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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, CooterBrown said:

I don't even like Jason Isbell but fuck it, I like Jason Isbell.

I like that he's comfortable enough with his not-insubstantial wealth (soon cut in half) to tell the haters to fuck off.

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Posted
1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

They don't like the results when they do that, either.

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Posted

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

It's essentially the Selzer model in Iowa.  Perfect?  No.  Needs a little massaging to correct for small samples?  Yes.  Reasonably accurate?  Yes.

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Posted
1 minute ago, Stilicho said:

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Dahobbs said:

What a weird thing to ask. Although given Trump's attempts to thwart democracy before, I guess it is a legitimate question. 

I meant how might it affect precious metal prices, but I didn't eat enough lead paint chips this morning.

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Posted
24 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

Finally catch up with the thread, only to find out Immamac never secured the surly national 10% off coopin at Chili's. What a bunch of bullshit 

 

That's what happens when you put aggy in charge.

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Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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Wow, I can't believe she let you repeat 'some of what she said' while not even using her name.  This is one brave imaginary bitch.  

Edited by ChiTownDoc
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Posted
3 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

Porta-Potty Girl meets Craps Milf in Urban Meyer’s hotel room. 

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Posted
56 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

He's had it a coin toss the whole way.  He's also called out the pollsters for herding as a cya exercise.  He doesn't run any polls, only aggregates.

John King on CNN with a map preview right now.  Hopefully this means the vicious rumor that he's going to be sidelined tomorrow night is false.

Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

Likely another update in the morning but not sure 

To be clear, we already breached the D/R firewall and are only 3k shy of the estimate for D/R/I (although that's a very elastic estimate to begin with)

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Posted
Just now, chainsaw said:

To be clear, we already breached the D/R firewall and are only 3k shy of the estimate for D/R/I (although that's a very elastic estimate to begin with)

Yes 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Brian Fantana said:

@Pancho the game day thread doesn't unlock until 6PM, idk if you intended that or not.

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, immamac said:

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

Understood.



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