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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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2 minutes ago, linux said:

She lost Wiscy and Michigan, picking Shapiro and saving Penn is a woopsy fucking do, I do agree that Biden wanting us to return to normalcy was a gicantic red flag we all saw comming, the new normal is rage, not civility, logic, or good governance tradition. Should have been working 24/7 to prevent what just happened right now, never ending handouts last year when inflation was dying would have helped, but he thought a graph number was more relevant than disposable income to pay for food. 

I get that, but I think Michigan/Wisconsin are much closer politically to Penn than Minnesota. I think Shapiro might have resonated better with those voters, especially if he had been at the top of the ticket. 

The problem with their economic message is that while the stock market is at an all time high and most all other indicators showed a strong economy most of those working class dem voters likely aren’t playing much in that space. All they saw was that their paychecks weren’t going as far as they used to and they blamed Biden/Kamala.  It was too tough story to overcome. 
 

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2 minutes ago, Yev Kassem said:

I get that, but I think Michigan/Wisconsin are much closer politically to Penn than Minnesota. I think Shapiro might have resonated better with those voters, especially if he had been at the top of the ticket. 

The problem with their economic message is that while the stock market is at an all time high and most all other indicators showed a strong economy most of those working class dem voters likely aren’t playing much in that space. All they saw was that their paychecks weren’t going as far as they used to and they blamed Biden/Kamala.  It was too tough story to overcome. 
 

But handouts would have greatly helped, I get it handouts drive inflation and Trump's handouts did just that, but enough about the number or pleasing wall st, its all irrelevant anyhow free elections are out the door.

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2 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

I don't really get this take.  If you look at who delivered the fatal blow to Harris in the decisive states, it was people who were NEVER going to vote for her no matter how she campaigned.  Her goose was cooked by her gender as unfair as it is.

Unless you think doing so would have juiced turnout for her, but how much juice was left to squeeze there?

If there are free and fair presidential elections in 28 I'm pretty sure Trump will do a fine enough hatchet job on the economy to hand the presidency to the democratic nominee, if it's a white male from the heartland.  We will have to endure a lot of pain in the interim.

I’m in total agreement with you on her gender being what probably cooked her overall.  That’s why I think Shapiro or Beshear at the top of the ticket kills two birds with one stone. You run a man who wasn’t connected to the current administration who could paint themselves differently. 

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I did really like the idea of Beshear, but he needed a populist message too, it is more than just distancing it should have been distancing and repeating over and over how he was going to help the working class.

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Just now, linux said:

I did really like the idea of Beshear, but he needed a populist message too, it is more than just distancing it should have been distancing and repeating over and over how he was going to help the working class.

Yeah I think Shapiro/Beshear makes a great ticket in 2028. Beshear being a blue gov in a red state is a great message of uniting both parties and how it’s still possible to work across the aisle. 

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1 minute ago, Yev Kassem said:

I’m in total agreement with you on her gender being what probably cooked her overall.  That’s why I think Shapiro or Beshear at the top of the ticket kills two birds with one stone. You run a man who wasn’t connected to the current administration who could paint themselves differently. 

In post-mortem I agree to that.  Beforehand, I was of the opinion that Beshear was woefully unqualified as a Democratic red state governor because he really is only that because of his dad and name recognition.  But I think I know now that the resume doesn't really matter to the decisive slice of the electorate.  Beshear probably would have beat Trump.  Agree 100% with your position.

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Right around Biden resigned almost no straight white men were considered though, It was Whitmore, Kamala, Pete, the identiy polititcs group was salivating about an all woman ticket as well, just fucking end me now! fuck.

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Maybe I'm also cynical in the aftermath, but I'm thinking that the campaign doesn't even matter anymore.  Just pick the right candidate in the primary for general election purposes.  Resume and credentials don't matter, male-ness, heartland or heartland adjacent, and white-ness, white-ness flexible in case of a powerful brilliant communicator, i.e. Wes Moore.

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Just now, Old Freak Nasty said:

Maybe I'm also cynical in the aftermath, but I'm thinking that the campaign doesn't even matter anymore.  Just pick the right candidate in the primary for general election purposes.  Resume and credentials don't matter, male-ness, heartland or heartland adjacent, and white-ness, white-ness flexible in case of a powerful brilliant communicator, i.e. Wes Moore.

Dumb down your messages to the populace. Nobody gives a shit about detailed policy in the populace especially in debates. Reel in your legacy media to drive your dumbed down message home and your attacks on the opponent. Quit trying to be fair and partial to both candidates and just be straight up attack mode. 

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At this point yes all there is is who can scream louder, we have the so called establishment group, the media, Goldman Sachs etc but they are told to fall in line because they don't fucking vote, its either him or trump, That said I don't know why I am wasting my time over something that will never happen again, free and fair elections.

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16 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

Maybe I'm also cynical in the aftermath, but I'm thinking that the campaign doesn't even matter anymore.  Just pick the right candidate in the primary for general election purposes.  Resume and credentials don't matter, male-ness, heartland or heartland adjacent, and white-ness, white-ness flexible in case of a powerful brilliant communicator, i.e. Wes Moore.

Totally agree. I think in 28 we have three great potential candidates in Shapiro/Beshear/Moore and then either one of them as VP or even Whitmer if any of those three need help drawing in women. 

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54 minutes ago, Yev Kassem said:

She was extremely unpopular, so I’ll always question why they went to her with other options on the table like Shapiro and Beshear. Both are very well liked in their states and neither can be painted as a “coastal elite” like Kamala.  

Shapiro is Jewish and from Philadelphia. That’s already too “coastal elite” for the middle america.

 

VP choice was moot in this election and ranks appropriately well below the other mistakes you highlighted.

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3 minutes ago, Texas Flood said:

Shapiro is Jewish and from Philadelphia. That’s already too “coastal elite” for the middle america.

 

VP choice was moot in this election and ranks appropriately well below the other mistakes you highlighted.

He was also way too Jewish for leftists this year.  

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They went with her because she was annoited by Biden,  he wanted to play kingmaker since 2020 and look where that got us, we ignored all the fundamentals (aka racism and misoginy) all because we wanted to make history.... MFer. She recovered most of her popularity but plateud at +1 and fell to -2 on election day. I was tracking this poll so hard because it would ignore LV tea leaf reading.

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6 minutes ago, linux said:

They went with her because she was annoited by Biden,  he wanted to play kingmaker since 2020 and look where that got us, we ignored all the fundamentals (aka racism and misoginy) all because we wanted to make history.... MFer. She recovered most of her popularity but plateud at +1 and fell to -2 on election day. I was tracking this poll so hard because it would ignore LV tea leaf reading.

She was the pick because:

1) connection to incumbency

2) the money already raised was only available to her

3) it was 107 or so days before the election

4) Trump was salivating over Dem disarray if Biden dropped out — Kamala was the only one that took that off table w/o shit-show of mini-primary at the Dem convention, which was like 30 days after Biden dropped

5) anybody with real POTUS ambitions on the Dem side wasn’t going to sign up for the sub-100 day sprint to the finish

 

All in all, she ran a great campaign all things considered. I won’t get into post-mortem theories on what happened. Y’all have done that to death already.

Buckle up — it’s gonna be a bumpy four years starting in Jan. Or Trump’s incompetence and laziness will prevail and Trump 2.0 will be a four-year penalty kill. I just hope he doesn’t destroy America before we re-rack this in 2028.

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We got a black guy named Hussein elected president twice, both times by convincing margins over well-rehearsed, well-known, extremely-experienced white guys. And Hussein did pretty damn well among blue collar white dudes considering he's a black guy named Hussein married to a black woman with broad shoulders and being born in Kenya and having gay sex in a limousine for money or something.

We don't need to lower ourselves profoundly to appeal to the base cretins unworthy of sharing our booth at Chili's; we need someone people like who speaks well about a broader vision of American greatness. Because our ideas are a lot better, a lot kinder, and a lot more full of love for humans, which most people actually like.

We ran Hillary, who a lot of people really liked and a lot of people really really really hated for a very long time, and lost.

We ran Biden, who a lot of people really liked and no one really hated all that much for very long (it doesn't count when its in the throes of the election itself, we always hate the other guy's candidate even if we didn't know them before), and won.

We ran Kamala, who had no base and no voter ID and who no one cared about until it was time to have to care about her (election-time), and lost.

So let's get someone that no one really hates, that at least SOME people really like already, and who presents well.

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Democratic Party today reminds me of the Republican Party after Obama won the first time: completely lost and directionless will no really compelling, winnable POTUS candidates or message.

Well, things change, Dotard came along for the Republicans, changed the game, and here we are today.

Things will change again and the Dems need to find a winning candidate/message to either create the change or take advantage of it. Would be good to start to see something resembling a winning message at the midterms as well. So for now though, I suppose we wait and see.

I’m probably going to sign off of this thread and CR in general for a while. Think it’s better for me to just go focus on the many positive aspects of my life for a bit. I need a break from wallowing in the concern, frustration, annoyance, outrage, whatever you want to call it.

Peace, and keep up the good work.

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2 minutes ago, tbone_ said:

Democratic Party today reminds me of the Republican Party after Obama won the first time: completely lost and directionless will no really compelling, winnable POTUS candidates or message.

Well, things change, Dotard came along for the Republicans, changed the game, and here we are today.

Things will change again and the Dems need to find a winning candidate/message to either create the change or take advantage of it. Would be good to start to see something resembling a winning message at the midterms as well. So for now though, I suppose we wait and see.

I’m probably going to sign off of this thread and CR in general for a while. Think it’s better for me to just go focus on the many positive aspects of my life for a bit. I need a break from wallowing in the concern, frustration, annoyance, outrage, whatever you want to call it.

Peace, and keep up the good work.

It changed with a quickness. Democrats got their shit handed to them in the 2010 mid-terms.

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Democratic Party today reminds me of the Republican Party after Obama won the first time: completely lost and directionless will no really compelling, winnable POTUS candidates or message.

Well, things change, Dotard came along for the Republicans, changed the game, and here we are today.

Things will change again and the Dems need to find a winning candidate/message to either create the change or take advantage of it. Would be good to start to see something resembling a winning message at the midterms as well. So for now though, I suppose we wait and see.

I’m probably going to sign off of this thread and CR in general for a while. Think it’s better for me to just go focus on the many positive aspects of my life for a bit. I need a break from wallowing in the concern, frustration, annoyance, outrage, whatever you want to call it.

Peace, and keep up the good work.

Bush launched Dukakis into the sun in 1988 and then four years later lost to Clinton.
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17 hours ago, washparkhorn said:

Courting Republicans doesn’t work.

I said this repeatedly during and after the convention. The working class that flocked to MAGA hates neoconservativism and RINOs. And our solution to court them back was “Hey, what if we told you the neoconservatives are with us now?” 

Bernie or Warren would have been a better candidate. But then they would have turned off all the center-right converts who are now core to the Democratic base. And we can’t have that! 

Turns out relying on old guard Republican refugees hitched to losing ideologies isn’t a winning strategy. If you’re truly the left wing alternative to fascism, how about offering real solutions for the working class and maybe taking a stand against fascist genocide?

But to be honest, the goose is cooked at this point. Trump voters aren’t reluctant and they aren’t rational. It’s a cult full of angry dipshits voting to burn the world down. No amount of best interest policies are going to dissuade the moron mob.

Edited by BrickHorn
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On 11/5/2024 at 12:07 PM, MissingInAction said:

I was with @Doc Holliday one night when he ordered 20 of those grease pockets. He ate them all.

I am pretty sure the lore has grown to 40 of them in some circles. 

Was one of the nastiest shits the next day with the only worse one being after a crawfish boil, wade boggs level lonestars, and before a shaggyberos softball practice where I nailed a now nurse perfectly in the back of the neck with a line drive after not hitting a DAMN thing prior.  I still feel bad for that hit.  

 

Edit: this is political thread.  I am here to shit on it.  #cheers

Edited by Doc Holliday
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I think the Democratic nominee will need to show some aggression and anger next time.  They will need to show, in simple, simple words, that policies to help the working class have been championed by the Democrats but cannot be implemented because of GQP grandstanding and THAT is who to blame for it.  The GQP has become experts at stonewalling everything Democrats want to do and then hanging the noose around us and getting the masses to believe it's the Democrats fault.

Fuck it, we need a communicator that will come out swinging and bludgeon these fuckers over and over and over and over again with that message.  Tap into the same rage space that's allowed this dipshit to come to office twice.

There's still room to be optimistic and hopeful around it but rage is a core way to connect with the voters you need to persuade.

It's a big ask, but ask for the voters to deliver the presidency, senate, and house so we can actually do something and not just talk the talk.  Normally I don't think that would be possible, but we are all going to be worse off, and the Trump voters especially worse off, after 4 years.  There will be a receptive audience for it in 2028.

Edited by Old Freak Nasty
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5 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

I think the Democratic nominee will need to show some aggression and anger next time.  They will need to show, in simple, simple words, that policies to help the working class have been championed by the Democrats but cannot be implemented because of GQP grandstanding and THAT is who to blame for it.  The GQP has become experts at stonewalling everything Democrats want to do and then hanging the noose around us and getting the masses to believe it's the Democrats fault.

Fuck it, we need a communicator that will come out swinging and bludgeon these fuckers over and over and over and over again with that message.  Tap into the same rage space that's allowed this dipshit to come to office twice.

There's still room to be optimistic and hopeful around it but rage is a core way to connect with the voters you need to persuade.

It's a big ask, but ask for the voters to deliver the presidency, senate, and house so we can actually do something and not just talk the talk.  Normally I don't think that would be possible, but we are all going to be worse off, and the Trump voters especially worse off, after 4 years.  There will be a receptive audience for it in 2028.

Now there’s a take. Not enough rage and vitriol from the Democrats this past cycle. 

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Campaign is upside down. 

40 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

The machine rolls on.

 

From that article:

The problem with that premise is, of course, that the Harris-Walz campaign is reportedly in debt to the tune of $20 million, and it appears the operation is attempting to strip the wires from the walls in order to fend off its creditors. (It’s bad enough that the campaign is allegedly shopping around its email list, which is great news for our spam filters.) This sell-off comes after Harris managed to raise more than $1 billion for her four-month campaign.

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10 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

Campaign is upside down. 

From that article:

The problem with that premise is, of course, that the Harris-Walz campaign is reportedly in debt to the tune of $20 million, and it appears the operation is attempting to strip the wires from the walls in order to fend off its creditors. (It’s bad enough that the campaign is allegedly shopping around its email list, which is great news for our spam filters.) This sell-off comes after Harris managed to raise more than $1 billion for her four-month campaign.

This just shows that you can spend over billion in politics,and still lose. Throwing money isn't the winning strategy.

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The thing is that all that money shouldn't be spent on political campaigns. It should be spent on setting up new social/media institutions that work constantly, like the right has done.  That money needs to be spent on the culture war, not saved for the last month of every campaign season.

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Her campaign needed some Bobs

The main problem is twofold

1. Harris herself, but let's assume for now that she had a chance of winning.

2. (Besides Harris herself) The Dems used a half measure when they should have gone all the way.

Joe Biden was a 2-ton anchor tied around your leg while you're drowning, and instead of making it unmistakably clear that she wouldn't be Joe Biden 2.0 she hemmed and hawed (the way she hemmed and hawed about everything else), and even worse, she kept working with the same fucking losers who had been running his campaign, the same people who knew back in 2022 he was in no shape to run again but were arrogant enough to proceed anyway.

I'm not convinced that Harris could have done anything to win, but assuming hypothetically that she DID have a chance, it would have required her to completely purge the campaign of the same morons whose efforts yielded internal polling having Biden losing NEW FUCKING YORK and Trump getting over 400 electoral votes.

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52 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

Campaign is upside down. 

From that article:

The problem with that premise is, of course, that the Harris-Walz campaign is reportedly in debt to the tune of $20 million, and it appears the operation is attempting to strip the wires from the walls in order to fend off its creditors. (It’s bad enough that the campaign is allegedly shopping around its email list, which is great news for our spam filters.) This sell-off comes after Harris managed to raise more than $1 billion for her four-month campaign.

Shit, if it’s gonna be that kinda party I’m gonna stick my dick in the mashed potatoes.

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3 hours ago, David Dennison said:

The machine rolls on.

 

I don't think I've gotten these (didn't give money to the presidential campaign) but I do keep getting emails from Bob Casey's campaign (didn't give there either) asking for money.

Bro. You're down 30k votes. You've been down 30k votes for a week. Every time the numbers change, you're down 30k votes. Your opponent has been invited to Senate freshman orientation. I don't know why the race isn't called. Fuck off. 

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all this navel gazing "the party learned a big lesson and needs to do some introspection on itself" bla bla bla bullshit every four years always cracks me up...just like it did in 2008 for republicans, 2010 for dems, 2012 for republicans, 2014 and 2016 for dems, 2018, 2020, and 2022 for republicans, and now 2024 for dems. while it certainly gives a bunch of folks (especially a few here) the opportunity to project some level of superiority or gloating that "if only this enormous national apparatus of political machination that seeks to bring compromise to a million different competing interests have listened to me about who they were not properly advocating for...," it really is just a bunch of nonsense and an excuse for a bunch of marginal magazines and marginal journalists and opportunity to do longform post-mortems full of hindsight bullshit. just as much nonsense as all the poor, broken people who have been peacocking around this forum the last week making extraordinarily lame attempts to dunk on everyone else while betraying just how broken they truly are.

american politics is actually quite a simple equation for a few decades now and it really is just a consequential derivative of our society accepting (if not advocating for) a crony capitalism economic system flirting with all out oligarchy. because of the extraordinary and accelerated changes in wealth inequality over the last few decades, the overwhelming majority of the impoverished, poor, lower-middle class, and middle-middle class are now substantially poorer in a relative sense than they have ever been. there is very little dignity and they are overwhelmingly bombarded through media, entertainment, social media, and even politics with how inferior their lifestyles are now which gives them the perception of failure and a miserable experience of daily grinding. they are unsatisfied in their lives relative to how they believe models on instagram live, billionaires on private planes, etc... these are the majority of voters.

when people feel perpetually unsatisfied and unhappy, they are not rational about economics and no one out there is pointing them to the fact that in this time of "extraordinary inflation" before and after tax corporate profits have increased from 2.4 trillion a quarter in 2019 to 4.1 trillion this year. since they don't understand that, the only person to blame for the malaise and their general dissatisfaction is the most visible and perceived powerful person in the nation. life sucks and someone else is to blame. i will punish the status quo by electing something different (which is just a continuation of the status quo under a different color). for trump in particular, he exacerbates the appeal because these people that believe they have nothing to lose don't see him for what he is (the guy unapologetically stealing their life savings and exacerbating the inequality), they farcically see him as iconoclast and agent of burning everything to the ground. the preceding are the most important contributing elements to presidential elections now.

second, harris was a minority woman. minority is not that bad, woman is the worst possible sin. particularly amongst hispanic men, white men, and a heeeeeell of a lot more women than is polite to discuss.

third, biden's choices thrust harris into a losing position and created an environment with no real alternative and was just a bad situation.

there's really not much more to it than that.

2026 and 2028 will be a reaction to this election when all these suckers and losers (not the maga cult ones but the rest of them) realize that their lives are still shit (likely much worse) after a few years of the upcoming circus.

Edited by sidis
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4 minutes ago, sidis said:

all this navel gazing "the party learned a big lesson and needs to do some introspection on itself" bla bla bla bullshit every four years always cracks me up...just like it did in 2008 for republicans, 2010 for dems, 2012 for republicans, 2014 and 2016 for dems, 2018, 2020, and 2022 for republicans, and now 2024 for dems. while it certainly gives a bunch of folks (especially a few here) the opportunity to project some level of superiority or gloating that "if only this enormous national apparatus of political machination that seeks to bring compromise to a million different competing interests have listened to me about who they were not properly advocating for...," it really is just a bunch of nonsense. just as much nonsense as all the poor, broken people who have been peacocking around this forum the last week making extraordinarily lame attempts to dunk on everyone else while betraying just how broken they truly are.

american politics is actually quite a simple equation for a few decades now and it really is just a consequential derivative of our society accepting (if not advocating for) a crony capitalism economic system flirting with all out oligarchy. because of the extraordinary and accelerated changes in wealth inequality over the last few decades, the overwhelming majority of the impoverished, poor, lower-middle class, and middle-middle class are now substantially poorer in a relative sense than they have ever been. there is very little dignity and they are overwhelmingly bombarded through media, entertainment, social media, and even politics with how inferior their lifestyles are now which gives them the perception of failure and a miserable experience of daily grinding. they are unsatisfied in their lives relative to how they believe models on instagram live, billionaires on private planes, etc... these are the majority of voters.

when people feel perpetually unsatisfied and unhappy, they are not rational about economics and no one out there is pointing them to the fact that in this time of "extraordinary inflation" before and after tax corporate profits have increased from 2.4 trillion a quarter in 2019 to 4.1 trillion this year. since they don't understand that, the only person to blame for the malaise and their general dissatisfaction is the most visible and perceived powerful person in the nation. life sucks and someone else is to blame. i will punish the status quo by electing something different (which is just a continuation of the status quo under a different color). for trump in particular, he exacerbates the appeal because these people that believe they have nothing to lose don't see him for what he is (the guy unapologetically stealing their life savings and exacerbating the inequality), they farcically see him as iconoclast and agent of burning everything to the ground. the preceding are the most important contributing elements to presidential elections now.

second, harris was a minority woman. minority is not that bad, woman is the worst possible sin. particularly amongst hispanic men, white men, and a heeeeeell of a lot more women than is polite to discuss.

third, biden's choices thrust harris into a losing position and created an environment with no real alternative and was just a bad situation.

there's really not much more to it than that.

2026 and 2028 will be a reaction to this election when all these suckers and losers (not the maga cult ones but the rest of them) realize that their lives are still shit (likely much worse) after a few years of the upcoming circus.

Honestly I think this is spot on.

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13 hours ago, wildcat09 said:

The thing is that all that money shouldn't be spent on political campaigns. It should be spent on setting up new social/media institutions that work constantly, like the right has done.  That money needs to be spent on the culture war, not saved for the last month of every campaign season.

 

 

 

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1 minute ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

She lit $1 billion on fire, got her ass kicked and is still asking for donations?

Fuck off.

Lol as much shit as everyone wants to talk about the president-elect, I'm really surprised people haven't piled on more against Kamala. She's become completely irrelevant overnight. 

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