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Posted
1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:
Huckleberry - 93.48
HornOnTheBayou - 83.62
Prepuce of Doom - 70.42
Zepol87 - 69.58
ztejas - 69.18
shadow_operative - 64.89
Wulaw Horn - 62.62
BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

S Park F You Buddy GIF - S Park F You Buddy F Canada GIFs

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Posted
1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:
Huckleberry - 93.48
HornOnTheBayou - 83.62
Prepuce of Doom - 70.42
Zepol87 - 69.58
ztejas - 69.18
shadow_operative - 64.89
Wulaw Horn - 62.62
BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

How convenient that your numbers have you winning. Well, my numbers predict that I will win and that Sela Ward will come to my house after the championship game to give me a celebratory blow job during One Shining Moment.

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Posted
On 3/14/2023 at 12:19 PM, Wulaw Horn said:

Huck gets Princeton 

Derka gets northern kentucky

big Orange gets Farleigh Dickinson. 
 

Huck got lucky. I’d have taken Princeton if I knew they were available. I thought I HAD to take Asheville. Probably swing the contest. 
and with that gentlemen- we are done! 
 

good drafting. Good luck. Thanks for playing. 

Let’s just say I am highly pissed at myself right now. I blame my kids for me taking them to Sea World and being less than fully locked in. 

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Posted

Tennessee2. Utah St.3. West Virginia4. Connecticut5. Southern Cal6. Creighton7. Providence8. San Diego St.9. Iowa St.10. Arkansas11. St. Mary's12. Auburn13. UCLA14. Illinois15. Kentucky16. Memphis17. North Carolina St.18. Gonzaga19. TCU20. Boise St.21. Michigan St.22. Texas A&M23. Maryland24. Penn St.25. Iowa26. Texas27. Baylor28. Drake29. Indiana30. Florida Atlantic31. Kansas St.32. Mississippi St./Pittsburgh33. Xavier34. Duke35. Oral Roberts36. Arizona37. Kent St.38. Virginia39. Miami (FL)40. Northwestern41. Marquette42. Missouri43. College of Charleston44. Virginia Commonwealth45. Houston46. Furman47. Alabama48. Iona49. Purdue50. Arizona St./Nevada51. Kansas52. Grand Canyon53. UC-Santa Barbara54. Montana St.55. Princeton56. Vermont57. Louisiana-Lafayette58. Colgate59. Kennesaw St.60. Howard61. TAMU-CC/SE Missouri St.62. Northern Kentucky63. UNC-Asheville64. Texas Southern/Fairleigh Dickinson

Posted
24 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Predicted it even. 

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, ztejas said:

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

I think @Huckleberry had USC with his third pick. @HornOnTheBayoupicked Utah State with his first pick. 

@Zepol87 and I also fucked up by passing on Princeton. 

 

Edited by Prepuce of Doom
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Posted
7 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Yeah I'm talking about his rankings that Wulaw posted.

Yeah those are Hucks rankings. I’m just pissed bc I wanted Princeton and thought they were off the board when I picked and they fell to him and the second they did I knew this was happening. 

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Posted (edited)

I've lost 4 and Big Orange has lost 3. 

Derka, Wulaw, and Ztejas have only lost 1.

Huckleberry and Derka have pulled out to early points leads while the rest of us are eating varying amounts of shit. 

20230316_232003.jpg

Edited by Prepuce of Doom
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Posted

Yeah but I had zero time this year to look at anything or adjust. I figured I'd end up with Tennessee and Marquette on this board because of that. Ha.

After the first day only (not including today's early games):

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 29, 101.76
shadow_operative, 21, 89.03
BigOrange1, 13, 56.71
Wulaw Horn, 9, 83.70
ztejas, 9, 77.16
Zepol87, 8, 67.48
Prepuce of Doom, 7, 49.19
HornOnTheBayou, 2, 59.17
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Posted

Through today's three finals

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 29, 86.32
shadow_operative, 21, 88.70
Wulaw Horn, 16, 89.52
BigOrange1, 13, 55.51
ztejas, 12, 78.30
Prepuce of Doom, 10, 51.44
Zepol87, 8, 67.37
HornOnTheBayou, 2, 54.95

I really need VCU to pull this off, not looking good.

Posted

lmao i had no idea i even had fair dick in this contest until clicking on this thread.  still don't think i'll win unless furman/fair dick wins another and/or kentucky/indiana make a deep run.

Posted (edited)

Live update with 2 first round games still in progress

Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 35, 125.16
BigOrange1, 35, 68.26
Huckleberry, 29, 80.88
HornOnTheBayou, 19, 60.96
ztejas, 16, 76.67
Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.76
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 53.19
Zepol87, 13, 44.81
Edited by Huckleberry
Posted

Big O with two of the three biggest upsets in the tournament and the points lead (39) but only has 4 teams left. 

Derka (35; 6 teams left, including his top 5 picks) and Huck (29, four teams, ranging from a 1 to a 15 seed) are closest behind, with Ztejas still in contention (only 22 points now, but has 5 teams left, all in his top 6 picks). 

The rest of us suck butts. 

 

20230318_001047.jpg

Posted

Through end of first round

 

Poster, Current Score, EV
BigOrange1, 39, 74.84
shadow_operative, 35, 125.08
Huckleberry, 29, 80.62
ztejas, 22, 75.00
Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.69
HornOnTheBayou, 19, 63.22
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 44.42
Zepol87, 13, 44.36
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Posted

Update through Saturday

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 69, 108.59
shadow_operative, 47, 102.14
BigOrange1, 39, 64.61
ztejas, 38, 89.73
HornOnTheBayou, 23, 67.42
Wulaw Horn, 23, 53.75
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 37.06
Zepol87, 13, 28.35
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Posted

C'mon TCU you fuckin bunch of bitches. I like my chances if I can get four teams in the SS. 

I of course expect all of them to lose in the SS. 

Posted

Live update:

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 69, 108.24
shadow_operative, 65, 105.16
ztejas, 52, 103.11
Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89
BigOrange1, 39, 48.00
HornOnTheBayou, 35, 76.45
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00
Zepol87, 13, 21.82
Posted

20230319_232948.thumb.jpg.d4a572006d44ce50fc1c067687ea5ca2.jpg

Big Orange and I are both out of teams. Zepol is mathematically eliminated - tops out at 73 if Gonzaga wins it all, and can't pass Derka at 75.

Everyone else seems to be in some degree of contention just eyeballing it. 

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)

Through second round:

Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 75, 113.91
Huckleberry, 69, 110.14
ztejas, 52, 93.13
Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89
BigOrange1, 39, 39.00
HornOnTheBayou, 35, 75.06
Zepol87, 19, 27.87
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00

Sweet 16 analysis coming later

Edited by Huckleberry
  • Like 1
Posted
Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 34.72% (10,580)
shadow_operative - 29.65% (13,387)
ztejas - 13.26% (3,944)
HornOnTheBayou - 11.82% (1,985)
Wulaw Horn - 8.67% (2,627)
Tie - 1.87% (245)
BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
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