Jump to content

2024 Hurricane Season thread of DOOM


Zonahorn

Recommended Posts

The new issue is that looks like they are initializing the storm way too far north. The current vorticity seems to imply a center that is off the SE coast of Cuba, not the NE as shown. That would make a pretty huge difference.
A lot of seasoned mets are calling this out as well. This may have a big shift on the next update.
It's going to be interesting to see the next updates. The hook, IMO, is but more aggressive as I thought I would be more N/NW hook. The Bermuda High is either retreating or the trough is grabbing it sooner or both.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, ballrific said:

so is my Puerto Rico/DR visit furked next week?

Just be happy you're not going to Aruba... otherwise you definitely would be screwed.

@BearSchlong better to battle for that insurance money (a - early bird/claim gets the worm and b - squeaky wheel gets the grease... trust me) than to beg for FEMA scraps

BTW, not saying flood insurance is cheap... in fact 4x more than before sucks buuuuut... 

 

IMG_20170907_161221.jpg

Edited by texasdago
  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just be happy you're not going to Aruba... otherwise you definitely would be screwed.
[mention=398]BearSchlong[/mention] better to battle for that insurance money (a - early bird/claim gets the worm and b - squeaky wheel gets the grease... trust me) than to beg for FEMA scraps
BTW, not saying flood insurance is cheap... in fact 4x more than before sucks buuuuut... 
 
IMG_20170907_161221.thumb.jpg.6eba6c9684ee02ff15fd23b8bba4a935.jpg

The name of the insurer that sold me my policy through USAA? Neptune.

https://neptuneflood.com/?source=sgjte7BOCm0S00BBtLKcSQ%3D%3D&payload=google-Quote&gbraid=0AAAAADCYH9BjZcwgeMfxR4pDWNn-MWoq-&gclid=Cj0KCQjwh7K1BhCZARIsAKOrVqEwV1F113tb5ON-UbOAUj0glzEYUxoiquwEtG78Mjk47FdZhWlNwYUaAoajEALw_wcB&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Quote

Apparently the reason my policy was around $600 rather than $1k is because they actually calculate premiums based on coordinates vs zones. I would love to know what comparable coverage costs for a dwelling flooded twice (Harvey, Imelda), for example the corner of Sheridan and Gladys in Beaumont.
Link to comment
Share on other sites


The name of the insurer that sold me my policy through USAA? Neptune.

https://neptuneflood.com/?source=sgjte7BOCm0S00BBtLKcSQ%3D%3D&payload=google-Quote&gbraid=0AAAAADCYH9BjZcwgeMfxR4pDWNn-MWoq-&gclid=Cj0KCQjwh7K1BhCZARIsAKOrVqEwV1F113tb5ON-UbOAUj0glzEYUxoiquwEtG78Mjk47FdZhWlNwYUaAoajEALw_wcB&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Quote

Apparently the reason my policy was around $600 rather than $1k is because they actually calculate premiums based on coordinates vs zones. I would love to know what comparable coverage costs for a dwelling flooded twice (Harvey, Imelda), for example the corner of Sheridan and Gladys in Beaumont.
I've got Neptune as well here in Florida and it's very reasonable for flood insurance.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

Edited by Hate
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

That's for the wave trekking through the Caribbean next week. That is something we'll have to keep an eye on.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.
 
IMG_1948.thumb.jpeg.84f56b3e9ac52d716d84af55acf6c08a.jpeg
That is the wave behind Debbie?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

Yeah that would fucking suck. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've got soft starts being installed on my AC units, a transfer switch being installed, and I bought a tri-fuel 13k generator that should arrive next week.  I'll be prepared. 

 

  • Drool 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Hate said:

I've got soft starts being installed on my AC units, a transfer switch being installed, and I bought a tri-fuel 13k generator that should arrive next week.  I'll be prepared. 

 


I’ll be ready to evacuate to your house

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, Hate said:

Way too early

The GFS is infamous for apocalyptic forecasting that far out. Then it often backs off or makes a drops the storm all together. But you’re right, consistency of the forecast after several model runs bears watching.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

MODS:  Please escort this user out the back door.  Thank you.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

Nothing against ya' bro' and I do appreciate the update, but I do so hope this doesn't happen.  Definitely, something to keep eyes on if Levi is updating already.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m in the Houston area, so I don’t want it to happen either. I was without power for a week after Beryl.  A Cat 2 or 3 on that path would be disastrous for SE Texas. People are still recovering from Beryl. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Bevo said:

Can someone grab a few buckets and bring some of the good stuff back to Lake Travis?


40 trillion seems like a lot 

1 minute ago, Bevo said:

Can someone grab a few buckets and bring some of the good stuff back to Lake Travis?


40 trillion seems like a lot 

IMG_1483.jpeg

  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Mother mopar said:

Buddy texted me from Savanah today, they're expecting 25" of rain out of this....just nuts.

People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 hours ago, BamaATL said:

People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

Someone strap some pontoons on Paula Deen and take the Forest Gump bench to higher ground!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 hours ago, BamaATL said:

People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, tokamak said:

I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

"But they don't live in flood zones and didn't flood with Florence"

Think About It GIF by Identity

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, tokamak said:

I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

You could say that skipping on flood insurance in Savannah is.... Bananas

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...