Seeded draft thread of awesomeness

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Holding it for the free money contest to close

[BigOrange1 6,432]

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:

Huckleberry - 93.48

HornOnTheBayou - 83.62

Prepuce of Doom - 70.42

Zepol87 - 69.58

ztejas - 69.18

shadow_operative - 64.89

Wulaw Horn - 62.62

BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

[HornOnTheBayou 8,905]

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:

Huckleberry - 93.48

HornOnTheBayou - 83.62

Prepuce of Doom - 70.42

Zepol87 - 69.58

ztejas - 69.18

shadow_operative - 64.89

Wulaw Horn - 62.62

BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

How convenient that your numbers have you winning. Well, my numbers predict that I will win and that Sela Ward will come to my house after the championship game to give me a celebratory blow job during One Shining Moment.

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

Reminder- nobody collects money. We all pay the winner $20 after it’s over. Nobody has ever welched in 6 or 7 years so no worries here. 

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

On 3/14/2023 at 12:36 PM, Prepuce of Doom said:

Final draft results. 

Bump. Like having it on every page. 

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

Big O with the first big score of the day. 

[BigOrange1 6,432]

furman motherfuckers!

[ztejas 43,411]

40 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Big O with the first big score of the day. 

And Zepol. Maryland was the last 4-10 seed taken. 

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

On 3/14/2023 at 12:19 PM, Wulaw Horn said:

Huck gets Princeton 

Derka gets northern kentucky

big Orange gets Farleigh Dickinson. 
 

Huck got lucky. I’d have taken Princeton if I knew they were available. I thought I HAD to take Asheville. Probably swing the contest. 
and with that gentlemen- we are done! 
 

good drafting. Good luck. Thanks for playing. 

Let’s just say I am highly pissed at myself right now. I blame my kids for me taking them to Sea World and being less than fully locked in. 

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

Tennessee2. Utah St.3. West Virginia4. Connecticut5. Southern Cal6. Creighton7. Providence8. San Diego St.9. Iowa St.10. Arkansas11. St. Mary's12. Auburn13. UCLA14. Illinois15. Kentucky16. Memphis17. North Carolina St.18. Gonzaga19. TCU20. Boise St.21. Michigan St.22. Texas A&M23. Maryland24. Penn St.25. Iowa26. Texas27. Baylor28. Drake29. Indiana30. Florida Atlantic31. Kansas St.32. Mississippi St./Pittsburgh33. Xavier34. Duke35. Oral Roberts36. Arizona37. Kent St.38. Virginia39. Miami (FL)40. Northwestern41. Marquette42. Missouri43. College of Charleston44. Virginia Commonwealth45. Houston46. Furman47. Alabama48. Iona49. Purdue50. Arizona St./Nevada51. Kansas52. Grand Canyon53. UC-Santa Barbara54. Montana St.55. Princeton56. Vermont57. Louisiana-Lafayette58. Colgate59. Kennesaw St.60. Howard61. TAMU-CC/SE Missouri St.62. Northern Kentucky63. UNC-Asheville64. Texas Southern/Fairleigh Dickinson

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck. You are welcome Huck. Damn it. Predicted it even. 

[Zepol87 9,185]

Fucking Princeton wow 

[ztejas 43,411]

24 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Predicted it even. 

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

9 minutes ago, ztejas said:

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

I think @Huckleberry had USC with his third pick. @HornOnTheBayoupicked Utah State with his first pick. 

@Zepol87 and I also fucked up by passing on Princeton. 

 

Edited March 16, 2023 by Prepuce of Doom

[ztejas 43,411]

4 minutes ago, Prepuce of Doom said:

I think @Huckleberry had USC with his third pick. @HornOnTheBayoupicked Utah State with his first pick. 

@Zepol87 and I also fucked up by passing on Princeton. 

 

Yeah I'm talking about his rankings that Wulaw posted.

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

7 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Yeah I'm talking about his rankings that Wulaw posted.

Yeah those are Hucks rankings. I’m just pissed bc I wanted Princeton and thought they were off the board when I picked and they fell to him and the second they did I knew this was happening. 

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

Not as bad as the other day when I bet Thunder money line against Sunday in a 3 team FAVORITE when I meant to bet Phoenix. I’m getting half senile in my old age. 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Wait Princeton won? 

Life is super busy but that's awesome. Hoping for a final four run. Ha. 

Edited March 17, 2023 by Huckleberry

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

I've lost 4 and Big Orange has lost 3. 

Derka, Wulaw, and Ztejas have only lost 1.

Huckleberry and Derka have pulled out to early points leads while the rest of us are eating varying amounts of shit. 

Edited March 17, 2023 by Prepuce of Doom

[shadow_operative 15,932]

@Huckleberry what was your reaction when you saw that tennessee was no.1?

[Huckleberry 32,845]

A complete lack of surprise. I knew they were top 5 in my ratings and a 4 seed so I figured they'd be up there. 

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

Missing Zeigler is worrysome, however. 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Yeah but I had zero time this year to look at anything or adjust. I figured I'd end up with Tennessee and Marquette on this board because of that. Ha.

After the first day only (not including today's early games):

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 29, 101.76

shadow_operative, 21, 89.03

BigOrange1, 13, 56.71

Wulaw Horn, 9, 83.70

ztejas, 9, 77.16

Zepol87, 8, 67.48

Prepuce of Doom, 7, 49.19

HornOnTheBayou, 2, 59.17

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Through today's three finals

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 29, 86.32

shadow_operative, 21, 88.70

Wulaw Horn, 16, 89.52

BigOrange1, 13, 55.51

ztejas, 12, 78.30

Prepuce of Doom, 10, 51.44

Zepol87, 8, 67.37

HornOnTheBayou, 2, 54.95

I really need VCU to pull this off, not looking good.

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

I put a lot of capital on Iona. Had them in my top 8 for seeded draft. Took probably 2 rounds too early here. Need this or I’m done in all likelihood. 

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

You're welcome from all of us, @BigOrange1.

I chose TAMU-CC because I thought it would be a great opportunity for karma to prove that it exists.

[BigOrange1 6,432]

lmao i had no idea i even had fair dick in this contest until clicking on this thread.  still don't think i'll win unless furman/fair dick wins another and/or kentucky/indiana make a deep run.

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Live update with 2 first round games still in progress

Poster, Current Score, EV

shadow_operative, 35, 125.16

BigOrange1, 35, 68.26

Huckleberry, 29, 80.88

HornOnTheBayou, 19, 60.96

ztejas, 16, 76.67

Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.76

Prepuce of Doom, 15, 53.19

Zepol87, 13, 44.81

Edited March 18, 2023 by Huckleberry

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

Big O with two of the three biggest upsets in the tournament and the points lead (39) but only has 4 teams left. 

Derka (35; 6 teams left, including his top 5 picks) and Huck (29, four teams, ranging from a 1 to a 15 seed) are closest behind, with Ztejas still in contention (only 22 points now, but has 5 teams left, all in his top 6 picks). 

The rest of us suck butts. 

 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Through end of first round

 

Poster, Current Score, EV

BigOrange1, 39, 74.84

shadow_operative, 35, 125.08

Huckleberry, 29, 80.62

ztejas, 22, 75.00

Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.69

HornOnTheBayou, 19, 63.22

Prepuce of Doom, 15, 44.42

Zepol87, 13, 44.36

[BigOrange1 6,432]

anyone else good with just calling it after round one?

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

If Princeton and FDU get got in this round like I strongly suspect they will this will be by far the lowest scoring contest and lowest scoring winner we’ve ever had. 

[shadow_operative 15,932]

ive got duke and huck has tennessee. i'm so torn right now. 

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

1 hour ago, shadow_operative said:

ive got duke and huck has tennessee. i'm so torn right now. 

Was your choice of dook (your first pick, no less) an emotional hedge against them beating Tennessee? 

[shadow_operative 15,932]

22 minutes ago, Prepuce of Doom said:

Was your choice of dook (your first pick, no less) an emotional hedge against them beating Tennessee? 

that and penn state as well. 

[ztejas 43,411]

Another 30 for Huck.

God dammit.

[Wulaw Horn 19,063]

3 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Another 30 for Huck.

God dammit.

I have Mizzou. This probably eliminates me. I love it. Go Princeton. 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

giggity.gif

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Update through Saturday

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 69, 108.59

shadow_operative, 47, 102.14

BigOrange1, 39, 64.61

ztejas, 38, 89.73

HornOnTheBayou, 23, 67.42

Wulaw Horn, 23, 53.75

Prepuce of Doom, 15, 37.06

Zepol87, 13, 28.35

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

[HornOnTheBayou 8,905]

I'm starting to worry that my Sela Ward prediction won't come true.

[ztejas 43,411]

C'mon TCU you fuckin bunch of bitches. I like my chances if I can get four teams in the SS. 

I of course expect all of them to lose in the SS. 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Live update:

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 69, 108.24

shadow_operative, 65, 105.16

ztejas, 52, 103.11

Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89

BigOrange1, 39, 48.00

HornOnTheBayou, 35, 76.45

Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00

Zepol87, 13, 21.82

[Zepol87 9,185]

Lol damn I'm terrible at this

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

8 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Lol damn I'm terrible at this

For at least for the next hour and a half, you have one more team alive than I do! 

[ztejas 43,411]

Well, I'm cooked. May the best man win my $20. 

[Prepuce of Doom 21,052]

Big Orange and I are both out of teams. Zepol is mathematically eliminated - tops out at 73 if Gonzaga wins it all, and can't pass Derka at 75.

Everyone else seems to be in some degree of contention just eyeballing it. 

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Through second round:

Poster, Current Score, EV

shadow_operative, 75, 113.91

Huckleberry, 69, 110.14

ztejas, 52, 93.13

Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89

BigOrange1, 39, 39.00

HornOnTheBayou, 35, 75.06

Zepol87, 19, 27.87

Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00

Sweet 16 analysis coming later

Edited March 20, 2023 by Huckleberry

[Huckleberry 32,845]

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)

Huckleberry - 34.72% (10,580)

shadow_operative - 29.65% (13,387)

ztejas - 13.26% (3,944)

HornOnTheBayou - 11.82% (1,985)

Wulaw Horn - 8.67% (2,627)

Tie - 1.87% (245)

BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0)

Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)

Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)

[shadow_operative 15,932]

feels like it's going to come down to tennessee vs fau. if barnes chokes then i probably win. hmm.