Texas opens as a 13 point favorite @ Baylor

[TexasMan 10954]

Over/under 49.5

 

 

[TexasMan 10954]

Weather not looking like an issue in Waco Saturday night. Projected 73° and clear 

[TrashMaster G 17583]

CBS Sportsline showed Texas -8 earlier this morning.

Now it shows Texas -15.

🤷‍♂️

[Thiefery 5017]

laying it.

[MH BEVO 1265]

1 minute ago, TrashMaster G said:

CBS Sportsline showed Texas -8 earlier this morning.

Now it shows Texas -15.

🤷‍♂️

I saw that too. I didn’t check dates but just assumed it was their projection before the season 

[TrashMaster G 17583]

1 minute ago, MH BEVO said:

I saw that too. I didn’t check dates but just assumed it was their projection before the season 

That would make some sense 

[TexArcher 38001]

So, Baylor is significantly better than Wyoming?

I don't believe that at all.

[TexasMan 10954]

5 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

So, Baylor is significantly better than Wyoming?

I don't believe that at all.

Tough to put a number of points on Drayton spooking the Longhorns 

[TrashMaster G 17583]

5 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

So, Baylor is significantly better than Wyoming?

I don't believe that at all.

As David McWilliams pointed out, weird things happen in the Bruceville-Eddy triangle. 

[runthebone 8027]

Must have a Big12 ref adjustment.

[Huckleberry 33060]

12 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

So, Baylor is significantly better than Wyoming?

I don't believe that at all.

Well it's a road game and this time the Big 12 crew has a Big 12 team to reap the benefits of their fuckery. If we win this game 34-21 as we adjust to life this season in this conference I'll be happy.

[Pato del Muerto 52555]

1 minute ago, runthebone said:

Must have a Big12 ref adjustment.

How could they have known before now that a big12 crew would officiate this game?

[BigHorn'13 3386]

I'm seeing this more as a 24-7 type of game where opening script looks great and 2nd half adjustments kind of work, before Sark just says "fuck it" and runs out the clock. Small sample size caveat applies but I wouldn't be betting the over if gambling.

I'd also think that 7 comes from a fluke interception/ fumble recovery that leads to a score, and not a straight up offensive TD (where they drive the ball.)

[bangkok 89]

we’re going to beat the absolute fuck out of the rapists. 

i think they’re beat in all phases, we get up 24-3ish at half. final is something like 45-10.

fuck baylor.

[TexArcher 38001]

14 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Well it's a road game and this time the Big 12 crew has a Big 12 team to reap the benefits of their fuckery. If we win this game 34-21 as we adjust to life this season in this conference I'll be happy.

Totally.

I'm just thinking as a bettor, I didn't like Texas -30 against Wyoming, and I love Texas -13 @ Baylor.

I mean, I think I would take Wyoming straight up against Baylor on a neutral field.  Baylor isn't better than the Tech team that Wyoming beat.  So, these two lines just don't make sense to me.

But, whatever.  Let's give Baylor an embarrassing score to remember us by and then never play them in football again.

 

Edited September 17, 2023 by TexArcher

[ztejas 43526]

5 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Totally.

I'm just thinking as a bettor, I didn't like Texas -30 against Wyoming, and I love Texas -13 @ Baylor.

I mean, I think I would take Wyoming straight up against Baylor on a neutral field.  Baylor isn't better than the Tech team that Wyoming beat.  So, these two lines just don't make sense to me.

But, whatever.  Let's give Baylor an embarrassing score to remember us by and then never play them in football again.

 

The Wyoming result is priced into the Baylor line. The Wyoming line should have been -21. 

[Pato del Muerto 52555]

2 minutes ago, ztejas said:

The Wyoming result is priced into the Baylor line. The Wyoming line should have been -21. 

Vegas got it right since it opened at like 26 and had to go up from there. The money must have been pouring in on Texas.  The money may have calmed down somewhat since it lost. But winning by 30 is tough to do, especially against a slow tempo running team. That was an emotional play all the way. 

[Rockethorn1978 6102]

[TexArcher 38001]

2 minutes ago, ztejas said:

The Wyoming result is priced into the Baylor line. The Wyoming line should have been -21. 

The second part I agree with -- I actually said 18 to 20.  That had letdown game against an underrated opponent all over it.

But, I still think the Baylor line will go up, maybe significantly.  Baylor looks like dogshit, and bettors shouldn't be discounting Texas on the road after Tuscaloosa.  But, we'll see.

[MotownHorn 1775]

Wasn't this game originally announced as a noon kick? Or did I make that up?

[msucolt45 4063]

This better be our last trip to the “Bidet on the Brazos” for a minimum of 10 years. I’d even like to stretch the avoidance to two decades, if possible. F the haters!

Hook’em!!!

[BrazilHorn 6628]

I would add 7 points impact adversely for the Horns due to Big 12 ref BS. Bad spot, no hold called on TD run for other team etc

It is going to happen. So now you are making the line Texas by 22 vs 15.

It will 100% get worse throughout the season especially if Texas plays another undefeated Big 12 team (not counting OU in this as they are going to SEC).

Especially if BYU comes into DKR undefeated. The new member vs the "traitor". Get your fucking pop corn ready

[YGIFS 19452]

You never know how the officiating can influence this outcome being Grant Teaff's last game coaching in the conference for Baylor.  

[MonkeyDoughnut 10346]

So is Shapen going to be back for the Texas game?  That's the only way the line makes any sense that they feel he'll be back. If he's not back that line should be -17+

[billfromlaketravis 11521]

Baylor and especially Aranda will be extremely desperate. A win against Texas probably buys him another 2 years. 
 

That said, Baylor really sucks. A 13-20 point win feels about right. 

[ClubWhatever 12154]

Always bet in the opposite direction of the predominant opinion on this board. 

[cafe society 2872]

Just win and don't sustain any serious injuries.  The refs/conference office are going to make sure each week that defeating our opponent is on par with the difficulty of a Simone Biles vault.

[Hook1997 5397]

Maybe we flip it and beat them by 31….  Definitely shouldn’t be close but until we play lesser teams like we should, who knows.  

[RamjetFDO 10577]

Must have a Big12 ref adjustment.

[TexasGolf 4993]

Oregon 21 pt favorite over Colorado. Prime going to use that as motivation 

[Pig Bellmont 8719]

2 minutes ago, TexasGolf said:

Oregon 21 pt favorite over Colorado. Prime going to use that as motivation 

Cool - take it to the Colorado threads. 
 

Baylor has looked like garbage all year. Crazy that this spread is less than half of Wyoming 

[The_Great_Hornsby 3276]

20 minutes ago, Pig Bellmont said:

Cool - take it to the Colorado threads. 
 

Baylor has looked like garbage all year. Crazy that this spread is less than half of Wyoming 

Wyoming would beat Baylor imo

[ousux 5601]

Must have a Big12 ref adjustment.

Truth. Even piggy fans were complaining about the officiating when BYU ventured to Fayettnam and brought Rig12 refs with them.

[ousux 5601]

Baylors entire season rides on this game, this is it for them. Line is about right when that and the refs are taken into consideration.

[Rickylovesweed 14536]

SP+ has the spread at -14.5 Texas. That seems about right. 

As mentioned above, Wyoming would beat Baylor. This Baylor team is really bad. 

[TankedBevo 2485]

I'll believe Baylor is as bad as people think they are when we hang 50 on them. I thought we would skate on Wyoming especially considering they were starting a backup at QB. 

[Rickylovesweed 14536]

4 minutes ago, TankedBevo said:

I'll believe Baylor is as bad as people think they are when we hang 50 on them. I thought we would skate on Wyoming especially considering they were starting a backup at QB. 

Our potential ineptitude doesn't deny the fact Baylor is bad. 

1) They lost at home to Texas State

2) They lost at home to Utah's 2nd and 3rd string QBs. 

3) They struggled yesterday with Long Island who came into that game 0-2 with double digit losses to Bryant and Ohio.

If we don't blow out Baylor it says more about us than Baylor. They suck. 

[TankedBevo 2485]

I agree, I've just seen to much of Texas playing down to their shitty opponents to rest easy next weekend 

[redswingline 1057]

Their offense is pathetic and the wheels are falling over there.

I'd probably take all the way up to -17

Edited September 17, 2023 by redswingline

[Longhornlove 4860]

Hopefully the receivers learn to catch the football this week.

[jTower 238]

16 minutes ago, TankedBevo said:

I'll believe Baylor is as bad as people think they are when we hang 50 on them. I thought we would skate on Wyoming especially considering they were starting a backup at QB. 

Except, Cowboys scare you to death. 

[Hozz 1017]

4 hours ago, YGIFS said:

You never know how the officiating can influence this outcome being Grant Teaff's last game coaching in the conference for Baylor.  

That game was so fucked.  Top three get fucked by the refs game I can think of for Texas.

[demos 3004]

Better pound them into oblivion

[gmr548 16591]

Totally.
I'm just thinking as a bettor, I didn't like Texas -30 against Wyoming, and I love Texas -13 @ Baylor.
I mean, I think I would take Wyoming straight up against Baylor on a neutral field.  Baylor isn't better than the Tech team that Wyoming beat.  So, these two lines just don't make sense to me.
But, whatever.  Let's give Baylor an embarrassing score to remember us by and then never play them in football again.
 

I think it’s the intangible road conference game/last Texas visit to Waco.

-13 is usually a pretty big number for a road conference favorite but it’s justified here. Baylor is shit, even if I’m sure they’ll play their game of the year.

[gmr548 16591]

Especially if BYU comes into DKR undefeated.

“I wouldn’t worry about that.” - Jalon Daniels

[CycleTex87 2980]

10 minutes ago, demos said:

Better pound them into oblivion

*bolivia

[JBJ 3664]

5 hours ago, TexArcher said:

Totally.

I'm just thinking as a bettor, I didn't like Texas -30 against Wyoming, and I love Texas -13 @ Baylor.

 

5 hours ago, Thiefery said:

laying it.

Yup.  This is the first line that I like.

[Pato del Muerto 52555]

3 hours ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Wyoming would beat Baylor imo

Not only that, Wyoming might even beat Texas state!

[Deej 76882]

2 hours ago, Longhornlove said:

Hopefully the receivers learn to catch the football this week.

"Offensive pass interference, Texas."

 

 

Edited September 18, 2023 by Deej

[Ignatius 4017]

53 minutes ago, Hozz said:

That game was so fucked.  Top three get fucked by the refs game I can think of for Texas.

Don’t know what the other two are but you’re way overrating them….