2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13729]

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

In Nevada is that like 50 votes?

definitely only a few thousand. GOTV will be key

[quigley 1565]

44 minutes ago, threesheets said:

So I went back and did that. Weird- it stopped at exactly 5,000 on mine. 

isn't that all that fits on 3 sheets?

[Js1 87178]

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

In Nevada is that like 50 votes?

Maybe like 3k or so? 

CCM won by .8% and that was 8k votes.

All I know is 2 of the best prognosticators - Ralston and Selzer - see Harris winning / doing well, so why all the dooming?? 

[Pancho 46299]

 

[Al_4_ISU 12623]

Since I got to the farm this morning, 2 people I know voted for Trump in '16 and '20 told me (without me initiating the conversation in either case) that they can't vote for him anymore.  One of them said she's probably voting for Harris because of how hard the Republicans have gone after abortion (she's a 36 year old white woman with 2 daughters under 10) and that she doesn't want her daughters to grow up without those rights and protections.  The other (50 year old white guy) isn't voting for Harris, but either skipping the presidential ballot altogether or voting 3rd party out of protest.

[elfenix 34749]

9 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

What is the deal with the Squirrel thing?

Instagram squirrel used to promote its possessor's gay only fans got swatted, then tested for rabies because it was coming right for us, and now it's a thing because this is the dumbest timeline

Edited November 4 by elfenix

[Js1 87178]

Just now, Pancho said:

 

That is actually super adorable.  Kids need to be exposed to voting early so it becomes instilled as something you do and you're proud to do. 

[Gatorubet 30711]

1 minute ago, BearSchlong said:

Shouldn't you be in the spa getting a treatment, or on the Lido deck watching a twerk contest?

I have a brief I have to submit to the office by COB Tuesday, so I keep fitfully working on it.   it’s also a dead bang loser - as it is a request for re-hearing to an unfriendly appellate court.   i’m trying to say what I wanna say without being sanctioned. “You stupid fucks should resign” keeps sneaking its way in there.

[LCHorn 2751]

1 minute ago, elfenix said:

Instagram squirrel used to promote its possessor gay only fans got swatted, then tested for rabies because it was coming right for us, and now it's a thing because this is the dumbest timeline

I understood absolutely none of that.  

[elfenix 34749]

Just now, LCHorn said:

I understood absolutely none of that.  

Be glad

[quigley 1565]

28 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

The Democrats started and escalated the Vietnam War and the Republicans pulled our forces out and did nothing while the North steamrolled the South.

shh! we don't talk about that any more

[G650 14437]

[Pato del Muerto 53469]

2 minutes ago, Al_4_ISU said:

Since I got to the farm this morning, 2 people I know voted for Trump in '16 and '20 told me (without me initiating the conversation in either case) that they can't vote for him anymore.  One of them said she's probably voting for Harris because of how hard the Republicans have gone after abortion (she's a 36 year old white woman with 2 daughters under 10) and that she doesn't want her daughters to grow up without those rights and protections.  The other (50 year old white guy) isn't voting for Harris, but either skipping the presidential ballot altogether or voting 3rd party out of protest.

Who is the conservative protest vote?  Rfk if he’s on the ballot in that state?  Libertarian?

[chainsaw 10286]

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

Who is the conservative protest vote?  Rfk if he’s on the ballot in that state?  Libertarian?

Usually the libertarian (Chase Oliver)

[Bozo_Casanova 26847]

2 hours ago, texasdago said:

To be fair, I just want y'all to know that those of you slumming at other Chili's will be looked down upon by those at the mothership...

https://austin.eater.com/2024/4/10/24126715/chilis-at-45th-and-lamar-day-austin-official-proclamation-april-5

As for what to eat, here you go... Surly Approved Chili's Food Items

 

 

So - Mayor Kirk Watson isn't very online and did not have any awareness of the whole "Chili's at 45th and Lamar" thing.  An aide suggested he do the proclamation, and he was initially confused  about the reason why.  They explained it to him, but the thing is that the Mayor really likes Chilis, and that happens to be the Chilis location he goes to.

 

Edited November 4 by Bozo_Casanova

[South Austin 53222]

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That is actually super adorable.  Kids need to be exposed to voting early so it becomes instilled as something you do and you're proud to do. 

We did that with my daughter when she was real young.  She was a little over two when she came with us to Murchison Middle School on Election Day as we voted for Obama, and I recall we did the same in 2012.  I didn't vote with her in the subsequent elections, and I'm not sure how much of an impression that made on her, but she turned 18 in August and made the effort to mail in her ballot from college.  So that made me feel good.

[Pato del Muerto 53469]

2 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

I understood absolutely none of that.  

My understanding:

SM influencer in nyc has “pet” squirrel

someone alerts local authorities, because squirrel is not allowed to be kept in the…that ain’t legal either. 
 

Authorities confiscate and euthanize squirrel. 
 

trump morons try to use it to rally the troops. 
 

Saw later on that the influencer also does gay porn. 
 

No interest in fact checking any of the above. 

[G650 14437]

What are you, a fucking park ranger now

[HenryJames 67334]

8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

Pics?

[Born to Run 6601]

12 minutes ago, honolulu horn said:

This thread moves too fast for me to reply within a normal time frame, so sorry if this already been covered. 
 

I think the military should mount a couple of massive machine gun turrets on the sides of the capitol, the White House, and the VP residence. And they should then put a few target practice dummies out there and absolutely unload on them. Spread that widely on social media. Insurrection mobilization neutralized. 
 

They should’ve fired early and often on all of those lowlifes as soon as they broke the first barricade on January 6. We should have no quarter and tolerance for insurrection. 

Agree 100% except firing live rounds.  Might as well do it now while Biden is still Potus.  Word will get out.

[wood 11764]

nsiap ... Trump Media outsources jobs to Mexico despite threats to businesses doing so: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/04/trump-media-mexico-jobs

[Pancho 46299]

1 minute ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Saw later on that the influencer also does gay porn. 
 

No interest in fact checking any of the above. 

[4th&Five 41998]

my wife took both of my girls with her when she voted for Hillary.  she asked them if they wanted to go with her this time and before they could answer I was like "let's do everything the opposite this time!"

[Bozo_Casanova 26847]

9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

I always took my daughters to vote, and I'm so proud they both were motivated to go through the rigamarole to vote absentee from Scotland and NYC in their first presidential election.

Edited November 4 by Bozo_Casanova

[Dahobbs 18317]

9 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

I have a brief I have to submit to the office by COB Tuesday, so I keep fitfully working on it.   it’s also a dead bang loser - as it is a request for re-hearing to an unfriendly appellate court.   i’m trying to say what I wanna say without being sanctioned. “You stupid fucks should resign” keeps sneaking its way in there.

So... 5th Circuit? 

10 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

I understood absolutely none of that.  

Likely story. 

[hookem2010 2700]

3 minutes ago, South Austin said:

We did that with my daughter when she was real young.  She was a little over two when she came with us to Murchison Middle School on Election Day as we voted for Obama, and I recall we did the same in 2012.  I didn't vote with her in the subsequent elections, and I'm not sure how much of an impression that made on her, but she turned 18 in August and made the effort to mail in her ballot from college.  So that made me feel good.

My 2 year-old and 1 month-old have both been in the voting booth with me. Yet when I try to turn on MSNBC for election coverage, all I hear is "Noooooo, want watch Trash Truck!". Youths...

[The Dog 44856]

 

[tx 3 putt 78676]

7 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

 

Saw later on that the influencer also does gay porn. 
 

 

 

‘saw’

[Al_4_ISU 12623]

12 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Who is the conservative protest vote?  Rfk if he’s on the ballot in that state?  Libertarian?

Probably the Libertarian.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13729]

7 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Maybe like 3k or so? 

CCM won by .8% and that was 8k votes.

All I know is 2 of the best prognosticators - Ralston and Selzer - see Harris winning / doing well, so why all the dooming?? 

And even when Selzer was wrong with POTUS races (she called Iowa in 2004 for Kerry +3) Bush only won by 10K votes, or 0.7%. She's not infallible but if she's say that Harris is winning Iowa, it doesn't bode well for Trump across the board. He easily won 2016 (+10) and 2020 (+8.)  If it's close, I can't imagine what is happening in other states as well.

And if by chance Harris wins Iowa or another missed swing state, it throws many of the predictions up in the air. Even PA isn't as important. 

[DDD Dad 14647]

33 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

 

[Bateshorn 9991]

7 minutes ago, G650 said:

What are you, a fucking park ranger now

 

You know who was on Parks and Rec?

[quigley 1565]

30 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

 

 

20 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Ralston predicts Harris 48.5 to 48.2

adds up that NV will be close; hopefully the porn industry workforce finishes strong

 

18 minutes ago, honolulu horn said:

This thread moves too fast for me to reply within a normal time frame, so sorry if this already been covered. 
 

I think the military should mount a couple of massive machine gun turrets on the sides of the capitol, the White House, and the VP residence. And they should then put a few target practice dummies out there and absolutely unload on them. Spread that widely on social media. Insurrection mobilization neutralized. 
 

They should’ve fired early and often on all of those lowlifes as soon as they broke the first barricade on January 6. We should have no quarter and tolerance for insurrection. 

 

3 minutes ago, Born to Run said:

Agree 100% except firing live rounds.  Might as well do it now while Biden is still Potus.  Word will get out.

Yeah, everything's a re-hash. I only read that last 2 pages

And yeah, I can vouch for DC being more prepared. You don't want to instigate things because then the fucks have a cause.

[G650 14437]

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

 

The one thing I think people forget about Iowa is it has always had a bit of a different culture to the rest of the area. They had the whole prairie socialism thing and have had an independent streak. Overall conservative, but unique in some ways.

[Al_4_ISU 12623]

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

 

Reynolds' attack on public education has been hugely unpopular.  My quasi-MAGA FIL told me this winter there's no way in hell he's voting for her in '26.

That pissed people off more than the child labor stuff.  Especially in the rural areas (where strong public education is a bipartisan value among citizens).

[G650 14437]

1 minute ago, Bateshorn said:

 

You know who was on Parks and Rec?

I just watched the Pawnee Eagleton merger episode last night in fact.

 

I believe a mans feet should remain uncaged.

[Js1 87178]

1 minute ago, G650 said:

The one thing I think people forget about Iowa is it has always had a bit of a different culture to the rest of the area. They had the whole prairie socialism thing and have had an independent streak. Overall conservative, but unique in some ways.

Also they are very civic minded and engaged. Likely from being first in the nation every 4 years 

[Bateshorn 9991]

2 minutes ago, quigley said:

 

adds up that NV will be close; hopefully the porn industry workforce finishes strong

 

 

Yeah, everything's a re-hash. I only read that last 2 pages

And yeah, I can vouch for DC being more prepared. You don't want to instigate things because then the fucks have a cause.

Also, you have a democrat in the WH and as Governor of Maryland. There will be no shortage of National Gaurd this time around if needed.

 

[Al_4_ISU 12623]

3 minutes ago, G650 said:

The one thing I think people forget about Iowa is it has always had a bit of a different culture to the rest of the area. They had the whole prairie socialism thing and have had an independent streak. Overall conservative, but unique in some ways.

This is historically true, and a factor in why I chose to never leave.  I was/am extremely proud of that.

The last decade has seen us join the rest of the states between the Rockies and Mississippi politically and it was hard not to see that as a permanent shift.  I really hope there's some of that old Iowan political weirdness kicking around.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13729]

another point about Iowa is that Jill Stein is not on the ballot. One less opportunity for someone to throw away their vote as a protest. There is the normal Libertarian candidate so the protest vote isn't entirely zero.

EDIT: Apparently RFK Jr. is on the Iowa ballot. so there's that. The good news is that any vote for him looks to be one less vote for trump.

Edited November 4 by Nice Guy Eddie

[Brisketexan 106889]

Seen driving down Congress Ave:



And a text chat that just came from one of our German friends - they’re nervous AF:

[quigley 1565]

2 minutes ago, Al_4_ISU said:

Reynolds' attack on public education has been hugely unpopular.  My quasi-MAGA FIL told me this winter there's no way in hell he's voting for her in '26.

That pissed people off more than the child labor stuff.  Especially in the rural areas (where strong public education is a bipartisan value among citizens).

Sounds like KS, and even some people in Oklahoma are angry about the attack on public education.

[Js1 87178]

Twitter MAGA is MAD MAD about Ralston lol 

[G650 14437]

1 minute ago, Al_4_ISU said:

This is historically true, and a factor in why I chose to never leave.  I was/am extremely proud of that.

The last decade has seen us join the rest of the states between the Rockies and Mississippi politically and it was hard not to see that as a permanent shift.  I really hope there's some of that old Iowan political weirdness kicking around.

We're all counting on you.

[Valmy77 13626]

Clinton? Are those from 2016?

[Born to Run 6601]

Local Maga precinct chair just knocked on my door. Had a golf cart with all the goofy flags including Vets for Trump.

Told him I already voted; he then asked if I voted cruz and Trump.

"Absolutely not, no way, Jan 6.  Thanks for your service."

He looked incredulous. You are white and didn't vote for Trump

Had a big ass Doberman with him so I only spoke through the speakeasy.

Never had a door knock before in 15 years of living here.

 

[HenryJames 67334]

2 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Seen driving down Congress Ave:



And a text chat that just came from one of our German friends - they’re nervous AF:

[Reynolds Woodcock 5096]

24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Maybe like 3k or so? 

CCM won by .8% and that was 8k votes.

All I know is 2 of the best prognosticators - Ralston and Selzer - see Harris winning / doing well, so why all the dooming?? 

I will say that Ralston's analysis is basically "too close to call but tie goes to Dems in Nevada". I think it's a shoulder shrug masked as a prediction, but I'll take it. 

[Al_4_ISU 12623]

1 minute ago, quigley said:

Sounds like KS, and even some people in Oklahoma are angry about the attack on public education.

We've been following the Kansas playbook, just a decade after the fact.  Kansas is the most similar state to Iowa, IMO, so I find that kind of humorous in the "laughing because I have no other choice" sort of way.

And can confirm on OK.  My cousin's wife is a teacher in Tulsa, and she's ready to burn everything down.

[Royalfan5 2384]

1 minute ago, Al_4_ISU said:

This is historically true, and a factor in why I chose to never leave.  I was/am extremely proud of that.

The last decade has seen us join the rest of the states between the Rockies and Mississippi politically and it was hard not to see that as a permanent shift.  I really hope there's some of that old Iowan political weirdness kicking around.

I'd assume the NE corner of Iowa is probably a big factor in that with the combination of what was big Union presence historically with packing and farm equipment makers plus it seemed like a lot of Irish Catholics too.