Game Week Thread Game Week 13, 2023: Texas v OSU championship edition

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

Well, it’s been a long run and it ended the only way it could have- with the only big 12 team to have scoreboard on us. They suck. We should rectify that. By a lot. We either win by 31 or by 3, but either way, we are lots better than them. 

Someone on here said something about a month ago and I thought about it and decided- they are right. Basically, Texas just needs one team ahead of them to lose. And there were like 23 events that could happen. 23 team parleys never come through. So, I started betting money lines every week on the following teams in a parley: Georgia, FsU, Ohio State, Michigan, Oregon, Washington and Bama. Right now I’ve won 3 weeks in a row. Thats like 19 events in a row. We are down to 4 bets we can make for my emotional hedge- a 4 teammer with Washington, FSU, Michigan and Georgia. If those 4 all win we will be something like 23 out of 23 in events, any one of which happening, could have probably put Texas in the CFP or at least made it arguable that we should be in. 

So, fuck you Florda for taking your shot and missing. Thanks for not returning the great favor we did for you in 1996. Double fuck you Oregon state- you had a chance to take down 2 of those guys. And you Penn Stste. You should be embarrassed to consider yourselves a helmet school after you let Michigan literally run all over you. Kiffin and Tennessee, yall are both frauds, couldn’t even keep Georgia interested. Whatever. 
It looks for all the world like we are going to go 12-1 in the first year ever that we have 4 “better” conference champs and the last year ever for only 4 playoff teams. On some level that will be hard to accept,  but hopeful that the team goes out there, kicks ass and wins by half a hundred again and gives us the best chance to win the stupid beauty pageant and go ahead of Oregon or Bama if one or both of them win. 

Or, we could all root for a shitty Iowa team that couldn’t score if locked in a whorehouse or a Louisville team that couldn’t beat an also ran Mark Stoops team. 

Fuck you tech- how my ass taste?  Fuck you Yormark, hope you liked being clowned on our Jumbotron. 

We coming for you Gundy, one last game to have collective scoreboard forever (conference champs) and individual scoreboard forever on every team in this shit ass conference, forever. 
Game Week fellas, news, notes etc here. 

Edited November 26, 2023 by Wulaw Horn

[Xcalibur 546]

Wow, doing the parlay every week as an emotional hedge is brilliant.  Glad at least you’re making some lemonade out of all this.  What has the payoff been like?

We may miss out on the CFP this year, but you’re right in that 4 events still remain that conceivably could put Texas in.  And I don’t think there’s ever been a ccg week before that didn’t have at least one crazy upset.  For it to not happen again this week would be another first in an already low probability series of firsts.  
 

We just need to take care of our business, snatch the big 12 crown, and promptly shove it up yormark’s ass on our way out the door. Whether we’re in the CFP or cotton bowl doesn’t make a shit.  This is a great team and it has been an awesome ride.  The future is bright.

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

24 minutes ago, Xcalibur said:

Wow, doing the parlay every week as an emotional hedge is brilliant.  Glad at least you’re making some lemonade out of all this.  What has the payoff been like?

We may miss out on the CFP this year, but you’re right in that 4 events still remain that conceivably could put Texas in.  And I don’t think there’s ever been a ccg week before that didn’t have at least one crazy upset.  For it to not happen again this week would be another first in an already low probability series of firsts.  
 

We just need to take care of our business, snatch the big 12 crown, and promptly shove it up yormark’s ass on our way out the door. Whether we’re in the CFP or cotton bowl doesn’t make a shit.  This is a great team and it has been an awesome ride.  The future is bright.

Started at 20 and it’s been more or less 3X every week. Sitting around 400. 

Even mixed in big 12 the last 2 weeks and hit both those. Nothing has happened for us. 

[DaysOff 7943]

1 hour ago, Xcalibur said:

Wow, doing the parlay every week as an emotional hedge is brilliant.  Glad at least you’re making some lemonade out of all this.  What has the payoff been like?

We may miss out on the CFP this year, but you’re right in that 4 events still remain that conceivably could put Texas in.  And I don’t think there’s ever been a ccg week before that didn’t have at least one crazy upset.  For it to not happen again this week would be another first in an already low probability series of firsts.  
 

We just need to take care of our business, snatch the big 12 crown, and promptly shove it up yormark’s ass on our way out the door. Whether we’re in the CFP or cotton bowl doesn’t make a shit.  This is a great team and it has been an awesome ride.  The future is bright.

 

That typically happened in the Big12 ccg. Let's not do that.

[gofuckyourself 8195]

1 hour ago, Wulaw Horn said:

It looks for all the world like we are going to go 12-2 in the first year ever that we have 4 “better” conference champs and the last year ever for only 4 playoff teams. 

12-1

13-1 when we crush whoever the fuck in the "We Shoulda Been In The CFP" bowl.

But we can still get to 14-1 dammit.

 

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

18 minutes ago, gofuckyourself said:

12-1

13-1 when we crush whoever the fuck in the "We Shoulda Been In The CFP" bowl.

But we can still get to 14-1 dammit.

 

Typo- changed it to 12-1. 

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

Let's hope we get the Oklahoma State team from the last 3 weeks. 

1) 42 point loss to 6-6 UCF

2) Struggled against 4-8 Houston

3) OT with 5-7 BYU. 

[Horn Dogg 3868]

Don’t let Gundy out coach us

Don’t let Gundy out coach us

Don’t let Gundy out coach us

[Atticus 3973]

OkSt is better than they played against BYU. 

BYU is bad against the run, but they didn't respect OkSt's passing game enough to take more people out of the box. BYU won the line of scrimmage against them too, which is a bad bad omen for them against us. 

Bowman might be the least mobile QB we've faced this year. I think Slovis moves better. OkSt has a weaker OL as well. I'm not sure how he hasn't taken more sacks.

 

They'll need to hit multiple big shots throwing the ball for this one to stay close unless we really step all over our dicks like we tried to do early against Tech.

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

11 minutes ago, Atticus said:

OkSt is better than they played against BYU. 

 

They haven't been the last 3 weeks. They were worse against UCF and played about the same against Houston. 

[Atticus 3973]

Not gonna argue semantics. UCF with Plumlee isn't that bad. The conditions were poor, and they didn't run Ollie into the ground. They need Ollie going wild for them to be competitive offensively.

Defensively, my main concern would be their defensive front getting pressure on Quinn.

I think we could run the ball 66% of the time and give Quinn wide open throws 33% of the time and win this game by 20+

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

3 minutes ago, Atticus said:

Not gonna argue semantics. UCF with Plumlee isn't that bad. The conditions were poor, and they didn't run Ollie into the ground. They need Ollie going wild for them to be competitive offensively.

Defensively, my main concern would be their defensive front getting pressure on Quinn.

I think we could run the ball 66% of the time and give Quinn wide open throws 33% of the time and win this game by 20+

They were a couple plays away from being 0-3 against a 6-6, 4-8, and 5-7 team the last 3 weeks. There's really no way to spin it. Oklahoma State has been fucking awful for about a month. 

But I will agree that the Oklahoma and K-State games show that Oklahoma State has the ability to at least play at an above average level. 

[Chad 1728]

Time to end the 14 year drought. Texas matches up with Okie St extremely well.

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

in on page 1

[hornian 5210]

It’s time we add a mullet scalp to our 2023 belt. 
 

Fuck that OAN watching fraud. 

[BigOrange1 6432]

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Nothing has happened for us. 

it was damn close last night

[Atticus 3973]

Thankfully BYU ran out of magic in their underwear after the first half

I think Sitake's conservative nature ultimately did them in, and made this title game much easier

Edited November 26, 2023 by Atticus

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

2 minutes ago, Hagbard Celine said:

it was damn close last night

I know.  Which was gutting.  4/1 on own 27.  another game up 12-0 with a terrible backup QB for the other team.  4th and goal from the 31 with basically no time left.  And we went 0-3.  Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck

[Atticus 3973]

Louisville will get the job done. Rodemaker is bad bad.

It would have been more reassuring if Florida won, but I'm glad they aren't going to a bowl game for recruiting reasons.

I could see Bama beating Georgia too. The first is more of a guarantee if it happens though. 

[Neonmoon 38129]

Fuck OSU. I hope we put 50 on them and bury them 

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

Lets hope this holds true. 

 

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

8 minutes ago, Atticus said:

Louisville will get the job done. Rodemaker is bad bad.

It would have been more reassuring if Florida won, but I'm glad they aren't going to a bowl game for recruiting reasons.

I could see Bama beating Georgia too. The first is more of a guarantee if it happens though. 

there is one more wildcard i haven't seen anyone dare to write in words.....

i will spoil it for those that want to guess first
 

Spoiler

tuesday night:

1 dawg

2 meatchicken

3 washington

4 florida state

5 bama

6 texas

7 oregon

8 jort

9 louisville

 

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

1 minute ago, Rickylovesweed said:

Lets hope this holds true. 

 

Wonder who those 2 are...

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

1 minute ago, Hagbard Celine said:

there is one more wildcard i haven't seen anyone dare to write in words.....

i will spoil it for those that want to guess first
 

  Hide contents

tuesday night:

1 dawg

2 meatchicken

3 washington

4 florida state

5 bama

6 texas

7 oregon

8 jort

9 louisville

 

I can't fathom Bama moving up after needing a miracle to escape the iron bowl.  But, that would be just about perfect for us if that's where the rankings sit on Tuesday night (won't be). 

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

that's got to be straight up not against the spread

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

Just now, Wulaw Horn said:

I can't fathom Bama moving up after needing a miracle to escape the iron bowl.  But, that would be just about perfect for us if that's where the rankings sit on Tuesday night (won't be). 

it's the perfect time to hide the move and will drive the aggy BOMC crowd absolutely insane

therefore, i predict it will happen

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

furthermore - it almost has to be done - saban wins - he's in - and you are setting that up with this move that smokescreens the shell game just behind

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

6 minutes ago, Hagbard Celine said:

that's got to be straight up not against the spread

Correct.  But it's still amazing.  

[Atticus 3973]

8 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Wonder who those 2 are...

USC against Utah

Clemson against Duke?

[Hagbard Celine 10848]

4 minutes ago, Atticus said:

USC against Utah

Clemson against Duke?

no - and here's the spoiled prediction - had to make it openly in the playoff ranking thread

tuesday night:

1 dawg

2 meatchicken

3 washington

4 florida state

5 bama

6 texas

7 oregon

8 jort

9 louisville

[Atticus 3973]

@Hagbard Celine

I've already verified it, and it's a stupid stat, but those are the two losses.

USC (preseason #6) was a 10.5 pt favorite at home against Utah and lost 34-32.

Clemson (preseason #9) was a 13 pt favorite on the road against Duke and lost 28-7. 

[gmr548 16575]

17 minutes ago, Atticus said:

USC against Utah

Clemson against Duke?

Man I forgot about Clemson-Duke lol. I would bet Clemson is at least one if not both of those losses.

Not sure how much ND was favored over Louisville, that was pretty early in the year and could have met the criteria.

EDIT: Interesting that USC-Utah qualifies. I am surprised they were favored by so much, feel like the book was written on USC by then and everyone knew that would be a tossup. Didn't realize they were such heavy favorites.

Edited November 26, 2023 by gmr548

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

2 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Man I forgot about Clemson-Duke lol. I would bet Clemson is at least one if not both of those losses.

Not sure how much ND was favored over Louisville, that was pretty early in the year and could have met the criteria.

EDIT: Interesting that USC-Utah qualifies. I am surprised they were favored by so much, feel like the book was written on USC by then and everyone knew that would be a tossup. Didn't realize they were such heavy favorites.

Utah sucks. Everyone knew it. They just didn’t realize yet how much USC also sucked. 

[DanTheHorn 4913]

I want a 2005 BIG XII championship experience. I will take the 2009 type win. Hope the team is lose and ready to go but not over confident like the guys that lost the 1st ever BIG  XII. Lets bookend this mutha fucker!

[Surly Bevo 24908]

Team needs to be mentally ready for a heavy dose of Gordon, Gundy doing what BYU tried to do to him (onsides kicks, fake punts, etc) and refs to take some points off the board.

[Wulaw Horn 19063]

3 hours ago, Surly Bevo said:

Team needs to be mentally ready for a heavy dose of Gordon, Gundy doing what BYU tried to do to him (onsides kicks, fake punts, etc) and refs to take some points off the board.

Hope we get a heavy dose of Gordon, that will just lead to wasted plays and possessions for them.  As for the other stuff it’s a high variance play. Might help us win my 50 which is obviously what we want from a playoff style points perspective.  

[ousux 5595]

I'm not a betting man, but anyone who put some real money on Okie Lite making it to the CCG before the season started just got a nice little Christmas bonus. It's been a crazy year in CFB, but I'm here for it.

[Homercles 10205]

1 hour ago, ousux said:

I'm not a betting man, but anyone who put some real money on Okie Lite making it to the CCG before the season started just got a nice little Christmas bonus. It's been a crazy year in CFB, but I'm here for it.

We were picked to finish anywhere between 5th and 9th.  Most Pokes I’ve talked to feel like we are playing with house money at this point…so throw it all against the wall, and see what sticks.  Loose Gundy can be DangerGundy, however…

Seems to me that Gordon has been playing really banged up the last few games, which we all knew was coming.  Honestly Bowman has played that way a bit too.  As always, our lack of a 2-deep full of 4/5 star talent hurts unless everything goes smoothly.  Always been jealous of y’all’s recruiting, even if you didn’t always make the most of it. 

Edited November 27, 2023 by Homercles

[Skipper 6127]

PSA:  Looks like OSU must have returned a bunch of tickets because there are a bunch of "non resale" tickets released today.  Also PSA, I think they significantly mispriced face for this.  $190 for uppers, $520 for 200 club level.  Those would have sold out for OU but not for this matchup.  

[MuellerHorn 4227]

8 hours ago, Hagbard Celine said:

there is one more wildcard i haven't seen anyone dare to write in words.....

i will spoil it for those that want to guess first
 

  Hide contents

tuesday night:

1 dawg

2 meatchicken

3 washington

4 florida state

5 bama

6 texas

7 oregon

8 jort

9 louisville

 

Louisville lost this week. They won’t move up. 

[GoPokes83 2240]

We were picked to finish anywhere between 5th and 9th.  Most Pokes I’ve talked to feel like we are playing with house money at this point…so throw it all against the wall, and see what sticks.  Loose Gundy can be DangerGundy, however…
Seems to me that Gordon has been playing really banged up the last few games, which we all knew was coming.  Honestly Bowman has played that way a bit too.  As always, our lack of a 2-deep full of 4/5 star talent hurts unless everything goes smoothly.  Always been jealous of y’all’s recruiting, even if you didn’t always make the most of it. 

Presley won the Houston game for us, and Gordon just hasn’t looked the same since he was basically a no show at UCF. Still always dangerous but nowhere as explosive as before.

[HenryJames 66033]

9 minutes ago, GoPokes83 said:

Presley won the Houston game for us, and Gordon just hasn’t looked the same since he was basically a no show at UCF. Still always dangerous but nowhere as explosive as before.

Did he hurt his ankle at some point?

[GoPokes83 2240]

Did he hurt his ankle at some point?

Yeah, he’s been somewhat banged up the last couple of games. He’ll show a limp after one play then seem normal the next but he still continues to produce. Obviously much tougher than I am. Wish we had a prep week before the CCG week.

[Skipper 6127]

From what I've seen of Gordon (whihc hasn't been a ton) he's a different type of runner than we've faced.   Has great vision and elite cut back ability.  He's not going to just run straight into the line and rely on contact balance to gain yards like Tahj Brooks.  Gap assignment from our younger players will be important.   Can't allow Bowman to get in any kind of a rhythm or get comfortable.  He seems like the type of QB that can get hot if he's comfortable but will turn it over if behind the chains and under pressure.    On offense the yards will be there to be had all over the place.  Ewers just needs to be patient and not make mistakes.  He played probably his worst game of his career last year against these guys (well, either them or against TCU).   This is a great matchup for us on paper.  Of course so was Auburn for Bama last week. And I'm sure both KSU and OU thought the same thing when they matched up.   Hopefully the team is able to keep the same focus and intensity they played with the last 6 quarters and ignore all the outside playoff noise that will be dominating media and social media discussion this week.  

[Js1 85258]

Just now, Skipper said:

He played probably his worst game of his career last year against these guys

That was the game that he was clearly hurt and wearing the glove?

[Tex Long 4382]

Take care o' bidness: Win big, shut out Fightin' Gundys. 

[Skipper 6127]

8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That was the game that he was clearly hurt and wearing the glove?

I remember some speculation he was hurt.  I also remember he constantly tried to force the ball to Worthy in double coverage while also missing every deep shot horribly.   I also seem to recall swirling winds that fucked with us.  But it was just awful across the board down the stretch as we couldn't run for shit in the 2nd half either.  Just pulled box score, and yeah, we had 3 second half points.  Ewers was 19-49 for 319, 2 TD's and 3INT's.  We were 3/17 on 3rd down and 0/2 on 4th.  Also, of course, 14 penalties for 119 (and zero for OSU).  Obviously we can fully expect similar officiating if not somehow worse.   I don't think Gundy is dumb enough (and will make sure his players aren't dumb enough) to give us bulletin board material.  But hopefully that loss still stings.

[gmr548 16575]

That was the game that he was clearly hurt and wearing the glove?

I think more than anything it was the game Sark kept calling slow developing deep shots with a QB that couldn’t hit them, in 20 mph winds in that weirdly oriented stadium at that.

[MissingInAction 25002]

Gundy is such fucking trash and exactly what okie lite deserves.

We win by 40.