2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

[Pancho 41,616]

49 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:

That seems bad.

 

48 minutes ago, honolulu horn said:

Yes it does. Just when I start to feel optimistic, shit like that comes out. 

 

 

[Bateshorn 9,410]

4 minutes ago, RomaVicta said:

I'm reminded of the lead up to the first Gulf War under HW Bush.

So many articles about how the Iraqis were battle-tested with large numbers of soldiers and armor. Their airforce numbered in the 100s of planes. It had been a while for us. The alarmism impacted me. I wasn't sure about the prospects of an easy victory. 

Afterwards, we'd of course destroyed them, I remember Tom Clancy and other hawks deriding people like me who were worried at all. What, did Tom think I had my own intelligence service and crew of reporters? I had no other source of information.

Here, there is gloom projected by the main outlets again. Remember the template. Look at a poll. Check the margin of error. Announce if the results are within that margin. Then go to the panel as though that information is solid and talk about what it means. They need to analyse their premise before making the leap to opinion. They won't do that because they haven't done it before.

This is the flip to my dark post above about low propensity voters turning out:  What if, instead, the media, bitten twice by narratives that Trump overperformed his polling, is intentionally downplaying her competitiveness, both to avoid being pantsed again, and for commercial reasons ("THEY ARE NECK AND NECK DOWN THE STRETCH, FOLKS, STAY TUNED IN!!!"). Instead, women and late decideing indies break heavily towards Harris, because Dobbs and autocracy blows, and the whole thing ends up being a bit of a laugher for Harris. 

[Js1 82,103]

 

[Tuco 4,980]

8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

They do.  But they rarely, if ever, show up to vote in federal elections. 

 

This article says maybe 3k in the Lancaster area plus a few hundred throughout Pennsylvania.  

Quote

But in a community with many children, less than half the Amish are of voting age, Nolt said. In 2020, he estimated that about 3,000 Amish voted in the Lancaster area, and several hundred elsewhere, he said.

“Even if we would imagine, for example, that here in Lancaster, there would be a tremendous percentage in percentage terms … we’re looking at several hundred to maybe a thousand additional voters,” he said.

 

[Js1 82,103]

5 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

 

 

Huh, almost like they are manipulating the data.  Party ID doesn't flip 5 points in 6 weeks. 

[Clintonaldo 2,288]

1 hour ago, texasdago said:

I had not seen this... fascinating stuff...

https://iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/latest-poll?fbclid=IwY2xjawGPUq9leHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHVR-zmGKBLDGwnRZRyfrTsn56QwyYZk1MHYcfJxtSvq1A-oHcXGXG8yLYQ_aem_wvXYdNlEvA24YVUtg8Zl3Q

This is what I needed today. 

[hornmpa96 2,511]

37 minutes ago, Goredho said:

Voted against that one, personally.  The biologists tracking wildlife populations at Colorado Parks & Wildlife are best equipped to decide if and how many mountain lions are bagged every year (imo).

Completely agree

[The Dog 42,652]

2 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Haley has played this well politically. She’s endorsed Trump and has recently said publicly that she’s willing to go anywhere the Trump campaign needs her. They haven’t called her and she last personally spoke to Trump in June.  Any criticism that she’s has about the campaign deliberately looks to avoid criticizing Trump directly. It’s more at the campaign leaders who will take the brunt of Trump hatred when he loses.

This has the potential for being a massive own-goal by the Trump campaign. Trump himself has said he "doesn't need" their votes, but they could cost him the election. 

The Harris campaign has an entire operation around recruiting Haley voters to cross over - working with groups like the Lincoln Project, Republicans Against Trump, and The Bulwark. 

It's not the focus of their canvassing efforts, but there's more of an effort here than people realize. 

 

[Chopper 15,767]

 

[SydneyCarton 47,055]

14 minutes ago, Js1 said:

They do.  But they rarely, if ever, show up to vote in federal elections. 

 

 

I can read that tweet in both directions. 

[Chopper 15,767]

NYU journalism prof - real talk.

[bluto 4,797]

2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

I can read that tweet in both directions. 

Congrats on your dyslexia 

[speed817 18,772]

7 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

[Tuco 4,980]

1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

I can read that tweet in both directions. 

I tried that, but gave up after "Sioxa Sirrah sdneirf..." 

[InkaUtexas 24,773]

52 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

Are you telling me we got fucking Haitian mountain lions??

 

They shoot voodoo out their mouths before they eat you.

 

[Biff Tannen 44,891]

15 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

 

 

This is why polling is complete horse shit now.  There is no consistent way to poll anyone and I'm not believing another political poll for the rest of my life until someone comes up with a better way.

[Pancho 41,616]

10 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

 

He’s only doing this because he kept getting called a girl and he was losing brand deals. 

 

 

[Haphap 665]

47 minutes ago, kevwun said:

You don't even have to be in the mountains.  Everything loves to eat dogs and cats.  Coyotes, foxes, raccoons, owls, hawks, eagles, etc.

Alf
 

[BevoAbyss 1,873]

1 hour ago, TheStoicPaisano said:

Aldrin for Trump, unsurprisingly.

So ole Buzz is a fascist, after all. Just like Elon, who he praises in the Tweet.

Fuck Buzz, Elon, and any one else involved with NASA for supporting Trump.

[wood 10,763]

5 hours ago, Surly Bevo said:

NSIAP

 

Absolutely phenomenal. 

I laughed, and I cried. (Seriously)

[4th&Five 41,042]

17 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

Even after trump said “she was beautiful?”

[Dahobbs 17,042]

6 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

So ole Buzz is a fascist, after all. Just like Elon, who he praises in the Tweet.

Fuck Buzz, Elon, and any one else involved with NASA for supporting Trump.

Buzz is old. I don't think younger Buzz would be about this. 

[linux 1,369]

4 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

So ole Buzz is a fascist, after all. Just like Elon, who he praises in the Tweet.

Fuck Buzz, Elon, and any one else involved with NASA for supporting Trump.

I have never felt more happy that someone came in second, well not after next week.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11,430]

i remember his big alzheimers grin next to trump getting some medal or something last time. 

[kevwun 15,131]

Reading what someone posted earlier and it sounds like Buzz has dementia and is being taken advantage of by some non-family members.

Edited 13 hours ago by kevwun

[Js1 82,103]

5 minutes ago, kevwun said:

Reading what someone posted earlier and it sounds like Buzz has dementia and is being taken advantage of by some non-family members.

That's so sad.  And so MAGA

[Chopper 15,767]

Unsubstantiated report

"BARSTOOL is shittalking Vance and calling him a weirdo. It's over.

If you've lost the conservative sports bros you got nobody except discord server creeps left."

[mchookem 15,407]

1 hour ago, Upgrayedd said:

I’m here as well (for 24 hours).

What’s the deal with the mountain lion ballot measure?  Some interesting competing ads on the tv this morning.

my commie/marxist progressivevoters guide didn't take a position on that one lol

[cactusflinthead 26,745]

 

[mchookem 15,407]

1 hour ago, kevwun said:

You don't even have to be in the mountains.  Everything loves to eat dogs and cats.  Coyotes, foxes, raccoons, owls, hawks, eagles, etc.

i live right in the city, across from a very large reservoir/park, and got Duke this summer...we literally watch him anytime he's outside bc we have ALL of those^ right here in our urban neighborhood! 

 

[Chewbacca 7,603]

1 minute ago, mchookem said:

i live right in the city, across from a very large reservoir/park, and got Duke this summer...we literally watch him anytime he's outside bc we have ALL of those^ right here in our urban neighborhood! 

 

Well, yeah.  He's also snack sized.  Gotta get a big dog and then you only worry about coyotes and mountain lions.

[Hugo Stiglitz 23,240]

50 minutes ago, Dutchrudder said:

Do the Amish have government IDs that would allow them to vote?  (Genuinely asking)

It’s actually against their (and most Mennonite’s) religion to vote.  They believe in firm separation of church and state and see themselves as solely with the church.  They do this for a few reasons, some stated, such as they refuse to be complicit in any wrongdoing by the state… they don’t choose the lesser of two evils because they don’t choose at all.  
 

An unstated reason is it makes it easier to deal with foreign governments if they know their population isn’t going to interfere in domestic politics. 

[Foosters 17,598]

6 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

@Stros121

and this one is actually running for office.

Maybe you're at a football game now though and don't have the time?

[Red Five 40,061]

8 minutes ago, mchookem said:

i live right in the city, across from a very large reservoir/park, and got Duke this summer...we literally watch him anytime he's outside bc we have ALL of those^ right here in our urban neighborhood! 

 

Dawww look at that little guy. He likes his booze. 

[InkaUtexas 24,773]

2 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Dawww look at that little guy. He likes his booze. 

Surly dachshund?

[BevoAbyss 1,873]

34 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

Buzz is old. I don't think younger Buzz would be about this. 

Yeah, he would. The only difference now is now he can state it loudly, proudly, out in the open.

He took communion on the moon after all ... a complete insult to the science and technology that got Armstrong and Aldrin to the moon. It's all doublethink. He was most likely a Nixon supporter. F him. 

Edited 12 hours ago by BevoAbyss

[cactusflinthead 26,745]

Irving 

[Hermanator 6,551]

1 hour ago, Pancho said:

 

 

 

There's no fucking way anything short of outbreak of war could shift that much in a few weeks. This is all pure garbage. These polls are just cooking whatever numbers they want. It's becoming apparent Harris will win comfortably, so they're cooking trump numbers to try to keep attention on themselves. 

[locodos 5,078]

1 hour ago, Bateshorn said:

Love to snack on kitty.

 

Wait, what are we talking about? 

Hot hot Cougar on Mountain Lion action

Hopefully Trumpkins are about to learn what this poor kitty did...  Pussy is undefeated

Edited 12 hours ago by locodos

[bolverk 28,853]

9 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Dawww look at that little guy. He likes his booze. 

He's a golldang booze hound, is what he is!

[locodos 5,078]

15 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Well, yeah.  He's also snack sized.  Gotta get a big dog and then you only worry about coyotes and mountain lions.

Dachunds are not to be fucked with...  They are hunting dogs.  They are mean little hate filled sausages when they are pissed.

[MrX 667]

1 hour ago, Upgrayedd said:

I’m here as well (for 24 hours).

What’s the deal with the mountain lion ballot measure?  Some interesting competing ads on the tv this morning.

It’s fucking bullshit. Mountain lions are already protected/regulated by the state just fine. 

[SydneyCarton 47,055]

21 minutes ago, mchookem said:

i live right in the city, across from a very large reservoir/park, and got Duke this summer...we literally watch him anytime he's outside bc we have ALL of those^ right here in our urban neighborhood! 

 

I'm confused by the liquor in a low shelf. That's not easy access. I don't understand. 

[strangulation! 1,692]

i gave your mom a mean little hate filled sausage

[Pescado_Rojo 19,176]

1 minute ago, locodos said:

Dachunds are not to be fucked with...  They are hunting dogs.  They are mean little hate filled sausages when they are pissed.

You rang?

[cactusflinthead 26,745]

 

[elguapo 4,549]

2 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

I love her

[BurntOrange&White 38,679]

Well im horny now 

 

 

[Chewbacca 7,603]

8 minutes ago, locodos said:

Dachunds are not to be fucked with...  They are hunting dogs.  They are mean little hate filled sausages when they are pissed.

Oh, I know.  MIL used to have one that I couldn't stand (and I love dogs).  It always tried to bite me whenever I saw it. 

[wood 10,763]

6 hours ago, 4th&Five said:

Jimmy aimed is monologue at Republicans last night in a last ditch effort to point out Trump’s bullshit. 

 

LMFAO. I generally don't care for Kimmel, but that was fantastic.

MSNBC guy: "Are you a new testament or old testament guy".

Trump: "Uh, probably ... equal".

 

If you locked all the comedy writers in the world into a room for 10 years, they could never come up with something that good.