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wc QF 3 (sat 9am) :: arrows of desire


Hagbard Celine

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xposting from eng/col thread....

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14 hours ago, ScottishHorn said:

Croatia/Sweden prob better teams but not by much.

I think Croatia, Sweden and England are more or less "equal" as "teams".  If you price the total transfer value of all 3 sides England are probably worth both of the others combined.  So in theory England have a talent advantage, and we actually saw the Lizard have to play 3 of his best 4 at the same time.  I do now believe The Lizard can actually figure out a game plan for Sweden to cash that "on paper" talent advantage.

Sweden are the football version of the old rockets Twin Towers, except they've got 4 or 5 of them.  Neither aggy nor suisse nor korea could do a fucking thing in the Swedish forest in the box.

England are a mammal of a different color.

6'3" Dier

6'3" Loftus-Cheek

6'3" Cahill

6'2" Maguire

6'2" Stones

6'0" Alli

6'0" Jones

6'0" Kane (when he walks upright)

 

Also, Henderson is 6'1".  But he's Henderson.

And Welbeck is 6'0".  But he's Welbeck.

 

Today the Lizard started Alli and replaced him with Dier.  Loftus-Cheek and Cahill of course didn't see time today, but Maguire and Stones (with 5'9" Walker) have now proven an effective triplicate under real, live fire, so Walker will remain the preferred option, you don't mess with that chem against a Sweden that are pedestrian as hell going forward.

England have far better skill/talent going forward so the Lizard can retool and draw up something with Dier, Loftus-Cheek and Alli starting.  Sit Henderson, Alli can do that job.  With Kane, Maguire and Stones on the pitch, you've got SIX (6) targets that are 6'+.  Sverige have not dealt with that.

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5 hours ago, AUS-97HORN said:

England havent scored 2 goals in an elimination match since Euro 2004.  And they still lost that game.   If they win, its going to be 1-0

I'lll have to harvest the wikis but if memory serves England's bigger problem is scoring from open play against "legitimate" opposition in tournament group or elimination games.

Goals against Tunisia and Panama don't count in the "legitimate opponent" category.

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On 7/4/2018 at 9:06 AM, Hagbard Celine said:

xposting from eng/col thread....

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I think Croatia, Sweden and England are more or less "equal" as "teams".  If you price the total transfer value of all 3 sides England are probably worth both of the others combined.  So in theory England have a talent advantage, ...


Except that Croatia is far and away the best team in that half of the bracket.

England can suck transfer fee paying cocks until the cows come home, but Modric & Rakitic together immediately send Croatia to the front of the pack in their half of the bracket.

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Sweden right-back Mikael Lustig is banned after picking up his second yellow card of the tournament and is expected to be replaced by Emil Krafth.

However, midfielder Sebastian Larsson returns from suspension and will come back into the side for Gustav Svensson.

England forward Jamie Vardy is a major doubt because of the groin strain he suffered against Colombia.

Ashley Young has overcome an ankle knock sustained in that game while Kyle Walker is fully recovered from cramp.

Jordan Henderson, Jesse Lingard, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Kyle Walker are a booking away from missing a potential semi-final for England.

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England will step out in the steamy heat of Samara on Saturday to face Sweden in what is their biggest game since losing to West Germany on penalties in the World Cup semi-final at Italia 90.

Yes, they have reached World Cup quarter-finals since, losing to eventual winners Brazil in Shizuoka in Japan in 2002 and in a penalty shootout to Portugal in Germany four years later.

But this just feels different. This feels like a pathway towards their first World Cup final since 1966 has opened up in front of England thanks to the failures of holders Germany and a kinder draw thanks to finishing second behind Belgium in Group G.

England were underdogs against Brazil in Japan and giants like France awaited even if they had passed Portugal in Gelsenkirchen in 2006.

Here, at what is turning into a classic World Cup, England must find a way past Sweden then beat the winners of the other last-eight game between Croatia and hosts Russia to reach the final on Sunday week.

England will feel they can achieve that - they would have settled for this in a heartbeat before the World Cup started. And Sweden, Croatia and Russia will be feeling exactly the same.

When England started the serious work in Russia at their secluded and peaceful Zelenogorsk training base almost four weeks ago, the wisdom stated that a place in the quarter-final would represent respectability, an outcome manager Gareth Southgate and the Football Association could present as tangible progress.

England could still do that - but what an opportunity has presented itself for Southgate and this popular group of players, who have none of the egos, cliques and sideshows that have overtaken them at previous tournaments.

Southgate and his squad will still return home with reputations intact, and some enhanced, no matter how events unfold in Samara.

There will, however, be a burning disappointment if they do not take this World Cup campaign into its final week.

As he conducted his final media briefing before Sweden, Southgate summed up England's World Cup campaign when quizzed on the lack of clean sheets in their four games.

"It just shows we still have room for improvement," said Southgate. "We've made progress. The style of play has improved enormously over the last 12 months. We're controlling games with the ball but we can create more chances and we can defend better."

Two key issues. Two valid points.

England have looked reasonably solid in defence but clean sheets count in this knockout stage and there is no doubt they must create more in open play.

Captain Harry Kane leads the race for the World Cup's Golden Boot with six goals but three have been penalties, two as a result of corners and another an unwitting deflection from Ruben Loftus-Cheek's shot.

Kane relishes the weight on his shoulders as captain but now is the time for Raheem Sterling to come to the party after 23 England games without a goal.

Southgate himself praised Dele Alli's work without the ball against Colombia but accepted England need to work to benefit from his late runs into the area that mark him out as a special talent.

Kieran Trippier has been an outstanding supply line but Kane now needs and deserves more from others.

The upside for Southgate and England is if they have come this far carrying those two very curable flaws, how far can they go once the solution has been found?

Russia has offered another dramatic shift in climate for England after they landed in Samara, on the banks of the River Volga, from their headquarters at Repino, on the Gulf of Finland.

Repino was hit by heavy rain in the days before departure and England arrived in Samara to scorching heat, with temperatures predicted to be around 30C at kick-off time on Saturday.

There has even been a kilometre-long beach constructed in Samara to enhance the carnival atmosphere of Russia's hugely successful World Cup and England will hope the party does not end here.

England have coped with similar changes in temperature against Tunisia in Volgograd and Panama in Nizhny Novgorod and, of course, it is the same for Sweden.

Southgate, as he has been throughout, was measured and self-effacing as he completed media duties in the magnificent Samara Stadium but there is that inner steel and he senses this England team has an opportunity to write history.

While Southgate outlined the improvements he wants on the pitch, captain Kane gave an insight into the mood off the pitch and the unity that has characterised England's squad.

He talked of them being like brothers - Kane presumably the head of that particular branch of the family - and he will hope this happy band can have more stories to share when they return to Repino.

England might have to dig in for another attritional battle against the country that almost always seems to make life difficult for them.

They have met 24 times in total, England winning eight, drawing nine and losing seven. In World Cups and Euros they played four times - winning one, drawing two and losing one.

England, apart from the rout against hapless Panama, have hardly been peppering the goal while Sweden, the epitome of defensive discipline, advanced by digging out a 1-0 win against Switzerland thanks to a deflected shot from Emil Forsberg, their main creator.

There will be no shortage of tension no matter how this World Cup quarter-final plays out - that will be provided by the huge stakes on offer.

England have their golden chance.

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note: 30 celsius is 86 fahrenheit

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This is good. 

Sebastian Larsson

Age: 33 Position: CM Club: AIK
Back in the early 2000s a young Swedish midfielder set the world on fire in Arsenal, with his fashionable haircut and his clinical finishing. This was not him. 
Seb has spent his career trying to keep Alex McLeish, Sam Allardyce, David Moyes and Martin O’Neill in the Premiership. Our apologies.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Captain Ron said:

This explains why Vardy didn't take a PK.

Coming back from commerical after showing Southgate had his penalty blocked. You see him go up to Dier “ vardy said he can’t go, you got it right” and Dier nods.. 

And then vardy was holding his junk during the celebration dog pile 

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