2024 Hurricane Season thread of DOOM

[F250 28779]

Two of my sons went down to evacuate my dad. His roof was ripped off during Harvey when it sat on the Victoria area for a day and a half. He has been insisting he needs to stay but my boys are doing a force evacuation and texted me they will be back here by 9 AM tomorrow.

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

4 minutes ago, F250 said:

Two of my sons went down to evacuate my dad. His roof was ripped off during Harvey when it sat on the Victoria area for a day and a half. He has been insisting he needs to stay but my boys are doing a force evacuation and texted me they will be back here by 9 AM tomorrow.

 

yeah get out 

[Gatorubet 30246]

2 minutes ago, F250 said:

Two of my sons went down to evacuate my dad. His roof was ripped off during Harvey when it sat on the Victoria area for a day and a half. He has been insisting he needs to stay but my boys are doing a force evacuation and texted me they will be back here by 9 AM tomorrow.

 

[Bert Orange 1120]

16 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

GFS run just came out and has landfall at Freeport and then going north. 

If that location holds true, I expect to see some generic panic and stupidity tomorrow morning 

Yeah. Not seeing that

[Gatorubet 30246]

6 minutes ago, Bert Orange said:

Yeah. Not seeing that

As the NHC constantly reminds us, their best prognosis at this date is still plus or minus 50 miles and plus or minus one category intensity. 

I am not betting on that landfall, just sharing the run.   

[Bert Orange 1120]

3 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

As the NHC constantly reminds us, their best prognosis at this date is still plus or minus 50 miles and plus or minus one category intensity. 

I am not betting on that landfall, just sharing the run.   

Not arguing as I don’t disagree. But watching the models I’m not seeing that. 

[Gatorubet 30246]

8 minutes ago, Bert Orange said:

Not arguing as I don’t disagree. But watching the models I’m not seeing that. 

go over to Levi’s TTB and look at the latest GFS and tell me what you think.

[Okie State 3821]

1 hour ago, Pato del Muerto said:

For some reason, people have lost trust in the Texas electrical grid. 

Our neighborhood has been losing power from anything more than a breeze lately.

[Victor Lazlo 1777]

 

Yeah, not liking these latest GFS runs here in northwest Harris County.

[Pato del Muerto 52524]

That puts Galveston on the fun side

[Hook1997 5384]

2 minutes ago, Victor Lazlo said:

 

Yeah, not liking these latest GFS runs here in northwest Harris County.

This has to be cherry picking the most easterly noodle because there’s not much else that says that right now.  

[Bert Orange 1120]

Yeah. Cherry-picking. 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

11:30PM SATURDAY BERYL UPATE:

Sunday is now also an ABC13 Weather Alert Day due to the chance for tropical twisters starting in the afternoon, and get ready to hunker down on Monday. Major travel disruptions from street flooding and gusty winds are possible Monday morning, as are widespread power outages when Beryl blows through Southeast Texas.

I am seeing more data points tonight pointing toward Beryl making landfall in Matagorda County (east of the bay) instead of Calhoun County (west of the bay). In the event that does happens, I wanted to show you some maps highlighting the more significant winds and rainfall that could impact the heavily populated I-45 corridor on Monday morning.

Keep in mind that the average forecast error for the landfall point this many hours out is still around 50 miles, and the average forecast error for the intensity this far out is one hurricane category.

As Meteorologist ABC13-Kevin Roth said frequently today on the morning news, this is a prepare for the worst and hope for the best situation. Join him again during the morning news, then our team will keep you updated frequently on our 24/7 streaming channel Sunday afternoon and evening. After the 10PM news hour we will have continuous coverage through the night and through the day Monday.

We're here for you, and we'll get through this together.

abc13.com/live

[Slacks 6821]

55 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

GFS run just came out and has landfall at Freeport and then going north. 

If that location holds true, I expect to see some generic panic and stupidity tomorrow morning 

GFS is confused. 

Euro is showing more strengthening, so maybe GFS is on to something.

[atomheartbevo 89727]

1 hour ago, Gatorubet said:

GFS run just came out and has landfall at Freeport and then going north. 

If that location holds true, I expect to see some generic panic and stupidity tomorrow morning 

All I’m asking for is attractive older women in Dokken t-shirts and 90s sweatpants to show up at the grocery stores tomorrow.

 

[Gatorubet 30246]

19 minutes ago, Slacks said:

GFS is confused. 

Euro is showing more strengthening, so maybe GFS is on to something.

The run does not have to be ultimately correct in the long run to spread panic.  The magic words in New Orleans are, “the hurricane will enter the mouth of the Mississippi.”

What some local weather person says that everybody’s hair catches on fire - and access to gas - and ability to quickly travel - and anything left in the grocery store becomes problematic

[Gatorubet 30246]

14 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

All I’m asking for is attractive older women in Dokken t-shirts and 90s sweatpants to show up at the grocery stores tomorrow.

 

You’ll get an attractive older women in her 90s wearing sweatpants and a Dokken t-shirts.

[tx 3 putt 77060]

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

I’m bugging out in the am. 4 days of without power after derecho was enough for me.

peace out 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

 

[tx 3 putt 77060]

Slight shift to the east …

4AM BERYL UPDATE: The forecast cone has shifted further East and has removed Corpus Christi out of the current cone. Although we are no longer in the cone, that does not mean we are out of the clear. 

Beryl is still expected to become a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall on the Texas coast overnight Sunday into predawn Monday. A large part of that is because wind shear is forecasted to continuously decrease ahead of Beryl's path into Texas. 

Storm surge of 3-5ft. is still expected for Coastal Bend beaches and bays. 

Another note to mention is that the timing of landfall has shifted earlier into Monday morning. This also means that tropical storm force winds are possible as early as this afternoon.

For more detailed updates on Beryl, click here: 
https://www.kiiitv.com/article/weather/hurricane/beryl-weakens-to-a-tropical-storm-over-the-yucatan-peninsula/503-030dab6a-7c6c-47aa-8077-c5dda80ddddc
 

 

[Bevo 13579]

Looks like for Austin to get significant rain, the hurricane needs to make landfall further south near Seadrift/Victoria.

[Bevo&Pevo 5205]

1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:

Slight shift to the east …

4AM BERYL UPDATE: The forecast cone has shifted further East and has removed Corpus Christi out of the current cone. Although we are no longer in the cone, that does not mean we are out of the clear. 

Beryl is still expected to become a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall on the Texas coast overnight Sunday into predawn Monday. A large part of that is because wind shear is forecasted to continuously decrease ahead of Beryl's path into Texas. 

Storm surge of 3-5ft. is still expected for Coastal Bend beaches and bays. 

Another note to mention is that the timing of landfall has shifted earlier into Monday morning. This also means that tropical storm force winds are possible as early as this afternoon.

For more detailed updates on Beryl, click here: 
https://www.kiiitv.com/article/weather/hurricane/beryl-weakens-to-a-tropical-storm-over-the-yucatan-peninsula/503-030dab6a-7c6c-47aa-8077-c5dda80ddddc
 

 

If this holds true Palacios, Tin Top, Blessing, Midfield, Bay City, Markham are gonna have some tough days ahead.

[Blotto 23559]

1 hour ago, Bevo said:

Looks like for Austin to get significant rain, the hurricane needs to make landfall further south near Seadrift/Victoria.

 

Every. Fucking. Time.

Edited July 7 by Blotto

[Bookman 4639]

15 hours ago, gofuckyourself said:

Current path is right over aggy-town. Time to board the windows, Cletus.

 

This never gets old. Still can't believe it's real. 

[SydneyCarton 48110]

1 minute ago, Bookman said:

This never gets old. Still can't believe it's real. 

Even better is there was once a defense on their boards or somewhere of that picture saying it was to prevent glass from blowing into the store. 

[SydneyCarton 48110]

7 minutes ago, Blotto said:

 

Every. Fucking. Time.

Yeah, I feel for you. Meanwhile I’m planning how to handle taking care of two households, one in Houston, one in the woodlands, while my sister in law and her family are on vacation, with likely significant power outages for multiple days. Which will be the third time that’s happened since May. Some guys get all the luck. 

[DaggerHorns 3085]

Reporting live from Rockport, TX, still across from Goose Island.

[miguelito 11266]

Good luck to those of you in the path.  Be safe.

 

Meanwhile, those of us in extreme drought (or desert 🙄 ) will be lucky to get some high cloud cover. 

[Blotto 23559]

41 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Even better is there was once a defense on their boards or somewhere of that picture saying it was to prevent glass from blowing into the store. 

Texas A&M culture & Traditions. “From the outside looking in, you can't understand it. And from the inside looking out, you can't explain it.” 

[Henry Hill 3156]

19 minutes ago, DaggerHorns said:

Reporting live from Rockport, TX, still across from Goose Island.

Real shit view there. Thanks for invite.

[elfenix 34309]

[DaggerHorns 3085]

12 minutes ago, Henry Hill said:

Real shit view there. Thanks for invite.

I wish it was mine to do the inviting. How do you know that I don’t work for the weather channel? Ha

[atomheartbevo 89727]

17 minutes ago, miguelito said:

Meanwhile, those of us in extreme drought (or desert 🙄 ) will be lucky to get some high cloud cover. 

We want this:

 

But we’re gonna get this

[Bevo 13579]

37 minutes ago, DaggerHorns said:

Reporting live from Rockport, TX, still across from Goose Island.

Fake pic - There aren't any mosquitoes on the camera lens.

[TexArcher 37977]

This is rigoddamndiculous.

 

[chainsaw 9870]

I still remember the halcyon days of weathermen saying "it'll hit Mexico, maaaaaaybe Brownsville gets rain. Let's just keep our eye on her."

[Etexhorn13 3051]

https://spacecityweather.com/beryl-tracking-toward-matagorda-center-likely-to-pass-near-west-side-of-houston-serious-impacts-expected/

[ABSR 5315]

12 hours ago, Parliament said:

And 3 briskets in the fridge.

Which he gets by having the Man and Maidservants buy them individually to properly stock his larder.

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

34 minutes ago, elfenix said:

This timeline, man.  Because east Texas and the Great Lakes really need the rain.

[Bozo_Casanova 26488]

This sucks shit

[GreenspointTexas 9649]

7 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

I’m bugging out in the am. 4 days of without power after derecho was enough for me.

peace out 

Dude, the derecho was wayyy worse than this will get. This will be like a regular monday for houston. 
 

Im still doing elective endoscopy cases tomorrow starting at 730am

[Js1 85408]

Ballgame?

[TexArcher 37977]

Just now, GreenspointTexas said:

Dude, the derecho was wayyy worse than this will get. This will be like a regular monday for houston. 

Ballgame.

Now this will somehow turn out like Harvey and Ike made a baby.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

6 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

Dude, the derecho was wayyy worse than this will get. This will be like a regular monday for houston. 
 

Im still doing elective endoscopy cases tomorrow starting at 730am

Ffffffffuck dude

[SydneyCarton 48110]

6 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

Dude, the derecho was wayyy worse than this will get. This will be like a regular monday for houston. 
 

Im still doing elective endoscopy cases tomorrow starting at 730am

I think you’re failing to consider something. Storm wise, sure. But keep in mind much of the central Houston lines are still basically temporary poles and duct taped together. In Timbergrove we still have goddamn cranes and orange grounders on half the damn lines. It won’t take much to blow this shit to pieces again. Most of the trees that could get ripped up were ripped, sure. But I don’t think it will take much for widespread power issues lasting days. That’s my big fear. The derecho was mostly 70 mph winds with upper gusts at 120 lasting 20 minutes. This thing hits at 75 for prolonged hour or two? The power system will fold like a metal chair. 
 

also fuck you for your bad shitty Helobious adjacent takes over the years you jinxing fuckball. 

Edited July 7 by SydneyCarton

[Goofyboy 3293]

Looks like this will test the Livingston Damn. Not good for the folks down river.