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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

bolverk

By bolverk
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Js1

Js1 85260

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1 minute ago, Reynolds Woodcock said:

To give some context, the final 2016 Selzer poll was Trump + 7 (he won by 9). The final 2020 Selzer poll was Trump +7 (he won by 8). 

And her final 2020 Senate poll was Ernst +4 and she won by 6

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aggie08

aggie08 21481

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3 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

IMG_2243.jpeg

This is how absolutely beaten down the last 8 years have made me: my initial thought was, "Shit, that's going to send shockwaves to every unenthused reliable R voter in the country. Might have been better to be Trump +1-2."

That was 5 minutes ago though. I'm ready to fuck shit up.

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Js1

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Just now, BamaATL said:

I'm just gonna go out on limb here and suspect that two people just shat their pants.  Their names:

Ted Cruz

Rick Scott

Deb Fischer too. 

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Js1

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Just now, aggie08 said:

I think it's pretty damn clear that wives are going against their Trumpy husbands in droves.

Older women remember life pre-Roe. I think this is a huge demo that’s being under considered 

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89619

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10 hours ago, BamaATL said:

I completely agree that the media ecosystem is completely broken, but I do have hope.  Someone, eventually, is going to realize that more Americans want actual news than infotainment, and they will emerge and crush the current mainstream crap we have going on.  The current media is bloated, massively in debt, and lost in the wilderness.  That is a situation that makes for perfect conditions for disruption.   

https://ground.news

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wildcat09

wildcat09 29338

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2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Older women remember life pre-Roe. I think this is a huge demo that’s being under considered 

Every white male pollster looking at all of their polls the last five months: "No way women care about abortion that much, better slide this thingy to the right about seven points..."

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

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Just now, wildcat09 said:

That dipshit fake injury carpetbagger running against Tester too.

I think he was fucked anyway, Montana Republicans purged their voter rolls to prevent "illegals" from voting, but forgot about how it disqualified their sovereign citizen day of voters.   

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BearSchlong

BearSchlong 8083

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So about that time, I was engaged to a girl named Monica. You can imagine the jokes.

My sister was a white house intern the summer prior to Monica’s arrival. But she worked for Gore, has great memories of him sitting around with interns, drinking beers and BSing and providing Dutch uncle type wisdom.

Monica is the epitome of “how to live your life knowing the worst part is in the rear view mirror.”
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Js1

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NYT/Siena dropping their last polls of the cycle tomorrow morning. So I’m sure everyone will freak out because they’ve been very pro-Trump

But Selzer’s track record destroys them all 

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ultimaton

ultimaton 2966

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11 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

He has the pro-rape vote I guess. But what kind of asshole shows up to a football game with political bullshit? So glad Texas has a bye week if that is what we are seeing this weekend.

IMG_1148copy.jpg.5799deef053352b4e59e9f68b6458dc0.jpgh

These two fucking dolts wore this to Miss St and then again to Georgia. I'd guess they'd have trash bags on if we'd had a game today.

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Js1

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Just now, Huckleberry said:

Without knowing all of that I was thinking Trump by 2 in Iowa now which would match the 2018 Selzer "miss." And should mean Harris wins the EC pretty easily. 

Yep, even a 2018-style miss for Selzer is still an awful result for Trump. 

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Bozo_Casanova

Bozo_Casanova 26432

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17 minutes ago, Red Five said:

So two Iowa polls released today were a combined 13 points apart. Okaaaaaaay...

Split the difference and that would be Trump +3.5 and I'd still be elated. 
This thread needs some prime Ludivine Sagniere with a black eye, beaten but unbowed. 
51HqDFfYhEL._AC_UF894,1000_QL80_.jpg

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Js1

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Just now, Brisketexan said:

I really, really wanna believe the Selzer poll.
But my pessimism remains. We shall see. We still don’t know shit about fuck.

Already a lot of “Not sure whether to believe this, her methodology doesn’t work in a low response era” as if she didn’t nail 2020 and 2022. 

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honolulu horn

honolulu horn 6158

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Also, thank you to all of the women who are voting in this election? They are going to carry this thing through the fucking finish line. 

Minorities, young voters, first time voters, seniors (WTF?), GOTV Democrats -- yes, all very important. But this election is all about the women telling that orange dipshit to fuck all the way off. 

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kevwun

kevwun 15758

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Yeah even is she’s off like in 2018, Trump is still fucked.  Kamala is gonna win Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Georgia just to rub it in.  He can have Nevada because it don’t make a shit.

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immamac

immamac 42833

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Its beyond anecdotal at this point. There's hard data supporting and showing women overwhelmingly are voting or have already voted for Kamala. 

There's also a significant amount of data showing that there is a high single digit to low double digit defection of Republicans who refuse to vote for fascism. 

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Js1

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Just now, Valmy77 said:

If Iowa really is close I am excited about the down ballot races. Might get a House seat or two.

I feel like she always polls those too but they won’t be released until Sunday or Monday. But we’ll see. 

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