2024 Rain Thread: All Your El Nino Are Belong to Us

[Guest]

Good riddance to the hot and dry 2023 (Mabry/Airport ended up with 27" of rain).

May 2024 see rainfall above average and spread nicely through the year.

First up, a week where rainfall is predicted at 0.5" to 1.0" in the Austin area, with us of course being on the edge. Let's see how disappointed we can start the new year...

 

[UnivTex34 1763]

It’s never going to rain again.

[miguelito 11266]

[gurt 749]

Some decently heavy stuff right where it’s been needed most (Boerne to Burnet)

[Guest]

Yeah, seems like it's been heavier in the Hill country than was predicted. 

[miguelito 11266]

1 hour ago, gurt said:

Some decently heavy stuff right where it’s been needed most (Boerne to Burnet)

Already 0.54" at my house in Boerne.

So I guess we're on pace for almost 100" of rain in 2024.  But it will probably be closer to 0.54" total.

[InkaUtexas 25955]

Getting hammered in San Marcos. And not just the coeds

[troph 24821]

Approaching an inch in out in Lakeway/Spicewood. Very nice.

[InkaUtexas 25955]

So you still like an inch?

[Pimphand 5763]

29 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Getting hammered in San Marcos. And not just the coeds

Yeah 78704 is getting tossed up too has been raining on and off since 2pm but really picked up the pace around 6:15

[jimmyjazz 45971]

LCRA sez 1.52" in the last 6 hours, Northwest Hills (Austin).

My weeds are thrilled.

[3adays 454]

2.5” just outside of Dripping Springs. Nice start to the year! 

[troph 24821]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

LCRA sez 1.52" in the last 6 hours, Northwest Hills (Austin).

My weeds are thrilled.

We tried corn meal as an preemergent this year so far so good.

[InkaUtexas 25955]

works for weeds, not burrs

[South Austin 52518]

Man, fuck all this rain.

[jimmyjazz 45971]

KXAN is saying Camp Mabry got 1.28", which is almost half of the January average (2.64").  

It would be so nice to get a head start before the blast furnace kicks in.

[Guest]

Yeah, seems like the rain projections were about 50 miles east of where they ended up, which is good for us. I got 1.5". 

[Biff Tannen 45691]

Water is falling out there and tomorrow is trash day, so I guess I have to get up by 5:30 and get them out to the curb. Dammit. 

[berlinerbaer 678]

is belong

[utee94 15830]

Negatory on the ol' is there, Red Ryder

 

 

[NorthLoop 14215]

Steady hard rain all morning in NB. Looks like a line of storms headed east as well. We'll see if it holds up. 

[hornian 5219]

I quoted this this morning. My kids didn't laugh. 

[AUS-97HORN 11808]

interesting line of storms about to hit...  supposedly high winds right behind it...

[Guest]

 

[Guest]

The latest daily update for both 6-10 and 8-14 day outlook shows even more likelihood of rain. Looks like the last 10 days of the month are going to be pretty wet.

[texasdago 7575]

Wet but not frozen?  Cool with that. 

[jimmyjazz 45971]

2 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Wet but not frozen?

Ah, the early days of marriage.

[texasdago 7575]

Just now, jimmyjazz said:

Ah, the early days of marriage.

[Guest]

 

[miguelito 11266]

Free beer tomorrow.

It always rains 8 days out.

Worst haiku ever.

Edited January 15 by miguelito

[Hate 20109]

The pics above aren’t showing up for me (I’m in the middle of nowhere with spotty cell) so apologize if these have been posted.

 

 

[Guest]

Record hot summer. Hitting record lows in winter, followed by potential for flooding rains a week later:

 

[texasdago 7575]

Flood into the Highland Lakes, plz.  Sorry Llano.  

Edited January 16 by texasdago

[Guest]

10 day precip model (which will likely change bigly):

[High Plains Drifter 11050]

 

Fuck all those maps, I'm in the dark green "above avg" precipitation outlook in every single one of them, and we haven't gotten a drop since before thanksgiving. Not even a few drops of dew off the metal roof. Its so dry and cold you go outside and think your nose is running and its actually bleeding because your nasal linings have frozen and cracked open. We are going to freeze and burn at the same time. As in freezing while wild fires burn it all. 

Single digits last night, and not even a layer of frost on the car windshield this morning. 

This time last year we had eight inches of snow on the ground and me and my daughter went sledding. And it was probably 15-20 degrees warmer. 

 

 

[Guest]

11 minutes ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

Fuck all those maps, I'm in the dark green "above avg" precipitation outlook in every single one of them, and we haven't gotten a drop since before thanksgiving. Not even a few drops of dew off the metal roof. Its so dry and cold you go outside and think your nose is running and its actually bleeding because your nasal linings have frozen and cracked open. We are going to freeze and burn at the same time. As in freezing while wild fires burn it all. 

Single digits last night, and not even a layer of frost on the car windshield this morning. 

This time last year we had eight inches of snow on the ground and me and my daughter went sledding. And it was probably 15-20 degrees warmer. 

 

 

Where are you?

[High Plains Drifter 11050]

 

Davis Mountains in west Texas

 

[Hate 20109]

1 minute ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

Davis Mountains in west Texas

 

You should probably change your username.

[texasdago 7575]

I can't believe this verdant tropical oasis teeming with toucans and chameleons hasn't gotten much rain...

[Wilcox Cummingtonite 3006]

It’s never going to rain again.

[Guest]

As of last night:

[InkaUtexas 25955]

Freeze to flood.

[Biff Tannen 45691]

Texas is nothing but extremes now. Two good weeks in March and November and the rest is shit. 

[Brisketexan 105154]

2 hours ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

As of last night:

So, it's a pretty common rain forecast:

Lotsa rain!

But not where we need it.

[InkaUtexas 25955]

Just now, Brisketexan said:

So, it's a pretty common rain forecast:

Lotsa rain!

But not where we need it.

Just take an umbrella out on the ledge man. You will be fine. Now the lakes? Nah, they are fucked.

We need an immigrating wet system, from Mexico, to come on up.

[NorthLoop 14215]

Let's just move the lakes downstream

[Guest]

49 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

So, it's a pretty common rain forecast:

Lotsa rain!

But not where we need it.

Almost like the area west of town is much drier and more arid than the area east of town. 

[CHAD BRISCOE 371]

There is a Law pass by Greg Abbot that said u can shoot them if They come in your Property

Edited January 18 by CHAD BRISCOE

[UTexasFight 9463]

Fuck ou

[Orange&White 5528]

My wunderground forecast for NW Austin currently shows 3.02" of rain between this Sunday and next Saturday.

Call your shots. Over/Under?

I am feeling optimistic and will take the over. I'll be using the LCRA gauge at Bull Creek/360 for my measurements.