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Posted

im going on record: if Texas wins a play-in game or something and then gets hot for one weekend and goes to the S16, i reject the idea that CDC “has” to keep RT. in fact i would argue that this specific situation would be the very reason we pay him the big bucks.

CDC already knows that RT isn’t the guy; i’m sure he’s known that since before RT was given the HC position full time. as much as fans want to make the entire 4.5 month season all about tourney results, that’s not how a highly paid, elite AD works. if he’s not the guy then you let him go and you bring in someone who is. whatever push back you get will be short lived, and will be irrelevant if you replace RT with a clear upgrade. so yeah, i’ll say right now that i don’t care what RT does in the tourney, assuming that this season ends the way we all think it will. 7-11 in january - march >>> a couple of wins in the tourney. 

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Derka said:

im going on record: if Texas wins a play-in game or something and then gets hot for one weekend and goes to the S16, i reject the idea that CDC “has” to keep RT. in fact i would argue that this specific situation would be the very reason we pay him the big bucks.

CDC already knows that RT isn’t the guy; i’m sure he’s known that since before RT was given the HC position full time. as much as fans want to make the entire 4.5 month season all about tourney results, that’s not how a highly paid, elite AD works. if he’s not the guy then you let him go and you bring in someone who is. whatever push back you get will be short lived, and will be irrelevant if you replace RT with a clear upgrade. so yeah, i’ll say right now that i don’t care what RT does in the tourney, assuming that this season ends the way we all think it will. 7-11 in january - march >>> a couple of wins in the tourney. 

Realistically, how many of our remaining six game do we have a chance of winning?    Maybe the South Carolina game?   Arkansas?   

I’m thinking we’d be lucky to win two more.   If we get whipped by Kentucky tomorrow, we might see a totally defeated team and go 0-6.   It’s not my hope at all, but I can’t see how RT survives unless they go 4-2 and make a SEC and NCAA tourney run.   Hell has a better chance of snow though.   

Edited by Nueces River Rat
Posted
2 minutes ago, Nueces River Rat said:

Realistically, how many of our remaining six game do we have a chance of winning?    Maybe the South Carolina game?   Arkansas?   

I’m thinking we’d be lucky to win two more.   If we get whipped by Kentucky tomorrow, we might see a totally defeated team and go 0-6.   It’s not my hope at all, but I can’t see how RT survives unless they go 4-2 and make a SEC and NCAA tourney run.   Hell has a better chance of snow though.   

fwiw:

IMG_4546.thumb.jpeg.a7733fb33d32da90c541f5d83d7872f7.jpeg

Posted

Not having a winning record in the conference means lower ticket sales. I am not sure if a s16 run makes up for the lost revenue during the season. At the end of the day, the bottom line means more than anything else.

Posted
2 hours ago, Machinator said:

It is worth noting Texas is a 2.5-point favorite against UK today. They'd be on the right side of the bubble with a win.

Well gamblers basically set the lines and they are idiots so there is that.

Posted

All the Kentucky injuries and Texas playing at home is the reason for that line.

You can't ask for a much more favorable situation for Texas to be playing the Wildcats.

It's a do or die game for Texas and Terry, no doubt about it.

Posted (edited)

kill shot = a 10-0 run

IMG_4658.thumb.jpeg.c6cebba4e0cdc1957926d99f8c235efa.jpeg

we’re among the best in the country at going on 10-0 runs (because we do in fact have the varied and talented offensive lineup that we thought we had in paper back in november), but we’re also among the worst at giving up 10-0 runs, because we’re poorly coached and undisciplined. this is and has always been a top 25/S16 caliber roster. it’s just not being coached well.

 

Edited by Derka
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Posted
17 minutes ago, Derka said:

kill shot = a 10-0 run

IMG_4658.thumb.jpeg.c6cebba4e0cdc1957926d99f8c235efa.jpeg

we’re among the best in the country at going on 10-0 runs (because we do in fact have the varied and talented offensive lineup that we thought we had in paper back in november), but we’re also among the worst at giving up 10-0 runs, because we’re poorly coached and undisciplined. this is and has always been a top 25/S16 caliber roster. it’s just not being coached well.

 

SMU with some elite numbers there 😤

Posted
1 hour ago, Derka said:

kill shot = a 10-0 run

IMG_4658.thumb.jpeg.c6cebba4e0cdc1957926d99f8c235efa.jpeg

we’re among the best in the country at going on 10-0 runs (because we do in fact have the varied and talented offensive lineup that we thought we had in paper back in november), but we’re also among the worst at giving up 10-0 runs, because we’re poorly coached and undisciplined. this is and has always been a top 25/S16 caliber roster. it’s just not being coached well.

 

I’d like to see those stats broken down between the teams without a pulse in our non conference schedule vs conference. The last two years RT’s non conference scheduling has been embarrassing for the most part.  That’s why I don’t think total wins is a good measure of really what kind of team he is putting together.  I shudder to think about what we will get next year if we are forced to endure another year. 

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Posted
8 hours ago, CurlyDumps said:

Lol free money.

 

5 hours ago, Steamboat1874 said:

Well gamblers basically set the lines and they are idiots so there is that.

When the Vegas line substantially subverts your expectations, pay attention.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Machinator said:

 

When the Vegas line substantially subverts your expectations, pay attention.

If i actually bet my free money shitposts id be way down.

That being said, you trying to jinx this?

Posted

I don’t personally believe we can make a S16. After all, the tournament really is just about matchups. The *only* thing that makes me think we can surprise some folks if we get in (win at least 1 game) is this team will be underdogs fighting for RT’s life. 

 

With that said, short term success is not good for the long term. 

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Posted

Any team that gets in the tournament can make the sweet 16. Happens all the time. Tournament success is awesome and makes me happy every time it happens. It’s also an absolutely horrific way to judge a coach because any team can make a sweet 16 (or get bounced early) there is just so much luck involved. 

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

We can also lose the next 2 games.

 

 

This. We were on the upswing after beating Mizz, aggy, barely losing on the road to Ole Miss and then the largest win over LSU in Baton Rouge. Then we stepped on our dicks for 2 straight games and Bama shat all over us

Kentucky could be a turning point to and easy end of schedule finish or a dead cat bounce bc of Kentucky’s lack of PGs yesterday 

Edited by Js1
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Posted
46 minutes ago, Pancho said:

I don’t personally believe we can make a S16. After all, the tournament really is just about matchups. The *only* thing that makes me think we can surprise some folks if we get in (win at least 1 game) is this team will be underdogs fighting for RT’s life. 

 

With that said, short term success is not good for the long term. 

as i posted in another thread, we have tre young and we shoot 80% from the line- we can make the S16. i certainly wouldn’t predict that to happen, but one hot shooting day and this team can upset somebody on a saturday or sunday.

Posted
2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Any team that gets in the tournament can make the sweet 16. Happens all the time. Tournament success is awesome and makes me happy every time it happens. It’s also an absolutely horrific way to judge a coach because any team can make a sweet 16 (or get bounced early) there is just so much luck involved. 

But it's a great metric to remove the interim title from a coach, am I right? 

let george bush GIF

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Posted
16 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

But it's a great metric to remove the interim title from a coach, am I right? 

let george bush GIF

I mean- I knew it was a dumb decision at the time and it wouldn’t work out, but I also shrugged my shoulders and said “what are you going to do?”  There was no way he wasn’t getting the job. I’m just glad it was a short deal with a small buyout. 

Posted
2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Tournament success is awesome and makes me happy every time it happens. It’s also an absolutely horrific way to judge a coach

So you can get a 1 or 2 seed every year and then lose in the first round to a 16 or 15 and you're a great coach?

Tournament success is absolutely a big factor when it comes to evaluating coaches. It's not an end all be all but some guys win in the tourney and some guys don't. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, ztejas said:

So you can get a 1 or 2 seed every year and then lose in the first round to a 16 or 15 and you're a great coach?

Tournament success is absolutely a big factor when it comes to evaluating coaches. It's not an end all be all but some guys win in the tourney and some guys don't. 

Bennett until he didn’t then he won it all then he lost again. 
I’d put tournament record something like 1 in 5 of the importance of a coach. No coach knocks dow. 1 and 2 seeds every year and loses in the first and second round every year. Lute Olsen was a choking dog until he wasn’t. I’m sure there’s a bunch of other examples those just spring to the top of my mind. 35 games is a way better sample than somewhere between 1 and 6 games. 

Posted
13 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Bennett until he didn’t then he won it all then he lost again. 
I’d put tournament record something like 1 in 5 of the importance of a coach. No coach knocks dow. 1 and 2 seeds every year and loses in the first and second round every year. Lute Olsen was a choking dog until he wasn’t. I’m sure there’s a bunch of other examples those just spring to the top of my mind. 35 games is a way better sample than somewhere between 1 and 6 games. 

Yeah I get your point. Just saying it has to be factored in.

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Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

It was 7.5 this morning. 

which is odd because Flau'jae Johnson was questionable this morning but is in the starting lineup after all. 

 

Posted
16 hours ago, Derka said:

we have tre johnson; we shoot 80% as a team from the line; we absolutely could end up in the S16. get ready for a lot of mixed feelings from here on out.

I shudder to think of what this team looks like without Tre. He is an absolute blast to watch but terrifying to think that he is the only reason (maybe adding T Mark) that Texas isn't firmly at the bottom of the SEC.

Posted
29 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Bennett until he didn’t then he won it all then he lost again. 
I’d put tournament record something like 1 in 5 of the importance of a coach. No coach knocks dow. 1 and 2 seeds every year and loses in the first and second round every year. Lute Olsen was a choking dog until he wasn’t. I’m sure there’s a bunch of other examples those just spring to the top of my mind. 35 games is a way better sample than somewhere between 1 and 6 games. 

swaggy-calip.gif.06b216b403ef6eed0ba1fcedd05d0492.gif

 

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Posted
2 hours ago, Derka said:

which is odd because Flau'jae Johnson was questionable this morning but is in the starting lineup after all. 

The fear factor of looking at Mulkey all game is worth a few points.

Her "Technicolor Dreamcoat" today has to be 2-3 points too.

Joseph and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat (With images) | Donny ...

Posted
2 hours ago, Newdoc said:

I shudder to think of what this team looks like without Tre. He is an absolute blast to watch but terrifying to think that he is the only reason (maybe adding T Mark) that Texas isn't firmly at the bottom of the SEC.

actually it has been Kaluma keeping us above water after Johnson.  Mark has been a no show or very average for 80% of the year.  hopefully we can get some consistent higher level play from him.  I expected him to really help our guard situation.  If he can up his game it can help both kaluma and Johnson big time.

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Posted
1 minute ago, Newdoc said:

Yeah recency bias on my part. Kaluma has a lot of intangibles.

I was so iffy on that pickup bc both Creighton and KSU fans weren’t that upset he left.

But we’d be far worse without him 

Posted
6 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Bennett until he didn’t then he won it all then he lost again. 
I’d put tournament record something like 1 in 5 of the importance of a coach. No coach knocks dow. 1 and 2 seeds every year and loses in the first and second round every year. Lute Olsen was a choking dog until he wasn’t. I’m sure there’s a bunch of other examples those just spring to the top of my mind. 35 games is a way better sample than somewhere between 1 and 6 games. 

We ain’t firing him if he gets us to the sweet 16.  

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Posted
21 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Any team that gets in the tournament can make the sweet 16. Happens all the time. Tournament success is awesome and makes me happy every time it happens. It’s also an absolutely horrific way to judge a coach because any team can make a sweet 16 (or get bounced early) there is just so much luck involved. 

Are You Okay Beavis And Butthead GIF by Paramount+

Posted

Regarding the Sweet 16, there’s a huge difference between having a sweet 16 caliber season (not a bubble team, ranked well inside the top 25, fun to watch, and an overall level of excitement around the program, etc.) and a bubble team that with some luck and a favorable draw makes the tournament and the sweet 16.
 

Just because we’re not the former doesn’t mean we can’t be the latter. And just because a coach makes the sweet 16 doesn’t mean he’s a sweet 16 caliber coach (by the above definition) 

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