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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

bolverk

By bolverk
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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 46165

Posted
Posted
46 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

 

42 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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IMG_0299.jpeg

If any of this is true, we will know EXACTLY where this country stands. And what we have to defeat going forward. 

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Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

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Chewbacca

Chewbacca 7830

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, Stilicho said:

GQP filing lawsuits everywhere. Fulton County, Savannah, Iowa, and apparently now Milwaukee. 
 

The obviousness is somewhat laughable. LAWFARE!!!1!!1

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/04/rnc-sues-milwaukee-claiming-limits-on-vote-observers/76043420007/

 

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

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kevwun

kevwun 16438

Posted
Posted
49 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

So it's actually Kamala +9 according to my History degree.

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Gatorubet

Gatorubet 30714

Posted
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4 hours ago, Js1 said:

Man they are REALLY pumping these Women for Trump cunts to the front of my rally and mic.  

They know how bad the numbers are. 

Thank God we got to hear from Tiffany for the very first time the day before the election - so she can persuade liberal women that her daddy doesn’t know anything about project 2025 -  or the fact that his running-mate wrote the forward to the book.

 

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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 46165

Posted
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5 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

Shocker 

Quote

"Despite the (Milwaukee Election Commission) maintaining open communications with the RNC, including meeting as recently as last night, it seems that filing a lawsuit was their goal all along," Election Commission Executive Director Paulina Gutiérrez said in a statement.

 

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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 46165

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Thank God we got to hear from Tiffany for the very first time the day before the election - so she can persuade liberal women that her daddy doesn’t know anything about project 2025 -  or the fact that his running-mate wrote the forward to the book.

 

Seems like a weird flex to me. Are we sure she is even in control of that account?

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Js1

Js1 87181

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

 

That’s still pretty awful for him. There’s def Midwest slippage that’s not being shown to us in the blue wall bc of the herding 

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BamaATL

BamaATL 16593

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

Nothing says 'we're winning' like pre-emptive lawsuits!

Part of the reason I feel extremely confident in my Georgia prediction, they started suing in Fulton County early last week.  They know, and they have known from their own internal numbers.   Their only hope has been hail mary slow the pace efforts.  

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Bozo_Casanova

Bozo_Casanova 26850

Posted
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That’s still pretty awful for him. There’s def Midwest slippage that’s not being shown to us in the blue wall bc of the herding 

Big time. Had the Selzer poll had Trump+ 6% I would have been pretty happy about it. 

Edited by Bozo_Casanova
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Surly Bevo

Surly Bevo 25738

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, BamaATL said:

Part of the reason I feel extremely confident in my Georgia prediction, they started suing in Fulton County early last week.  They know, and they have known from their own internal numbers.   Their only hope has been hail mary slow the pace efforts.  

Yea why file a bunch of pre-emptive lawsuits if you are rolling?  

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threesheets

threesheets 1690

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Wax Beer Cup said:

Not sure if you resolved this yet, but just checked mine for Collin County also.  I’m 99% sure I voted on the 24th and didn’t see my name, but when I checked the 25th I was there.  So maybe a day lag or maybe I can’t remember what I did two weeks ago. 

I checked that day and three days after. So I called today and talked to a lovely lady at the Collin election office until she found our shit 😁 She really was nice. 

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Xminus6

Xminus6 839

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, MidTexHorn said:

It’s not the humble brag it sounds like. My boss is paying his limo service to drive me to and from cancer treatment in Houston. Stage 4 glioblastoma kinda sucks. 
 

id normally be with you on the wishing Ill on him and his family, but he’s a super nice guy and seems a bit gullible and low information. 

Shit. Sorry to hear of this. My dad was diagnosed with the same last year.

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locodos

locodos 5591

Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, South Austin said:

If Florida goes for Harris, then I'll ask the football gods for only a three-touchdown win over the Gators on Saturday.  It's the least Sark could do.

Listen man, just run it up.  We’re looking for a coach killing ass kicking at this point.

3 hours ago, Mitch Cumsteen said:

 

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IMG_0003.jpeg

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Gatorubet

Gatorubet 30714

Posted
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13 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Seems like a weird flex to me. Are we sure she is even in control of that account?

i’m sure of nothing. But it sounds like the sort of desperate, pathetic thing that Trump would ask his daughter to do because he finally figured out he was not doing well with women.

And Tiffany had to learn from her mother that all things having to do with Trump are transactional - and when the moment arises you make him pay you for doing things normal family would do for free

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956 Worldwide

956 Worldwide 35592

Posted
Posted

One thing I hate is how election  forecasting language confuses what probability and predictions and statistics mean. In fact, the Silver model shows a really, really close vote.  It’s measuring how much faith we have in the poll aggregates and other models.

But people’s votes are not coin flips or distributed probabilistically.  In fact, one candidate has a very, very, very high chance of winning— we just don’t have good enough data to know which one due to the close race.  If we could somehow ask every “planning to vote” person and tabulate the results, we’d have a super high chance of getting the winner right. 

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quigley

quigley 1565

Posted
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1 hour ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

IMG_0298.jpeg

IMG_0299.jpeg

Trolls gonna troll. I'm NOT taking it "with a grain of salt" because it's total bullshit.

 

@WBT I and others here have trashed Nate Silver here for weeks.

Long story short: he don't know shit about fuck because he's putting BAD DATA into his models. Plus he works for Peter Thiel now.

If you know this and are still quoting him, sorry. Even if he's right (and I don't think he is), it's luck not skill this time.

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hookem2010

hookem2010 2700

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, 956 Worldwide said:

One thing I hate is how election  forecasting language confuses what probability and predictions and statistics mean. In fact, the Silver model shows a really, really close vote.  It’s measuring how much faith we have in the poll aggregates and other models.

But people’s votes are not coin flips or distributed probabilistically.  In fact, one candidate has a very, very, very high chance of winning— we just don’t have good enough data to know which one due to the close race.  If we could somehow ask every “planning to vote” person and tabulate the results, we’d have a super high chance of getting the winner right. 

Yea, it bothers me when they say the race is "tied". Ain't no votes been counted yet. That's like saying a pick 'em football game is tied before it has even started. Yea, at 0. Because kickoff hasn't occurred yet.

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956 Worldwide

956 Worldwide 35592

Posted
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Just now, hookem2010 said:

Yea, it bothers me when they say the race is "tied". Ain't no votes been counted yet. That's like saying a pick 'em football game is tied before it has even started. Yea, at 0. Because kickoff hasn't occurred yet.

I equally hate reporting votes like it’s a foot race.  It’s not.  It’s more like you have a bunch of boxes in a closed warehouse and you’re sorting them by color. The result is already determined once the polls close, we just don’t know it yet.  No one can catch up or fall behind. 

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tx 3 putt

tx 3 putt 78677

Posted
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6 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Can’t wait for meltdown on the TexAgs’ politics board tomorrow night. It will be better than their football board when they are upset. Their moderators will be banning users left and right.

Ncaa Football Please GIF by ESPN College Football

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DDD Dad

DDD Dad 14648

Posted
Posted
58 minutes ago, immamac said:

I did it. We want discussion post polls closing there. 

We will also have a much slower moving updates only from certain posters thread for big news similar to signing day. 

Which Chili’s?

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 90645

Posted
Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, Tuco said:

think over the last 10 years you are seeing a resurgence of more progressive, common sense movements as a reaction to complete Republican dominance and overreach in places like Kansas, Oklahoma, and Nebraska. Hopefully that grows.

Oklahoma’s Secretary of Education was fucking with the rural districts hard, and then the OK City mayor endorses Kamala.  It may not be in play, but it was pretty blue not too long ago.

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