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Texas Basketball 2024-25


shadow_operative

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Texas has two pg’s who can’t break anybody down or get by them. No low post presence and the pick and roll or pick and pop tend to be ineffective. 

When the game is close at the end and Texas needs to score how does it happen? Johnson or Kaluma make a move individually. And every coach knows it. 

Texas used Johnson to cover Ziegler in the Tennessee game. Ziegler a low percentage outside shooter hits two 3s because Johnson plays off of him. When Tennessee needs a bucket in crunch time, Johnson still covers Ziegler and tightens up on him. Ziegler goes right by him and scores a layup. I don’t blame Johnson but the coaches who kept that defensive assignment. 

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Texas has two pg’s who can’t break anybody down or get by them. No low post presence and the pick and roll or pick and pop tend to be ineffective. 
When the game is close at the end and Texas needs to score how does it happen? Johnson or Kaluma make a move individually. And every coach knows it. 

Texas used Johnson to cover Ziegler in the Tennessee game. Ziegler a low percentage outside shooter hits two 3s because Johnson plays off of him. When Tennessee needs a bucket in crunch time, Johnson still covers Ziegler and tightens up on him. Ziegler goes right by him and scores a layup. I don’t blame Johnson but the coaches who kept that defensive assignment. 

And following that on offense we planned or allowed Johnson to take an off balance double teamed 3 pointer with just under a minute left to seal the loss … frustrating

If our coaching in crunch time is to let Johnson make something difficult happen, we need to scrap the coaching staff at seasons end … if Johnson is add libbing and not running plays, he needs a strong dose of the hard coaching rather than the have fun and be yourself variety
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12 hours ago, VinyVango said:


And following that on offense we planned or allowed Johnson to take an off balance double teamed 3 pointer with just under a minute left to seal the loss … frustrating

If our coaching in crunch time is to let Johnson make something difficult happen, we need to scrap the coaching staff at seasons end … if Johnson is add libbing and not running plays, he needs a strong dose of the hard coaching rather than the have fun and be yourself variety

coaching in crunch time, lol

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Updated conference probability distribution based on KenPom game odds:

image.png.a7b1f134ea40ae163b8585edd225583d.png

Only 25% chance we finish 6-12 or worse.  If we assume a 7-11 record gives us a 50% chance of a tourney bid, and an 8-10 record is 100% a tourney bid, then our tourney chances right now are about 65%.

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1 hour ago, PantsTent said:

Kenpom now has us 8-10 in conference. We moved from 38 to 36 last night.

image.png.962e7ae06baaa756096bb00774b7afe3.png

Would only be 4 Q1 wins if using current NET rankings. I think we'd be in but it wouldn't be a slam dunk. 

The fact we have moved up the NET rankings with a 1-3 start to conference play probably bodes well if we do get to 8 wins. IIRC we finished around 30th in NET last year with 5 Q1 wins in the regular season. Got us a 7-seed.

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