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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


bolverk

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14 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Well done attempt at a humble brag.

You are right, though.  I'm surprised how little legit billionaires know about politics when they come on CNBC.  (I have that on all day.)  Hell, Wall Street knows very little about economic predictions.  They spent two whole years predicting a recession that never came and here we are.


 

IMG_6344.thumb.jpeg.48e9020a01bf29af938ff89755ba99a5.jpeg

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A lot of dooming about Guam, a place 7k miles from the US, with almost no overlap between their politics/culture and the U.S., despite also being US citizens. 

Hillary won Guam by +47 and it didn't make a shit.  Guam does not equal MI, PA, WI, NC, GA, AZ, NV. 

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42 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

That's probably part of it, but if there is a political play here, I think it's the being able to show the flex of "hey, we get shit done right here."  Competence sells, and they are right about that.  

i've always thought Gabriel Sterling was a straight-shooter with upper management written all over him.  he's scoreboarding on Twitter.

 

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38 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

He's a legit Republican, not whatever the fuck the rest of them are.  He's someone I disagree with, but I do respect him for his actions.  Disagreement can be healthy, so I don't hate him, or people of his ilk.  Now the maga fucksticks, they can die in a fire.  

Legit republicans actively worked against my healthcare since the 90’s. He can go fuck himself with everyone else that has run or voted republican in the last three decades.

He’s like liz cheney. Enemy of my enemy.

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Philly is popping off today as we approach 10:30am on the east coast.
Estimated day of turnout: 262,883
Estimated total turnout so far: 441,085 out of 2020's 749,000

This is good right? I feel like this is good.
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1 hour ago, Tonesky said:

Have you worked out your plan for travel to the nearest Chili’s?

In spirit, I’m gonna pretend all the yummy Taiwanese/Chinese cuisine I’m eating is off the Chili’s menu!

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Also nobody needs to do a welfare check on me between 10:45 and noon (central time) - I have a nice hour long training session with my phone in a locker and then running to the dispensary and Target to load up for tonight. 

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42 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

So yesterday I closed on the sale of a house.  Very long story--was supposed to be Mrs.LL's dream house, but interest rates happened and the timing and shit and now it just makes more sense to renovate the current house.  So today, I have quite a lot of money sitting in cash in my brokerage account.

Here's the thing--Wall Street doesn't understand shit about politics.  Mrs.LL was in finance for a long time, and ever since we've been together, I've always been shocked by how little Wall Street understands politics.  So much of their business is dictated by what happens in Washington, but they understand fuck-all about it.  And right now, Wall Street is expecting 1) a Trump win (and the inflationary and recessionary dangers that come with that) and 2) a period of uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election as happened in 2020.

Based on everything we know, I strongly expect neither of those things.  And I think the market is going to react very favorably to 1) No Trump, and 2) certainty (irrespective of who wins) when the race is called shortly after midnight CST.  So fuck your prediction thread--I'm putting my money where my mouth is.  When the market goes up 5% tomorrow on the strength of a definitive Kamala win, the first round at Chili's is on me.

You made the right choice to invest it whether the market goes up, down, or sideways. If you'd kept that money in cash you know you'd sober up to a whopping rent check from the marina for your new fleet of jet-skis.

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24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Ralston confirming on MSNBC what we suspected -

Clark's mail is backed up, like me after a trip to Fogo de Chao.  Hence why the mail numbers have been very sluggish. 

Fogo was our go-to finals celebration meal several times back in the day. 20 year-old me was not about to spend $30 on lunch and not need to be rolled out of the building 2 hours later.

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3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also nobody needs to do a welfare check on me between 10:45 and noon (central time) - I have a nice hour long training session with my phone in a locker and then running to the dispensary and Target to load up for tonight. 

Yo, your HR is just mean, man.

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1 minute ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

Okay, I'll admit it, I don't know the genesis of the chili's talk.

 

In the Augustinian tradition of Chili's there is no beginning to Chili's talk, but rather Chili's created the queso skillet from nothing yet has always been above existence.

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All this ignorance about Chili's tells me 

1) you don't live in Austin

2) you don't live in Austin and see it constantly mentioned as THE place to visit when in Austin

3) you live in Austin and are not aware that the specific Chili's we are referring to is at 45th and Lamar

https://www.kxan.com/news/texas/why-is-the-chilis-at-45th-and-north-lamar-famous-online/

Possibly the origin story...

image.thumb.png.03f6cc92161cc332f8f99a5009dde098.png

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1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

Early update on polling lines in metro Atlanta is that the wait times are short.  That doesn't mean light either, Dekalb County alone has over 100 polling stations.  As much as I disagree with the Republicans running our elections, I have to give credit where it's due, this has been organized and well operated.  I expect that after tonight, with quick returns, Georgia will become the model of how to run this.  If you are going to be critical, you have to be fair, and they have done a good job with this.  It's not entirely partisan, but Rafspenger has done a good job.  

Florida usually has 90% of their votes tabulated within an hour after closing.  That's the standard ever state should shoot for.

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6 minutes ago, G650 said:

I should have brought some Xanax to work today

I used to work for a company that had an on-site clinic and pharmacy in our office. You could literally pick up your desk phone dial the extension and request a walk in visit. Walk down the hall get a script take 20 steps to the pharmacy and be back at your desk with a $5 bottle of Xanax within 30 minutes.

When a private equity group bought the company and sent in the Bobs it seemed like everyone was walking around popping cheap Xanax. I took that as a sign to get another job.

 

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2 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

Yo, your HR is just mean, man.

Personal training.  Not work training.

I'm going to let some guy kick my ass for an hour to blow out the anxiety.

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41 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I take back anything nice I said about DDHQ - their main guy is on twitter claiming Nevada is 100% going for Trump because "there's not many ballots left to be dropped off in Clark" - when THE guy in Nevada just went on TV and said there's a gigantic backlog of mail in Clark County, waiting to be processed.

Be careful, y'all - people are going to interpret (or misinterpret) data as they see fit today. 

Lot of hot takes for pre-noon turnouts, which are traditionally more GOP-leaning.  Don't fall into the Wasserman's dooming about 12pm turnouts that turned around pretty quickly by the end of the day

 

(ended up being a 10k, 3.5% loss, versus Dave dooming it would be a blowout) 

Hell, Wasserman last night was basically calling a Trump win and assuming a big polling error in his favor.

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5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Personal training.  Not work training.

I'm going to let some guy kick my ass for an hour to blow out the anxiety.

Normally I'd post the Joker "very poor choice of words" gif, but since we all know your sexual preferences, I'm going to say congrats on paying for your sex. 

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