2023 Rain Thread

[YGIFS 19449]

Man that was fucking crazy.  And of course wife’s car was parked outside at the mechanics.  Gotta go pick it up soon.  Hopefully no hail damage.  
 

but yard appears to have enjoyed a fun late night romp 

[atomheartbevo 89630]

3 hours ago, 1978horn said:

Total looks to be 2-2.5 inches of rain in just over an hour. Lots of pea sized hail and the 13 yr old woke up and asked if we were about to die since it was so loud.

[MirrOlure 14760]

The fuck was that that blew through Beaumont tonight? They name that SOB yet???

My Generac is earning its keep. 3 refugees in hold!

[YGIFS 19449]

3 refugees in hold?  Is that better than a Flush or a Straight?  

[Trey3216 15345]

Got about 2-2.3 inches in right at an hour last night.    Gonna make 99 today extra steamy.  But the yard and garden are happy 

[Biff Tannen 45665]

5 hours ago, YGIFS said:

3 refugees in hold?  Is that better than a Flush or a Straight?  

I think it's another word for the brig.

[YGIFS 19449]

My father had to briefly serve as a Master-at-Arms during his time in the U.S. Navy during the Cuban Missile Crisis.  I assume the blockade caused all kinds of personnel shitshows as he was a comms NCO by trade.  So he had to present a few miscreants to the Brig over the course of a few weeks.  I remember asking him at like 8 or 9 years old, "What's a Brig"?  And without a hint of humor, but out of a Zucker Brothers movie, he replied, "It's a jail on a Naval ship, but that's not important right now."  I still cry laughing whenever I think of that exchange.  

[NaTeWHO 852]

[Biff Tannen 45665]

50% of rain every day this week, but 105 degrees?  Fuck off.  Never gonna rain again.

[jimmyjazz 45893]

11 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

50% of rain every day this week, but 105 degrees?  Fuck off.  Never gonna rain again.

Where?  KXAN is showing 20/10/0/0/0/0/0 for Austin.

[Eastwood 4394]

Yeah, my 10 Day is showing the “it’s never going to rain again” forecast. 

[Blotto 23491]

WU is similarly bleak

[Biff Tannen 45665]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

Where?  KXAN is showing 20/10/0/0/0/0/0 for Austin.

Stupid Apple weather app

[YGIFS 19449]

You're blaming an app when you're were literally off by 70% for several days.  

Yeah, 'cause that's what you did.  /jerryeyeroll  

[HiggyBaby 2529]

Stupid Apple weather app

Mine is similarly optimistic about the rain but to be honest, it’s been more accurate than the local TV guys lately. There wasn’t much rain forecast yesterday and Dallas got nailed.

[hornian 5210]

Rain thread’s closed for the summer. PhD out front shoulda told ya. 

[Eastwood 4394]

My Apple weather app shows 50% chance almost every day on the 10 day, but in the precipitation window it says none expected over the next 10 days. Make up your mind, Ghost of Steve Jobs. 

[Biff Tannen 45665]

I miss Dark Sky.  Apple claims their app is just Dark Sky with a different name, but it has not been nearly as good.

[atomheartbevo 89630]

3 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Stupid Apple weather app

It really has been shit.

[Brisketexan 105081]

10 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

It really has been shit.

It really is.  It overstates the rain percentage -- both daily, and for a given hour -- by a crapload.  Like it says in an hour, 70% chance of rain at my house.  Then, 30 minutes later, down to 20%, then right before the hour strikes, 0%.  Because there was never a 70% chance of rain at my house in the first place.

It's functionally useless for rain prediction.

[NoName 16351]

23 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

I miss Dark Sky.  Apple claims their app is just Dark Sky with a different name, but it has not been nearly as good.

 

32 minutes ago, Eastwood said:

My Apple weather app shows 50% chance almost every day on the 10 day, but in the precipitation window it says none expected over the next 10 days. Make up your mind, Ghost of Steve Jobs. 

 

19 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

It really has been shit.

 

7 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

It really is.  It overstates the rain percentage -- both daily, and for a given hour -- by a crapload.  Like it says in an hour, 70% chance of rain at my house.  Then, 30 minutes later, down to 20%, then right before the hour strikes, 0%.  Because there was never a 70% chance of rain at my house in the first place.

It's functionally useless for rain prediction.

y'all should check out Forecast Advisor for whatever is the best around here

https://www.forecastadvisor.com/Texas/Austin/78756/

here is who they have as most accurate in 2022 for Austin:

 

 

[Hate 20107]

Or you could just go to the National Weather Service.

[texasdago 7568]

FIFY

Edited June 12, 2023 by texasdago

[Bevo 13570]

12 minutes ago, texasdago said:

FIFY

That seems pretty accurate - my furnace/blower went out on Saturday and my repair guy won't be back in town until Tuesday.

[Guest]

It's KXAN app. I also like it because it shows rain and temps for the entire country if you scroll around the map. Did you know we are about 15 degrees hotter than Phoenix? Why the fuck do we all live here?

Wunderground is pretty decent. 

I usually do the 8-14 and 6-10 day forecasts from NOAA to get a general idea of what's coming, then do the 5-7 day precip forecasts for how much rain to expect, and then KXAN for exactly when to expect it.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml

Unfortunately, they all show real, real bad right now. This is like peak height of August shit in mid-June with no end in sight. Remember that nice spring we had? It's going out like the end of Terminator 2.



 

Edited June 12, 2023 by FirstTimeCaller

[Jersey Man10 3528]

We under a tornado watch wtf?

[Guest]

[Post Oak 20209]

Pop up hail storm in Hewitt.  Lot of T and L, wind and some rain.

[NorthLoop 14183]

Those storms don't look like they're moving. Just gonna tease us until the sun goes down.

[Hpara759 1778]

Storms in Gillespie Co....just sitting there.....that's the Pedernales water shed....

[Born to Run 6569]

Storms in Gillespie Co....just sitting there.....that's the Pedernales water shed....

That will offset today's release from Mansfield, maybe. But they will release again tomorrow.

[leaf 684]

[atomheartbevo 89630]

Lots of thunder and lightning but..

[leaf 684]

Raining sideways with some small hail in 78628

[Bevo 13570]

Scary in Cedar Park

[WithoutAClue 15341]

nickle sized hail in 78613, and water.

[Nicole44 22059]

4 minutes ago, Bevo said:

Scary in Cedar Park

Yep. Lots of hail. Thank goodness I don’t rely solely on the Apple app (really miss DarkSky but whatever) bc apple app still has no clue it’s hailing buckets of pea to marble size hail on top at my location. 

[ChickenSandwich 9829]

10 mins of violent hail in CP. opened the door and hail came right in like a bullet. Shit was flying sideways

 

[ballrific 215]

Hail in 31

[HOOKEM4 5036]

Looks like my ranch got no lubed out by junction but that storm just teased us here. I guess it is good that it isn't 99 degrees anymore.

[CleverNickname 1308]

I got dime size (near Spicewood Springs), but just up the way off Anderson Mill they got that artillery.

https://twitter.com/jenniferlowry13/status/1669902034005372928?s=20

[CooterBrown 18004]

Marble size in the 78757.

[Chet Steadman 940]

I got a lot of questions for the meteorologists who have 0% chance of rain in their forecast and then it rains 1.5” with golfball sized hail 

[Hagbard Celine 10852]

4 minutes ago, CooterBrown said:

Marble size in the 78757.

jester just got pounded

hail core formed over lakewood drive in the last radar frame

[bonnieblue 542]

Well that was fucking intense

[Paper_jam 831]

There's a donut hole in the storm right over where I live

 

[yoladu 4090]

Power out in 78703. Seriously. I can’t take this shit anymore. 

[Orange&White 5522]

Got about 10 minutes of large but sporadic hail down the hill from Hagbard on 360 near Bull Creek. Only lasted about 10 minutes or so.

[boknowstecmo 216]

Yeah, that was definitely fun. 

[atomheartbevo 89630]

48 minutes ago, Chet Steadman said:

I got a lot of questions for the meteorologists who have 0% chance of rain in their forecast and then it rains 1.5” with golfball sized hail 

They were using the Apple weather app that replaced Dark Sky.