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2024 Rain Thread: All Your El Nino Are Belong to Us

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txduck87

txduck87 994

Posted
Posted
Whatever is going on with the rain, I'll take it. My youngest son is home from college for the summer and I played several games of basketball in the backyard with him and a couple of his friends. Afterwards, I sat on the patio and drank some beers and thought that it was nice to enjoy the night when it isn't fucking hot outside. Hopefully, most of the summer stays like this.

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jimmyjazz
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The elusive triple-humblebrag.  Well done.

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Storm the Field

Storm the Field 5,302

Posted
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Whole lotta rain in the forecast this week. Houston area gonna get a pretty good deluge starting tomorrow morning and really picking up through Wednesday. Areas south of town likely to have some localized flooding. 

wpc-houston-total_precip_inch-8949600.pn

CenTex should get some action as well, most likely Wednesday and/or Thursday.

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UTexasFight

UTexasFight 9,533

Posted
Posted (edited)
33 minutes ago, drt said:

Seems like I’ve said some version of that so many times the last few years. Why has that project taken so long?

Dont know, but that late August/September hurricane should do the trick

Quote

Fill testing is expected to begin this summer and be completed by the end of August.

Expected to meet customer demands by the end of 2024.

 

i had no idea 20% of the water released from the highland lakes is lost due to evaporation or seepage in route to the Matagorda Bay

Edited by UTexasFight
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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 45,744

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1 hour ago, Orange&White said:

It’s a shame that the Arbuckle reservoir isn’t ready yet. This thing seems like it is trending towards the area that could fill it up and save that water for downstream usage for the next year.

Where is this?

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Mighty fine

Mighty fine 169

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Between Wharton and Bay City. During the initial filling, a good bit of seepage discharge was observed on downstream side of the reservoir. A bentonite cut off wall was installed at beginning of construction, but there ended up being some sand pockets that weren't effectively cutoff which lead to the seepage issues. I know they're installing some relief wells to mitigate the seepage issue. I don't recall if they also ended up driving sheetpile on the interior of the ring dike.

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Updawg

Updawg 2,286

Posted
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Expected to meet customer demands by the end of 2024.
 
i had no idea 20% of the water released from the highland lakes is lost due to evaporation or seepage in route to the Matagorda Bay

And a shit load lost in austin pipes. Not just the customers but the city. The city has major issues
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Orange&White

Orange&White 5,539

Posted
Posted
41 minutes ago, Jiggy-Z said:

Forecast in west Oak Hill went from 3.5" to less than an inch for Wed and Thurs.  Might be good news since these guys are wrong all the time.

I noticed that on the wunderground forecast as well. But the NWS forecast discussion this morning still has higher hopes of more rain:

 

Quote 
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 204 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Key Points...

*Bands of moderate to heavy rains expected to begin early Wednesday
and continue into Thursday.

*A Flood Watch has been issued beginning Wednesday morning and
continuing through Thursday midday.

Deep tropical moisture with PWs above 2 inches is lurking offshore
over the Gulf of Mexico early this morning. As potential Tropical
Cyclone One develops, this moisture will surge across the Coastal
Plains today and over South Central Texas tonight into Wednesday as
the potential cyclone approaches the northeastern Mexican coast.
This is due to a relative weakness in the Subtropical Ridge over
Texas. With the initial increase in moisture, streamer showers can
be expected this morning. Then, as the moisture deepens further,
showers and thunderstorms will spread from the Coastal Plains late
this morning to near the I-35 corridor this afternoon into early
evening. The increase in moisture and associated cloudiness should
keep high temperatures closer to normal today. The showers and
thunderstorms will taper off this evening.

As the slug of deep tropical moisture with PWs as high as 2.7 inches
surges over our area on Wednesday, showers and thunderstorms spread
from the Coastal Plains early in the morning to the I-35 corridor by
midday, then over the Hill Country and the Rio Grande in the
afternoon. Recent model trends show the heaviest rains shifting to
the south as the Subtropical Ridge begins to build back to the
southwest over Texas. However, still expect heavy rains over parts
of our area, especially along and south/east of I-10/I-35 where WPC
has maintained a Moderate (level 3 out of 4) risk of excessive
rainfall and flooding. We have issued a Flood Watch for this area.
Have included Bexar county/San Antonio Metro area due to the flashy
nature of urban runoff. Expect Watch to be reconfigured going into
the long term as this heavy rainfall event evolves. There is a
Slight (level 2 out of 4) risk of excessive rainfall and flooding
across the remainder of our area. Gusty winds can be expected within
the bands of rain. However, any direct wind impacts from the
potential tropical cyclone will be well south of our area. Wednesday
high temperatures will be well below normal due to the thick clouds
and fairly widespread rains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 204 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

South Central Texas will be in the midst of the expected heavy rain
event for the start of the long term period. Wednesday night,
showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing across much of the area in
an environment with impressive precipitable water values exceeding 2
inches. Breezy easterly to northeasterly wind is expected with gusts
to around 30 mph possible, but the main hazard will be the heavy
rain and potential for flooding and flash flooding. Highest
confidence for the heaviest rain totals remains over the southern
half of counties where model guidance, including the most recent
runs, have been most bullish. Overnight into Thursday morning, the
heaviest precipitation totals should be progressing westward across
the area. By Thursday morning, most activity should be located along
the Rio Grande. A Flood Watch is currently in effect through 1 PM
Thursday while the WPC slight risk for excessive rainfall (level 2
of 4) remains over the western half of the area for Thursday.

Rain should become more scattered and light as the
day progresses on Thursday, with much lower precipitation chances
across the eastern half of the area Thursday night. This will lead
to improving conditions to any flooding/flash flooding, although
rivers may still be responding and those near any banks that receive
decent rainfall upstream should pay attention to the forecast.

While generally drier conditions exist Friday through the weekend,
some low end precipitation chances remain with more than sufficient
moisture in place, mainly over the Coastal Plains. Granted, any rain
would be much more isolated/scattered than the round of rain
expected Wednesday into Thursday. The cooler temperatures in the
upper 70s and 80s on Thursday will increase day by day Friday
through early next week. By Sunday or Monday, most locations will be
back to near or slightly above normal highs for mid to late June.

 

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SubliminalHorn

SubliminalHorn 6,811

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Orange&White said:

I noticed that on the wunderground forecast as well. But the NWS forecast discussion this morning still has higher hopes of more rain:

 

 

lol basically nothing is gonna happen. Ooooh 2” over 2 days. Get out the sand bags 

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utee94

utee94 15,865

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, Orange&White said:

I have a tee time at Star Ranch (just west of Hutto) tomorrow at like 1:30. The rain amount has gone from 3.2" down to .54". 

Am I gonna play, or no?

As long as you're outside of Bee Cave, you'll be fine. 

 

 

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Blotto

Blotto 23,580

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Orange&White said:

I have a tee time at Star Ranch (just west of Hutto) tomorrow at like 1:30. The rain amount has gone from 3.2" down to .54". 

Am I gonna play, or no?

Dont forget your sunscreen. UV can be a bitch that time of day. 

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