2024 Hurricane Season thread of DOOM

[Cajun 11659]

30 minutes ago, Ag with kids said:

My dad is at Medina Lake.  They'd KILL for that much water.

Well aware.  I grew up half my childhood at Medina Lake.  Breaks my heart what has happened.

[Storm the Field 5254]

4 pm update from NHC nudges a little further east than the morning tracks, but still aiming at Corpus.

[Deej 76156]

1 hour ago, Wally Pryor said:

TWC just flashed a Euro graphic showing 12 - 18 inches between SA and Austin

South Austin's Mom...

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2621]

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

[MissingInAction 24324]

2 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Why?  They’ll just apply for rate hike and the state will say yes, under threat of carriers refusing to carry Texas coastal counties. 

[NAVY 6667]

Austin won’t get shit 

[Cajun 11659]

4 minutes ago, FORTY NINE TO ZERO said:

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

What do you mean?  It will absolutely help it fail.

[tx 3 putt 75232]

Costco Richmond very normal, but lot of people buying water 

[Rip76 4880]

[Js1 82949]

8 minutes ago, FORTY NINE TO ZERO said:

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

My wood plyed your mom 

[tx 3 putt 75232]

9 minutes ago, FORTY NINE TO ZERO said:

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

this storm will be the kiss of death for Livingston dam 

[Deej 76156]

9 minutes ago, FORTY NINE TO ZERO said:

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

"Remember to put the plywood behind the window" - aggy

[Slacks 6691]

3 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

Which crazy ass model is this with a bullseye on Galveston?

[Rip76 4880]

1 minute ago, Slacks said:

Which crazy ass model is this with a bullseye on Galveston?

Icon.  3 runs in a row I believe.

 

[ConferenceRoom 5969]

8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

My wood plyed your mom 

[Welshy 907]

12 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

That's. Wow. Fuck you, ICON. Your ski-pass sucks.

Edited July 5 by Welshy

[BabaBooey 131]

15 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

That's the only model that puts this thing that far east. ICON isn't reliable in long term forecasting. 

[Slacks 6691]

14 minutes ago, Slacks said:

Which crazy ass model is this with a bullseye on Galveston?

I see now... ICON13.... Yikes.

[tx 3 putt 75232]

All these models are worthless until it hits open water 

[Slacks 6691]

2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

All these models are worthless until it hits open water

 the euro model also has also added an earlier northward turn... 

Euro model from 06z

Euro from 12z

[Gatorubet 29538]

I am not liking the fact that Beryl -after going over the peninsula - will be reappearing over the water with damn near complete circulation and a decent vestige of its eye-wall. 

I had assumed it would be a little more disorganized at this point. 

[Eastwood 4394]

48 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

Right up the Sabine River. As is predicted. 

[tx 3 putt 75232]

Deep govt info - port Lavaca is preparing for a cat 3 to hit between Seadrift and Port Lavaca. They’re working like mad to check on elderly and get them out of danger. Known low water areas will be barricaded off some time Sunday. People are refilling meds, buying water, and food.  Evacuation order is ready for Sunday am. Possible land fall very late Sunday / early Monday 
 

victoria is preparing for a massive flooding event and handling evacuees from the coast

 

 

[Gatorubet 29538]

14 minutes ago, Slacks said:

 the euro model also has also added an earlier northward turn... 

Euro model from 06z

Euro from 12z

[Pescado_Rojo 19235]

5 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

Deep govt info - port Lavaca is preparing for a cat 3 to hit between Seadrift and Port Lavaca. They’re working like mad to check on elderly and get them out of danger. Known low water areas will be barricaded off some time Sunday. People are refilling meds, buying water, and food.  Evacuation order is ready for Sunday am. Possible land fall very late Sunday / early Monday 
 

victoria is preparing for a massive flooding event and handling evacuees from the coast

 

 

You mean Port O’Connor?

[tx 3 putt 75232]

2 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

I am not liking the fact that Beryl -after going over the peninsula - will be reappearing over the water with damn near complete circulation and a decent vestige of its eye-wall. 

I had assumed it would be a little more disorganized at this point. 

Harvey hit Calhoun / Victoria counties damn hard. the damage was so wide spread, unlike storms in the past. Beryl might be bigger and nastier, 80 mile wide strike zone.

Word is, heb storm relief is packed and ready. Just waiting to see where this one hits. When they rolled in the day after Harvey it was like a miracle on wheels. They were helping one week before the state and female. HeB also has another team to get damaged stores up and running asap. Well organized machine 

 

 

 

 

 

[tx 3 putt 75232]

3 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

You mean Port O’Connor?

the party will be going hard if it comes through there 

 

harvey

 

[Rip76 4880]

Good write up on where we stand currently.

Threat to the upper Texas coast, including Houston region, increasing as Beryl nears Gulf of Mexico

https://spacecityweather.com/threat-to-the-upper-texas-coast-including-houston-region-increasing-as-beryl-nears-gulf-of-mexico/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR2Qi1X3oKDDYRMeXdSNLjbFcjnWJAdlQc0flpcwqZpd__cmsrxeSsjVTAA_aem_iRymsdohysjJqimQqSl4cw

Edited July 5 by Rip76

[ChickenSandwich 9760]

1 hour ago, FORTY NINE TO ZERO said:

Shutters up in Galveston.  Waiting on the 5pm update to decide if to do secondary plywood over.

 

side note: lake Livingston dam was recently declared to be under “immediate failure watch” 

bet the forecasted 15 inches of rain isn’t going to help that.  

Any new Galveston Updates?

[cmontexas 3209]

24 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

Deep govt info - port Lavaca is preparing for a cat 3 to hit between Seadrift and Port Lavaca. They’re working like mad to check on elderly and get them out of danger. Known low water areas will be barricaded off some time Sunday. People are refilling meds, buying water, and food.  Evacuation order is ready for Sunday am. Possible land fall very late Sunday / early Monday 
 

victoria is preparing for a massive flooding event and handling evacuees from the coast

 

 

My mom's cousin was sheriff of Calhoun County for a longass time

[tx 3 putt 75232]

1 minute ago, cmontexas said:

My mom's cousin was sheriff of Calhoun County for a longass time

crooked ass place lol

[Zonahorn 7921]

 

[Tailgate 2974]

Will Austin get any rain?

[tx 3 putt 75232]

1 minute ago, Tailgate said:

Will Austin get any rain?

you already know the answer 

[tx 3 putt 75232]

There should be a 5pm update?

[Rip76 4880]

4 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

There should be a 5pm update?

There was, it's 4pm to us.  Next one at 7pm.

[Mother mopar 3267]

Icon gonna Icon

[TexArcher 37040]

Model seems to be factoring in the Austin force field.

[dcbc 14235]

1 hour ago, Deej said:

"Remember to put the plywood behind the window" - aggy

Evacuation route out of Houston for aggy is 610.

 

Also, my buddy texted me from Cancun this morning.  He slept through the whole thing, and they didn't lose power.

[tx 3 putt 75232]

1 minute ago, dcbc said:

Evacuation route out of Houston for aggy is 610.

 

Also, my buddy texted me from Cancun this morning.  He slept through the whole thing, and they didn't lose power.

 

 

is old army ?

new army?

Edited July 5 by tx 3 putt

[InkaUtexas 24932]

So we ain't getting shit in Central Texas are we?

[Shut up Lou Holtz 1977]

That fucker is going east.... central Texas needed the rain

Edited July 5 by Shut up Lou Holtz

[atomheartbevo 88913]

4 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

i’m wondering about the local Houston weather channels and what they are telling the public right now.   Please update.   My buddy lived in Houston, but his wife passed away, so he moved to Florida and remarried.   I was with him last weekend in Florida and he was talking about finally getting around to selling his place in Houston.

LOL.   there may be some home equity changes in his  near future.

Ask your buddy what The Villages are like.

[Welshy 907]

23 minutes ago, Mother mopar said:

1 hour ago, Rip76 said:

Icon gonna Icon

How do I put ICON on ignore?

 

[Welshy 907]

1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

Ask your buddy what The Villages are like.

It's like suburban Houston with more golf carts and raging STDs. 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2621]

48 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:

Any new Galveston Updates?

Most people seem to be ignoring this.  Shrug

im generally overly cautious in life 

 

good news is that it’s small and small hurricanes don’t create a major surge.  

[Cajun 11659]

This sucks, this model!

[SurlyGator 822]

Since this thing has consistently been hanging right of most models for the past couple of days, so that ICON model may not be far off...

[Welshy 907]

Just now, Cajun said:

This sucks, this model!

Exactly. Permaban ICON!

[General Specific 3152]

Fuck ICON!