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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

bolverk

By bolverk
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TexArcher

TexArcher 39074

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2 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Who does RFK Jr take more votes from? Harris or Trump?

I feel like a big chunk of his voters would be abstaining otherwise.

But I do worry about how well he's allegedly doing with young voters.  I'm hoping that the candidate switch can win some of them back.  Gaza was never Biden's fault anyway, but it's even less Kamala's fault.  Etc.

But, yeah, I would feel better if RFK weren't in the race.

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Dahobbs

Dahobbs 18328

Posted
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14 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I feel like a big chunk of his voters would be abstaining otherwise.

But I do worry about how well he's allegedly doing with young voters.  I'm hoping that the candidate switch can win some of them back.  Gaza was never Biden's fault anyway, but it's even less Kamala's fault.  Etc.

But, yeah, I would feel better if RFK weren't in the race.

Eh, I wouldn't worry about young voters going to RFK. The overall percentage would be very low. Especially in Texas where there is just more Trump votes to take, RFK is going to be a greater drag on Trump's numbers. 

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Dahobbs

Dahobbs 18328

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10 minutes ago, Constant said:

Donald Trump Water GIF by GIPHY News

I'm assuming he does that because he lacks hand strength. My mom with carpal tunnel will do something similar occasionally to avoid dropping glasses. Or maybe it is just a really fucking weird habit. 

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TexArcher

TexArcher 39074

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1 minute ago, Dahobbs said:

I'm assuming he does that because he lacks hand strength. My mom with carpal tunnel will do something similar occasionally to avoid dropping glasses. Or maybe it is just a really fucking weird habit. 

You know, a lot of people are saying he's got perfect hands, maybe the strongest hands in the country, I dunno, but that's what they're saying.

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Dahobbs

Dahobbs 18328

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1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Seems like her people are sending the right messages and hitting the talking points that some polls you've posted here have indicated were the most appealing to voters.

You also don't have to use fear mongering or dehumanize immigrants to sell border security. We can and should both make our border more secure AND make it easier, safer, and faster for immigrants to come here. Those things actually go together.  

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Thatguy

Thatguy 9371

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21 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

 RFK is going to be a greater drag on Trump's numbers. 

Yep. People who like weirdos are just gonna move to the other weirdo after they lost confidence in the first weirdo.

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Captainant

Captainant 28565

Posted
Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

image.jpeg.a50aa425ca9a11ef8df3f9f6c08e2c5f.jpeg

 

18 minutes ago, immamac said:

Wait is that a Photoshop?

Nope, that aired on broadcast fox. That's why I was describing Walz as "progressive", compared to the boomer mindset and worldview he's ultra leftist. Medical care? Feeding children?? FREE COLLEGE????

He's gonna groom us all!!!! /maga

 

Edit: lmfao goddamnit I just saw the couches line. There WAS a version of this that aired. Fucking internet l

Edited by Captainant
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Thatguy

Thatguy 9371

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3 minutes ago, Captainant said:

 

Nope, that aired on broadcast fox. That's why I was describing Walz as "progressive", compared to the boomer mindset and worldview he's ultra leftist. Medical care? Feeding children?? FREE COLLEGE????

He's gonna groom us all!!!! /maga

No fucking way!

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Js1

Js1 87191

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As posted above, that seems big. He was one of the elected officials in Michigan telling people to vote uncommitted. 

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Js1

Js1 87191

Posted
Posted
Just now, Captainant said:

Fucking God damnit I just saw couches lol. There was a version of this though 

Yes, they do this all the time.  But this version is fake - couches? Unemployed minors? lol

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LTbear

LTbear 4214

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, Captainant said:

 

Nope, that aired on broadcast fox. That's why I was describing Walz as "progressive", compared to the boomer mindset and worldview he's ultra leftist. Medical care? Feeding children?? FREE COLLEGE????

He's gonna groom us all!!!! /maga

They aired something claiming Walz wants to tax couches?

*edit: everyone settled this just as I posted

Edited by LTbear
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Chad Fuck

Chad Fuck 18153

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You know, a lot of people are saying he's got perfect hands, maybe the strongest hands in the country, I dunno, but that's what they're saying.

Everyone should start talking about Walz’s perfect hands. That’d drive tfg nuts that the 2nd on the opposition ticket was better than him.
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Gap03

Gap03 3391

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46 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yes, they do this all the time.  But this version is fake - couches? Unemployed minors? lol

I mean, putting those moochin' street urchins to work is part of the Project 2025 plan, so it seemed like that might be legit.  I was about to do some digging until I saw the couches ...

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Js1

Js1 87191

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So this is not scientific at all, but some political scientists / data dorks have noticed you can draw some parallels from the WA House primary results (since everyone gets a ballot to vote in a jungle primary, so it's the most representative of a general election) to the November general election:

2022: D+10 primary results = R+2 national 
2020: D+14 primary results = D+2 national
2018: D+20 primary results = D+7 national (was actually D+8)

As of now, with some trailing mail ballots left to count, it is D+17, which would equate to around a D+5 national environmental for November. 

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Js1

Js1 87191

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3 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

Popular vote +5 is around the electoral college advantage the GQP holds, right?

 

Biden won by 4.5 nationally.  So I think it's a little less.  Hillary lost while winning by 2.1 

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Dahobbs

Dahobbs 18328

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13 minutes ago, Js1 said:

So this is not scientific at all, but some political scientists / data dorks have noticed you can draw some parallels from the WA House primary results (since everyone gets a ballot to vote in a jungle primary, so it's the most representative of a general election) to the November general election:

2022: D+10 primary results = R+2 national 
2020: D+14 primary results = D+2 national
2018: D+20 primary results = D+7 national (was actually D+8)

As of now, with some trailing mail ballots left to count, it is D+17, which would equate to around a D+5 national environmental for November. 

I'm sorry, that's stupid. There is absolutely zero reason to think the WA house primary is representative of the national likely voting population. Any apparent pattern over the short term is entirely random. 

Edited by Dahobbs
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Chopper

Chopper 17432

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Shot

image.png.58a0395abdd21cf8fcaf0ecfaf6b6776.png

Chaser

image.thumb.png.1fb6436d603703634ec6e467049e9c68.png

 

Even the South Carolina newspaper (independently owned and conservative af) managed to fact-check the feeble-minded, sputtering ex-president.  https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/trump-88000-sc-rally-fact-check-not-true/article_44834f04-55b7-11ef-b33d-4345fa6aa03d.html

Edited by Chopper
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