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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

bolverk

By bolverk
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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 45677

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Pancho said:

 

Quote

The poll was conducted from Friday, April 26 to Sunday, April 28, among a sample of 1,046 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in the U.S. The survey was conducted using text message recruitment and IVR to complete the survey. Since the text messages were sent to random registered voters, the poll can be assigned a margin of error. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in the U.S. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3 % at the 95 % confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.

Take from that what you will. 

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Horndog

Horndog 2228

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

GMnXWWtbQAA_Obz?format=png&name=small

watching arrested development GIF

How senile do you have to be to fuck up an acronym that bad?

Sorry to be that guy, but that's an initialism not an acronym.

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Pato del Muerto

Pato del Muerto 52490

Posted
Posted (edited)
50 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

LOL, polling is broken. + or - minus 3 percent on that methodology, sure. 

Yeah I was gonna say- 1000 random respondents = 3% MOE on a population of 160 million? 

Edited by Pato del Muerto
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BehoId, The Underminer!

BehoId, The Underminer! 11669

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Dahobbs said:

LOL, polling is broken. + or - minus 3 percent on that methodology, sure. 

it's also infuriating.  the nation will simply always be within a percent or two of evenly split because the folks behind the scenes know how to target our brains better than coca cola and nike.  and the MOE is always bigger than the lead margin.  so even if they are right on polling, its still useless.  

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yoladu

yoladu 4094

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, Radical Larry said:

You’d think someone who claims to have helped at ground zero after 9/11 would’ve remembered the correct acronym. 

or having lived in NY most of of his life.

11 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

Another free ad ….

 

Louisiana in play?

 

 

i kid, i kid.

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Huckleberry

Huckleberry 32858

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Since the text messages were sent to random registered voters

As most of us here know, this right here is the problem with polling. There are so many problems with this, both in what it says and what it leaves unsaid.

  1. It was not sent to random registered voters, that's a lie. It was sent to registered voters whose cell phone numbers were on the polling company's list. I didn't provide my cell phone number when I registered to vote, pretty sure that's not a requirement anywhere in the country. So the bolded above is a lie, or at least highly inaccurate.
  2. The text messages may have been sent to random entries on their list of cell phone numbers associated with registered voters, but they sure as hell weren't answered by random people on the list. They were answered by old people with nothing better to do, younger people trolling them, and maybe just maybe 10% were people who were genuinely interested in accurately responding.
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Neonmoon

Neonmoon 38129

Posted
Posted

The intelligence/education level of a person willing to answer a random text message survey is lower and skews right 

The age of a person willing to answer a strange number calling and then respond to the survey is older and skews right

 

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texasdago

texasdago 7573

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Friday, April 26 to Sunday, April 28, among a sample of 1,046 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in the U.S.

Scene:  It's Saturday night... Greg is pre-partying at Latchkey before heading to a 10 PM show at Hotel Vegas.

Greg's Date: ...so later we can go over to Dirty 6th and watch Killeen teens fight in the streets

Greg: Sounds great.   Let me... oh wait...

(looks at phone)

Greg: Hold on.  This is a presidential poll, let me answer this real quick.

Yeah Right Nod GIF by Big Brother

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gmr548

gmr548 16576

Posted
Posted
21 hours ago, BamaATL said:

We are slap in the middle of primary season here in Georgia, just got walk up unsolicited Republican stumpers at the door for the first time.  My wife is talking to them, it's not going well for them.  All I caught of her conversation thus far was "my candidate isn't on trial for paying off a porn star, insurrection, election fraud and racketeering.  How about yours?"  

Your wife needs to keep an eye on her voter registration from now until the election.

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Sawbonz

Sawbonz 27548

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Js1 said:

A federal court in Lubbock? NO WAI

If scotus rules the president has absolute immunity Biden absolutely needs to round up all trump appointed federal judges plus Thomas and Alito as soon as the ruling comes down. Yes it’s the end of democracy but fucking be pro active for once 

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Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 45677

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Scott trying to jump out early in veepstakes

 

 

One of the biggest things I've learned from this last decade is how deeply people will debase themselves.  This man doesn't believe in anything the dotard stands for except power.  He KNOWS deep down that if it came to it, he would be one of the first on the chopping block, yet he swears fealty nonetheless.  It's just a stunning example of human psychology.

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tx 3 putt

tx 3 putt 76916

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, 6th Street said:

Basically saying absentee votes shouldn't count for those fighting overseas for our freedom


maga gqp acting as election officials can hold off counting heavy dem districts until later in the process. Clock hits midnight and it’s all over. 
 

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tx 3 putt

tx 3 putt 76916

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Red Five said:

"You cannot have ballots counted after elections are over."

Oh yeah? So no counting ballots at all once polls close? Because that's how that works. 


it works for : Venezuela, China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran !!!!

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UTGrad98

UTGrad98 2271

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On 5/1/2024 at 10:08 PM, Horn Under a Bad Sign said:

 

 

 

The extreme ends of democrats and republicans will eventually end up meeting. Plotting extremism is a circle, not a straight line.

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Js1

Js1 85316

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Red Five said:

"You cannot have ballots counted after elections are over."

Oh yeah? So no counting ballots at all once polls close? Because that's how that works. 

Also which party refuses to allow mail ballots to be counted early and ready to populated into the totals with early voting totals? Hmmmmm

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mdmost

mdmost 43001

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also which party refuses to allow mail ballots to be counted early and ready to populated into the totals with early voting totals? Hmmmmm

Well you can't commit fuckery if you allow mail in ballots to be counted early. 

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tx 3 putt

tx 3 putt 76916

Posted
Posted

All polls across the US close at the same timE. 12 hour shift.

East Coast : 11am to 11pm

Central Time Zone : 10am to 10pm

Mountain : 9am to 9pm

West coast : 8am to 8pm 

Two week early voting, of course for all. These votes are sealed until all polls closed on Election Day. 
 

 

 

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