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2024 CFB polls/rankings - Texas #3/ #4 /#4 (CFP/AP/Coaches)


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14 minutes ago, Horn80 said:

Here’s an Internet projection which I think might be accurate.  Of course, ND gets rewarded for not having to play for conference championship.  If selection committee has hard on for Texas, they probably swap Ohio St at #4 for us.

 

The Top 25 College Football Playoff Rankings

1. (13-0) Oregon Ducks
2. (11-2) Georgia Bulldogs +3
3. (11-1) Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1
4. (11-2) Texas Longhorns -2
5. (10-2) Ohio State Buckeyes +1
6. (11-2) Penn State Nittany Lions -3
7. (10-2) Tennessee Volunteers
8. (11-1) Indiana Hoosiers +1
9. (12-1) Boise State Broncos +1
10. (11-2) SMU Mustangs -2
11. (9-3) Alabama Crimson Tide
12. (11-2) Arizona State Sun Devils +3
13. (10-3) Clemson Tigers +4
14. (10-2) Miami Hurricanes -2
15. (9-3) Ole Miss Rebels -2

So for seeding, that would work out (someone tell me if I'm wrong):

1. Oregon

2. Georgia

3. Boise State

4. Arizona State

5. Notre Dame

6. Texas

7. Ohio State

8. Penn State

9. Tennessee

10. Indiana

11. SMU

12. Clemson

Edited by LTbear
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6 hours ago, Left Coast said:

It seems like most people think Georgia will “pick” the Sugar Bowl, but wouldn’t it make more sense for them to play in the Peach Bowl in their own state and basically a pseudo-home game?

I get that the Sugar generally is an SEC game, but I thought the schools can choose their pre-final bowls based on seeding.

This is no longer a thing. The Sugar has to take the higher ranked of SEC & Big 12 (Georgia). Rose gets Big Ten (Oregon). What's interesting is the Big 12 should funnel to the Fiesta, but that would mean ASU goes there and I'm not sure CFP likes that. Here's their language:

  • The selection committee will assign the four highest-ranked conference champions to Playoff Quarterfinals hosted by bowls. This will be done in consideration of historic bowl relationships, then in consideration of rankings. For example, if the Sugar Bowl hosts a Playoff Quarterfinal and the SEC champion is ranked No. 1 and the Big 12 champion is ranked No. 3, the SEC champion would be assigned to the Sugar Bowl and the Big 12 champion would be assigned elsewhere.
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42 minutes ago, LTbear said:

So for seeding, that would work out (someone tell me if I'm wrong):

1. Oregon

2. Georgia

3. Boise State

4. Arizona State

5. Notre Dame

6. Texas

7. Ohio State

8. Penn State

9. Tennessee

10. Indiana

11. SMU

12. Clemson

There’s no way ND goes ahead of Texas or Penn State. 

The real question is who gets the 5 seed (and Clemson?), Texas or PSU? 6 seed gets SMU? 

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7 hours ago, dcar00 said:

agree.  I think the committee should send a signal that we don't give a shit about ND but they won't.  the problem with 6 is the only logical 11 team is Bama, 7 pits us with Georgia in quarters.  my guess is we get 6 against Bama.  

I love how the number of losses matters greatly but who you lost to and where matters so little.  

As was said above, the number of losses is just window dressing; we are all NFL-lite fans now. 

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2 minutes ago, Wilcox Cummingtonite said:

Texas matches up well with Oregon imo. Just gotta get there.

Then maybe another chance to slay the red dragon.

On what planet? Ewers isn't going to win a shootout and Sideshow Bob isn't going to kick a winning field goal this year. And don't get me started on Sark's bullshit play calling 

 

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Just now, nineliveslost said:

On what planet? Ewers isn't going to win a shootout and Sideshow Bob isn't going to kick a winning field goal this year. And don't get me started on Sark's bullshit play calling 

 

Who says it’ll be a shootout? Our D would dominate them. They’ve seen nothing like us, Ohio State doesn’t count. Gabriel might throw 2-3 picks.

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Just now, nineliveslost said:

On what planet? Ewers isn't going to win a shootout and Sideshow Bob isn't going to kick a winning field goal this year. And don't get me started on Sark's bullshit play calling 

 

You think Oregon going to score tons of point on our defense? 5 seed is the best path the the championship. Not having to play the one team built to beat us is our best bet

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The only team that will feel like they got screwed today is ND getting 6/7 from not being in a conference. Though I do think an ulterior motive for the powers that be is to force their hand into joining a conference. An Indiana/Georgia matchuo will accelerate their decision makers into making that decision 

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21 minutes ago, nineliveslost said:

And Gabriel might scramble for 100 yards 

We’ve given up 100 yards to two people all season when back ups were in. Go back to the game thread with this take, don’t bring it here. Gabriel isn’t scrambling for shit against us. There is only one team in the country built to beat our offense and if they are on the other side of the bracket it won’t matter. No one else in the country is going to match our size, speed, and physicality. 

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27 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

The only team that will feel like they got screwed today is ND getting 6/7 from not being in a conference. Though I do think an ulterior motive for the powers that be is to force their hand into joining a conference. An Indiana/Georgia matchuo will accelerate their decision makers into making that decision 

I like that result a lot better than two teams losing seeding because they had to play a conference championship game and lost a close result. ND’s arrogance that they don’t need to be in a conference has a price. Otherwise, get rid of these stupid CCG’s and just seed after the regular season. 

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Just now, utexas8 said:


I haven’t really watched any one else play except us. Who has a good defense in the playoffs that would give us trouble like UGA?

Texas didn't just struggle with UGA. They were up and down in almost every conference game. Oregon, Georgia, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, and Tennessee could all hold this offense below 20 points. 

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1 minute ago, Texasrocks said:

Texas didn't just struggle with UGA. They were up and down in almost every conference game. Oregon, Georgia, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, and Tennessee could all hold this offense below 20 points. 

Garbage take. Texas will decisively beat any team in the playoffs not named UGA, OSU, or Oregon. 

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Just now, satyanash said:

ND is ahead of Texas and PSU in Sagarin, Massey, and Colley Matrix - three of the most important computer rankings the CFP uses.

I doubt Notre Dame, who lost to NIU and has a SOS in the 70s, moves ahead of Texas who has two losses, one in OT, to the #2 team in the country. ND is warmed over dogshit. 

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7 minutes ago, satyanash said:

ND is ahead of Texas and PSU in Sagarin, Massey, and Colley Matrix - three of the most important computer rankings the CFP uses.

So the explanation will be, “we’re punishing these teams for making their conference championship games because the computers told us to” …? Not being mindless machines is the entire point of the committee. 

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Texas didn't just struggle with UGA. They were up and down in almost every conference game. Oregon, Georgia, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, and Tennessee could all hold this offense below 20 points. 

Texas trailed for less than 8 minutes the entire season against teams not named Georgia. “Up and down” lmao.
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6 minutes ago, MirrOlure said:

There is no fucking way* we drop below Notre Dame.

PSU ahead of us at 5 is arguable either way but acceptable.

*I know I know…never start a sentence with those words

PSU at 5 isnt gonna happen. We were already ahead of them and we lost in OT and they lost in regulation. There is really no argument to get them ahead of us. Weaker SOS, worse losses, same amount of ranked wins (aggy will be ranked #25 after that UNLV loss). 

Just now, Texasrocks said:

Texas has scored more than 20 points once in the last month. Any decisive win won't be because of the offense.

Correct. Our defense will feast on these teams and probably score for us as well.  

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8 hours ago, eschuke said:

I honestly think they don’t want conference games in round 1 and will manipulate accordingly. I also think they will try to avoid Texas and Georgia in round 2 for the third time.

with likely home games at Texas, Penn state, ND and Ohio State, that means having anyone other than Texas at the 7.
 

If Alabama gets in (likely at 11) they will move us to the 5 to avoid them and play Clemson at 12.

If SMU gets in we will be 5 or 6 likely against Clemson or SMU (or possibly Indiana).

I think there is enough noise in the records and teams with bad losses that they will build the bracket they want and can point to any specific piece of data to justify it. 

I’ve seen people make the case that osu should be as high as 5 (which is absurd to reward them for that loss to um), Texas as low as 8 & psu as low as 9 having to play at Tennessee. 

If they want the conference championships to mean anything, and to not make lane kiffin right, and to not have teams in a good spot try to game the rankings by intentionally losing their last game to avoid the conference championships, Texas can’t be lower than 6 and psu can’t be lower than 7. And that’s if you think ND should be 5. If they really want to show that teams won’t be punished for playing in a conference championship game, Texas has to be 5 and psu has to be 6. Moving Texas or psu below 6 is doing exactly what they said they weren’t going to do by punishing teams for losing their conference championship. 

I think the only bracket that makes sense by not punishing teams in conference championships and avoiding uga-ut and psu-ore rematches is:

5. Texas - smu

6. psu - clemson

7. nd - iu 

8. osu - tenn 

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