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2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #3 /#3 (CFP/AP/Coaches)

TKthunder2

By TKthunder2
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WBT

WBT 20657

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, Zeus said:

Boise State is in the 4th seed if they win out over the big12 champ, and depending on how it plays out the big12 will be lucky to get a 11 or 12 seed. 

I guess we'll see.

Sagarin currently has Boise behind 8 XII teams for what it's worth.

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The Dog
The Dog
Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh

I'd rather stay behind Georgia until they come to Austin.  Same way I felt about being behind SC in 05.  I'd rather have something to prove than something to defend.

closetojumping
closetojumping

You say a lot of stupid shit and you do it at a rapid, voluminous rate. You’re like a shit howitzer, just fucking blasting the board with constant bullshit. 

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heso

heso 2816

Posted
Posted

That playoff predictor is shit. It just gave me this scenario:

310875dc925a01a365877c51c055f7cb.jpg

The SEC gets 4 teams in and Texas isn’t one of them. SC and Bama both get in.

And Tulane, from the 12 seed beats Oregon, BSU, Tenn, and PSU to win the national championship.

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heso

heso 2816

Posted
Posted

I’ve looked at like 8-10 bracket predictions for this week and uga-Tenn was the most common first round matchup and I’m just not seeing a scenario where they make that a 1st round game. 

I think far more likely would be:

smu @ psu

tenn @ nd

iu @ uga

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heso

heso 2816

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I think psu is locked into the 6 seed unless uga beats Texas in the championship game. The I could see Texas getting the 6 and psu dropping to 7, nd to 8

Indy @ ut 

smu @ psu

tenn @ nd

 

The other central could move psu out of the 6 seed is Michigan beating osu, which would put psu in the b1g championship game and osu in the mix for the 7-10 range. 

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'stache

'stache 21847

Posted
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, JOSEYWALES66 said:

SMU going to ND would be such a gift to ND that it will probably happen.

Hopefully USC beats them. 

 Not sure how getting your ass beat at home by SMU is a gift. Seriously, ND is gonna lose their playoff game and it would be delicious if it’s to SMU.

Edited by 'stache
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BurntEyes

BurntEyes 6013

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6 hours ago, notre dame joe said:

I don't think the PC wants the first round chalk full of paired off conference rivals

Honestly it's bad for "business" that being business being ratings.

They will want ND for example to play another Helmet blue bloods if possible in early or later round match up. Texas, Georgia, Bama for example.

ND vs SEC loser in first round, with them matching up much later vs the SEC winner. 

Then they'll look for big cross regional matchups where they can get them Georgia vs Oregon or a Arizona State vs Penn State in the first round. 

That won't be the primary guide for seeding but will absolutely be a substantial factor. 

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52-80

52-80 19236

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I’m talking about going into the game, neither of those was for a national title shot.

But this is just quarterfinals so far, not even semifinals. It's still distant to the final.

In 09 it was undefeated vs undefeated and they were vying to earn the best finish in school history (even if not in the actual ncg.. they ended up at #2 in coaches poll).

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Js1

Js1 85547

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Posted
1 minute ago, closetojumping said:

So it’s completely possible that if Boise State wins out and Tulane wins out, the Big 12 gets shut out from the CFP altogether? 

This shit keeps getting better and better. 

Feels unlikely. Tulane has 2 losses to Big 12 teams. 

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BurntEyes

BurntEyes 6013

Posted
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9 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

So it’s completely possible that if Boise State wins out and Tulane wins out, the Big 12 gets shut out from the CFP altogether? 

This shit keeps getting better and better. 

At this point if they shoved CU in and left out the Big 12 champ, I wouldn't even be surprised.

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Zeus

Zeus 6126

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, BurntEyes said:

Honestly it's bad for "business" that being business being ratings.

They will want ND for example to play another Helmet blue bloods if possible in early or later round match up. Texas, Georgia, Bama for example.

ND vs SEC loser in first round, with them matching up much later vs the SEC winner. 

Then they'll look for big cross regional matchups where they can get them Georgia vs Oregon or a Arizona State vs Penn State in the first round. 

That won't be the primary guide for seeding but will absolutely be a substantial factor. 

Yep. I guess if the big12 team has only 2 losses they will squeak in. But in general I think Boise State is much more marketable than all of the remaining big12 teams besides Colorado.

If the rig12 officials don't push Colorado though they run a real risk of getting left out, depending on who wins and how they play. Arizona State with their best wins being Iowa State and BYU? Losing to Texas Tech and Cincinnati and still make the playoff? 

 

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statsman

statsman 5477

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Feels unlikely. Tulane has 2 losses to Big 12 teams. 

Probably. Still, we may not have this talk every year, but it will happen again. It does no good for the Big XII to keep being compared to the Mountain West or AAC, instead of SEC or B1G. 
 
The best thing the B12 has going for it is its media revenue (although worst of the so called P4). The second best thing it has going for it is that its contract is for seven more years. There is a really good chance that the next contract is a big disappointment. 

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Js1

Js1 85547

Posted
Posted
Just now, closetojumping said:

Tulane would have beaten a very good Memphis and a good Army to close out their run. I am not saying it’s likely, but it’s closer than people think it is. 

Also, OU is not a Big 12 team any more. 

Okay it’s early. And they’ve played like one 

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closetojumping

closetojumping 62789

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Posted

I know I’ve said this a few times in the Left Behind thread, but the Big 12 needs to stop scheduling cupcakes in the non-con. They are pussifying their OOCs and adding FCS and G6 opponents almost exclusively.  That’s not going to help their arguments.

A few 10 win teams that beat even middling P4 OOC teams and avoided FCS games would be able to proudly pound their chest that both belong in the CFP irrespective of Big 12 title game results. 

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closetojumping

closetojumping 62789

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Pimphand said:

I don't see Tulane getting in over a 2 loss B12 champ however if full chaos erupts and 3 of the 4 2 loss teams lose and the 3 loss team wins the CCG you could be in business

Yeah, that’s what I meant by “completely possible”. You’d have to have further chaos in the Big 12 before Tulane is a candidate. That’s said, we’re only talking about ASU and ISU each losing another game for it to be a legit thing. 

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Mitch Cumsteen

Mitch Cumsteen 18559

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

I know I’ve said this a few times in the Left Behind thread, but the Big 12 needs to stop scheduling cupcakes in the non-con. They are pussifying their OOCs and adding FCS and G6 opponents almost exclusively.  That’s not going to help their arguments.

A few 10 win teams that beat even middling P4 OOC teams and avoided FCS games would be able to proudly pound their chest that both belong in the CFP irrespective of Big 12 title game results. 

I agree 100% but outside of Colorado, they will never do it. Most of them still have the Bill Snyder/Baylor scheduling philosophy of get to 6 wins no matter what, get that bowl paycheck, and don't get the coach fired. They aren't serious about winning or building their brands. They never were. That's one of the reasons we had to get the fuck out of that conference -- they added no value in the non-conference schedule, took zero risks to build themselves up, and were satisfied with a fatwa win over Texas or OU every now and then and cashing that check. 

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statsman

statsman 5477

Posted
Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

I know I’ve said this a few times in the Left Behind thread, but the Big 12 needs to stop scheduling cupcakes in the non-con. They are pussifying their OOCs and adding FCS and G6 opponents almost exclusively.  That’s not going to help their arguments.

A few 10 win teams that beat even middling P4 OOC teams and avoided FCS games would be able to proudly pound their chest that both belong in the CFP irrespective of Big 12 title game results. 

They will have to break form from the Snyder model of program building, that so many B12 schools adopted. 
 
The other part of the problem is getting good P4 programs scheduled. The best programs don’t want to go on the road to play in. 45k seat stadium. 
 
Edited- “Jinx, Mitch”

Edited by statsman
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'stache

'stache 21847

Posted
Posted (edited)

JFC, you guys are a broken record with alternative facts. Every Big XII team has at least one P4 non-con on their schedule these days (UH and Tech playing Oregon State being the only realignment related exception). Nobody is doing the Bill Snyder schedule anymore and haven't for more than a decade. Of course, some matchups are way better than others, but they aren't all G6 and FCS. Here's are the Big XII P4 noncon matchups for next year:

KSU @ Arizona (pre-realignment noncon)

ASU @ Miss St.

Auburn @ Baylor

Baylor @ SMU

Stanford @ BYU

Cincy v. Nebraska

GT @ Colorado

UH @ Oregon State (non P4 anymore but still good)

ISU v. Iowa

KU @ Mizzou

TCU @ UNC

SMU @ TCU

OKST @ Oregon (FUCK!)

Tech v. Oregon State (see UH above)

UCF v. UNC

Utah @ UCLA

Pitt @ WVU

Edited by 'stache
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