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Posted

Those saying flood insurance is cheap likely haven't seen the full impact of the new calculations being used. My house is almost $2K/year and we are in Flood Zone X. We still have it, but that's 4X what we used to pay.

Posted
  On 8/2/2024 at 2:02 PM, dieucla98 said:
The new issue is that looks like they are initializing the storm way too far north. The current vorticity seems to imply a center that is off the SE coast of Cuba, not the NE as shown. That would make a pretty huge difference.
A lot of seasoned mets are calling this out as well. This may have a big shift on the next update.
It's going to be interesting to see the next updates. The hook, IMO, is but more aggressive as I thought I would be more N/NW hook. The Bermuda High is either retreating or the trough is grabbing it sooner or both.
Posted (edited)
  On 8/2/2024 at 12:38 AM, ballrific said:

so is my Puerto Rico/DR visit furked next week?

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Just be happy you're not going to Aruba... otherwise you definitely would be screwed.

@BearSchlong better to battle for that insurance money (a - early bird/claim gets the worm and b - squeaky wheel gets the grease... trust me) than to beg for FEMA scraps

BTW, not saying flood insurance is cheap... in fact 4x more than before sucks buuuuut... 

 

IMG_20170907_161221.jpg

Edited by texasdago
  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
  On 8/2/2024 at 4:09 PM, texasdago said:
Just be happy you're not going to Aruba... otherwise you definitely would be screwed.
[mention=398]BearSchlong[/mention] better to battle for that insurance money (a - early bird/claim gets the worm and b - squeaky wheel gets the grease... trust me) than to beg for FEMA scraps
BTW, not saying flood insurance is cheap... in fact 4x more than before sucks buuuuut... 
 
IMG_20170907_161221.thumb.jpg.6eba6c9684ee02ff15fd23b8bba4a935.jpg

The name of the insurer that sold me my policy through USAA? Neptune.

https://neptuneflood.com/?source=sgjte7BOCm0S00BBtLKcSQ%3D%3D&payload=google-Quote&gbraid=0AAAAADCYH9BjZcwgeMfxR4pDWNn-MWoq-&gclid=Cj0KCQjwh7K1BhCZARIsAKOrVqEwV1F113tb5ON-UbOAUj0glzEYUxoiquwEtG78Mjk47FdZhWlNwYUaAoajEALw_wcB&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Quote

Apparently the reason my policy was around $600 rather than $1k is because they actually calculate premiums based on coordinates vs zones. I would love to know what comparable coverage costs for a dwelling flooded twice (Harvey, Imelda), for example the corner of Sheridan and Gladys in Beaumont.
Posted
  On 8/2/2024 at 11:17 PM, BearSchlong said:

The name of the insurer that sold me my policy through USAA? Neptune.

https://neptuneflood.com/?source=sgjte7BOCm0S00BBtLKcSQ%3D%3D&payload=google-Quote&gbraid=0AAAAADCYH9BjZcwgeMfxR4pDWNn-MWoq-&gclid=Cj0KCQjwh7K1BhCZARIsAKOrVqEwV1F113tb5ON-UbOAUj0glzEYUxoiquwEtG78Mjk47FdZhWlNwYUaAoajEALw_wcB&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=Quote

Apparently the reason my policy was around $600 rather than $1k is because they actually calculate premiums based on coordinates vs zones. I would love to know what comparable coverage costs for a dwelling flooded twice (Harvey, Imelda), for example the corner of Sheridan and Gladys in Beaumont.
I've got Neptune as well here in Florida and it's very reasonable for flood insurance.
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Posted (edited)

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

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Edited by Hate
Posted
  On 8/3/2024 at 10:49 PM, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

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That's for the wave trekking through the Caribbean next week. That is something we'll have to keep an eye on.

Posted
  On 8/3/2024 at 10:49 PM, Hate said:
GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.
 
IMG_1948.thumb.jpeg.84f56b3e9ac52d716d84af55acf6c08a.jpeg
That is the wave behind Debbie?
Posted

I've got soft starts being installed on my AC units, a transfer switch being installed, and I bought a tri-fuel 13k generator that should arrive next week.  I'll be prepared. 

 

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Posted
  On 8/4/2024 at 1:25 AM, Hate said:

I've got soft starts being installed on my AC units, a transfer switch being installed, and I bought a tri-fuel 13k generator that should arrive next week.  I'll be prepared. 

 

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I’ll be ready to evacuate to your house

Posted
  On 8/3/2024 at 10:49 PM, Hate said:

Way too early

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The GFS is infamous for apocalyptic forecasting that far out. Then it often backs off or makes a drops the storm all together. But you’re right, consistency of the forecast after several model runs bears watching.

Posted
  On 8/3/2024 at 10:49 PM, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

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MODS:  Please escort this user out the back door.  Thank you.

 

 

Posted
  On 8/3/2024 at 10:49 PM, Hate said:

GFS has a hurricane into Houston in 10 days. It’s done this now for a couple of model runs. Way too early, but I hope we don’t see any other models start to jump on board. For reference, Beryl was 979 millibars when it made landfall.

 

IMG_1948.jpeg

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Nothing against ya' bro' and I do appreciate the update, but I do so hope this doesn't happen.  Definitely, something to keep eyes on if Levi is updating already.

Posted

I’m in the Houston area, so I don’t want it to happen either. I was without power for a week after Beryl.  A Cat 2 or 3 on that path would be disastrous for SE Texas. People are still recovering from Beryl. 

Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 12:35 AM, Bevo said:

Can someone grab a few buckets and bring some of the good stuff back to Lake Travis?

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40 trillion seems like a lot 

  On 8/5/2024 at 12:35 AM, Bevo said:

Can someone grab a few buckets and bring some of the good stuff back to Lake Travis?

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40 trillion seems like a lot 

IMG_1483.jpeg

  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 1:33 AM, Mother mopar said:

Buddy texted me from Savanah today, they're expecting 25" of rain out of this....just nuts.

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People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 1:41 AM, BamaATL said:

People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

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Someone strap some pontoons on Paula Deen and take the Forest Gump bench to higher ground!

Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 1:41 AM, BamaATL said:

People there are fucked.  Much of Savannah is pretty poor, and the likelihood that even the wealthy keep flood insurance is going to be slim.  

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I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 7:07 PM, tokamak said:

I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

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"But they don't live in flood zones and didn't flood with Florence"

Think About It GIF by Identity

Posted
  On 8/5/2024 at 7:07 PM, tokamak said:

I've never set foot in Savannah in my life, but looking at the geography on Google Maps, skipping the flood insurance seems like...a choice. It's basically sitting on/between two estuaries.

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You could say that skipping on flood insurance in Savannah is.... Bananas

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