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2020 Democratic Nominee

used2b

By used2b
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Huckleberry
Huckleberry

No it doesn't, this is absurd selfishness on a grand scale. Nobody is getting punished. My wife and I paid off our student loans, and you know what I think about younger people or even those in our ge

henrygandorf
henrygandorf

i’ve really enjoyed the 900 posts from bt explaining how bernie people aren’t aggressive, obsessive, and very-online.  truly a learning experience. 

Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton

3rd or 4th thread but whos counting.  Name recognition and ability to collect money is most important to the Democratic Party. They aren't trying to win 2020, they are trying to rebuild and colle

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triplehorn

triplehorn 2,664

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8 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

If you're going to get mad at Liz, at least make it real.

Her pattern of filibustering non-answers to hard questions coming from her left is bad.

#DoBetter

Warren’s answer: Voting to ‘spend less’ on defense does nothing to address the who and how of the money being spent.  She tackles the crux of it instead - corrupt control of spending.  That is far more important than relative increases or decreases in appropriations.

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bad_teammate

bad_teammate 13,125

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10 minutes ago, triplehorn said:

Warren’s answer: Voting to ‘spend less’ on defense does nothing to address the who and how of the money being spent.

It 100% does.

If less is being spent, there is more accountability for how the money is used. When cuts are made to a program, more attention is paid to the utility and purpose of those things that were chosen to remain. This is basic, basic stuff.

Quote

 She tackles the crux of it instead - corrupt control of spending.  That is far more important than relative increases or decreases in appropriations.

What does that have to do with her actual votes, which she was being asked about? Was she "tackling" corruption when she voted for the spending increases?

Voting for incessant increases in the overall military budget only creates more opportunity and incentive for corruption. Again, this is basic stuff.

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triplehorn

triplehorn 2,664

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2 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

It 100% does.

If less is being spent, there is more accountability for how the money is used. When cuts are made to a program, more attention is paid to the utility and purpose of those things that were chosen to remain. This is basic, basic stuff.

What does that have to do with her actual votes, which she was being asked about? Was she "tackling" corruption when she voted for the spending increases?

Voting for incessant increases in the overall military budget only creates more opportunity and incentive for corruption. Again, this is basic stuff.

Appropriating less does nothing to change the established power flow.  

You say it creates accountability ? How ?

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bad_teammate

bad_teammate 13,125

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3 minutes ago, triplehorn said:

Appropriating less does nothing to change the established power flow.

Does appropriating MORE change the established power flow?

Reducing the appropriations decreases the room for corruption

Quote

You say it creates accountability ? How ?

By reducing the overall amount of funding, greater attention is paid to what is actually spent. When overall funding increases with each new request, there is no pressure to control or monitor spending.

If you make $200k/year, you don't care how much your're spending on TV and pizza. If you start making $80k/year, you pay more attention.

I don't know how this is confusing.

I answered yours, so please answer the one I asked:

What does that have to do with her actual votes, which she was being asked about? Was she "tackling" corruption when she voted for the spending increases?

 

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Js1

Js1 85,056

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Posted
3 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

SUPER weird stuff in that poll...

vs. Trump

Biden +10
Yang +8 (what!?)
Bernie +5
Harris +2
Warren -2 (what!?)

Bizarre.

Emerson is a very weird poll.  Remember in 2016 when they had McMullin winning Utah over Trump and Clinton? 

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Js1

Js1 85,056

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2 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

Not absurd, just dark and worrying.

Also, I had no idea they had McMuffin winning Utah that is hilarious. He did get within like 5 or 6 points of Hilldawg IIRC

On October 19, they had it McMullin 31 - Trump 27 - Clinton 24 .

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BradInATX

BradInATX 9,208

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Posted (edited)

That poll seems like bullshit to me. Not even any specific candidate,  just across the board. There's no way I believe every Dem is above Trump, some by 6 percent. Texas is full of people who will pretend not to like him then vote for him because they just can't let the dangerous socialist win.

Edited by BradInATX
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Js1

Js1 85,056

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Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

That poll seems like bullshit to me. Not even any specific candidate,  just across the board. There's no way I believe every Dem is above Trump, some by 6 percent. Texas is full of people who will pretend not to like him then vote for him because they just can't let the dangerous socialist win.

Oh it's not that bullshit.  The Democrats average 45%. Trump averages 42%.  So ~13% undecided or third party.  It's Texas, so, of that 13%:

70% will go to Trump - now he's at 51.1
20% will go to the Democrat - now they are at 47.6
The rest will go third party - ~1.3%

If you don't force them to pick, a good chunk of Republicans will just say "undecided or third party" and then 80% vote for Trump.  The 2020 vote in Texas looking like Trump +3-4 would not be too surprising honestly. 

Edited by Js1
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Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23,356

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The way Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina go will likely influence the polls in the other states the most.  

The Iowa results will likely cut the field down by more than half.

Where are all those Castro, Yang, Booker, Klobuchar, Steyer, Bennett, Williamson, voters going to go?  They have to make up 10%+ collectively.

Castro and Beto will probably stay in until Texas and Harris will hang around until at least California.  

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BradInATX

BradInATX 9,208

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1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Oh it's not that bullshit.  The Democrats average 45%. Trump averages 42%.  So ~13% undecided or third party.  It's Texas, so, of that 13%:

70% will go to Trump - now he's at 51.1
20% will go to the Democrat - now they are at 47.6
The rest will go third party - ~1.3%

If you don't force them to pick, a good chunk of Republicans will just say "undecided or third party" and then 80% vote for Trump.  The 2020 vote in Texas looking like Trump +3-4 would not be too surprising honestly. 

Yeah, that's about what I'd expect to see too.

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Js1

Js1 85,056

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1 minute ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

The way Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina go will likely influence the polls in the other states the most.  

The Iowa results will likely cut the field down by more than half.

Where are all those Castro, Yang, Booker, Klobuchar, Steyer, Bennett, Williamson, voters going to go?  They have to make up 10%+ collectively.

Castro and Beto will probably stay in until Texas and Harris will hang around until at least California.  

Which is the exact same day - Super Tuesday. 

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RayDog

RayDog 682

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50 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Oh it's not that bullshit.  The Democrats average 45%. Trump averages 42%.  So ~13% undecided or third party.  It's Texas, so, of that 13%:

70% will go to Trump - now he's at 51.1
20% will go to the Democrat - now they are at 47.6
The rest will go third party - ~1.3%

If you don't force them to pick, a good chunk of Republicans will just say "undecided or third party" and then 80% vote for Trump.  The 2020 vote in Texas looking like Trump +3-4 would not be too surprising honestly. 

In 2016 Libertarians had 283,492 and McMullin had 42,366 combining for 3.6% of the vote. In 2012 Libertarians only had 88,580 so there were around 250,000 never Trumpers who threw away their vote. I suspect there will be even more this time.

That alone could swing the election since Beto got within 215,000. The Greens also were at 71.558 in 2016 versus 24,647 in 2012, so some Democrats threw away vote as well in the other direction. Those votes will probably go back to the Democratic candidate this time, but some idiots will still vote green.

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Hank Kingsley

Hank Kingsley 20,635

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Tulsi has been labeled a progressive and has been defended/supported by progressives for a long time, including segments on The Young Turks. 

Funny to watch the TYT people squirm as they analyze her interview with Rubin. Some highlights: she's for late term abortion restrictions, agrees that Democrats don't love America, agrees that Democrats are for "open borders", and the left wants to get rid of all guns. 

 

 

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Js1

Js1 85,056

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2 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Tulsi has been labeled a progressive and has been defended/supported by progressives for a long time, including segments on The Young Turks. 

Funny to watch the TYT people squirm as they analyze her interview with Rubin. Some highlights: she's for late term abortion restrictions, agrees that Democrats don't love America, agrees that Democrats are for "open borders", and the left wants to get rid of all guns. 

 

 

Bigger troll candidate than her #1 supporter here 

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Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23,356

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Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Tulsi has been labeled a progressive and has been defended/supported by progressives for a long time, including segments on The Young Turks. 

Funny to watch the TYT people squirm as they analyze her interview with Rubin. Some highlights: she's for late term abortion restrictions, agrees that Democrats don't love America, agrees that Democrats are for "open borders", and the left wants to get rid of all guns. 

 

 

My favorite schtick is seeing Tulsi stans call Elizabeth Warren a warmongering neoliberal shill. 

Edited by Hugo Stiglitz
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Brisketexan

Brisketexan 104,462

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Posted
Oh it's not that bullshit.  The Democrats average 45%. Trump averages 42%.  So ~13% undecided or third party.  It's Texas, so, of that 13%:
70% will go to Trump - now he's at 51.1
20% will go to the Democrat - now they are at 47.6
The rest will go third party - ~1.3%
If you don't force them to pick, a good chunk of Republicans will just say "undecided or third party" and then 80% vote for Trump.  The 2020 vote in Texas looking like Trump +3-4 would not be too surprising honestly. 

I think this is spot-on. Really, this is a bullseye.
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Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23,356

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My favorite cherry picked piece of data out of today’s Texas Q poll. 

EELZFniWkAA7MAu?format=jpg&name=large

Every demographic category:  liberal, moderate, conservative, men, women, white, black, Hispanic, rich, poor, young, and old.

Warren leads in best ideology among this sample of Texans.

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=3640

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