2024 Hurricane Season thread of DOOM

[Zonahorn 8079]

[MonkeyDoughnut 10270]

On 6/30/2024 at 7:28 AM, CoTex said:

And now one behind Beryl?

Not good indeed

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[Gatorubet 30246]

4 hours ago, Parliament said:

You ever been to Sioux City?  They've been fucking themselves for a very long time.

I’ve lived in Sioux City, Iowa.  

“I-O-Way, I-O-Way, that’s where the tall corn grows….to hide the meth labs..”

[SarkAfterDark 1689]

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 
 

Looks like this hurricane season is going to be serious business. Wherever Beryl decides to land it will likely do some serious damage.

[MirrOlure 14787]

Now looks like it’ll wreak havoc in the Winwards and then westward…but weaken and/or be pushed way south into central Mexico

On to the next one!

Now looks like it’ll wreak havoc in the Winwards and then westward…but weaken and/or be pushed way south into central Mexico

On to the next one!

[NorthLoop 14214]

6 minutes ago, SarkAfterDark said:

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 

 

That's just not who we are. 

[SydneyCarton 48108]

27 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

I'd like to know what the fuck that means in English. I'm assuming some form of "This hurricane will fuck you in the ass, not give you a reach around, and then move onto your pets" or some form of meteoroligical equivalent. 

[Gatorubet 30246]

5 minutes ago, SarkAfterDark said:

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 

[4th&Five 41558]

11 minutes ago, SarkAfterDark said:

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 
 

Looks like this hurricane season is going to be serious business. Wherever Beryl decides to land it will likely do some serious damage.

[SERIOUS]

[Zonahorn 8079]

10 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

I'd like to know what the fuck that means in English. I'm assuming some form of "This hurricane will fuck you in the ass, not give you a reach around, and then move onto your pets" or some form of meteoroligical equivalent. 

It means Beryl is likely going to intensify into a category 5

[Parliament 14260]

30 minutes ago, SarkAfterDark said:

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 
 

 

Just be glad the thread isn’t ate up with dick pics.

[Zonahorn 8079]

13 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

It means Beryl is likely going to intensify into a category 5

SUMMARY OF 1110 AM AST...1510 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF CARRIACOU ISLAND
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

Close

[Js1 85371]

4 minutes ago, Parliament said:

Just be glad the thread isn’t ate up with dick pics.

Yet

[UTGrad98 2280]

1 hour ago, SarkAfterDark said:

I know it’s probably too much to ask but I wish some of you could refrain from mucking up this thread with irrelevant BS. 
 

[CoTex 1160]

What’s the earliest major hurricane to hit the Texas coast?

Is there any reason an early or later hurricane is better?  Hotter gulf helps intensify?  Hotter land sucks em in?

[tx 3 putt 76987]

2 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:

I'd like to know what the fuck that means in English. I'm assuming some form of "This hurricane will fuck you in the ass, not give you a reach around, and then move onto your pets" or some form of meteoroligical equivalent. 

 

[tx 3 putt 76987]

1 hour ago, Zonahorn said:

SUMMARY OF 1110 AM AST...1510 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF CARRIACOU ISLAND
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

Close

 

hopefully the Yucatan can weaken this beast 

[Fudge Nuggets 19196]

23 hours ago, Hate said:

I’m glad this is a week out as this is certain to change. I am running my generator for a little while today to make sure it’s in working order…just in case.

 

Every major highway heading north out of Houston has at least one stretch of major road construction reducing down to one or no lanes in some cases.  Oooooooopsie.

[locodos 5387]

Good source.  ymmv

[Fudge Nuggets 19196]

47 minutes ago, CoTex said:

What’s the earliest major hurricane to hit the Texas coast?

Is there any reason an early or later hurricane is better?  Hotter gulf helps intensify?  Hotter land sucks em in?

Wasn’t Alicia pretty early in the grand scheme of things?

[InkaUtexas 25954]

2 hours ago, Parliament said:

Just be glad the thread isn’t ate up with dick pics.

[dieucla98 2942]

That's frightening

 

[tx 3 putt 76987]

39 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

Every major highway heading north out of Houston has at least one stretch of major road construction reducing down to one or no lanes in some cases.  Oooooooopsie.

Every direction has major construction 

[dieucla98 2942]

The latest HWRF (model dedicated to hurricanes, though of questionable accuracy like all models) has this barreling through as a cat 3/4 through many resort hot spots - Jamaica, Cayman, Cozumel, and Cancun all take direct or very near direct hits. Haven't seen what happens after Cancun yet (still running) but looks like it will predict a Texas hit.

For that matter, a lot of the models are shifting north today which brings shooting the Cancun Cuba gap into play and then open waters of the GoM. Beryl been on the north side of the NHC cone all day as well.

Edited July 1 by dieucla98

[Gale Snoats 242]

We're supposed to be in Mexico City Tues -- Fri then in Puerto Escondido for the next week.  is there a path where it could fuck with either of those two locations or would the mountains / land kill it before it got to either?

[dieucla98 2942]

2 minutes ago, Gale Snoats said:

We're supposed to be in Mexico City Tues -- Fri then in Puerto Escondido for the next week.  is there a path where it could fuck with either of those two locations or would the mountains / land kill it before it got to either?

I would venture a guess that the mountains will save you but it's still too early to know. There are certainly models and meteorologists that are currently predicting this burying itself into Belize or S. Mexico of varying degrees of strength. 

[tx 3 putt 76987]

Beryl is a beast in the Caribbean, and Texans should not let their guard down this early in the game. That's your Monday afternoon headline in the tropics. If you want more details, read on.

The storm made landfall over Carriacou Island just 7 mph shy of category 5 strength. In the image shared here you'll see the distinct eye on visible satellite along with the past eye path in white and the forecast eye path from NHC in red. After making landfall, Beryl took a northwest jog and didn't weaken one bit.

The stronger Beryl remains, the more it's center is going to want to deviate to the north of that red line, or travel on the right side of the cone (not pictured here). If it weakens, it will turn more westward. Why does this matter? The more latitude it gains northward, the larger it will become, and larger storms can fend off wind shear better than smaller storms.

The next two wildcards in the eventual path occur around Jamaica on Wednesday. Will it directly hit the island and weaken? Or will it miss the island completely? Will predicted wind shear knock down its strength? Again, a strong storm will want to gain latitude north while a weaker storm will want to head more westward.

The third wildcard is any interaction it will likely have with the Yucatan peninsula Thursday night or Friday.

And then the final wildcard is if it makes it into the Gulf of Mexico, what will the precise steering currents look like? The placement and strength of the heat ridges will determine how far north it can and cannot go.

So while you may have seen some spaghetti model computer tracks online that look encouraging at first glance, it's not that simple this early in the game, especially when you factor in that most of those models that steer the storm well south of Texas think Beryl is significantly weaker than it currently is right now.

Also keep in mind this is an unprecedented storm at this time of year. We don't have a good analog of what past storms have done at this strength at this time of year because we haven't observed this before.

At the end of the day, our current status in Texas is: Beryl bears watching, make/review your hurricane plan, and be ready to act if needed later this week. We'll have a clearer picture by Wednesday.

The next forecast track from the National Hurricane Center comes out by 4PM. We'll keep you updated on live TV and here: abc13.com/tropicalupdate

[Zonahorn 8079]

 

[YGIFS 19450]

So you got your "Eye of the Hurricane" and now it seems we got ourselves the "Taint of the Hurricane." 

Is it weird that the last few years, we've had so many Cat 3-5 systems in June, which is way earlier than usual?  

Edited July 1 by YGIFS

[Rudiger 1163]

If only we knew what was causing this!!!

[Parliament 14260]

24 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

NGL, that's kinda pretty.

[NorthLoop 14214]

Just spent half an hour researching and google mapping Carriacou. Looks like a pretty cool little vacation spot. Anyone ever been there? 

[MrBig 5414]

The heat dome is going to save us. 

 

[NorthLoop 14214]

2 minutes ago, MrBig said:

pussy.. 

[InkaUtexas 25954]

I am of mixed feelings. I know if it hits the wrong place the devastation is massive, millions of lives are impacted, with many not fortunate to have a blue shed blown to the sea.

But if it hits in a non populated area, and weakens (Thanks Yucatan), a Cat 2 with wide rain belts could be the drought buster we need.

 

[Biff Tannen 45691]

2 hours ago, dieucla98 said:

That's frightening

 

That's some Eye of Sauron shit

[bolverk 29683]

1 hour ago, Zonahorn said:

 

Looks like an old tie-dye t-shirt I once had.

[miguelito 11266]

54 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

Just spent half an hour researching and google mapping Carriacou. Looks like a pretty cool little vacation spot. Anyone ever been there? 

You might want to hurry.

[NorthLoop 14214]

6 minutes ago, miguelito said:

You might want to hurry.

it's already plowed through there

One of the things I read was that there's a big harbor on the west side of the island that's a haven for rich folk and their yachts, and they park them there to keep them safe from hurricanes. Wonder how they fared today. 

[tx 3 putt 76987]

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

Doesn't matter, Austin and the lakes aren't gonna get shit.  Everyone else, pummeled.  Lakes, zero.

 

[Jiggy-Z 3432]

Just now, Judge Roybeanbag said:

Doesn't matter, Austin and the lakes aren't gonna get shit.  Everyone else, pummeled.  Lakes, zero.

 

They're DO OMED.

[NorthLoop 14214]

Maybe we should move the lakes

[GreenspointTexas 9609]

Outside of some rain in brownsville, we aint seeing shit….. but we already knew that 3-4 days ago

 

 

who’s next on deck behind Beryl? Thats who we need to be concerned with

[Rip76 4941]

[InkaUtexas 25954]

I am optimistic. Peters out into a TS with a lot of rain. Curves straight north and soaks Central Texas.

[Hate 20108]

36 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

Outside of some rain in brownsville, we aint seeing shit….. but we already knew that 3-4 days ago

 

 

who’s next on deck behind Beryl? Thats who we need to be concerned with

Except there is this.

 

[hookemATL 11741]

9 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

I am optimistic. Peters out into a TS with a lot of rain. Curves straight north and soaks Central Texas.

[Brisketexan 105154]

9 minutes ago, Hate said:

Except there is this.

 

Ain't nothin' gonna happen gif goes here.