2024 Hurricane Season thread of DOOM

[troph 24781]

6 hours ago, Stinkpalm said:

I’m really looking forward to this one. Tarpon on the fly has been near the top (if not the top) of my fishing bucket list since picking up fly fishing 20 years ago. Bones and GT round out the top three, but they’ll have to wait. Will update the fishing thread if it pans out.

I’ve caught a GT on a fly rod. And my first salt water fly experience was tarpon because I was like why not? Lol. Florida guide was not amused. Lectured me this isn’t Colorado trout fishing… fucking hooked a 50 pounder (that’s what the guide said it was) and watched it fly through the air before it dropped the fly. Since then a bunch of reds (I go to rock port about 8 times a year solo) and strangely haven’t caught a bonefish though on my GT trip I hooked and lost a few.

Edited June 9 by troph

[Bevo&Pevo 5120]

6 hours ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Dallas is fucked. 

I understood that reference.

[troph 24781]

7 hours ago, Stinkpalm said:

Ha! I’d imagine Jim Cantore would be smart enough to not book trips to Costa Rica and Puerto Rico in back to back years, in apparently their rainy seasons. Worked out last year, minimal rain and landed some nice sailfin and roosters, but the forecast isn’t looking so good this year!

Btw are you on the fishing thread? If not you need to be. 

[General Specific 3251]

Checks list of names, sighs deeply with great relief as no South Austin Mom is found!

[Fudge Nuggets 19184]

8 hours ago, General Specific said:

Checks list of names, sighs deeply with great relief as no South Austin Mom is found!

You don’t know that. She’s using code names. 

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[Rip76 4924]

GFS for 6/17.

 

[InkaUtexas 25853]

Was thinking about what to do for Father's Day. Kids are grown up so I can do whatever I want. Might head on down to the coast. Anyone know where there is a blue shed?

 

[Rip76 4924]

10 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Was thinking about what to do for Father's Day. Kids are grown up so I can do whatever I want. Might head on down to the coast. Anyone know where there is a blue shed?

 

I know where there was one. 

[texasdago 7562]

21 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

GFS for 6/17.

 

I'm seeing this...

[Rip76 4924]

13 minutes ago, texasdago said:

I'm seeing this...

Yes, this is most current.  

[Rip76 4924]

Jeff Lindner’s new tropical podcast.

 

[Rip76 4924]

[NorthLoop 14180]

A storm hitting mexico that tosses central TX a bunch of rain bands would be nice.

[Goofyboy 3268]

Based on those pictures above - this thing heads to Beaumont?

[Zonahorn 8079]

Good agreement among the models that we will get a storm off the East Coast. Main concern will be the rain it drops in Florida before it scoots off:

 

[Trey3216 15343]

On 6/8/2024 at 10:04 PM, troph said:

Debbie’s gonna be a downer hate to break it to you.

But if she does Dallas, we'll all be out of the drought.   

[General Specific 3251]

Your avatar, ISWYDT!

[tx 3 putt 76862]

 

[InkaUtexas 25853]

Hope that second one stays subtropical come right up the Mexican coast and heads into the Central Texas Region.

Based on Wundergrounds 10 forecast it might be so.

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

 

Very strong signal for a storm in the Gulf next week. If this avoids getting stuck inland or on the coast we could see an intense hurricane. 

[Js1 85258]

That thing will wait until I leave town on the 19th and then slam right into Houston. 

You're welcome. 

[Bert Orange 1120]

No. Just. No. 

[Rip76 4924]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

That thing will wait until I leave town on the 19th and then slam right into Houston. 

You're welcome. 

20th.

 

[Goofyboy 3268]

Cool. We come home the 22nd…. Maybe.

[texasdago 7562]

6 hours ago, Goofyboy said:

Cool. We come home the 22nd…. Maybe.

Had more than one international trip extended thanks to hurricanes.  Sometimes you're stuck in Paris, other times Newark.

[HenryJames 66033]

Newark is the Paris of New Jersey.

[tx 3 putt 76862]

 

[royiv 9241]

2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

The Space City Weather guys seem to think this one is going to get sucked more towards Mexico or South Texas. 

[tx 3 putt 76862]

14 minutes ago, royiv said:

The Space City Weather guys seem to think this one is going to get sucked more towards Mexico or South Texas. 

All south Texas needs the rain. Hopefully it makes it inland some 

[Hate 20106]

12 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

All south Texas needs the rain. Hopefully it makes it inland some 

They are going to get some.

 

[tx 3 putt 76862]

[tx 3 putt 76862]

[tx 3 putt 76862]

Know your evacuation zone …

 

[Rip76 4924]

Not for this system, but just to keep handy.

https://www.h-gac.com/getmedia/417ea081-7dcf-44d3-8b6a-2712b7f36850/2024-H-GAC-Hurricane-Preparedness-Guide?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR0mIJZ3fCU1oVuvA1b-0w6h0K-_MQx5fWaorSYXXnRE-HBpaLCifdiWsXM_aem_AU5AWtHa6bRarThIt9wU23wP7Pssobae1B9jQVvIOVTYtnh6iy7z8ZXtVuJZN_DdGgM_lyYMt9zavb3VRZ_8tl1i

[tx 3 putt 76862]

Never do the i10 evacuation again 

I’ll got the long way through Victoria or something 

[Armybrat 40815]

On a related note (crossposting from Port Aransas thread)

 

When we arrived at Port A on Monday, my niece and her husband were 30 miles south on Padre Island. She took this pic - it was one of three in the vicinity that day…

[miguelito 11250]

Cloud penis. 

 

Or waterspout, I've heard it both ways 

[Rip76 4924]

3 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

Never do the i10 evacuation again 

I’ll got the long way through Victoria or something 

I got to 1-10 on BW8 West from Friendswood before Rita.

 

In 9 hours.

 

[WBT 20559]

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

7 hours ago, WBT said:

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling

I went down to El Campo before Rita to help my in-laws secure and board up their house, then tried coming back to Austin that back way.  It sucked almost as bad as the main roads. Took me 8 hours to get home.  

[tx 3 putt 76862]

11 hours ago, WBT said:

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling

victoria, goliad, Neville, 37, goto SA or family ranch in Jim wells 

goliad has a brand new Texan 

Curious if it forms up into a TS 

[WBT 20559]

4 hours ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

I went down to El Campo before Rita to help my in-laws secure and board up their house, then tried coming back to Austin that back way.  It sucked almost as bad as the main roads. Took me 8 hours to get home.  

Huh, I left coastal Brazoria County for Rita following that route and it only took about an hour more than usual to get to the parent's place outside of Wimberley.

But the key message is never head toward Houston when evacuating.

Edited June 16 by WBT

[Hook1997 5351]

20 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

victoria, goliad, Neville, 37, goto SA or family ranch in Jim wells 

goliad has a brand new Texan 

Curious if it forms up into a TS 

The Texan is a great idea, starting a mini bucee’s but their stuff is even more overpriced and the food sucks.  

[UT_OB1 2213]

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 

[tx 3 putt 76862]

45 minutes ago, Hook1997 said:

The Texan is a great idea, starting a mini bucee’s but their stuff is even more overpriced and the food sucks.  

they make a good club sandwich, only thing I’ve bought there 

 

22 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 

More people saying ‘fuck it, I’m riding it out’

[troph 24781]

my brother in law is a former meteorologist and says this could be the one. he's got one model he's looking at that has 10 inches plus in Cen Tex - bullseye of 14 inches - he's not betting on that model or any at this point but says this is as close as we've gotten to a lake filling opportunity as we've had in the last 3-4 years. Screen shot of what he sent my wife:

 

 

Edited June 16 by troph

[WBT 20559]

39 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 

far fewer people evacuated

Rita was such a clusterfuck because people were scared from Katrina.  Despite not living below sea level.

After Rita turned and the Houston area got nothing, they swung back to thinking they'll never evacuate again. 

People are dumb.

Edited June 16 by WBT

[Nice Guy Eddie 13507]

19 minutes ago, WBT said:

far fewer people evacuated

Rita was such a clusterfuck because people were scared from Katrina.  Despite not living below sea level.

After Rita turned and the Houston area got nothing, they swung back to thinking they'll never evacuate again. 

People are dumb.

Yep most Houston people do not need to evacuate. It’s cool if you want to get out but do it a few days earlier. Much easier in todays world with more WFH options.

[InkaUtexas 25853]

46 minutes ago, troph said:

my brother in law is a former meteorologist and says this could be the one. he's got one model he's looking at that has 10 inches plus in Cen Tex - bullseye of 14 inches - he's not betting on that model or any at this point but says this is as close as we've gotten to a lake filling opportunity as we've had in the last 3-4 years. Screen shot of what he sent my wife:

 

 

So the San Marcos river floods by Sunday?

OK, will get all my fishing in before then.

When do I water my lawn to make sure this happens?