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Posted
28 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

Lina Hidalgo is going to whup his ass in 2030, mark it down.  

Not likely. She underperformed Beto in Harris County by seven percentage points.

Posted
8 minutes ago, Willfully Horn said:

There was at least one Allred ad during the Longhorn game.

I didn't see any evidence of Lyin' Ted in Ann Arbor. Thank God.

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Posted
On 9/6/2024 at 10:05 AM, quigley said:

I'd be happy to see Allred win and donated significantly to support his candidacy. If (when) he loses, Tx dems will be left wondering if candidate and tactical quality were optimized this cycle

I will not be wondering. They were not.

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Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, quigley said:

I'm sorry. I don't understand. Do you think Allred wins?

No, because candidate and tactical quality were not optimized. My guess is Allred underperforms Harris by 2-3% 

would be thrilled to be wrong.

Edited by Bozo_Casanova
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Posted
34 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

No, because candidate and tactical quality were not optimized. My guess is Allred underperforms Harris by 2-3% 

would be thrilled to be wrong.

I heard a radio ad from him this morning.  JFC, it couldn't have been more bland if was a midwestern potluck dinner. 

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Posted
13 minutes ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

I heard a radio ad from him this morning.  JFC, it couldn't have been more bland if was a midwestern potluck dinner. 

Is it the one where he mentions he was raised by a single mother multiple times? He has zero inflection in his voice in that one. It’s awful.

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Posted
1 minute ago, royiv said:

Is it the one where he mentions he was raised by a single mother multiple times? He has zero inflection in his voice in that one. It’s awful.

Yep.  Basically, it's a minute long resume dump.  Single mom, worked as a kid, played at Baylor and the NFL, became an attorney, zzzzzzzzzz...

Posted
4 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

No, because candidate and tactical quality were not optimized. My guess is Allred underperforms Harris by 2-3% 

would be thrilled to be wrong.

we agree

Posted

Since September 1st, I've literally only watched Astros games and football games and I've seen the same Cruz ad probably 50+ times. I've seen Allred's ad I think twice in that same span.

Posted

If most people don't pay attention to this shit until after labor day then I guess not spending summer and your money holding rallies with the choir makes sense. 

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Posted
On 9/6/2024 at 3:16 PM, LCHorn said:

Lina Hidalgo is going to whup his ass in 2030, mark it down.  

Well see. She's done some pretty petulant stuff in Houston lately. I'd be team Telarico or whateve his name is...

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Posted
1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:

I'd be team Telarico or whateve his name is...

I'm a card carrying Democrat and I have no fucking idea who that is. Campaigning skills are seriously lacking.

Posted
2 minutes ago, RPM said:

I'm a card carrying Democrat and I have no fucking idea who that is. Campaigning skills are seriously lacking.

Hes' been featured here. He's a state rep.
 

 

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Posted (edited)

Ads? You don't get shit for votes without ads and name recognition. Seriously, I have no doubt he's a good man, but you got to get the word out statewide.

Way back when Ann Richards started thinking about running for Governor, she was putting out daily press releases for the State Treasurer. Who GAF about 99% of State Treasurer trivia? But it got her name out there. People recognized her voice when they heard it. All the PR was literally free.

Now, WTF is this guy again?

Edited by RPM
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Posted
27 minutes ago, RPM said:

Ads? You don't get shit for votes without ads and name recognition. Seriously, I have no doubt he's a good man, but you got to get the word out statewide.

Way back when Ann Richards started thinking about running for Governor, she was putting out daily press releases for the State Treasurer. Who GAF about 99% of State Treasurer trivia? But it got her name out there. People recognized her voice when they heard it. All the PR was literally free.

Now, WTF is this guy again?

Texas Dems have got to stop falling in love with someone who went viral and hitching their wagon to that candidate.

If Allred wins, it will be in spite of and not because of the TDP.

Posted
1 minute ago, chainsaw said:

Texas Dems have got to stop falling in love with someone who went viral and hitching their wagon to that candidate.

If Allred wins, it will be in spite of and not because of the TDP.

If he wins, it'll be in spite of himself and his campaign, as well. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

If he wins, it'll be in spite of himself and his campaign, as well. 

He's a lukewarm candidate but he doesn't have many negatives other than being boring. The campaign so far hasn't impressed me but I'll wait and see because maybe their strategy is just to blitz in the home stretch. I don't agree with his center-right platform, but he's probably basing those positions on some kind of internal data so I understand and expect that he won't be appealing to progressives except as and really only because he's a way to oust Cruz.

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Posted

I think James Talarico, John Bucy, and Jasmine Crocket are the future Dem stars for this state in terms of potential. And Crocket is the only one that most Texans at least Dems probably know. I also don't know what it'll take to get rid of the existing state Dem leadership either but it's way past time for a change. 

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Posted
38 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

I don't agree with his center-right platform, but he's probably basing those positions on some kind of internal data

No, it's based on him running in the state of Texas.  A Democrat hasn't won statewide since 1994 in a state that hasn't voted blue at the presidential level since 1976.

Posted

Yeah... this election cycle will be an interesting one to see. Will the margins keep shrinking as we have witnessed since Obama? The progressives in this state is convinced that Democrats need to continue to campaign on a progressive agenda. Yet we've witnessed someone like a Michelle Vallejo swinging waaaay to the center on the border to appeal to her potential voters.

I am of the camp that Texas Democrats are not and don't have to be like NY/CA democrats... especially if the party have aspirations of turning this state purple. I guess we shall see. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

No, it's based on him running in the state of Texas.  A Democrat hasn't won statewide since 1994 in a state that hasn't voted blue at the presidential level since 1976.

The problem with that approach is that it assumes the non-voters come from the center. There's much more evidence consistent with the distribution of political leanings, especially in Texas, being bimodal. That's why you are seeing the new crop of republicans are further to the right (Hawley, DeSantis, MTG) because they get a higher ROI by prioritizing turnout among their base over trying to win moderates. DeSantis's first win was by a razor thin margin, and instead of governing as a centrist he took a maximalist approach and when he was up for re-election he won by a much safer margin over a "safe" centrist candidate (former Republican Charlie Crist).

I hope Allred wins, but I feel like the TDP keeps trying to same thing and getting the same result.

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Posted

Why would Ted Cruz agree to a debate? 

Lots of out of state people have moved here since covid. Would definitely say they lean right but I may just be making that up. 

Did Beto gain more voters when he leaned left and started talking about banning assault weapons? Feel like that just rallied more of the MAGA base to actually show up. Maybe certain left leaning positions would be popular even in Texas idk.

Posted
3 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

  Here in Texas, Allred and other Dems could easily be gaining ground if they would prioritize attacking the GOP for their support for charter schools. But instead they play into GOP framing and priorities and run against their own party. That only works if you've got the name recognition and popularity of a Joe Manchin, and it sure as shit doesn't serve the party or any liberal causes.  

Specifically in Houston, I think the "we will tear the wall down" ad doesn't resonate but fucking up the kids education sure does.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Why would Ted Cruz agree to a debate?

He loves the sound of his own voice. 500 episodes of a podcast even.

3 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Lots of out of state people have moved here since covid. Would definitely say they lean right but I may just be making that up. 

I wonder how much of an impact they will have, but it's not going to be easy to pinpoint since there are many other changes happening in the state with respect to demographics.

4 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Did Beto gain more voters when he leaned left and started talking about banning assault weapons?

Abbott is more popular than Cruz, but maybe the exit polls would show that the gun stuff pushed people away.

In a Cruz election where the job is about voting on federal issues, Allred should be able to distinguish himself further on the key issues if he wants to drive turnout on the left side of the bimodal distribution.

Posted

Have had some Republican voters tell me they hate Ted Cruz with a passion but they are too afraid Allred will just fall in line with the Dem leaders so they will stick with Cruz so you probably have a point.

Abortion is the only topic Allred is winning on with voters from what I can tell.

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Posted
8 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

Have had some Republican voters tell me they hate Ted Cruz with a passion but they are too afraid Allred will just fall in line with the Dem leaders so they will stick with Cruz so you probably have a point.

Abortion is the only topic Allred is winning on with voters from what I can tell.

I've seen somewhat the opposite.  Purely anecdotally, I have heard from Republican friends (country club Republican types) how much they hate Cruz but have warm an fuzzies with Allred since they feel like he's moderate and will try to build consensus.  Here's hoping they don't just pull the R lever when it comes time to vote.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, DDD Dad said:

I've seen somewhat the opposite.  Purely anecdotally, I have heard from Republican friends (country club Republican types) how much they hate Cruz but have warm an fuzzies with Allred since they feel like he's moderate and will try to build consensus.  Here's hoping they don't just pull the R lever when it comes time to vote.

Allred should hang Project 2025 on Cruz and vow not to confirm any judge who opposes abortion rights.

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, wildcat09 said:

ems aren't winning in purple states like Michigan and Pennsylvania by running as Republican-lites. They're running on liberal values and popular policies. 

Dems need to win ONE statewide race so Texas voters have 4-6 years to fully realize that they aren't some massive far left communists from California, like Ted and Greg and Dan keep telling them. 

Edited by Js1
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Posted
On 9/8/2024 at 3:42 PM, Bozo_Casanova said:

No, because candidate and tactical quality were not optimized. My guess is Allred underperforms Harris by 2-3% 

would be thrilled to be wrong.

Don't blame me, I voted for Roland Gutierrez.

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Posted
18 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Dems need to win ONE statewide race so Texas voters have 6 years to fully realize that they aren't some massive far left communists from California, like Ted and Greg and Dan keep telling them. 

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Posted
5 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

I'm seeing a lot more of them

I may check with my source who procured our Lina and Beto signs in 2022. May as well throw it up beneath my Harris sign 

Posted
19 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I may check with my source who procured our Lina and Beto signs in 2022. May as well throw it up beneath my Harris sign 

They should be making either

Colin not Cruz

or

Allred not Ted

signs to put up next to the Harris-Walz signs, same color and font

Posted
7 hours ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

Don't blame me, I voted for Roland Gutierrez.

Is it bad I couldn't pick this guy out of a lineup? And I try to keep up with politics.

Think it would take a superstar type candidate to win a state wide race as a Dem at least this year in Texas. 

Posted
7 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

How bout we just kind of pity you for being a bitchy loser?

“Pescado Rojo and The Bitchy Losers” was the name of my band when I was trying to make it in Nashville. 

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Posted
“Pescado Rojo and The Bitchy Losers” was the name of my band when I was trying to make it in Nashville. 

In retrospect, your mistake was thinking that when you got booked to play Kid Rock’s bar, that was your big break.
Posted
21 hours ago, YChang said:

I think James Talarico, John Bucy, and Jasmine Crocket are the future Dem stars for this state in terms of potential. And Crocket is the only one that most Texans at least Dems probably know. I also don't know what it'll take to get rid of the existing state Dem leadership either but it's way past time for a change. 

Yep. Especially Jasmine, but I love Talarico making the evangelicals squirm like nobody's business.

 

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