Texas opens as an 8 point favorite v Baylor

[TexasMan 10,914]

Draftkings only so far

 

 

[YGIFS 19,452]

Maybe they rape us by 8...pm  

[TexasMan 10,914]

Both Texas and Baylor are 7-4 ATS this season 

[bschoolprof 6,263]

that line sounds about right to me, from a bookie standpoint anyway (average opinion of the average opinion). 

The real question is if Aranda copies the TCU blueprint and shuts down the run game, what does Sark do?

  

[Big Frog II 511]

I have a feeling they are going to be a bit down.

[Red Five 40,862]

Maybe we'll work up a number 6 on them. 

[VirginiaLonghorn 4,777]

5 minutes ago, Big Frog II said:

I have a feeling they are going to be a bit down.

I actually think Baylor will be a problem because they played TCU arguably better than Texas did.  Baylor should have won, we were lucky to get a gift TD that made the game seem closer than it was.

[mdmost 43,004]

Maybe they beat us by 8 points.

Worked last week. 

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

I actually think Baylor will be a problem because they played TCU arguably better than Texas did.  Baylor should have won, we were lucky to get a gift TD that made the game seem closer than it was.

How’d they do against KSU relative to Texas?

[Wulaw Horn 19,096]

I told my aggy brother Texas -8.5. He told

me I was delusional and Baylor might be favored. There is a reason he is an aggy. 

[ButtFumble 5,180]

Baptist don't dance, drink, or gamble so you have to set the line higher to draw that Baptist money out to bet on Baylor because there is little chance that Texas fans are going to see this as too high or even if they do that they will take Baylor and the points even if that means Texas wins by 7 and they win the bet

even with the decent (as far as participation vs just "being there") crowds that Texas has had this season I do not see a massive home advantage for Texas to bump this up the extra 4 or 5 points I think are on this line

I am less worried about the Texas defense, but extremely worried about the offense

[VirginiaLonghorn 4,777]

13 minutes ago, Doc Daneeka said:

How’d they do against KSU relative to Texas?

Believe what you want for whatever reason you choose.  I just don’t see Baylor “down” because they lost a tough game yesterday.  Aranda doesn’t have to do much to convince them they’re competitive against Sark’s roller coaster …

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

Believe what you want for whatever reason you choose.  I just don’t see Baylor “down” because they lost a tough game yesterday.  Aranda doesn’t have to do much to convince them they’re competitive against Sark’s roller coaster …

I’m not saying Baylor will be “down.” I’m saying cherry-picking one game to judge relative performance probably doesn’t provide a lot of insight.

[VirginiaLonghorn 4,777]

1 minute ago, Doc Daneeka said:

I’m not saying Baylor will be “down.” I’m saying cherry-picking one game to judge relative performance probably doesn’t provide a lot of insight.

How about TCU’s last two opponents were Texas and Baylor .. most recent sample size for all three?  Baylor’s overall performance was better than ours.

[closetohumping 17,449]

We're gonna win.   (worked against the Kansas teams).

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

How about TCU’s last two opponents were Texas and Baylor .. most recent sample size for all three?  Baylor’s overall performance was better than ours.

It’s next to meaningless. What matters the most, imo, is matchups. A team with an elite run defense might work a running team and get steamrolled by a passing team, even if that running team just beat the passing team.

The game most likely will turn on whether Baylor is forced to play the pass at least somewhat honestly, because they have a better chance than Kansas of stopping Texas’ run via numbers.

It will have nothing to do with how they performed against common opponents.

[Henry Hill 3,156]

Good guys by 10+

[Texasrocks 2,134]

11 minutes ago, VirginiaLonghorn said:

How about TCU’s last two opponents were Texas and Baylor .. most recent sample size for all three?  Baylor’s overall performance was better than ours.

Now do the three games between Texas, OSU, and KSU.

[Basil 755]

I actually think Baylor will be a problem because they played TCU arguably better than Texas did.  Baylor should have won, we were lucky to get a gift TD that made the game seem closer than it was.

Sorry, no bitches allowed.

[deadshank 24,653]

This is why I don’t gamble on football anymore.  When I did it was small stakes stuff but gambling nonetheless.  
 

Texas by 8 points?  I understand oddsmakers are good at their craft and have the uncanny ability to magically be accurate to the nth degree.  
 

At the same time they probably aren’t forlorn, depressed, wounded and untrusting Longhorn football survivor group members.  
 

Based on a single bet, who would take Texas as an 8 point favorite?  Knowing what you have witnessed it doesn’t make sense to us non-Vegas oddsmaker types.  
 

Does it?

[Deej 76,830]

4 minutes ago, Basil said:

Sorry, no bitches allowed.

That eliminates half the posters on the football board. 

[USNALonghorn 5,078]

57 minutes ago, VirginiaLonghorn said:

I actually think Baylor will be a problem because they played TCU arguably better than Texas did.  Baylor should have won, we were lucky to get a gift TD that made the game seem closer than it was.

TCU was gifted a TD on their long run when the refs ignored a blatant hold. That was before they accommodated their flopping punter.

[TexasMan 10,914]

Circa has it opening at -6, over/under 56.5

 

 

 

[TexasMan 10,914]

Also, for our outside chance at the Big 12 championship game, Kansas State is -13 at home v Kansas 

[USNALonghorn 5,078]

What we have going for is vs Baylor is that they’re coming off a hard fought heartbreaking loss vs TCU while we’re coming off a scrimmage vs KU.

[AnTiM 1,668]

59 minutes ago, Deej said:

That eliminates half the posters on the football board. 

Sorry, no bitches allowed.

Naw, that eliminates everybody but me, and I ain't too sure about that...

Edited November 20, 2022 by AnTiM
add qoute

[GreenspointTexas 9,648]

Baylors offense and our offense are literally neck and neck

 

our D is better than baylors D. 
 

baylor has a better head coach

 

we are at home

 

 

 

 

Gonna be a one score game

[Newy25 7,692]

57 minutes ago, TexasMan said:

Also, for our outside chance at the Big 12 championship game, Kansas State is -13 at home v Kansas 

That Kansas team did not look like it could beat anyone let alone a good team on the road. 

[hookem48 4,700]

2 hours ago, VirginiaLonghorn said:

I actually think Baylor will be a problem because they played TCU arguably better than Texas did.  Baylor should have won, we were lucky to get a gift TD that made the game seem closer than it was.

and TCU was lucky a couple holds weren't called and I'm pretty sure TCU got a gift TD on one of the worst blown coverages ever.

[babysdaddy 2,725]

For those in the back “the transitive property does not apply to college football!”

[Nicole44 22,061]

We’re ranked again though so that should factor in? 
 

 

[Make em eat Taco Bell 1,549]

was hoping for ABC, but on ESPN 11am Central.  Weather should be ideal. 

[Newdoc 3,448]

3 hours ago, Doc Daneeka said:

I’m not saying Baylor will be “down.” I’m saying cherry-picking one game to judge relative performance probably doesn’t provide a lot of insight.

This is Surlyhorns. Jumping to conclusions and hyperbole are not only tolerated but condoned and rewarded.

[Newdoc 3,448]

2 hours ago, Deej said:

That eliminates half the posters on the football board. 

Only half?

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

This is Surlyhorns. Jumping to conclusions and hyperbole are not only tolerated but condoned and rewarded.

I saw that in the game thread. It read like Texas was being soundly beaten but it was about 41-0 at the time.

[tonedeaf 56]

5 minutes ago, Doc Daneeka said:

I saw that in the game thread. It read like Texas was being soundly beaten but it was about 41-0 at the time.

If you follow the game thread, we are 0-11, can't block, tackle, cover, they all suck and the entire staff should not be allowed back on the bus.  I love it.  

Beat the fuck out of baylor. ,🤘🤘

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

If you follow the game thread, we are 0-11, can't block, tackle, cover, they all suck and the entire staff should not be allowed back on the bus.  I love it.  
Beat the fuck out of baylor. ,

As I said over there when I read it, I had to check espn to make sure Texas really was on the right side of 55-14.

I get that there’s more to a successful process than the final score, but being that unhappy during an utter dismantling of a team that’s embarrassed Texas a couple of times in a row probably doesn’t make for a very enjoyable experience.

[F250 28,778]

Bijan, Rojo and KRob against Baylor.

 

[Goredho 17,408]

4 hours ago, bschoolprof said:

The real question is if Aranda copies the TCU blueprint and shuts down the run game, what does Sark do?

  

[dcar00 14,269]

1 hour ago, Newy25 said:

That Kansas team did not look like it could beat anyone let alone a good team on the road. 

If that is their run D, KSU is gonna walk all over them.

[Sgt Hulk 13,785]

Best 4 loss team in the country baby 

[tonedeaf 56]

29 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

Best 4 loss team in the country baby 

Aggy is the best 4win team in NCAA history.  

[EuroHorn 3,265]

1 hour ago, Nicole44 said:

We’re ranked again though so that should factor in? 
 

 

 

Edited November 20, 2022 by EuroHorn

[LW Goatman 1,124]

5 minutes ago, tonedeaf said:

Aggy is the best 4win team in NCAA history.  

They only have 3 wins.

[Doc Daneeka 6,769]

They only have 3 wins.

That’s how good of a 4-win team they are.

[tonedeaf 56]

2 minutes ago, LW Goatman said:

They only have 3 wins.

They won yesterday.  Ain't they 4-7?

[Skipper 6,136]

4 hours ago, VirginiaLonghorn said:

 Aranda doesn’t have to do much to convince them they’re competitive against Sark’s roller coaster …

Baylor has been consistently inconsistent similar to us.  They had a great performance @Tech, solid road W's @OU and @ISU, completely gave a game away to WVU, played too conservative and blew it against TCU and absolutely shit the bed at home to KSU.  Who the F knows which team will show up on either side.

[TrashMaster G 17,563]

26 minutes ago, LW Goatman said:

They only have 3 wins.

Did the NCAA take one away overnight?

[conVINCEd 21,469]

17 minutes ago, TrashMaster G said:

Did the NCAA take one away overnight?

There is a little known minimum attendance provision in the SEC bylaws.

[TexasMan 10,914]

7 hours ago, Deej said:

That eliminates half the posters on the football board.