Game Week Thread Game Week 13, 2023: Texas v OSU championship edition

[Pokoloco 1279]

We're playing with house money. This is a 2-10 team that bumblefucked (aka Gundied) its way to a 9-3 season.

If we play loose with a nothing to lose attitude and Texas plays tight...this can be interesting.

[texifornia 56862]

 

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

22 hours ago, Homercles said:

We were picked to finish anywhere between 5th and 9th.  

Thing is that is about where Oklahoma State finished. 

T-2nd. If Daniels is healthy for Kansas that's probably a L, a play or 2 away from a L against OU, a play or 2 away from a L against BYU, etc. We're talking 2 or 3 plays from Oklahoma State finishing T-7th or T-8th in the Big 12. 

[ousux 5596]

That was the game that he was clearly hurt and wearing the glove?

Yes, and after the season we learned he fucked up a finger on his throwing hand the day before the game. I wouldn't blame only that for the loss, our defense couldn't get a stop that day.

[Wulaw Horn 19065]

8 hours ago, Pokoloco said:

We're playing with house money. This is a 2-10 team that bumblefucked (aka Gundied) its way to a 9-3 season.

If we play loose with a nothing to lose attitude and Texas plays tight...this can be interesting.

I mean, no. 

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

Anybody have Bill Connelly's post-game win expectancy (SP+) this season for Oklahoma State? 

Maybe @NoName or @Hiphopopotamos

Edited November 28, 2023 by Rickylovesweed

[HRSchenker 2268]

Just bought my tickets. Section 101 baby! FUCK BRETT YORMARK

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

Nevermind, I found the post-game win expectancy for Oklahoma State. 

30.2% win-expectancy vs Iowa State

38.% win-expectancy vs OU

56.8% win-expectancy vs KU 

1% win-expectancy vs UCF

1% win-expectancy vs South Alabama. 

Only surprised by the BYU game. A 95% win expectancy for Oklahoma State?  They were dominated in their 3 losses and probably should have 4 or 5 losses. 

[Homercles 10205]

1 hour ago, Rickylovesweed said:

Thing is that is about where Oklahoma State finished. 

T-2nd. If Daniels is healthy for Kansas that's probably a L, a play or 2 away from a L against OU, a play or 2 away from a L against BYU, etc. We're talking 2 or 3 plays from Oklahoma State finishing T-7th or T-8th in the Big 12. 

Well yeah?  If it weren’t for a 49 yard FG against TCU maybe it goes to OT or KSU doesn’t FAFO…y’all aren’t in the playoff discussion.  That’s football.  

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

7 minutes ago, Homercles said:

Well yeah?  If it weren’t for a 49 yard FG against TCU maybe it goes to OT or KSU doesn’t FAFO…y’all aren’t in the playoff discussion.  That’s football.  

Possibly but the only games Texas has dropped below about the 65% win-expectancy threshold this year are against OU and TCU. 

Contrary to popular belief, Texas has actually been dominating teams. 

Edited November 28, 2023 by Rickylovesweed

[Dark Horse 2279]

 

[Rickylovesweed 14262]

Here's more data on post-game win expectancies. This is even more than what I expected compared to SP+. 

 

[dr99 559]

3 hours ago, Rickylovesweed said:

Here's more data on post-game win expectancies. This is even more than what I expected compared to SP+. 

 

Somebody show this to the committee. Florida State and Washington shouldn't be in the playoffs and will get their ass kicked.

[texifornia 56862]

 

[texifornia 56862]

 

[ousux 5596]

We're playing with house money. This is a 2-10 team that bumblefucked (aka Gundied) its way to a 9-3 season.
If we play loose with a nothing to lose attitude and Texas plays tight...this can be interesting.

Nope, this is a decent team who Gundied their way to 3 losses, but also Gundied their way to 9 wins and a deserved spot in the CCG. Anyone who expects the Pokes to be sand aggy 2.0 are misguided at best. No way we should lose to this team, but in spite of this past Friday we've made winning look far too hard this season in many games.

[Jiggy-Z 3432]

22 minutes ago, texifornia said:

 

Not a popular opinion, but that is my favorite crew.

Individually not as good as Johnson/Klatt but work better together.

McDonough doesn't really like Texas but I like his delivery.

[closetojumping 62552]

25 minutes ago, texifornia said:

 

I really like this crew. Is Molly McGrath the hottest sideline reporter in CFB? I'd take her over Katie George and Taft, and they're both good looking. Who else could compete? I know @SydneyCarton was telling me the other day that he found Kris Budden's fivehead pretty sexy, but I don't get that one.

[FloridaHorn 4753]

6 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

I really like this crew. Is Molly McGrath the hottest sideline reporter in CFB? I'd take her over Katie George and Taft, and they're both good looking. Who else could compete? I know @SydneyCarton was telling me the other day that he found Kris Budden's fivehead pretty sexy, but I don't get that one.

That's weird...I took @SydneyCarton as more of a Holly Rowe guy.

[BrazilHorn 6586]

1 hour ago, FloridaHorn said:

That's weird...I took @SydneyCarton as more of a Holly Rowe guy.

I thought  @SydneyCarton did AMSR therapy to Beth Mowins’ voice. 

Edited November 29, 2023 by BrazilHorn

[Js1 85275]

1 hour ago, texifornia said:

 

Greg McElroy has been pretty vocal about Texas remaining over Alabama if they both win on Saturday, no? 

If so, I like that.  Let him keep talking about it for 4 hours on Saturday morning to the whole country.

[SydneyCarton 48054]

You fucking twats. 

[BurntOrange&White 39930]

1 hour ago, closetojumping said:

I really like this crew. Is Molly McGrath the hottest sideline reporter in CFB? I'd take her over Katie George and Taft, and they're both good looking. Who else could compete? I know @SydneyCarton was telling me the other day that he found Kris Budden's fivehead pretty sexy, but I don't get that one.

 

55 minutes ago, FloridaHorn said:

That's weird...I took @SydneyCarton as more of a Holly Rowe guy.

I figured he's more of a Beth Mowins guy.

Edited November 29, 2023 by BurntOrange&White

[Tex Pete 20330]

18 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Greg McElroy has been pretty vocal about Texas remaining over Alabama if they both win on Saturday, no? 

If so, I like that.  Let him keep talking about it for 4 hours on Saturday morning to the whole country.

Just don't let them make you follow a network script, Greg. We know you're reading this...

[Tex Pete 20330]

2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

You fucking twats. 

It's OK. Apparently you and Kermit the Frog have at least one common interest. Maybe a couple, if you count a taste for bacon as a separate interest.

 

[StassneyHorn 6573]

McElroy will be making arguments for Texas the whole game should the team get ahead early

[LTtxfan 49142]

Nelly and "The Undertaker"

 

[Tex Pete 20330]

13 minutes ago, LTtxfan said:

Nelly and "The Undertaker"

 

Maybe the Undertaker can put Yormark in a coffin and push it off the Loge level. Or better yet, stuff him into an urn.

[UTexasFight 9428]

Isn’t the undertaker at just about every UT home game?
 

But whatever. That should play well with our friends from mobilehoma 

[dcar00 14153]

2 hours ago, Js1 said:

Greg McElroy has been pretty vocal about Texas remaining over Alabama if they both win on Saturday, no? 

If so, I like that.  Let him keep talking about it for 4 hours on Saturday morning to the whole country.

This.  McElroy has been trying to argue logic over the idiots, even as it relates to Oregon.  We need to win but it would be nice if we could roll.

[Js1 85275]

2 hours ago, BurntOrange&White said:

 

I figured he's more of a Beth Mowins guy.

Well, *I* like Beth Mowins.

So there.

[4th&Five 41506]

 

[joeycovers 391]

10 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

This.  McElroy has been trying to argue logic over the idiots, even as it relates to Oregon.  We need to win but it would be nice if we could roll.

Wasnt a fan of the 11AM kick time but the committee watches the championship week games all together. Thats the only game of importance on at that time.  B10 and ACC will be sharing TV time. Maybe Greg can talk some sense to those buffoons when Texas is up 30+ in the 4th Q

[ztejas 43411]

3 hours ago, ousux said:

Anyone who expects the Pokes to be sand aggy 2.0 are misguided at best. No way we should lose to this team, but in spite of this past Friday we've made winning look far too hard this season in many games.

Vegas (and the betting public - as evidenced by a 3.0 point shift already) likes us a point less on Saturday than they did against Tech. At home. 

osu is about to get their shit fucking fucked up.

You know what the spread was in '05 against CU?

Texas -15.5

Edited November 29, 2023 by ztejas

[TexEx15 17509]

I appreciate the timing of the announcement.

[Js1 85275]

I mean....

I get it.  OSU was picked 7th and are in the champ game.  Texas was picked first and finished 1st and in the champ game.

Sark met expectations. Gundy blew them away.

[Mikey4 2476]

7 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

I appreciate the timing of the announcement.

Reminds me of Briles' vote in 2008. Fuck this trash conference.

[Duane Moore 5237]

1 hour ago, Tex Pete said:

Maybe the Undertaker can put Yormark in a coffin and push it off the Loge level. Or better yet, stuff him into an urn.

Texas wins, confetti comes down, everyone is cheering, then all the lights go out and the gong hits. Crowd goes nuts and Taker comes out to deliver a Tombstone to Yormark on the 50 yard line. 

Edited November 29, 2023 by Duane Moore

[Valmy77 13225]

14 minutes ago, joeycovers said:

Wasnt a fan of the 11AM kick time but the committee watches the championship week games all together. Thats the only game of importance on at that time.  B10 and ACC will be sharing TV time. Maybe Greg can talk some sense to those buffoons when Texas is up 30+ in the 4th Q

I love that start time. It might be a distraction for the team to already know if FSU won. We can focus on our game and worry about the other games that impact us afterwards.

I remember what happened in 2001, when the games went our way earlier in the day and that seemed to distract the team and they didn't get their shit together until Colorado was way ahead.

[ousux 5596]

Vegas (and the betting public - as evidenced by a 3.0 point shift already) likes us a point less on Saturday than they did against Tech. At home. 
osu is about to get their shit fucking fucked up.
You know what the spread was in '05 against CU?
Texas -15.5

Even if the Pokes talent level is roughly the same as sand aggy, the Gundy factor can make the difference. Last week we faced a high school coach in his second season vs this week one of the longest tenured college coaches, (managed to beat big bro this season, same team that beat us) and has had recent success against Texas with a similar talent deficit. Vegas knows things, but they arent infallible.

[joeycovers 391]

Just now, Valmy77 said:

I love that start time. It might be a distraction for the team to already know if FSU won. We can focus on our game and worry about the other games that impact us afterwards.

I remember what happened in 2001, when the games went our way earlier in the day and that seemed to distract the team and they didn't get their shit together until Colorado was way ahead.

I believe the Tenn/Fla game went final right before kickoff. 

 

too soon

[hook me 2092]

21 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I mean....

I get it.  OSU was picked 7th and are in the champ game.  Texas was picked first and finished 1st and in the champ game.

Sark met expectations. Gundy blew them away.

STFU with this bullshit. Sark was the coach of the year plain and simple. Gundy got waxed by UCF & beat by a bad ISU team. The premise of a coach who has been at his school for almost 20 years winning COTY because his team was supposed to suck but didn't is stupid. 

Edited November 29, 2023 by hook me

[dcar00 14153]

21 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I mean....

I get it.  OSU was picked 7th and are in the champ game.  Texas was picked first and finished 1st and in the champ game.

Sark met expectations. Gundy blew them away.

eh, there is no juice for the Big 12 in having a head coach as the COY recruiting in another conference.

[Valmy77 13225]

Yeah they weren't going to give us crap on the way out. No big deal.

The only award we want is the conference championship trophy. The other guys can win all the popularity contest awards.

[Js1 85275]

4 minutes ago, hook me said:

STFU with this bullshit. Sark was the coach of the year plain and simple. Gundy got waxed by UCF & beat by a bad ISU team. The premise of a coach who has been at his school for almost 20 years winning COTY because his team was supposed to suck but didn't is stupid. 

You need to chill out today. 

[dcar00 14153]

5 minutes ago, ousux said:

25 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Vegas (and the betting public - as evidenced by a 3.0 point shift already) likes us a point less on Saturday than they did against Tech. At home. 
osu is about to get their shit fucking fucked up.
You know what the spread was in '05 against CU?
Texas -15.5

Even if the Pokes talent level is roughly the same as sand aggy, the Gundy factor can make the difference. Last week we faced a high school coach in his second season vs this week one of the longest tenured college coaches, (managed to beat big bro this season, same team that beat us) and has had recent success against Texas with a similar talent deficit. Vegas knows things, but they arent infallible.

Vegas is betting on our ability to shut down the run.  if we do it will be ugly, if we don't will probably be a nail-biter.

[BurntOrange&White 39930]

I’m sure Sark would take a conference championship over an award for coaching. 

[Biff Tannen 45665]

11 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

 

I remember what happened in 2001, when the games went our way earlier in the day and that seemed to distract the team and they didn't get their shit together until Colorado was way ahead.

Yes, certainly a change at a crucial position had nothing to do with it.

[hook me 2092]

3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

You need to chill out today. 

I'm plenty chill & thankful for the bulletin board material for the championship game - if there was need for any. That doesn't change the fact that Gundy getting it because they beat OU is idiotic & defending that selection by saying "well we're supposed to be good and they weren't" is a terrible take. 

[Bevo14 8303]

3 hours ago, ousux said:

On 11/27/2023 at 11:50 AM, Pokoloco said:

We're playing with house money. This is a 2-10 team that bumblefucked (aka Gundied) its way to a 9-3 season.
If we play loose with a nothing to lose attitude and Texas plays tight...this can be interesting.

Nope, this is a decent team who Gundied their way to 3 losses, but also Gundied their way to 9 wins and a deserved spot in the CCG. Anyone who expects the Pokes to be sand aggy 2.0 are misguided at best. No way we should lose to this team, but in spite of this past Friday we've made winning look far too hard this season in many games.

All I know is that they have an immobile QB and their offense runs through their RB, which plays right into our defense's strengths.