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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


bolverk

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6 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

the short version would be that twice as many people are motivated by Harris’s big issue then are by Trump’s big issue

trump has spent the past week barely talking about the border/immigration. it was probably written in his speech but trump can't read, so there's that.

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4 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Counterpoint: James Carville and others were raising the alarm a few days before but everybody ignored them - there were red flags for Hillary (none of which were present for Kamala).

James says that, unequivocally, Kamala will win. While that is not a guarantee of victory, I tend to believe the crazy ragin’ Cajun on presidential election demographics.

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1 minute ago, Gatorubet said:

James says that, unequivocally, Kamala will win. While that is not a guarantee of victory, I tend to believe the crazy ragin’ Cajun on presidential election demographics.

He’s like Nancy Pelosi, they are plugged in with more people in the know than we ever could imagine 

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5 hours ago, Hook1997 said:

And that’s your opinion. Some of us are sick of the politics on both sides after the last few years.  Is it worse from the republicans, sure.  But both care more about being the opposite of the other nothing will ever get done in the near future. 

In this case, being the opposite of Trump means being quite normal, human even.

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2 hours ago, UTGrad98 said:

We knew pretty early on in 2016 things weren't going well. Like I remember by 8pm going oh fuck he is gonna win. 

 

2 hours ago, Red Five said:

I remember 2016 turning on a dime. I forget what states came in but it went from pretty much a coronation to “oh shit Trump just won”. Then Hillary conceded like an hour later. Good times.

 

2 hours ago, quigley said:

At like 8, there were FL counties that should've been deep blue that were pink. I said exactly that, "oh shit, Trump won."

It was Florida + the margin in Ohio. I remember it vividly.

I kept watching to see if she could pull out WI/MI/PA but I knew in my mind pretty early on.

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Well shit guys. Harris County was 55.6-43.2 for Biden in early voting. It was 51.3-47.4 for Harris. I know a shift is expected in terms of early versus election day voting but bottom line is that is too much of a shift considering that early is 75% of total votes. Gonna have to say that Harris almost certainly went redder this year.

Only slight positive is Allred was 53.0-44.8, but that ain't nearly enough. 

@Js1 you got any job openings for smart as fuck Longhorn assholes in Colorado?

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1 minute ago, Pods said:

@BamaATL How you feeling? What's still outstanding?

Basically Gwinett EV, which would in all likelihood have us about even, Clarke County (Athens), Chatamn (Savannah), and then the urban margins, which favor us.  Feeling ok.

Magic Number is now looking to be about 2.75 million (50% for either candidate)

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It’s anecdotal data, but there sure are a lot of out of state Texan college students who never received their absentee ballots. I know of two from my neighborhood that flew back just to vote and another who never received his ballot and when he called to check in it he was told that it was mailed so there was nothing that could be done.

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