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  • 3 weeks later...
Posted
Been quiet the last few weeks, but might be something brewing. Currently a 40% chance of organizing. Wouldn't reach the US until next Sunday or thereabouts.
GWJkRi1XwAAH2Wy?format=jpg&name=large
The wave behind this one looks to be a monster and worth watching as well.
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Posted (edited)

Lots of models showing that system staying south and entering the central GoM. Example of one below (top). GFS has a current run going that has a strong storm kissing the Yucatan peninsula in its last frame (bottom). 

Those pressures would indicate a major hurricane, cat 3+. 

image.png.743295ec24cfdef175c08ff256ecbb23.png

image.thumb.png.c94468c1dc3159b8f40fc6016a41071f.png

Edited by dieucla98
Posted
On 8/29/2024 at 11:34 AM, Storm the Field said:

Been quiet the last few weeks, but might be something brewing. Currently a 40% chance of organizing. Wouldn't reach the US Houston until next Sunday or thereabouts.

GWJkRi1XwAAH2Wy?format=jpg&name=large

FIFY

Posted
11 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

Fuck homeowners insurance companies who screw the common man who aren’t attorneys.  

But you repeat yourself

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Posted
12 hours ago, dieucla98 said:

Lots of models showing that system staying south and entering the central GoM. Example of one below (top). GFS has a current run going that has a strong storm kissing the Yucatan peninsula in its last frame (bottom). 

Those pressures would indicate a major hurricane, cat 3+. 

image.png.743295ec24cfdef175c08ff256ecbb23.png

image.thumb.png.c94468c1dc3159b8f40fc6016a41071f.png

Geeee we haven’t seen that one before. 

Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Colonel Sanders said:

image.thumb.png.b0446b7c31087a12b916da1558e0d5ba.png

September 12th according to GFS this evening.

16th year anniversary of Ike (technically 2am on 9/13.)

 

or 63rd anniversary of Carla (9/11)

Edited by UTexasFight
Posted (edited)

GFS 06Z had it heading straight toward Brownsville, then turning right and moving up along the coast (but out at sea). We'd get wet but not much else I think. 12Z is running now, hasn't made it that far ahead yet.

FWIW, 00Z run had landfall at Tampico and plowing straight west across Mexico. In other words, nobody knows shit.

Edited by tokamak
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Posted
27 minutes ago, tokamak said:

GFS 06Z had it heading straight toward Brownsville, then turning right and moving up along the coast (but out at sea). We'd get wet but not much else I think. 12Z is running now, hasn't made it that far ahead yet.

FWIW, 00Z run had landfall at Tampico and plowing straight west across Mexico. In other words, nobody knows shit.

yeah but hits lake chuck as a major.  not ideal either.  

Posted
On 8/30/2024 at 10:44 AM, Steamboat1874 said:

Someone please unplug the central Texas force field.

Absolutely leave it plugged in for tropical bullshit. I don’t want another hurricane.

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Posted

Latest update. Nothing too much to worry about along the TX coast at the moment.

two_atl_7d0-1.png

That wave from last week is a disorganized mess currently dumping rain on Haiti and the DR. Whatever remains as it heads west looks to be heading towards the Bay of Campeche and continuing on into Mexico. The yellow spot is unlikely to organize and the one off the coast of Africa should stay wellnorth of the Caribbean. Likely a fish storm.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Latest update. Nothing too much to worry about along the TX coast at the moment.

two_atl_7d0-1.png

That wave from last week is a disorganized mess currently dumping rain on Haiti and the DR. Whatever remains as it heads west looks to be heading towards the Bay of Campeche and continuing on into Mexico. The yellow spot is unlikely to organize and the one off the coast of Africa should stay wellnorth of the Caribbean. Likely a fish storm.

This is what the Houston weather folks are now saying...

 

Posted
21 minutes ago, Mother mopar said:
1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:
So we're fucked again. 

Not entirely, new models show it going west to Mexico, assuming it doesn't develop.

I mean, that's what the last model showed for...right up until 2 days before I lost power for a week plus. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:

It doesn't help that my generator likely isn't going to finish being installed till later this month. So, you know, this thing is basically primed for a double Houston spit roast. 

We've had ours plumbed in, wired up, and passed city inspections for about 3 weeks now, but it took until this past Friday to get CP to finally stop by for 5 minutes to install the 2nd meter. Generator guys are coming out today to go ahead and turn it on and test it. 

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Posted
It doesn't help that my generator likely isn't going to finish being installed till later this month. So, you know, this thing is basically primed for a double Houston spit roast. 

This where I’m at, playing the waiting game. Which happens first, generator installed, or the next storm? Tune in next month to find out!
Posted

I know, jinx and all, but we actually are below the average number of named storms for this time of year in the Atlantic.  An above normal year was forecast.  Next 4 weeks are critical.  

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Posted
8 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

We've had ours plumbed in, wired up, and passed city inspections for about 3 weeks now, but it took until this past Friday to get CP to finally stop by for 5 minutes to install the 2nd meter. Generator guys are coming out today to go ahead and turn it on and test it. 

What’s the second meter for?  If you’re on generator isn’t that your juice?

Posted
8 hours ago, HouTex said:

we actually are below the average number of named storms for this time of year in the Atlantic.  An above normal year was forecast.    

So basically every single year since 2005? 

Posted
18 hours ago, HouTex said:

I know, jinx and all, but we actually are below the average number of named storms for this time of year in the Atlantic.  An above normal year was forecast.  Next 4 weeks are critical.  

Right? With that crazy early season storm, we thought we were all doomed…and then basically nothing. Feels ominous. 

Posted
15 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

2nd gas meter. For the gas line that feeds the generator.

2nd meter or just replacing your existing meter with a bigger meter. Curious since I didn’t have to get a second, CP just replaced my old meter with a bigger one.

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Posted
18 minutes ago, royiv said:

2nd meter or just replacing your existing meter with a bigger meter. Curious since I didn’t have to get a second, CP just replaced my old meter with a bigger one.

2nd meter. We had to run a whole new gas line from the side of the house to back where our generator is installed behind the garage.

Posted
1 minute ago, Storm the Field said:

2nd meter. We had to run a whole new gas line from the side of the house to back where our generator is installed behind the garage.

Damn. That sucks. I’m sure that wasn’t cheap.

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