinks away from experimenting with other men. 

Edited by Bateshorn
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Burt

Burt 4080

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Js1 said:

Feels that way, but man oh man, did I also think that about Susan Collins - down anywhere from 5 to 12 in polling all of October. 

Sucks Bad Luck GIF by HannahWitton

I hope I'm wrong.  But, outside of my family, I've yet to meet 5 Tester supporters since campaigning has gotten serious.  I'm hoping many are just playing things close to their vest because they don't want to get into yet another discussion with the Trump flag-waving mouthbreathers up here.

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quigley

quigley 1556

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Posted
9 hours ago, Js1 said:

TBH, I don't think Tester is that close.  But I fully appreciate that a) Montana is hard to poll; b) he's been in this position before (2012); c) He could easily end up pulling a Susan Collins and defying all the polls.

 

1 hour ago, Burt said:

I hope I'm wrong.  But, outside of my family, I've yet to meet 5 Tester supporters since campaigning has gotten serious.  I'm hoping many are just playing things close to their vest because they don't want to get into yet another discussion with the Trump flag-waving mouthbreathers up here.

If you tell MT is harder to poll than other places, basically it means that public polling is useless in MT. Tester's raised a ton of money. Is Sheehy wealthy enough to fund his own campaign like Rick Scott?

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Js1

Js1 85261

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Posted
Just now, tx ind said:

I don't know shit about Nebraska but would he caucus Dem?

He did an AMA and said he would caucus with neither party.  Which isn't realistic because you won't get committee assignments without a caucus. 

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Dutchrudder

Dutchrudder 11133

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1 minute ago, Js1 said:

He did an AMA and said he would caucus with neither party.  Which isn't realistic because you won't get committee assignments without a caucus. 

I think that's code for "I want to be the deciding vote for Majority, and get some specific commitee/chair appointments for it."  It's like the annoying, amoral Manchin type of politics, but Dems can't be upset when a guy does it from a deep red state they would never win. 

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Js1

Js1 85261

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Future ad spending:

OHSen:🔴$63.7M 🔵$58.3M

PASen:🔴$68.4M 🔵$44.1M

MTSen:🔵$38.4M 🔴$37.1M

AZSen:🔵$35.6M 🔴$11.7M

NVSen:🔵$31.0M 🔴$11.6M

MISen:🔵$23.3M 🔴$3.9M

WISen:🔵$22.1M 🔴$2.8M

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Longhorn_Fan68

Longhorn_Fan68 33859

Posted
Posted
55 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Future ad spending:

OHSen:🔴$63.7M 🔵$58.3M

PASen:🔴$68.4M 🔵$44.1M

MTSen:🔵$38.4M 🔴$37.1M

AZSen:🔵$35.6M 🔴$11.7M

NVSen:🔵$31.0M 🔴$11.6M

MISen:🔵$23.3M 🔴$3.9M

WISen:🔵$22.1M 🔴$2.8M

I get directing more to long-shot states, but why spend less in the first two? do they feel they have those locked up?

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13507

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

I get directing more to long-shot states, but why spend less in the first two? do they feel they have those locked up?

Possibly. There is also diminishing returns on dollars spent but if you're the candidate why not spend every dime and ask for more.

Aren't polls showing that NV might be the most locked up on this list? 

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Chuckie Finster

Chuckie Finster 22692

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

Future ad spending:

OHSen:🔴$63.7M 🔵$58.3M

PASen:🔴$68.4M 🔵$44.1M

MTSen:🔵$38.4M 🔴$37.1M

AZSen:🔵$35.6M 🔴$11.7M

NVSen:🔵$31.0M 🔴$11.6M

MISen:🔵$23.3M 🔴$3.9M

WISen:🔵$22.1M 🔴$2.8M

Certainly some of that WI/MI money could be better allocated towards OH/PA?

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berlinerbaer

berlinerbaer 670

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8 hours ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Certainly some of that WI/MI money could be better allocated towards OH/PA?

Some candidates are just good at raising money on their own. I don't know how easy those funds can be transferred to other campaigns and wouldn't assume big numbers in some places mean the national party is hanging some candidates out to dry.

Gallego comes to mind. He's ahead like +10 in the polls and doesn't need $35M, but people are still opening their wallets for him.

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