THE College Football Playoff Rankings Thread [MICH,WASH,TEX,ALA]

[Pancho 44487]

Heather Dinich has her projections up but they are behind a paywall. She’s the most connected/most credible analyst when it comes to this.

[mdmost 42865]

4 minutes ago, Steelers Roll Left said:

So Louisville beats Florida State, Washington beats Oregon, Georgia beats Bama….. still seems iffy for Horns to get into CFP with a 1-loss Ohio State, a close road loss to a better team than Texas’ one loss to OU at a neutral site.  Texas road win at Bama better than any OSU wins for sure, but OSU does have wins over ND and Penn State.  CFP Committee supposedly doesn’t award much credence for conference championships, but just selects what they believe to be the (4) best teams.  

No, it doesn't. We would have an extra game that tOSU wouldn't have. Their shot was to beat Michigan. They failed. They aren't backing into the playoffs over a 12 win Texas. Come on man. They don't have a win over the SEC runner up. Their best win is a team that didn't qualify for the Big 10 title. A 3 point win over Notre Dame does not trump a 10 point win at Bama

Edited November 26, 2023 by mdmost

[Valmy77 13094]

2 minutes ago, Steelers Roll Left said:

So Louisville beats Florida State, Washington beats Oregon, Georgia beats Bama….. still seems iffy for Horns to get into CFP with a 1-loss Ohio State, a close road loss to a better team than Texas’ one loss to OU at a neutral site.  Texas road win at Bama better than any OSU wins for sure, but OSU does have wins over ND and Penn State.  CFP Committee supposedly doesn’t award much credence for conference championships, but just selects what they believe to be the (4) best teams.  

I think having better wins trumps having better losses.

Edited November 26, 2023 by Valmy77

[Jewish Wang 111]

27 minutes ago, Paul Wesley said:

You're probably right.  

I think people are focused on them because the rankings have a ton of week-to-week momentum.  We should be getting the nod over them for now.  If they beat Washington, that would be a huge feather for their cap.

Don’t think so. OSU is significantly better than Tech. Both were whipped but I expect the margin between 6 and 7 to stay as it is for 5 and 6 this week. And we’re still behind the Ducks. Doesn’t matter - one of UW or UO will fall below us. We must have FSU or UM lose. There’s no other way. 

[wood 11164]

13 minutes ago, CastHorn said:

I think you all should all prepare yourselves for a 13-1 New Years 6 Bowl opportunity. All paths to the playoff never cleared. The ACC is desperate, no way Louisville receives fair officiating. That Oklahoma loss was terrible at the time, and it’s even more infuriating now.

Wait, are you actually saying the Refs favored FSU tonight vs Flawduh? The hell you say?

[TexEx15 17487]

6 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Heather Dinich has her projections up but they are behind a paywall. She’s the most connected/most credible analyst when it comes to this.

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

[wood 11164]

13 minutes ago, cabowabo said:

I’m at peace with whatever happens as far as the playoffs go. Losing to a subpar OU team that you should have beaten by 20 has consequences. Let’s just enjoy our New Year’s Day bowl victory against Tulane. 

Yep. Win the got damn Rig 12. Everything after that is gravy.

[Valmy77 13094]

Just now, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

Really? Son of a bitch.

Maybe it does matter more who you lost to than who you beat. My apologies @Steelers Roll Left

[RoyalBevo21 719]

1 minute ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

Get fucked with that. The love that Oregon is getting with a GD FCS game as part of their win totals is bullshit. The one good team they played, they lost to. 

[mdmost 42865]

1 minute ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

Makes sense. If we beat oSu, we move past Ohio State in the final poll. If FSU loses, we take their spot. Washington/Oregon move behind us. 

[A-Tex Devil 2445]

If we win and Louisville wins we are in. It’s that simple.  That’s the clearest path barring an Iowa miracle.  The committee has  never taken a 1 loss non conference champion over a 1 loss conference champion, so if Louisville wins and Bama wins, too, I’m not that worried.  I think Bama winning is a bigger upset though.  Wouldn’t be surprised if ACCCG is close to a pick ‘em.  

[Texas Wahoo 3383]

6 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

I think this could actually be better for us, as it suggests the Comittee wouldn’t be totally against putting a one loss team over an undefeated team. 

[chemHORN 1239]

4 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

Ohio State doesn't matter.  If we win we jump them.  I think we need 1 of Two scenarios to happen.  1.  Both FSU and Oregon lose (if Oregon wins in this scenario we might still make it but it would be whatever the committee wanted) or two of the undefeateds going down. If it came down to a handful of 1 loss teams for 2 spots, being conference Champs with a win over Bama and a bigger blowout over Tech (a shared opponent between us and Oregon) would be enough to get us one of the 2 available spots.  The one loss teams that aren't conference Champs would fall behind the conference Champs by default with the committee.  

[Jewish Wang 111]

18 minutes ago, cabowabo said:

I’m at peace with whatever happens as far as the playoffs go. Losing to a subpar OU team that you should have beaten by 20 has consequences. Let’s just enjoy our New Year’s Day bowl victory against Tulane. 

I was at peace with it until Kate Beckinsale walked in my room naked, and then Auburn hit her with a late hit. And then about five minutes later, Sienna Miller eye fucked me from across the bar, then went home with a huge Penix. Two hours later, Sydney Sweeney called me to tell me she was heading over, but that fucking backup QB dork from FSU was texting me dick pics instead. 

[Roofle 266]

Edited November 26, 2023 by Roofle
muledick

[Jewish Wang 111]

12 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

Midwest cunt

[ATXbronco 4060]

Playoffs in no particular order =

• Georgia (unless they lose to Alabama)
• Michigan (unless they lose to Iowa)
• Washington or Oregon
• FSU (unless they lose to Louisville)

[Henry Hill 3156]

2 minutes ago, Jewish Wang said:

I was at peace with it until Kate Beckinsale walked in my room naked, and then Auburn hit her with a late hit. And then about five minutes later, Sienna Miller eye fucked me from across the bar, then went home with a huge Penix. Two hours later, Sydney Sweeney called me to tell me she was heading over, but that fucking backup QB dork from FSU was texting me dick pics instead. 

Username checks out

[89Horn 1492]

I’m just going to concentrate on Texas winning the conference championship.  Whatever the fuck happens after that happens with the committee doing what it does.  Fuck it.
 

neg away

[Jewish Wang 111]

1 minute ago, ATXbronco said:

Playoffs in no particular order =

• Georgia (unless they lose to Alabama)
• Michigan (unless they lose to Iowa)
• Washington or Oregon
• FSU (unless they lose to Louisville)

Well no fucking shit brah

[chemHORN 1239]

1 minute ago, ATXbronco said:

Playoffs in no particular order =

• Georgia (unless they lose to Alabama)
• Michigan (unless they lose to Iowa)
• Washington or Oregon
• FSU (unless they lose to Louisville)

Lottery numbers for tomorrow's drawing in no particular order: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (unless other numbers get drawn)

[chemHORN 1239]

2 minutes ago, 89Horn said:

I’m just going to concentrate on Texas winning the conference championship.  Whatever the fuck happens after that happens with the committee doing what it does.  Fuck it.
 

neg away

 nothing to neg.  Conference Championship is number 1 goal.  But it's fun to talk about what could happen and I'm afraid it's either playoff or NY6 bowl against a group of 5 team.  There really isn't an in between since the Sugar Bowl is a playoff game. 

Edited November 26, 2023 by chemHORN

[markstanco 12509]

Heather Dinich has her projections up but they are behind a paywall. She’s the most connected/most credible analyst when it comes to this.

Great post man.

[Nivek 16861]

FSU not losing tonight.  We didn't get much help today

Florida is dogshit.

[TexEx15 17487]

Texas win and FSU loss. 

 

 

[Billy Pilgrim 1913]

4 minutes ago, Roofle said:

They’d get a lot of shit if they put a 1 loss OSU in over a 1 loss conference champ in Texas. No one wants to see the same teams recycled over and over again. OSU’s best win is against a 2 loss PSU who can’t score. We’ve got a win over #8 team in the country.

[mdleast 8262]

Texas win and FSU loss. 

 
 

[Valmy77 13094]

4 minutes ago, 89Horn said:

I’m just going to concentrate on Texas winning the conference championship.  Whatever the fuck happens after that happens with the committee doing what it does.  Fuck it.
 

neg away

This is a mature and rational way of approaching our situation.

And I want no part of it.

[Valmy77 13094]

2 minutes ago, Billy Pilgrim said:

They’d get a lot of shit if they put a 1 loss OSU in over a 1 loss conference champ in Texas. No one wants to see the same teams recycled over and over again. OSU’s best win is against a 2 loss PSU who can’t score. We’ve got a win over #8 team in the country.

Well if you go by who has the best wins, sure.

But what about quality losses?

[Hornstrader 179]

22 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

She has 

1. Georgia

2. Michigan 

3. Washington 

4. Oregon 

5. Florida State

6. Ohio State 

7. Texas

 

She also said this is what she expects the next ranking to be but acknowledged there would be a strong likelihood we would jump OSU if we win next week 

[Billy Pilgrim 1913]

1 minute ago, Valmy77 said:

Well if you go by who has the best wins, sure.

But what about quality losses?

We’ve lost to #13 on neutral field in the last minute. That’s not a horrible loss. Our SOS is much better than those ahead of us. I think people would prefer to see what Texas can do instead of watching OSU come up short like they have done for the last 5 years.

[markstanco 12509]

This is a mature and rational way of approaching our situation.
And I want no part of it.

Agree. Winning the conference with a single loss in a rivalry game and not getting in would be tough to swallow.

[DanTheHorn 4901]

54 minutes ago, Vic Mackey said:

Do we really think if Bama beats Georgia, that the committee leaves out the SEC from the playoffs? I just don't see that happening. ESPN runs college football and they aren't leaving their golden child conference in the dark.

I feel the winner of the SEC and Pac 12 games get in. Leaving 2 spots. Michigan is almost a lock to beat Iowa. Leaving 1 spot. Which is either us or Florida State. They win, they are absolutely in, even though they will get drilled the first game.

I guess we could hope Iowa wins as that puts us in but how likely is that?

Since we are doing this for fun lets say Texas lays a UCF style beating on OKST and Alabama beats Georgia 17 to 14 after Georgia has a bad game with like 4 stupid turnovers and Bama has no turnovers. Is SEC still in?

[DanTheHorn 4901]

19 minutes ago, markstanco said:

Agree. Winning the conference with a single loss in a rivalry game and not getting in would be tough to swallow.

It will be nothing like beating OU head to head and a few coaches vote you way low to make sure you don't get ranked ahead of OU. Only thing that would match it is if it is Alabama that gets in.

Edited November 26, 2023 by DanTheHorn

[wutang75 434]

This just isn’t a year of upsets - it’s infuriating that it happens to be the year that we have a team that is probably a top 3 team talent wise. The shit ain’t happening. We have gotten zero help and today was just continuous kicks to the balls.

The loss to a mid OU team was colossal and we will be saying “what if” for years to come.

(Unless FSU loses then maybe?) lulz

[Valmy77 13094]

6 minutes ago, wutang75 said:

The loss to a mid OU team was colossal and we will be saying “what if” for years to come.

What? Don't be ridiculous.

[TX Wing Fan 132]

When comparing 1 loss teams, I believe that the committee would give priority to those who have won their conference championship game. Only exception to this would be Georgia, as I fear that they'd try to sneak in both Bama and and the 2-time defending national champions (it's not fair, but I could see them doing it).

SEC, B10, and PAC are all probably getting at least 1 team in no matter what at this point. We need Georgia to win and FSU to lose to make it in. There's also a chance we could jump another 1 lose conference champion if we obliterate okie lite like 45-0 (see tOSU in 2014), but it's unlikely.

It's unfortunate, but in terms of playoff contention we probably picked the worst year in the last 10 to be a 1 loss team.

[Billy Pilgrim 1913]

Nether Georgia or Alabama looked great tonight. Would be extremely unfortunate if they put those 2 teams in ahead of Texas.

[TKthunder2 4981]

Georgia played nobody out of conference. If they lose they are out.

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

We have a lot of data points in our favor. I have no idea why those data points don’t already have us over Oregon, or over Ohio state if the next ranking follows what’s been posted here anecdotally.  I have no idea if those data points will win out in the only ranking that matters. 
 

i don’t know why that lady would have one 1 loss team over Washington, and especially the one with the most recent loss. I’m sure she dropped Texas after it’s last second loss to a top 10 team. 

[Hank_Hill 18494]

I want all of you dumb idiots worrying about 2 SEC teams to sit down and write “A ONE LOSS NON CONFERENCE CHAMPION IS NOT GETTING IN OVER A 1 LOSS CONFERENCE CHAMPION TEXAS” until you stop being a dumb idiot.

[JGrayDBU 336]

I'll be a contrarian and say I think Iowa has a good chance to at least expose Michigan, and maybe even beat them.  How about a 9-6 victory for Michigan or maybe even 9-6 Iowa?

[wood 11164]

46 minutes ago, Nivek said:

Florida is dogshit.

 

46 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

Texas win and FSU loss. 

 

 

Yep, and if FSU makes the playoff, they'll get their shit pushed in.

[The_Great_Hornsby 3329]

26 minutes ago, Hank_Hill said:

I want all of you dumb idiots worrying about 2 SEC teams to sit down and write “A ONE LOSS NON CONFERENCE CHAMPION IS NOT GETTING IN OVER A 1 LOSS CONFERENCE CHAMPION TEXAS” until you stop being a dumb idiot.

[Coelenterate Fuccboi 13010]

52 minutes ago, TX Wing Fan said:

When comparing 1 loss teams, I believe that the committee would give priority to those who have won their conference championship game. Only exception to this would be Georgia, as I fear that they'd try to sneak in both Bama and and the 2-time defending national champions (it's not fair, but I could see them doing it).

SEC, B10, and PAC are all probably getting at least 1 team in no matter what at this point. We need Georgia to win and FSU to lose to make it in. There's also a chance we could jump another 1 lose conference champion if we obliterate okie lite like 45-0 (see tOSU in 2014), but it's unlikely.

It's unfortunate, but in terms of playoff contention we probably picked the worst year in the last 10 to be a 1 loss team.

I think the conference championships are being considered playoff games in this situation.

[CastHorn 794]

6 minutes ago, BeardIP said:

This is pretty much where I land.

We've been banking on some degree and element of chaos that is seemingly not coming. Some years it be like that and all the #1 seeds make the Final 4, some years none do. Hard to be mad when the locus of control was cast externally by losing to OU on that last drive.

I’m having a blast this season. It’s absolutely a blessing to be in the conversation this late. Though it really would be disappointing if we don’t get a shot at the playoffs with the talent on this team. Sweat, Sanders, Mitchell, Murphy, Watts, Ford, Jones, Worthy, etc. We have NFL guys all over the roster. It makes me a bit bitter when I look at the teams likely to be in the Playoff. Michigan? Never had to leave their little Big10 echo chamber once, never really challenged by a competent offense. Florida State? They were down by double digits to North Alabama at home last week with Jordan Travis. They had almost negative offensive production before a Florida player did a Triple H impression. Washington? They’re a solid team and they’ve found ways to win. Though I think a team like Georgia has a field day with their one dimensional structure. I wish these guys had another shot to show the country how good they can be.

[TonyTexas 10482]

4 hours ago, Hank_Hill said:

I want all of you dumb idiots worrying about 2 SEC teams to sit down and write “A ONE LOSS NON CONFERENCE CHAMPION IS NOT GETTING IN OVER A 1 LOSS CONFERENCE CHAMPION TEXAS” until you stop being a dumb idiot.

At the same time write “A 1 LOSS CONFERENCE CHAMP IS NOT GETTING IN OVER AN UNDEFEATED CONFERENCE CHAMP.”

[Wilcox Cummingtonite 2870]

[Nice Guy Eddie 13414]

The Washington-Oregon result will allow every voter to flip their votes in whatever order they want. We take care of business and we will jump Ohio State and FSU. The exception could be if FSU blows out Louisville.

[Dbeasy 14969]

Even though the Washington, FSU, and Bama games didn’t go well for Texas’ playoff chances, yesterday was a spectacular day of college football. Entertaining as hell. And so great when Texas is in the conversation. Every game has meaning.