2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

[David Dennison 19566]

12 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

He is, but a fuck ton of people in his orbit that have horrifying goals way different from him, are not.

I have a feeling the extent of their influence will depend on how good or bad those goals are for business.

[hobbes2702 13498]

2 hours ago, SubliminalHorn said:

So at what point do we stop getting loaded on our supply of copium and realize Biden is heading for a loss?

At what point do you stop posting moronic shit.

[berlinerbaer 692]

5 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Just baffling. So many ballot splitters. 
 

 

 

 

The 18 point delta between Gallego and Biden is ridiculous but possible due to Kari Lake's abysmal popularity (won't be shocked if she loses the primary). 

That said, I think more than half of those ticket spillers are reachable for Biden. On the flipside, I think Trump is close to the height of his popularity right now and has little to no room for further growth.

The Biden campaign IMO correctly believes that running an actual campaign will help close the gap in AZ and other states over the next 5 months.

[tx 3 putt 78730]

6 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

Mark Rubio is just Ted Cruz on slimfast. He’s a piece of shit 

he’s an anchor baby 

[Bullneck 19547]

 

They might be overselling this a bit.  Look like he's shut his yap for a moment but maybe it's for dramatic effect (music rises).  It's not exactly a Moscow Mitch-level glitch.  

[Pato del Muerto 53566]

5 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

 

They might be overselling this a bit.  Look like he's shut his yap for a moment but maybe it's for dramatic effect (music rises).  It's not exactly a Moscow Mitch-level glitch.  

Been addressed. The prompter  froze and he just waited, instead of using his razor sharp mind to fill the time. 

Edited May 20 by Pato del Muerto

[TDunk 590]

Tik tok seems to play more favorable trump shit for "some" reason. Social media is awesome and sucks. 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

8 hours ago, Snake Diggity said:

I really wonder what is causing Rubio’s shift toward Trump’s nutsack.  He was somewhat sane thru at least the beginning of 2022.  Maybe he’s been promised Sec of State.  I can’t imagine him wanting to be VP.

8 hours ago, Js1 said:

Yeah there’s a lot of crazy in FL and Trump’s endorsement would unseat him in a second 

Rubio doesn’t want to be in a primary with a Trump.

[Rimbo 27073]

[mdmost 44097]

6 hours ago, TDunk said:

Tik tok seems to play more favorable trump shit for "some" reason. Social media is awesome and sucks. 

Almost as if it is being done on purpose by a foreign entity to sow discord? Tik Tok is doing for the young this cycle what Facebook did for the olds in 2016. 

[Chuckie Finster 23094]

Almost as if it is being done on purpose by a foreign entity to sow discord? Tik Tok is doing for the young this cycle what Facebook did for the olds in 2016. 

And both groups are too stupid and stubborn to admit they’ve been played.

[Hard Times 323]

13 hours ago, SubliminalHorn said:

So at what point do we stop getting loaded on our supply of copium and realize Biden is heading for a loss?

How stupid. We control the voting process, the ballots and the software. On top of that, the biggest political donors are all Democrats, and that's not even close. Maga Moron doesn't have a chance in hell.

[Underdog 29210]

Trump isn’t winning the election.  Do I say that with 100% certainty? No. Only death, taxes and OU sucks is 100% guaranteed.  Come Election Day, those on the fence will come to their senses and vote Biden. 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

54 minutes ago, Underdog said:

Trump isn’t winning the election.  Do I say that with 100% certainty? No. Only death, taxes and OU sucks is 100% guaranteed.  Come Election Day, those on the fence will come to their senses and vote Biden. 

Agreed.  But Trump does have Putin backing him.

 

[Js1 87223]

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Edited May 20 by Js1

[Nice Guy Eddie 13741]

It's always fair to say that you are unhappy with the results of someone that you previously gave your vote but it's something else to throw the vote to the other candidate based on that disappointment. 

 

On another note, the S&P 500 is up 58% from the last election date. Anyone with money in the stock market is a fool to not continue with Biden. Why rock the boat.

Edited May 20 by Nice Guy Eddie

[Dahobbs 18349]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

I don't understand that chart at all. 

[Js1 87223]

1 minute ago, Dahobbs said:

I don't understand that chart at all. 

Biden leads with black voters 62-15. Rest didn’t state a preference, will vote third party or won’t vote. 

He’s winning 85% of his black voters from 2020 and Trump is only retaining 70% of his. Of those who voted third party in 2020, Biden is winning 32-8

The data says of those who didn’t vote in 2020, Biden would win them 38-20. Those 20% of non-2020 voters are what’s skewing the polling with Trump’s number with black voters. They are low propensity/unlikely to turn out (same with non-2020 young voters) so unsure why they are leaking into likely voter screen since usually the first Q is did you vote in 2020/2022

[Pato del Muerto 53566]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Question 1: Are you planning or likely to vote in the 2024 presidential election?

then take all the yeses at their word. 

[David Dennison 19566]

 

[South Austin 53235]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

tl;dr version:

[Chuckie Finster 23094]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Am I misreading this chart or is it saying that 22% of black voters who voted Trump in 2020 are planning on voting Biden this year (compared to 4% of the inverse)?  That seems like quite the opposite of the national narrative?

[Js1 87223]

1 minute ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Am I misreading this chart or is it saying that 22% of black voters who voted Trump in 2020 are planning on voting Biden this year (compared to 4% of the inverse)?  That seems like quite the opposite of the national narrative?

That’s what it says. Because the tiny samples in the polls are usually really bad and not accurate 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Because they are fucking dumb enough to answer unknown calls on their phone?

[Chuckie Finster 23094]

3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That’s what it says. Because the tiny samples in the polls are usually really bad and not accurate 

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

[Chuckie Finster 23094]

10 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

 

Very strange how the one demographic most likely to respond to traditional polling techniques is the one demographic showing up well for Joe.

[Red Five 41768]

2 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

1. Biden
2. Trump
3. Not Sure
4. Don't Know
5. Eh, ask me again in November.
6. Dotard
7. Biden haha just kidding
8. Still Not Sure
9. The Old Guy
10. Gary Johnson For Old Times Sake

[Longhorn_Fan68 34106]

11 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

hey man, don't discount this motherfucker.

 

[TheStoicPaisano 9953]

18 minutes ago, Red Five said:

1. Biden
2. Trump
3. Not Sure
4. Don't Know
5. Eh, ask me again in November.
6. Dotard
7. Biden haha just kidding
8. Still Not Sure
9. The Old Guy
10. Gary Johnson For Old Times Sake

 

[Beantown Express 2.0 6597]

1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

It's always fair to say that you are unhappy with the results of someone that you previously gave your vote but it's something else to throw the vote to the other candidate based on that disappointment. 

 

On another note, the S&P 500 is up 58% from the last election date. Another with money in the stock market is a fool to not continue with Biden. Why rock the boat.

 

 

The stock market is up because of Trump not Biden.  Everything good that happens is because of Trump and everything bad is because we didn't let Trump make it good.  Now if the stock market were down then that would be Biden's fault.  

[Longhorn_Fan68 34106]

2 minutes ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

 

 

The stock market is up because of Trump not Biden.  Everything good that happens is because of Trump and everything bad is because we didn't let Trump make it good.  Now if the stock market were down then that would be Biden's fault.  

and idiots hear/read that and go, "Yup."

[Brisketexan 106980]

6 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

and idiots hear/read that and go, "Yup."

Idiots have finally become the dominant and most empowered constituency in American politics.  Once that happened, it was all over.

And you never could.  The idea that we could was an illusion, and it always was.  A lie we told ourselves so we could sleep at night.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11669]

Somebody finally trying to measure the effect of crime.  Says it goes D gains six points with conviction of a Georgia related crime in Georgia.   
 

 

 

[Red Five 41768]

Trump +6 nationally, huh. Dead heat if he's a convicted felon, huh. Yeah I'm not buying this. 

[Biff Tannen 46190]

4 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Trump +6 nationally, huh. Dead heat if he's a convicted felon, huh. Yeah I'm not buying this. 

I’m not sure why these keep getting posted. It’s fucking ridiculous. 

[Js1 87223]

Very serious campaign 

[Biff Tannen 46190]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Very serious campaign 

To be fair, Arizona is really far away. 

[Js1 87223]

Just now, Biff Tannen said:

To be fair, Arizona is really far away. 

HiLlArY dID nOt vIsIt WiScOnSiN

 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

38 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Very serious campaign 

36 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

To be fair, Arizona is really far away. 

Or he (or some of this people) are afraid of being served papers there. 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

38 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

I’m not sure why these keep getting posted. It’s fucking ridiculous. 

We have 161 million registered voters in the US, so a poll of 1,600 people who have the time and are dumb enough to answer unknown phone calls (or emails) to base the whole country's political future on makes perfect sense these days.

[TexEx15 17956]

What a piece of shit. In a normal world this should end the election. But our dumb fucking electoral college is keeping his hopes alive. Has there ever been a more clear need to scrap the EC.

[tx 3 putt 78730]

This is what he wants, mass love for dear leader. Everyone stands when he stands …..

 

Don’t feel like loving dear leader, life in prison or being shot will cheer you up !

[ChiTownDoc 21347]

4 hours ago, Js1 said:

Very serious campaign 

It’s people who really aren’t all that serious that keep pumping Trump in these polls.  Those people usually don’t vote.  Of course I’m not as happy as I should be because there’s still a nonzero chance orange shitstain wins.  

[tx 3 putt 78730]

6 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

It’s people who really aren’t all that serious that keep pumping Trump in these polls.  Those people usually don’t vote.  Of course I’m not as happy as I should be because there’s still a nonzero chance orange shitstain wins.  

his whole plan is to contest every lost state and hopes the house steps in

zero reason to spend money now 

Edited May 21 by tx 3 putt

[StassneyHorn 6787]

This election is about who gets out more of the 2020 vote. This will not be an all time high participation event like 2020. 

[David Dennison 19566]

4 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Somebody finally trying to measure the effect of crime.  Says it goes D gains six points with conviction of a Georgia related crime in Georgia.   
 

 

 

LOL

[cactusflinthead 27628]

I saw him the first time on the Denton subreddit. He was at the square. Same sign.

He made r/Texas today and several people have seen him around N. Texas.

ConfuzzledDork

•1h ago

 

He’s shown up in Sherman a few times, basically pops up all over the North Texas region. I call him Anarchist Grandpa.

 

[tx 3 putt 78730]

17 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

I saw him the first time on the Denton subreddit. He was at the square. Same sign.

He made r/Texas today and several people have seen him around N. Texas.

ConfuzzledDork

•1h ago

 

He’s shown up in Sherman a few times, basically pops up all over the North Texas region. I call him Anarchist Grandpa.

 

he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

[Biff Tannen 46190]

1 minute ago, tx 3 putt said:

he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

Well he knows his target audience 

[atomheartbevo 90665]

1 hour ago, StassneyHorn said:

 This will not be an all time high participation event like 2020. 

That's pretty clear from the lack of public enthusiasm from Trump supporters - in 2020, they were like fucking Crossfitters or Navy SEALs - they would tell you their life story without you asking and they wouldn't shut the fuck up about it, or in the case of MAGA, they had to have a sign or a sticker or that fucking hat displayed somewhere in their vehicle or on their property.

Now it's odd to see MAGA signs.