Colorado at tcu - 11am on Fox

[Pam Cummings 9553]

TCU was incredibly lucky last year. Even through the Michigan game. They fucking fumbled at the 1 yard line. Like just stupid shit like that all year.

[WhatTheBuck 28700]

58 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

It will definitely end up closer to a 50/50 split with more games. Also, that's how luck works. It doesn't always work in your favor or against you. That's why you try to avoid it because it's unpredictable.

What separates the good teams from the not-so-good teams is winning by big margins where a bad call, a bad bounce, a late injury, etc don't impact the outcome. Like I said above, the powerhouse programs over the years don't win a lot of close games. They blow out teams and avoid "lucky" or "unlucky" situations from influencing outcomes. 

No one wins every game in a blowout. Trap games, hangover games, look ahead games — those are real things. Pretty much every championship team has to escape a close call or two on their way to the title. Sometimes you need the ball to bounce your way. But for teams that consistently succeed or fail when it’s a close game late, it’s not luck. It’s a lazy and incorrect assumption to just say the good teams always win by comfortable margins so luck (or the officials) can’t decide the outcome. Sure, that’s the goal. But it doesn’t play out the way all the time. Well coached teams are better equipped to handle adversity. And teams that survive close games tend to be more poised and confident when they face adversity in the future. That’s not a controversial concept. 

[C-Man 26992]

26 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Thought so. Well that isn’t preparation, it isn’t effort, and it isn’t great in-game situational coaching or execution.  It’s luck that the entirety of the game became easier- against half of the conference schedule. 

Sonny Dykes is an extremely average college football coach.

[C-Man 26992]

I'm finding Texas State's win over Baylor pretty satisfying today as well.

[Sawbonz 27375]

21 hours ago, dcar00 said:

they are expecting we will throw, but then we will expect to run, because they are expecting run, we will need to throw.

[GreenspointTexas 9556]

Man fuck both of these programs

[bschoolprof 6232]

Deion is great for college football, especially now that Pirate has sailed on.   

SIAP.

 

[Magus Ossis 2773]

1. Love him, hate him, whatever. Call him Prime or whatever. Sanders was the reason for that result. When the line was set at 4 TDs, everyone knew who Briles was, who Dykes was, who left TCU, how last season ended against UGA. They knew about TCU’s close wins. And no one outside the CU locker room gave the Buffs a chance. TCU may have lucked into the NCG last year. They may be bad this year. To deny, however, that yesterday’s result was not a dramatic vindication of what Sanders is building is daft.

2. Of course better coaches have a better chance of winning by more and of winning close games. The problem is that even great coaches can’t prevent the enormity of chance from hitting them with the one event that drags them down to a loss when playing in one-score games. Even Nick Saban can’t keep the best player in CFB from uncharacteristically coughing up the ball in OT. Better coaches may only regress toward .550 instead of to .500 in close games, but they are governed by the law of averages as well.

Edited September 3, 2023 by Magus Ossis