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2024 Senate Elections

Ghost of LL

By Ghost of LL
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HenryJames
HenryJames
Horn Under a Bad Sign
Horn Under a Bad Sign

This is a brilliant political commercial.          

cactusflinthead
cactusflinthead

This applies here too.  

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89400

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

That’s honestly not the worst AI business pitch I’ve ever heard.

There are companies that are mining the fuck out of social media, web comments, etc., and doing what they can to weed out bots and help determine engagement/enthusiasm for candidates, etc.

My guess is that she's probably not spending the money on the ones who are trying to drill down to find actual engagement/enthusiasm and is just spending money on somebody's. nephew who is running a bunch of scrapers/bots and dumping the data in to a spreadsheet, counting up the entries and calling it a day.  And said nephew may also using bots to prop her up online, so it's a self-fulfilling prophecy - the more his bots generate tweets/posts for her, the more entries his scrapers are adding to the spreadsheet to show her how well she is doing.

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tx 3 putt

tx 3 putt 76296

Posted
Posted
46 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

There are companies that are mining the fuck out of social media, web comments, etc., and doing what they can to weed out bots and help determine engagement/enthusiasm for candidates, etc.

My guess is that she's probably not spending the money on the ones who are trying to drill down to find actual engagement/enthusiasm and is just spending money on somebody's. nephew who is running a bunch of scrapers/bots and dumping the data in to a spreadsheet, counting up the entries and calling it a day.  And said nephew may also using bots to prop her up online, so it's a self-fulfilling prophecy - the more his bots generate tweets/posts for her, the more entries his scrapers are adding to the spreadsheet to show her how well she is doing.

 

shes making shit up. i’d guess her campaign is broke

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TeeDubya

TeeDubya 3358

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, tx ind said:

No, that belongs to Ted Cruz for ~36 hours.

I know that’s a hard decision, but I’ll let Fled Cruz wallow in his spineless self-pity, and still want to punch Hawley more. 

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16592

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, TeeDubya said:

I know that’s a hard decision, but I’ll let Fled Cruz wallow in his spineless self-pity, and still want to punch Hawley more. 

I hope you are quick, the sumbitch runs fast.  

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted
On 11/2/2024 at 12:58 PM, Gil Bang said:

Does ANYBODY believe this motherfucker?  What a bullshit story

 

Fast forward to about the 5 minute mark

 

I’m left more confused regarding the story after watching that video. He talks about friendly fire in Afghanistan but doesn’t specifically mention how he was injured there. He implies that he didn’t have medical attention when shot during his service. Something something about needing to remain with his team.

as for the “shot in a national parking lot”, he says that it was called a gunshot wound because he fell and it dislodged the bullet im his arm from his service.

at a minimum there is something fishy going on that he doesn’t want to talk about. Whether something odd happened in Afghanistan or glacier national park, he doesn’t want to be clear on the facts. 

then claims that  

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LTbear

LTbear 4157

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I’m left more confused regarding the story after watching that video. He talks about friendly fire in Afghanistan but doesn’t specifically mention how he was injured there. He implies that he didn’t have medical attention when shot during his service. Something something about needing to remain with his team.

as for the “shot in a national parking lot”, he says that it was called a gunshot wound because he fell and it dislodged the bullet im his arm from his service.

at a minimum there is something fishy going on that he doesn’t want to talk about. Whether something odd happened in Afghanistan or glacier national park, he doesn’t want to be clear on the facts. 

then claims that  

Ok, sooo.... he fell, and it somehow dislodged a bullet from a wound that had completely healed over by that time? Even though he told a group AFTER the park incident that he still had a bullet in his arm from Afghanistan. 

Here in Montana, one of his military buddies talks in one ad saying how they'd all know if he'd been shot, tearing him apart. Sheehy had another dude come on a different ad to insult the dude making the first commercial, but, oddly, never actually says that Sheehy was indeed shot in Afghanistan. 

Sheehy is a lying sack of shit.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, LTbear said:

Ok, sooo.... he fell, and it somehow dislodged a bullet from a wound that had completely healed over by that time? Even though he told a group AFTER the park incident that he still had a bullet in his arm from Afghanistan. 

Here in Montana, one of his military buddies talks in one ad saying how they'd all know if he'd been shot, tearing him apart. Sheehy had another dude come on a different ad to insult the dude making the first commercial, but, oddly, never actually says that Sheehy was indeed shot in Afghanistan. 

Sheehy is a lying sack of shit.

Sheehy also answers questions that his military record is clear and that he's given plenty of interviews about this subject. Both inaccurate claims. And he follows it up that experts have said it was impossible that he shot himself by accident in a parking lot.

Makes me wonder if his wife intentionally shot him in that parking lot and that he wants to protect her but not enough to take the blame himself. He also is strangely cautious about not calling the park ranger a liar or even that the ranger has the facts wrong. My guess is that a lawyer has told him that calling the ranger a liar could lead to a defamation suit.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted

One thing to remember that Houston, Dallas, SA and Austin are all in the top 6 of youngest average age for metro areas. The other 2 are Salt Lake City and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA.  Young people don't vote as well as older. It's why Texas hasn't flipped blue by allowing the older, rural areas to dominate elections. 

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. Getting more of the Hispanic vote is the only way for Texas to stay red.

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Valmy77

Valmy77 13093

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

One thing to remember that Houston, Dallas, SA and Austin are all in the top 6 of youngest average age for metro areas. The other 2 are Salt Lake City and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA.  Young people don't vote as well as older. It's why Texas hasn't flipped blue by allowing the older, rural areas to dominate elections. 

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. Getting more of the Hispanic vote is the only way for Texas to stay red.

I used to be skeptical of this, but over the last few decades it seems to be happening.

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Hawndoh

Hawndoh 2379

Posted
Posted

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

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Valmy77

Valmy77 13093

Posted
Posted
Just now, Hawndoh said:

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

Huh? Our share of the vote has grown consistently since the dark times twenty years ago.

We aren't a lost cause by any stretch.

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DigglerontheHoof

DigglerontheHoof 21044

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. 

I don't think this is the slamdunk you think it is.  Most rural utes think the same way their parents and grandparents do.  Plus, Texas keeps getting the maga shit-fucks moving into Texas b/c they think we're their kind of people. 

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

If they keep Texas Republican by bringing in millions of carpetbagging right wingers from other states, well that is a sacrifice we will have to make.

It would be interesting to know if the carpet baggers are replacing the dying olds or not. My guess is that they're not but even if so, the trend may not continue.

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bolverk

bolverk 29394

Posted
Posted
39 minutes ago, Hawndoh said:

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

Studies show that the world events that occur during your coming of age have a lasting impact on voting behavior for the rest of your life. If you're a liberal/progressive and vote Democratic in your early 20s, you're more than likely going to continue to vote Democratic in perpetuity.

30 minutes ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

I don't think this is the slamdunk you think it is.  Most rural utes think the same way their parents and grandparents do.  Plus, Texas keeps getting the maga shit-fucks moving into Texas b/c they think we're their kind of people. 

I posted an article from the Houston Chronicle yesterday that demonstrates, yes, Californians who move to Texas are more likely to be registered as Republicans. They, however, are not arriving in sufficient numbers to change the voting behavior of the counties they move to. For example, Williamson County has received more Californians than any other county, and it still turned blue. Population growth through natural increase (births minus deaths) and those children becoming voting adults have far more influence over the timing of when Texas will turn blue.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

53-47 is what it will be.  We dodged a bullet because last night it was looking like 57-43 was possible if not likely. 

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gmr548

gmr548 16483

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

2026 midterms are going to look a lot like 2018 because it's the same map, same unpopular president, and same political alignments. Republicans just won't pick up low hanging fruit in the Senate because there isn't any for them.

Democrats will pick up two Senate seats tops in 2026. I don't think Iowa is realistic but they could get ME and NC to potentially have a shot at a majority in 2028 (WI and NC).

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13406

Posted
Posted
On 11/6/2024 at 7:24 PM, gmr548 said:

2026 midterms are going to look a lot like 2018 because it's the same map, same unpopular president, and same political alignments. Republicans just won't pick up low hanging fruit in the Senate because there isn't any for them.

Democrats will pick up two Senate seats tops in 2026. I don't think Iowa is realistic but they could get ME and NC to potentially have a shot at a majority in 2028 (WI and NC).

As far as 2026, don’t sleep on special elections for anyone promoted to trumps cabinet and I assume Vance’s seat. Trump will tell those governors who to name as the senator for ‘25-‘26, and he is awful at choosing candidates. One rumor has Trump wanting Vivek as Ohio senator replacing Vance. Vivek would be a possible pickup for Dems next election.

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