2024 Senate Elections

[Francisco 2.0 32386]

 

 

 

[tx 3 putt 76862]

7 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

[Pescado_Rojo 19412]

47 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

That’s honestly not the worst AI business pitch I’ve ever heard.

[tx 3 putt 76862]

2 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

That’s honestly not the worst AI business pitch I’ve ever heard.

 

the gop olds read stuff like that and think it's something bad ass 

[BamaATL 16593]

58 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

the gop olds read stuff like that and think it's something bad ass 

explaining this to those folks would be like trying to teach latin to your cat.  

[Firemans4Horn 18034]

Life alert.ai would sell like hot cakes on a Fox News infomercial. 

[atomheartbevo 89618]

2 hours ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

That’s honestly not the worst AI business pitch I’ve ever heard.

There are companies that are mining the fuck out of social media, web comments, etc., and doing what they can to weed out bots and help determine engagement/enthusiasm for candidates, etc.

My guess is that she's probably not spending the money on the ones who are trying to drill down to find actual engagement/enthusiasm and is just spending money on somebody's. nephew who is running a bunch of scrapers/bots and dumping the data in to a spreadsheet, counting up the entries and calling it a day.  And said nephew may also using bots to prop her up online, so it's a self-fulfilling prophecy - the more his bots generate tweets/posts for her, the more entries his scrapers are adding to the spreadsheet to show her how well she is doing.

[tx 3 putt 76862]

1 hour ago, Firemans4Horn said:

Life alert.ai would sell like hot cakes on a Fox News infomercial. 

 

vitamins / supplements formulated by ai 

[tx 3 putt 76862]

46 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

There are companies that are mining the fuck out of social media, web comments, etc., and doing what they can to weed out bots and help determine engagement/enthusiasm for candidates, etc.

My guess is that she's probably not spending the money on the ones who are trying to drill down to find actual engagement/enthusiasm and is just spending money on somebody's. nephew who is running a bunch of scrapers/bots and dumping the data in to a spreadsheet, counting up the entries and calling it a day.  And said nephew may also using bots to prop her up online, so it's a self-fulfilling prophecy - the more his bots generate tweets/posts for her, the more entries his scrapers are adding to the spreadsheet to show her how well she is doing.

 

shes making shit up. i’d guess her campaign is broke

[tx 3 putt 76862]

he might be the worst person in the building ….

 

[TeeDubya 3362]

4 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

he might be the worst person in the building ….

 

The most punchable asshole in the Senate.

[BamaATL 16593]

3 minutes ago, TeeDubya said:

The most punchable asshole in the Senate.

He's the walking embodiment of the danger of self hatred.  

[TheStoicPaisano 9922]

Resting fart face

[tx ind 7006]

7 minutes ago, TeeDubya said:

The most punchable asshole in the Senate.

No, that belongs to Ted Cruz for ~36 hours.

[TeeDubya 3362]

3 minutes ago, tx ind said:

No, that belongs to Ted Cruz for ~36 hours.

I know that’s a hard decision, but I’ll let Fled Cruz wallow in his spineless self-pity, and still want to punch Hawley more. 

[BamaATL 16593]

1 minute ago, TeeDubya said:

I know that’s a hard decision, but I’ll let Fled Cruz wallow in his spineless self-pity, and still want to punch Hawley more. 

I hope you are quick, the sumbitch runs fast.  

[DigglerontheHoof 21168]

37 minutes ago, TeeDubya said:

I know that’s a hard decision, but I’ll let Fled Cruz wallow in his spineless self-pity, and still want to punch Hawley more. 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

On 11/2/2024 at 12:58 PM, Gil Bang said:

Does ANYBODY believe this motherfucker?  What a bullshit story

 

Fast forward to about the 5 minute mark

 

I’m left more confused regarding the story after watching that video. He talks about friendly fire in Afghanistan but doesn’t specifically mention how he was injured there. He implies that he didn’t have medical attention when shot during his service. Something something about needing to remain with his team.

as for the “shot in a national parking lot”, he says that it was called a gunshot wound because he fell and it dislodged the bullet im his arm from his service.

at a minimum there is something fishy going on that he doesn’t want to talk about. Whether something odd happened in Afghanistan or glacier national park, he doesn’t want to be clear on the facts. 

then claims that  

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

Another sign that Sheehy is hiding something with Megyn Kelly was his constant inability to answer the question being asked.

• Q: Were you shot in the national park?
• A: I fell down while hiking.

That interview felt like someone being deposed.

[Valmy77 13225]

I don't get it. Aren't most veterans Republicans? Can't they find one who isn't a lying disingenuous piece of crap to run for office?

[LTbear 4168]

4 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I’m left more confused regarding the story after watching that video. He talks about friendly fire in Afghanistan but doesn’t specifically mention how he was injured there. He implies that he didn’t have medical attention when shot during his service. Something something about needing to remain with his team.

as for the “shot in a national parking lot”, he says that it was called a gunshot wound because he fell and it dislodged the bullet im his arm from his service.

at a minimum there is something fishy going on that he doesn’t want to talk about. Whether something odd happened in Afghanistan or glacier national park, he doesn’t want to be clear on the facts. 

then claims that  

Ok, sooo.... he fell, and it somehow dislodged a bullet from a wound that had completely healed over by that time? Even though he told a group AFTER the park incident that he still had a bullet in his arm from Afghanistan. 

Here in Montana, one of his military buddies talks in one ad saying how they'd all know if he'd been shot, tearing him apart. Sheehy had another dude come on a different ad to insult the dude making the first commercial, but, oddly, never actually says that Sheehy was indeed shot in Afghanistan. 

Sheehy is a lying sack of shit.

[kevwun 15758]

Accidentally shooting yourself is apparently very common among Rep politicians.  I know of two local ones where I live who both accidentally shot themselves in the leg.

[Firemans4Horn 18034]

Just now, kevwun said:

Accidentally shooting yourself is apparently very common among Rep politicians.  I know of two local ones where I live who both accidentally shot themselves in the leg.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

7 minutes ago, LTbear said:

Ok, sooo.... he fell, and it somehow dislodged a bullet from a wound that had completely healed over by that time? Even though he told a group AFTER the park incident that he still had a bullet in his arm from Afghanistan. 

Here in Montana, one of his military buddies talks in one ad saying how they'd all know if he'd been shot, tearing him apart. Sheehy had another dude come on a different ad to insult the dude making the first commercial, but, oddly, never actually says that Sheehy was indeed shot in Afghanistan. 

Sheehy is a lying sack of shit.

Sheehy also answers questions that his military record is clear and that he's given plenty of interviews about this subject. Both inaccurate claims. And he follows it up that experts have said it was impossible that he shot himself by accident in a parking lot.

Makes me wonder if his wife intentionally shot him in that parking lot and that he wants to protect her but not enough to take the blame himself. He also is strangely cautious about not calling the park ranger a liar or even that the ranger has the facts wrong. My guess is that a lawyer has told him that calling the ranger a liar could lead to a defamation suit.

Edited November 4 by Nice Guy Eddie

[tx 3 putt 76862]

good news for cruz ….

 

[Valmy77 13225]

Well there was a big storm there this morning. It will be clear soon. We will see what happens.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

One thing to remember that Houston, Dallas, SA and Austin are all in the top 6 of youngest average age for metro areas. The other 2 are Salt Lake City and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA.  Young people don't vote as well as older. It's why Texas hasn't flipped blue by allowing the older, rural areas to dominate elections. 

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. Getting more of the Hispanic vote is the only way for Texas to stay red.

[Valmy77 13225]

2 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

One thing to remember that Houston, Dallas, SA and Austin are all in the top 6 of youngest average age for metro areas. The other 2 are Salt Lake City and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA.  Young people don't vote as well as older. It's why Texas hasn't flipped blue by allowing the older, rural areas to dominate elections. 

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. Getting more of the Hispanic vote is the only way for Texas to stay red.

I used to be skeptical of this, but over the last few decades it seems to be happening.

[Hawndoh 2386]

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

[Valmy77 13225]

Just now, Hawndoh said:

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

Huh? Our share of the vote has grown consistently since the dark times twenty years ago.

We aren't a lost cause by any stretch.

[DigglerontheHoof 21168]

18 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. 

I don't think this is the slamdunk you think it is.  Most rural utes think the same way their parents and grandparents do.  Plus, Texas keeps getting the maga shit-fucks moving into Texas b/c they think we're their kind of people. 

[Valmy77 13225]

If they keep Texas Republican by bringing in millions of carpetbagging right wingers from other states, well that is a sacrifice we will have to make.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

4 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

If they keep Texas Republican by bringing in millions of carpetbagging right wingers from other states, well that is a sacrifice we will have to make.

It would be interesting to know if the carpet baggers are replacing the dying olds or not. My guess is that they're not but even if so, the trend may not continue.

[bolverk 29645]

39 minutes ago, Hawndoh said:

The only problem with your logic is that those young people spend their lives growing older in Texas, making lots of money, and they turn into the same old people who vote for the same assholes that the other old people used to vote for. While the next batch of young people become the hope for the future while they also continue to not vote.

Texas is a lost cause 

Studies show that the world events that occur during your coming of age have a lasting impact on voting behavior for the rest of your life. If you're a liberal/progressive and vote Democratic in your early 20s, you're more than likely going to continue to vote Democratic in perpetuity.

30 minutes ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

I don't think this is the slamdunk you think it is.  Most rural utes think the same way their parents and grandparents do.  Plus, Texas keeps getting the maga shit-fucks moving into Texas b/c they think we're their kind of people. 

I posted an article from the Houston Chronicle yesterday that demonstrates, yes, Californians who move to Texas are more likely to be registered as Republicans. They, however, are not arriving in sufficient numbers to change the voting behavior of the counties they move to. For example, Williamson County has received more Californians than any other county, and it still turned blue. Population growth through natural increase (births minus deaths) and those children becoming voting adults have far more influence over the timing of when Texas will turn blue.

[Firemans4Horn 18034]

Dems need to take the Beto approach and reach out in every county on 2 big issues:

1. Public education

2. Women’s maternal health

[Michael Knight 12976]

fuck joe manchin

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

[Voldemort86 2259]

25 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

53-47 is what it will be.  We dodged a bullet because last night it was looking like 57-43 was possible if not likely. 

[Frank Drebin 5654]

I think it’s 54.  Ralston says the GOP will win Nevada.  

[Chuckie Finster 22692]

I think it’s 54.  Ralston says the GOP will win Nevada.  

He still doesn’t know, per the article he just posted 7 minutes ago.

[Frank Drebin 5654]

24 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

He still doesn’t know, per the article he just posted 7 minutes ago.

It was based on a tweet I saw hours ago.  I guess it’s still up in the air.  

[gmr548 16575]

1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

In looking at the outstanding races, I’m guessing that it will end up 53-47 GOP. Rosen has to catch up to win but the outstanding votes are in Vegas. She will take it.  Too bad Casey looks to just be missing out in PA but maybe there are some mail in votes left in Philly. Sucks but I went to sleep last night thinking it was 55-45. Small victories.

In looking ahead to 2026, the Dems have 2 tough races Ossoff (GA) and Peters (MI) while GOP will have strong challenges with Collins (ME), Ernst (IA), Tillis (NC). Usually the midterms are bad for the party in power but you never know.

of course I’m counting on Kari Lake losing but she is surprisingly making it a close race. Wow.

2026 midterms are going to look a lot like 2018 because it's the same map, same unpopular president, and same political alignments. Republicans just won't pick up low hanging fruit in the Senate because there isn't any for them.

Democrats will pick up two Senate seats tops in 2026. I don't think Iowa is realistic but they could get ME and NC to potentially have a shot at a majority in 2028 (WI and NC).

[yoladu 4090]

all this talk of what went wrong with young men..

old white men seem to be doing ok. Senate GOP leadership contenders.

 

Edited November 13 by yoladu

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

On 11/6/2024 at 7:24 PM, gmr548 said:

2026 midterms are going to look a lot like 2018 because it's the same map, same unpopular president, and same political alignments. Republicans just won't pick up low hanging fruit in the Senate because there isn't any for them.

Democrats will pick up two Senate seats tops in 2026. I don't think Iowa is realistic but they could get ME and NC to potentially have a shot at a majority in 2028 (WI and NC).

As far as 2026, don’t sleep on special elections for anyone promoted to trumps cabinet and I assume Vance’s seat. Trump will tell those governors who to name as the senator for ‘25-‘26, and he is awful at choosing candidates. One rumor has Trump wanting Vivek as Ohio senator replacing Vance. Vivek would be a possible pickup for Dems next election.

[gmr548 16575]

10 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

As far as 2026, don’t sleep on special elections for anyone promoted to trumps cabinet and I assume Vance’s seat. Trump will tell those governors who to name as the senator for ‘25-‘26, and he is awful at choosing candidates. One rumor has Trump wanting Vivek as Ohio senator replacing Vance. Vivek would be a possible pickup for Dems next election.

You are right, I should have included Ohio for one specific reason: Sherrod Brown has a good shot at getting back into the Senate in a special election for Vance's seat in 2026. If he's up for it, Democrats would be monumentally stupid to run anyone else.

Edited November 14 by gmr548

[Fudge Nuggets 19184]

3 hours ago, gmr548 said:

You are right, I should have included Ohio for one specific reason: Sherrod Brown has a good shot at getting back into the Senate in a special election for Vance's seat in 2026. If he's up for it, Democrats would be monumentally stupid to run anyone else.

Disagree.  You hold Lebron's family hostage and say they go free the minute after he wins the election.