2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

[BurntOrange&White 39,934]

17 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Okay, I'll say it.

All this pronouncing Trump dead in the water makes me a little nervous.

I can't even point to exactly why.  Maybe it's because it sounds too much like 2016?  Maybe I'm afraid that public overconfidence from Dems might lead to some folks staying home, thinking it's in the bag?

I just don't think it's in the bag.  Some of this bump is likely to be temporary and there is a long way to go, and potentially a lot of fuckery between the polls now and the voting booths.

I'm still concerned, dudes.

 

Thank you satya

[immamac 42,870]

6 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Yeah, but he's been flailing and unhinged the whole time.  He definitely spiraling on a personal level, but I don't think that means he can't win.  He's still capable of pressing the right buttons on camera, as we saw in the debate.

I guess my main concern is this: I've said all along that I believe Trump still has a silent voting bloc that does not show up in the polls, but will show up on election day, again.  And I just don't trust young liberals to show up at the same level.  I think this election may be as simple as voter turnout, and there are things Republicans can and will do to interfere with that, compounding the natural laxness of a couple of generations behind us.

This should be a W.  But I just can't feel too good about it yet.  Trump is cagey and willing to fight dirty, and Democrats have blown layups before.

 

You haven't watched the last 2 have you? He's never done anything this spectacularly bad or unhinged. It's complete meltdown mode. 

[DigglerontheHoof 21,204]

7 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Yeah, but he's been flailing and unhinged the whole time.  He definitely spiraling on a personal level, but I don't think that means he can't win.  He's still capable of pressing the right buttons on camera, as we saw in the debate.

I guess my main concern is this: I've said all along that I believe Trump still has a silent voting bloc that does not show up in the polls, but will show up on election day, again.  And I just don't trust young liberals to show up at the same level.  I think this election may be as simple as voter turnout, and there are things Republicans can and will do to interfere with that, compounding the natural laxness of a couple of generations behind us.

This should be a W.  But I just can't feel too good about it yet.  Trump is cagey and willing to fight dirty, and Democrats have blown layups before.

 

As a long-standing member of The Ledge, I get the feeling.  It seems like nothing that fat piece of shit does has consequences.  But I'm hopeful his charmed run is coming to a beautiful crashing end. 

[4th&Five 41,565]

22 minutes ago, Mo Horn said:

Absolutely. Millions will still vote for him, and with the EC anything can happen. So far, it appears that Harris and Walz understand this and are saying this over and over. Keep the pressure on until the day after the election. Run through the finish line. 

People are excited to vote for this ticket. I’ll probably take both of my daughters with me when I go. 

[MissingInAction 25,115]

1 hour ago, TexPx said:

“Congratulations! You will get every 12-16 girl excited for nothing”

[cactusflinthead 27,601]

24 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Okay, I'll say it.

All this pronouncing Trump dead in the water makes me a little nervous.

I can't even point to exactly why.  Maybe it's because it sounds too much like 2016?  Maybe I'm afraid that public overconfidence from Dems might lead to some folks staying home, thinking it's in the bag?

I just don't think it's in the bag.  Some of this bump is likely to be temporary and there is a long way to go, and potentially a lot of fuckery between the polls now and the voting booths.

I'm still concerned, dudes.

 

I am not going to take anything for granted. Keep playing until the whistle. This isn't a marathon now. It's a fucking sprint to November. Tick tock. Run the damn ball and keep running it up. Be a happy warrior. Joy and humor on the march.

Their weird and stupid ways are catching them. 

[babysdaddy 2,725]

Has this been shared yet?

[Gatorubet 30,253]

9 hours ago, TexEx15 said:

 

no, he’s dissing 70% of Maga.

 

[NAVY 6,747]

29 minutes ago, immamac said:

I don't think anyone is overconfident about anything. I think people are going for the jugular. It's not a business is taken care of narrative it's a snuff out evil until it goes away narrative. 

Trump being dead in the water is obvious. Have you seen him? He's completely flailing and unhinged. He's got supporters jumping ship like rats from a sinking vessel. That doesn't mean we have stopped firing on the ship, make sure the ship goes down and there are no rafts. 

For some reason I’m uncomfortable with these nautical references. 
 

Also, fuck dotard 

[TexPx 2,323]

I assume the quotation marks is what republicans are saying. 

Well, yeah. It’s in the replies to the tweet.

[G650 14,267]

1 minute ago, NAVY said:

For some reason I’m uncomfortable with these nautical references. 
 

 

Well shiver me timbers

['stache 21,823]

I’m not comfortable unless Don is under 40% nationally in every poll, and 43% or lower in every swing state poll. But everything looks better than it has in a long long time. Like someone said, democrats aren’t just against Trump, they’re excited to vote Harris Walz. Meanwhile, traditional and more centrist republicans are finally getting sick of Trump’s shit as he becomes slower, visibly older, overtly racist, and generally unhinged, not to mention Vance is a complete dolt. They can’t ignore it anymore and vote for him because republican. Some might switch but more will just stay home. I think Walz said it, the Emperor has no clothes and they really can’t ignore it anymore or rationalize it out of party loyalty. The DNC needs to be fire and carry over for just a few more months.

Edited August 10 by 'stache

[DigglerontheHoof 21,204]

2 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

no, he’s dissing 70% of Maga.

 

And every single one of their fat bellies is shaking with laughter in agreement. 

[Chuckie Finster 22,702]

Okay, I'll say it.
All this pronouncing Trump dead in the water makes me a little nervous.
I can't even point to exactly why.  Maybe it's because it sounds too much like 2016?  Maybe I'm afraid that public overconfidence from Dems might lead to some folks staying home, thinking it's in the bag?
I just don't think it's in the bag.  Some of this bump is likely to be temporary and there is a long way to go, and potentially a lot of fuckery between the polls now and the voting booths.
I'm still concerned, dudes.
 

Quinn just threw the TD pass in Tuscaloosa to AD to begin the fourth quarter and put us ahead.
Is there a lot of game left? Yup. Am I still nervous as hell? Yep. But damnit I’d rather be in our shoes than the other side right now, and it’s okay to be happy for that.

[Fudge Nuggets 19,208]

4 hours ago, G650 said:

I need to talk to this dudes dad, I give Worldfuel an inordinate amount of money every month

People, this is world class humble bragging right here. Well done, sir.

[locodos 5,387]

12 hours ago, Blotto said:

By the way its been an hour since the last speaker in Bozeman. they are all just sitting there with EZ listening music in the background. They are now playing Pavarotti (I think). 

In Montana

UTC beat me to it

 

Paganini

something something rabbits

Edited August 10 by locodos

[Surly Bevo 25,073]

Don't fret about momentum.  Tay Tay is the October surprise/People's Elbow to Trump's chances

[Js1 85,439]

20 minutes ago, immamac said:

You haven't watched the last 2 have you? He's never done anything this spectacularly bad or unhinged. It's complete meltdown mode. 

It’s 2016 PTSD. Except the Dems are running 2 extremely likeable and exciting candidates and not Hillary and boring white guy 

[G650 14,267]

3 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

People, this is world class humble bragging right here. Well done, sir.

Well, to be fair, it's for business. And it's for bulldozers and not fancy planes.

['stache 21,823]

“He’s so right, Tester’s weight and health are concerning.”

 

[Hank Kingsley 20,987]

The Harris campaign will not get cocky. I'm not worried about them taking their foot off the gas at any point. 

But the goal should be to BLOW HIM OUT. That's why all that talk of needing to nominate Shapiro because he gets you a 1% bump in PA pissed me off. 

Don't just win. Win big. Win everywhere. Show everyone in this country that we are officially done with Donald Trump. Sneaking by with a close victory is not enough. 

[Loch Ness Monster 3,533]

A black swan type event is the only reason I would personally worry. Haven't felt this type of Dem excitement since 2008. 16 years ago when Obama popped up on the scene.

Trump has lost his fast ball if you've watched him lately. Even his crowds seem bored half the time.

[Js1 85,439]

Just now, Hank Kingsley said:

The Harris campaign will not get cocky. I'm not worried about them taking their foot off the gas at any point. 

But the goal should be to BLOW HIM OUT. That's why all that talk of needing to nominate Shapiro because he gets you a 1% bump in PA pissed me off. 

Don't just win. Win big. Win everywhere. Show everyone in this country that we are officially done with Donald Trump. Sneaking by with a close victory is not enough. 

I want 2008 level. With AZ and GA blue and then a surprise, like FL or Texas barely flips but just enough, like Indiana did. All the incumbent Senate Dems win and one of Allred or DMP gets dragged across the finish line (whichever flips)

[G650 14,267]

Just now, Js1 said:

I want 2008 level. With AZ and GA blue and then a surprise, like FL or Texas barely flips but just enough, like Indiana did. All the incumbent Senate Dems win and one of Allred or DMP gets dragged across the finish line (whichever flips)

My gut is excitement is high and people can taste it, voters and the campaign. I don't see anyone taking their foot off the gas

[aggie08 21,505]

1 minute ago, Hank Kingsley said:

The Harris campaign will not get cocky. I'm not worried about them taking their foot off the gas at any point. 

But the goal should be to BLOW HIM OUT. That's why all that talk of needing to nominate Shapiro because he gets you a 1% bump in PA pissed me off. 

Don't just win. Win big. Win everywhere. Show everyone in this country that we are officially done with Donald Trump. Sneaking by with a close victory is not enough. 

This. A blowout won't undo the last 8 years, and we're stuck with the crazies...but it will be a huge step towards denouncing this crap and making MAGA synonymous with losers. The quieter Trump supporters will pretend they never voted for him to maintain some dignity.

[hookemATL 11,789]

4 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

black swan type event

You mean like the part where Mila Kunis and Natalie Portman make sweet love?  You’re right, that could be a distraction. 

[Surly Bevo 25,073]

[Hank Kingsley 20,987]

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I want 2008 level. With AZ and GA blue and then a surprise, like FL or Texas barely flips but just enough, like Indiana did. All the incumbent Senate Dems win and one of Allred or DMP gets dragged across the finish line (whichever flips)

It CAN happen. 

Trump is not magically going to course correct here. He is flailing and will continue to flail. It will be very disheartening to his voters. Break their wills. 

 

['stache 21,823]

I think the more likeable celebs will be activated in October. And Swift doesn’t even need to appear or even directly endorse, she could simply say something like “girls can do anything, even be president, isn’t that cool?” They’ll get the message. Whatever it takes, we need a blowout, and for the youths to finally get off their ass and save us in November.

[Js1 85,439]

3 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

It CAN happen. 

Trump is not magically going to course correct here. He is flailing and will continue to flail. It will be very disheartening to his voters. Break their wills. 

 

This. It feels like where Harris jumps in, enthusiasm jumps, polls start showing her leading in August and then after Labor Day, she takes off when people start paying attention. 

[Underdog 28,731]

4 hours ago, cactusflinthead said:

Oh it's on now 

 

[WBT 20,626]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

 

Doesn't feel right hearing The Body cut a promo for the face

[horncyclist 1,391]

Swift will endorse in a big way. I could see her campaigning or making a convention appearance.

[Js1 85,439]

2 minutes ago, horncyclist said:

Swift will endorse in a big way. I could see her campaigning or making a convention appearance.

Her last European stop is the 20th so I don’t think she makes it for the convention. But yes, I could see an October rally 

[safe sex 11,735]

5 minutes ago, WBT said:

Doesn't feel right hearing The Body cut a promo for the face

You go out with your back on the mat putting others over.

[Biff Tannen 45,692]

23 minutes ago, Js1 said:

It’s 2016 PTSD. Except the Dems are running 2 extremely likeable and exciting candidates and not Hillary and boring white guy 

I don’t even remember Hillary’s vp

[aggie08 21,505]

10 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I think the more likeable celebs will be activated in October. And Swift doesn’t even need to appear or even directly endorse, she could simply say something like “girls can do anything, even be president, isn’t that cool?” They’ll get the message. Whatever it takes, we need a blowout, and for the youths to finally get off their ass and save us in November.

Honestly, I hope she keeps it relatively "vague" like this. Her security detail is probably more legit that the Secret Service these days, but attending a rally or putting out an official statement puts her in the cross hairs of these sad fucking losers even more so than she is already.

[DigglerontheHoof 21,204]

24 minutes ago, 'stache said:

“He’s so right, Tester’s weight and health are concerning.”

 

The only thing that inspires that group of "ladies" is an all-you-can-eat buffet. 

[Biff Tannen 45,692]

2 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

Honestly, I hope she keeps it relatively "vague" like this. Her security detail is probably more legit that the Secret Service these days, but attending a rally or putting out an official statement puts her in the cross hairs of these sad fucking losers even more so than she is already.

As we just saw in Vienna 

[Welch 635]

40 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

People are excited to vote for this ticket. I’ll probably take both of my daughters with me when I go. 

My daughter (no pics) just turned 18.

When i asked her what she wanted for her birthday, she said, “one thing: to register to vote”.

She and her friends are fired up.

And although I’m far from the best dad in the world, it made me proud that maybe I did some things right.

[Gatorubet 30,253]

23 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I want 2008 level. With AZ and GA blue and then a surprise, like FL or Texas barely flips but just enough, like Indiana did. All the incumbent Senate Dems win and one of Allred or DMP gets dragged across the finish line (whichever flips)

The great thing about Doddard saying the election is stolen is that once the poll numbers become clear that Harris is well ahead close to the election  - his voters will process that the fix is in and there’s really no reason to show up and vote. 

IOW, he self-created an offramp for his voters not to vote on election day.

[horncyclist 1,391]

7 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Her last European stop is the 20th so I don’t think she makes it for the convention. But yes, I could see an October rally 

She came back over night from Japan for the Super Bowl so the tour isn’t an obstacle. Also could appear remotely. I just don’t see any point in her holding back given the need to mobilize people early and drive voter registration before deadlines. And she clearly doesn’t have a Maggots are Swifties too mentality. 
 

Is that Swifties for Kamala campaign organized? That’s a really good sign if so.

[Fudge Nuggets 19,208]

I know Beyonce donated $4MM and a bad ass soundtrack to the Harris / Coach Walz campaign, but we need a BeyHive for Kamala call as well.  You get the Swifties and BeyHive pulling together and this election becomes 1992 Dream Team vs Angola type of blowout.

[Bullneck 19,181]

12 hours ago, Blotto said:

By the way its been an hour since the last speaker in Bozeman. they are all just sitting there with EZ listening music in the background. They are now playing Pavarotti (I think). 

In Montana

0 - 54:15 - There are people praying and speaking,

From 54 minutes to just after two hours NOTHING HAPPENS.  Then for 18 minutes (2:10:00 - 2:28:00) some guys talk about something (the governor is in there somewhere but I'm not rewatching), and there's again an empty podium for half an hour.  Finally at 2:51:00 Trump comes out and praises Xi and Putin and other dumb shit.  

At 3:11:31 they just fade out.  I guess YouTube ran out of tape or cloud storage space or whatever.  Or just got bored.  

 

 

[The Dog 44,066]

 

[Pancho 44,860]

If the rumors are true and Beyoncé is headlining on 8/22 before Harris speaks, that will be huge.

I think the Swifties have something up their sleeve and I’m happy they are on our side. They will do something big. 

You’re seeing radical republicans on social media try to emulate what our side has done, and it’s not working at all. 

If turnip is really being asked by his donors to show more vision and communicate his plan and he keeps repeating 2020 election claims, then they are fucked. The article I read this morning also said some are asking him to replace Vance and he is telling donors people aren’t calling him weird they are saying that about Vance. 

 

He really is in his own bubble. I sort of agreed with the PSA bros in that he might try to do something during the convention to steal the thunder of Dems/Harris, but it seems unlikely. The question is when is it legally too late to switch veeps

[RDCanecutter 26,454]

39 minutes ago, G650 said:

Well, to be fair, it's for business. And it's for bulldozers and not fancy planes.

Must take you forever to cross the country on a bulldozer.

[Red Five 40,874]

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

 

I hate that I know enough about this piece of shit that I immediately recognized that 1) the mechanical problems story was a lie, and 2) that it was related to him owing people money.

[Longhorn_Fan68 33,876]

3 hours ago, HenryJames said:

little did I know we had a mutual hatred for Maggie Haberman

[tbone_ 14,132]

Pavarotti is a tenor, Paganini was a composer. 

And a violinist. Who made a deal with devil way before Robert Johnson.