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2023 NCAA Regionals Thread

Horny Bull

By Horny Bull
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poor aggy \

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There's the good stuff

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Cairn Horn88

Cairn Horn88 8,135

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Odds of making the CWS. A lot of SEC near the top. 

LINK  

Wake Forest 44.7% 
Vanderbilt 35.6% 
Florida 35.1% 
LSU 32.3% 
Virginia 30.4% 
Kentucky 30.0% 
South Carolina 29.5% 
Tennessee 28.9% 
Alabama 26.9% 
Miami 26.8% 
Stanford 25.0% 
Clemson 24.1% 
Coastal 22.9% 
Duke 22.5% 
Arkansas 22.2% 
Auburn 19.0% 
Texas A&M 18.3% 
Oklahoma St. 17.8% 
North Carolina 17.4% 
Iowa 17.3% 
Texas 15.5% 
Oregon St. 15.4% 
East Carolina 15.1% 
Oregon 14.7% 
BC 14.5% 
TCU 13.7% 
Southern Miss 13.5% 
Arizona 12.5% 
West Virginia 12.5% 
Washington 12.3% 
Campbell 11.5% 
DBU 11.5% 
NC State 11% 
Indiana St. 10.8% 
everyone else < 10%
 

If A&M and Texas do both come out of their regionals, I would pay good money to be in the war room where the NCAA decides which of those 2 gets to host the Super.

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Levi

Levi 2,576

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7 minutes ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

Odds of making the CWS. A lot of SEC near the top. 

LINK  

Wake Forest 44.7% 
Vanderbilt 35.6% 
Florida 35.1% 
LSU 32.3% 
Virginia 30.4% 
Kentucky 30.0% 
South Carolina 29.5% 
Tennessee 28.9% 
Alabama 26.9% 
Miami 26.8% 
Stanford 25.0% 
Clemson 24.1% 
Coastal 22.9% 
Duke 22.5% 
Arkansas 22.2% 
Auburn 19.0% 
Texas A&M 18.3% 
Oklahoma St. 17.8% 
North Carolina 17.4% 
Iowa 17.3% 
Texas 15.5% 
Oregon St. 15.4% 
East Carolina 15.1% 
Oregon 14.7% 
BC 14.5% 
TCU 13.7% 
Southern Miss 13.5% 
Arizona 12.5% 
West Virginia 12.5% 
Washington 12.3% 
Campbell 11.5% 
DBU 11.5% 
NC State 11% 
Indiana St. 10.8% 
everyone else < 10%
 

If A&M and Texas do both come out of their regionals, I would pay good money to be in the war room where the NCAA decides which of those 2 gets to host the Super.

Would it not go to us? Better overall record, won the regular season conference, and beat them as well. 

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WBT

WBT 20,376

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5 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

I actually think there is a pretty decent chance of that happening.  In that case would it come down to who had the best bid package, or would aggy host because they won the 8 seed regional?

NCAA decision...which in this case would probably come down solely to the $$ bid

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Cairn Horn88

Cairn Horn88 8,135

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23 minutes ago, WBT said:

NCAA decision...which in this case would probably come down solely to the $$ bid

If neither of the #1 seeds win their regionals, then the teams that did advance are asked to submit a bid for hosting if they want to host. NCAA reviews the bids and decides who to award the hosting privileges to.
 

aggy will do a “go fund me” to get to host!

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Cairn Horn88

Cairn Horn88 8,135

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Advanced analytics on toughest 2-4 seeds for each regional. Based upon weight ranking. Credit to @statsowar on Twitter.  
 

quote:
Toughest Regional  

FAYETTEVILLE +4.93  
STILLWATER +4.65  
CLEMSON +4.56  
TERRE HAUTE +4.1  
BATON ROUGH +3.93  
STANFORD +3.75  
CHARLOTTESVILLE +3.5  
COLUMBIA +3.3  
NASHVILLE +3.27  
LEXINGTON +3.25  
CONWAY +3.1  
TUSCALOOSA +3.0  
CORAL GABLES +3.01  
AUBURN +2.95  
WINSTON-SALEM +2.7  
GAINESVILLE +2.4

 

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WBT

WBT 20,376

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1 hour ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

So…all 64 teams play each other on Friday….isn’t that new?

No, regionals are always scheduled Friday to Monday (if necessary).  You might be thinking of super regionals where half are Fri-Sun and half are Sat-Mon.

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BERT

BERT 4,324

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4 hours ago, Beau Vine said:

Fuck LHN!

Coral Gables Regional hosted by Miami (FL)
#2 Texas (38-20) vs. #3 Louisiana (40-22), 2 p.m., LHN
#1 Miami (FL) (40-19) vs. #4 Maine (32-19), 7 p.m., ESPN+

 

3 hours ago, Slacks said:

F LHN. Hopefully that shit isn't going to survive the transition. 

Bwuahahahahahaha

 

but just find someone who has it and use their log in 

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EuroHorn

EuroHorn 3,204

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1 hour ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

Odds of making the CWS. A lot of SEC near the top. 

LINK  

Wake Forest 44.7% 
Vanderbilt 35.6% 
Florida 35.1% 
LSU 32.3% 
Virginia 30.4% 
Kentucky 30.0% 
South Carolina 29.5% 
Tennessee 28.9% 
Alabama 26.9% 
Miami 26.8% 
Stanford 25.0% 
Clemson 24.1% 
Coastal 22.9% 
Duke 22.5% 
Arkansas 22.2% 
Auburn 19.0% 
Texas A&M 18.3% 
Oklahoma St. 17.8% 
North Carolina 17.4% 
Iowa 17.3% 
Texas 15.5% 
Oregon St. 15.4% 
East Carolina 15.1% 
Oregon 14.7% 
BC 14.5% 
TCU 13.7% 
Southern Miss 13.5% 
Arizona 12.5% 
West Virginia 12.5% 
Washington 12.3% 
Campbell 11.5% 
DBU 11.5% 
NC State 11% 
Indiana St. 10.8% 
everyone else < 10%
 

If A&M and Texas do both come out of their regionals, I would pay good money to be in the war room where the NCAA decides which of those 2 gets to host the Super.

Texas should host.  Beat them head to head.  Also our stadium holds more fans than theirs 

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NeverMarryAStripper

NeverMarryAStripper 21,780

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1 hour ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

If neither of the #1 seeds win their regionals, then the teams that did advance are asked to submit a bid for hosting if they want to host. NCAA reviews the bids and decides who to award the hosting privileges to.
 

aggy will do a “go fund me” to get to host!

I thought all of the bid packages had to be submitted prior to the host selection

image.png.558e70146be9d7b97e50473f30549c90.png

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Homercles

Homercles 10,205

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2 hours ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

 

Advanced analytics on toughest 2-4 seeds for each regional. Based upon weight ranking. Credit to @statsowar on Twitter.  
 

quote:
Toughest Regional  

FAYETTEVILLE +4.93  
STILLWATER +4.65  
CLEMSON +4.56  
TERRE HAUTE +4.1  
BATON ROUGH +3.93  
STANFORD +3.75  
CHARLOTTESVILLE +3.5  
COLUMBIA +3.3  
NASHVILLE +3.27  
LEXINGTON +3.25  
CONWAY +3.1  
TUSCALOOSA +3.0  
CORAL GABLES +3.01  
AUBURN +2.95  
WINSTON-SALEM +2.7  
GAINESVILLE +2.4

 

Yeah that’s…not ideal for the Stillwater regional.  I know they were weekday games and our pitching depth dictated the b-team, but didn’t exactly fare well against DBU (who was in host consideration most of the season) and ORU during the season.  

Also sure there are a lot of sore arms after six games in five days.  

Oh well, play the hand you’re dealt.  

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Js1

Js1 85,006

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1 hour ago, WBT said:

No, regionals are always scheduled Friday to Monday (if necessary).  You might be thinking of super regionals where half are Fri-Sun and half are Sat-Mon.

Also no BYU to muck things up and force someone to start Thursday

Edited by Js1
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shadow_operative2.0

shadow_operative2.0 15,797

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Other notes about the tournament: 

  • Vanderbilt has the longest active streak with its 17th straight appearance. Texas is in the tournament for a record 62nd time. Florida State (23-31) saw its record-tying streak of regional appearances end at 44. 
  • Tulane (19-40), which won the American Athletic Conference tournament as the No. 7 seed, has the most losses of any team to ever make the national tournament. The Green Wave's reward is a spot in the Baton Rouge Regional and an opening game against LSU. 
  • Summit League champion Oral Roberts is on the longest win streak in the nation, at 18 games. Clemson has won 16 in a row. 
  • Connecticut is in a regional for a fifth straight time for the first time since the 1950s. 
  • There are no teams making their first appearances, but Penn is in for the first time since 1995, Santa Clara for the first time since 1997 and San Jose State for the first time since 2002. 

https://www.espn.com/college-baseball/story/_/id/37754489/wake-forest-named-no-1-seed-ncaa-baseball-tournament

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YGIFS

YGIFS 19,447

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Austin would get selected over College Station.  Bigger stadium, more hotels, and oh yeah-the NCAA's television partner who pays out the fucking ass for post-season broadcasting rights already has half their gear here.  It's a no-brainer, which means A&M won't understand it.  

I think we're headed to Palo Alto though.  Okay then, don't make a shit.  We win East Coast, we win West Coast, then we retake Corn Country.  

Let's fucking RIDE! 

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Valmy77

Valmy77 13,086

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6 hours ago, Slacks said:

F LHN. Hopefully that shit isn't going to survive the transition. 

Yeah getting all of our home games on TV for the past dozen years has been terrible. Awful. I long for the days of not seeing our team on TV.

Everything will be streaming after the transition. ESPN+ for days. I hope that makes you happy.

Unless LHN transitions as part of the SEC Network or something.

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Slacks

Slacks 6,788

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7 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Yeah getting all of our home games on TV for the past dozen years has been terrible. Awful. I long for the days of not seeing our team on TV.

Everything will be streaming after the transition. ESPN+ for days. I hope that makes you happy.

Unless LHN transitions as part of the SEC Network or something.

I can get ESPN+ and Sec, but can't get LHN 

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'stache

'stache 21,730

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16 hours ago, Homercles said:

 

Yeah that’s…not ideal for the Stillwater regional.  I know they were weekday games and our pitching depth dictated the b-team, but didn’t exactly fare well against DBU (who was in host consideration most of the season) and ORU during the season.  

Also sure there are a lot of sore arms after six games in five days.  

Oh well, play the hand you’re dealt.  

So annoying, they just love pairing us with midweek teams that love to beat us. I feel like we've taken care of ORU in regionals before when it matters, but they are by no means a 4 seed. I get their RPI is low because the Summit League doesn't have much fire power, but they ran through it like a hot knife through butter. They are a good team, at least a 3 seed. We absolutely must win that first game. Our pitching isn't deep enough to get us through the losers bracket again. We had nothing left in the tank against TCU because of the extra games. I think we would have won the tournament had we taken care of ou from the start.

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Js1

Js1 85,006

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25 minutes ago, &#x27;stache said:

I actually think UT and OU have an easier path to the supers that OSU. But I might just be overly negative, comes with the orange shirt at freshman orientation.

Oh we know 

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Cairn Horn88

Cairn Horn88 8,135

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D1 Preseason to Now: 


Lsu 1 to 7 (-6) 
UT 2 to 21 (-19) 
OM 4 to NR (-61... or more) 
A&M 5 to 25 (-20) 
UF 7 to 2 (+5) 
Arky 8 to 5 (+3) 
Vandy 10 to 4 (+6) 
Bama 20 to 22 (-2) 
U of SC 23 to NR (-3... or more) 
Aub NR to 20 (+6... or more) 
UK NR to NR (-... but I feel like that should show as a riser) 

Ole Miss is the biggest bust. A&M and Tenn are next.

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Hookem2147

Hookem2147 20,877

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2 minutes ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

D1 Preseason to Now: 


Lsu 1 to 7 (-6) 
UT 2 to 21 (-19) 
OM 4 to NR (-61... or more) 
A&M 5 to 25 (-20) 
UF 7 to 2 (+5) 
Arky 8 to 5 (+3) 
Vandy 10 to 4 (+6) 
Bama 20 to 22 (-2) 
U of SC 23 to NR (-3... or more) 
Aub NR to 20 (+6... or more) 
UK NR to NR (-... but I feel like that should show as a riser) 

Ole Miss is the biggest bust. A&M and Tenn are next.

Only 7 of their top 16 preseason teams ended up as regional hosts.

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ScottS

ScottS 1,057

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2 hours ago, Dnaguy said:

Best postseason format of any college sport.

Fight me.

 

18 minutes ago, Homercles said:

I def agree with that and have said it before.  Can be the hardest to explain to folks that are unfamiliar, however.  

I would love to see the basketball tournament take on the baseball/softball format.  I know it will never happen for many reasons, but one can dream.

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bluto

bluto 4,861

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Indeed on the best format…. you’re allowed a mulligan one game per weekend, best performers during the season get rewarded, literally every team has a fair chance but every team has to earn the hardware

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Valmy77

Valmy77 13,086

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2 hours ago, Beau Vine said:

If you don't have LHN, it's blacked out on ESPN+.

This is not new.

No. This is not correct.

The games are on ESPN+, it is being simulcast on LHN. That is different from if it is a LHN production.

2 hours ago, Beau Vine said:

The old format was better, and you cannot argue with that.

I don't know. The old format was hell on pitching staffs. I think this is better for how college teams are currently built.

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