2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

[chainsaw 9414]

Just now, Js1 said:

Are you saying Rs have a bigger firewall?

[Biff Tannen 44907]

2 hours ago, Js1 said:

I mean, we have talked at length about where he finds new voters - 

newly registered young women? not a chance
newly registered young men? maybe, but there was a poll showing Gen Z men are supporting Harris almost at the same levels of Gen Z women, so unless he's tapped into a pool of Tate-pilled alpha bros....
newly registered black women? LOL

I said it yesterday - unless he has absolutely found this giant source of untapped voters who barely ever or have never shown up to vote, *and turns them out,* he's going to have to win a lot more Dems than she is winning Republicans (unlikely), stem the bleeding of suburban college educated whites (not a chance), pick off minority voters at a substantial rate (not based on polling, he's not) and win independents.  But the vast majority of newly registered independents are young voters and voters of color and the swingier, established indies are suburban women.

He also cannot bleed any support in WWC men/women.  I mean, he won them 67-32.  If he only wins them 65-34, he's in trouble in the blue wall. 

Or hope that turnout craters, but we are likely on pace for 2008/2020 turnout and not 2016 turnout. 

This is the koolaid I need

[Valmy77 12504]

1 minute ago, chainsaw said:

What does this mean?

There is an arbitrary goal of Democrats vs. Republicans who vote in early voting. It is currently +387K Democrats. The arbitrary goal that should indicate something is +390K

Same with the Democrats + Independents vs. Republicans below. It is currently +458k Democrats and Independents. The arbitrary goal that should indicate something is +500K

Or it may not be arbitrary but carefully calculated...what do I know?

But Pennsylvania is getting close to hitting those marks.

[troph 23958]

1 hour ago, BrickHorn said:

I’m 

From what I’ve seen from other converts, the scales will slowly fall from your eyes. It starts with “I have to hold my nose and vote for Dems for the sake of sanity and decorum.” Two years later, you’re perusing platforms to educate yourself on the off-year candidates and it hits you: “The Dems actually make sense about a lot of things.” By the next election cycle, you’re working your way through the back catalog of Behind the Bastards and thinking “How the fuck did I ever support this nefarious Reagan shitbag?”

Enjoy the journey.

Well and on the extreme side you fall prey to the gay and trans agenda and slide into estrogen therapy.  I mean it happens to some former republicans so they have reason to be afraid.

[Valmy77 12504]

1 minute ago, Biff Tannen said:

This is the koolaid I need

Sweet sweet hopium. 

[chainsaw 9414]

1 minute ago, Valmy77 said:

There is an arbitrary goal of Democrats vs. Republicans who vote in early voting. It is currently +387K Democrats. The arbitrary goal that should indicate something is +390K

Same with the Democrats + Independents vs. Republicans below. It is currently +458k Democrats and Independents. The arbitrary goal that should indicate something is +500K

Or it may not be arbitrary but carefully calculated...what do I know?

But Pennsylvania is getting close to hitting those marks.

I know what the firewall is.

I don't know what these numbers mean

[Valmy77 12504]

Just now, chainsaw said:

I know what the firewall is.

I don't know what these numbers mean

There are 387,000 more Democratic votes that have been received than Republican votes at this time. We want to see the Democrats hit at least 390,000 more votes than Republicans. 

[chainsaw 9414]

Just now, Valmy77 said:

There are 387,000 more Democratic votes that have been received than Republican votes at this time. We want to see the Democrats hit at least 390,000 more votes than Republicans. 

Okay, so then the denominator is the target (and not, as "D/R" would suggest, the number of R votes)

[Valmy77 12504]

Just now, chainsaw said:

Okay, so then the denominator is the target (and not, as "D/R" would suggest, the number of R votes)

Yes.

[Js1 82238]

1 minute ago, chainsaw said:

Okay, so then the denominator is the target (and not, as "D/R" would suggest, the number of R votes)

The gap between just D/R returns is 387,000.  The goal is 390,000 to feel comfortable. 

If you allocate the EARLY VOTE indies at 70-30 Dem (which is the normal partisan return on VBMs from that group in PA, per Smithley, who knows his state), it's 458k.  The goal is 500,000 to feel comfortable. 

[RDCanecutter 25747]

11 hours ago, Chopper said:

the other side

 

Birmingham. 

New Era Baptist Church. I used to ride past there and pause to read the zingers. You can see more if you seek it out on Google Street View and go through different years.

[Bozo_Casanova 25486]

1 hour ago, TonyTexas said:

The man is not bright. According to him, DST changes the earth’s orbit. 

 

Off topic, but I like DST. If they get rid of it, my hope is that we fall back permanently rather than stop when we are sprung forward. Morning sunshine=high T. Later sunrises are beta shit. 

1 hour ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

 

 

I think a lot of people on here have no idea what women were not allowed to do on their own. 

It wasn't until the 1960's that women could get a bank account on their own. It was 1974 when we could get credit cards. 

MAGA wants to make women 100% dependent on men because they believe that women are here on earth to serve them.

FUCK THEM.

Still lot of weird relics in the system. My friend Lisa bought a house in '98. On her deed was entered "Lisa _______ , barren woman"

[The Royal We 3040]

12 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

We all thank you for your service.

[Tuco 4998]

2 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Off topic, but I like DST. If they get rid of it, my hope is that we fall back permanently rather than stop when we are sprung forward. Morning sunshine=high T. Later sunrises are beta shit. 

 

Same here.  Of course the fucked up thing is that this preference reflects how I decided to set up my life.  I could just change the time I go to work, go to sleep, and wake up. 

[C-Man 26525]

44 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

If that's anyone's asshole, I've got to say, that asshole has seem some fucking things. Gaping, colostomy bag inducing things. 

Might explain the smell people have talked about.

 

26 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

Your wife has experience with bleached assholes does she?

[C-Man 26525]

4 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Off topic, but I like DST. If they get rid of it, my hope is that we fall back permanently rather than stop when we are sprung forward. Morning sunshine=high T. Later sunrises are beta shit. 

Still lot of weird relics in the system. My friend Lisa bought a house in '98. On her deed was entered "Lisa _______ , barren woman"

Pretty sure experts say standard time is better for human health.

[mooseoutfront 3609]

6 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Still lot of weird relics in the system. My friend Lisa bought a house in '98. On her deed was entered "Lisa _______ , barren woman"

My wife and I were married in Fiji.  On our wedding certificate she is listed as a "spinster."  I still give her shit about that after 20 years.

[The Dog 42712]

[BrickHorn 17981]

10 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Off topic, but I like DST. If they get rid of it, my hope is that we fall back permanently rather than stop when we are sprung forward. Morning sunshine=high T. Later sunrises are beta shit. 

In that case, you like standard time (not DST).

[RDCanecutter 25747]

3 hours ago, GreenspointTexas said:

I am almost at the point where if Trump wins, I want him to go scorched earth on the country and send us back 100 years just so I can fucking show these dumb motherfuckers that voted for him that they have reaped what they sowed

If he sends us back 100 years I'm gonna work like a dog then bet everything I own on the 1925 Pittsburgh Pirates.

[jimmyjazz 45041]

24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Eh, ~ 250 posts since midnight.  It can be a little difficult to keep up.

[UTGrad98 2182]

God Tuesday is going to be a beating. So happy Im working that day and wont start watching the returns until about 7pm. Tuesday11am-5pm is gonna be like that year CBS tried to have selection sunday for march madness be like 4 hours and they tabbed Charles barkley to talk for 1 hour on each region.

[Longhorn_Fan68 33693]

6 minutes ago, C-Man said:

Pretty sure experts say standard time is better for human health.

fine, do that then and stop fucking with the clocks. I don't really care other than it's time to stop doing it. pick one, run with it. if we need to adjust, fine, we'll do that later

[The Dog 42712]

 

[6th Street 6242]

You won't know shit for days. Nobody is calling those swing states Tue night 

[Goofyboy 2954]

God Tuesday is going to be a beating. So happy Im working that day and wont start watching the returns until about 7pm. Tuesday11am-5pm is gonna be like that year CBS tried to have selection sunday for march madness be like 4 hours and they tabbed Charles barkley to talk for 1 hour on each region.

I have work and then coach my kids U14 soccer team till 8pm. Everything should be nuts by then.

[MissingInAction 24258]

14 hours ago, Sawbonz said:

I’m a Financial Times man myself 

But do you wear grey slacks?

[mchookem 15426]

9 minutes ago, mooseoutfront said:

My wife and I were married in Fiji.  On our wedding certificate she is listed as a "spinster."  I still give her shit about that after 20 years.

i got married in Jamaica and mine says the same. i was 26 years old dammit!! 😠

[6th Street 6242]

2 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

 

[Firemans4Horn 16831]

Just now, 6th Street said:

You won't know shit for days. Nobody is calling those swing states Tue night 

when she wins Georgia on Tuesday night 

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33693]

2 minutes ago, 6th Street said:

You won't know shit for days. Nobody is calling those swing states Tue night 

i think you're under the impression this is like old times. it's not. there might be some media trying to stick with the narrative, but I think it's going to be over pretty quick on Tuesday

[Hank Kingsley 19802]

If anyone needs a palate cleanser right now and 30 minutes of competence, thoughtfulness, and hope sprinkled with some humor...enjoy. 

 

[HenryJames 64863]

5 minutes ago, UTGrad98 said:

God Tuesday is going to be a beating. So happy Im working that day and wont start watching the returns until about 7pm. Tuesday11am-5pm is gonna be like that year CBS tried to have selection sunday for march madness be like 4 hours and they tabbed Charles barkley to talk for 1 hour on each region.

Imagine the worst game thread ever. 

[mooseoutfront 3609]

2 minutes ago, mchookem said:

i got married in Jamaica and mine says the same. i was 26 years old dammit!! 😠

She was 25

[G650 13061]

5 minutes ago, UTGrad98 said:

God Tuesday is going to be a beating. So happy Im working that day and wont start watching the returns until about 7pm. Tuesday11am-5pm is gonna be like that year CBS tried to have selection sunday for march madness be like 4 hours and they tabbed Charles barkley to talk for 1 hour on each region.

I'm not looking at shit till Wednesday morning

[UTGrad98 2182]

Second time in my life where democracy is at stake here in the US. I hope we make it.

[RDCanecutter 25747]

3 hours ago, immamac said:

The only reason he won the first time is Hillary didn't take it fucking seriously enough and was doing victory laps the first time and acting like she was an incumbent. 

Well, it WAS her turn...

[G650 13061]

5 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

WTF is Kalashi

[WBT 20130]

8 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

In that case, you like standard time (not DST).

No he likes DST.  He would dislike a change to the status quo but if there were to be a change, he prefers permanent ST to permanent DST.  And I agree on both counts.

Edited 2 hours ago by WBT

[chainsaw 9414]

I'm not getting my political takes from a fucking overpriced hippie cereal

[Upgrayedd 5738]

1 minute ago, G650 said:

WTF is Kalashi

It’s a Game of Thrones thing 

[HenryJames 64863]

4 minutes ago, mchookem said:

i got married in Jamaica and mine says the same. i was 26 years old dammit!! 😠

 

1 minute ago, mooseoutfront said:

She was 25

Pics?

[locodos 5122]

You guys are crazy if you tune in Tuesday night.  I'm going to figure out something fun and relaxing.  Won't check results till at least Wednesday morning. I'm not giving some news outlet 6hrs worth of viewership for piss poor analysis, hand wringing, and "insight" from both sides...  fuck them all

[BrickHorn 17981]

2 minutes ago, WBT said:

No he likes DST.  He would dislike a change to the status quo but if there were to be a change, he prefers permanent ST to permanent DST.  And I agree on both counts.

Not correct. He said he wants earlier sunrises, which is a feature of ST. He also said he wants to permanently “fall back,” also a reference to ST.

[wildcat09 28369]

I’ll just be here following @Js1.

[Js1 82238]

1 minute ago, locodos said:

You guys are crazy if you tune in Tuesday night.  I'm going to figure out something fun and relaxing.  Won't check results till at least Wednesday morning. I'm not giving some news outlet 6hrs worth of viewership for piss poor analysis, hand wringing, and "insight" from both sides...  fuck them all

Kornaki + Reddit 

[SimonBolivar 10647]

2 minutes ago, locodos said:

You guys are crazy if you tune in Tuesday night. 

You'll be able to see which way the wind is blowing by about midnight or so unless it's even closer than 2020.

[Gil Bang 25496]

1 hour ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

That's fucking awesome. We've really come so far. When the Bush campaign started running spanish language ads the mere fact they were doing it was considered groundbreaking.
I worked at 301 Congress from 1997-2002, and the Bush campaign HQ was on the 3rd floor. There's a courtyard on the 4th St side where people would take smoke breaks, and I would occasionally talk to a guy from the campaign. I once asked him if the spanish commercials were different from the English commercials. He said "they're essentially the same, except the spanish one has a clown in it."

 

 

 

[Red Five 40088]

Pretty sure I just heard audio of Dotard saying “How do you like my garbage truck? Joe and Kamala don’t think in terms of garbage. And that’s sad.”

[texasdago 7374]

6 minutes ago, G650 said:

WTF is Kalashi

They're the opener for King Gizzard and the Lizzard Wizard

But I digress

First thing... someone mentioned RFK signs.  RFK is a big dipshit.  You know who is a bigger dipshit?  The family three streets over with a Stein campaign sign.

Second, we know LDS voters may play an important hand in deciding NV and AZ.  A Mormon friend of mine shared the article below... I thought it was actually well-written and it feels like Mormon Gen-Z and Millenials are going to push things towards Kamala:

 

https://theapotheosisnarrative.wordpress.com/2024/10/29/the-latter-day-saint-case-for-kamala-harris/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR2uzBuIrctoZwOgWzfp0V95J6IL2Ll0RARvDqHFFwNfhTJ81YP0ZKoGAcw_aem_GURUZT0TeYLuh5ZRD0N8Ig