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SEC Championship Game - Scenarios?

Pancho

By Pancho
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ztejas

ztejas 43411

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Dewey said:

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bama wiggle their way into the game. 

Yeah I'd be pretty fucking surprised if that happened but I understand win/loss records and statistics.

 

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Pimphand

Pimphand 5733

Posted
Posted
16 hours ago, ATXbronco said:

After playing around with the SEC championship calculator, it seems that if we win out then we don't care about any teams other than Georgia and LSU!

Every team can win out except for [Georgia or LSU].  We need one or the other to lose a game. 

No other teams matter! Even if Tennessee wins out, we're still in, because that'll mean Georgia lost a game.


Calculator:
https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

image.png.74928f80ae99db0b180bf97a28c92d3a.png

The scenario above has us in the SEC game when LSU gets beat by Alabama (or any other teams).

Remaining games for LSU & Georgia:
image.png.9114111a9db25ec6d82cc554e2a48036.png

Assuming that thing is programmed right the only scenario where we get fucked in winning out is if LSU & Georgia both win out as well.

image.png.42c199622d0aeb58241801d4f2fb611b.png

If Tennessee & LSU win out we jump to the #1 seed which is shocking

image.thumb.png.48ea026573d6a642819e2bf7f2e01aa3.png

So basically we have two games we should be rooting for...

1) Alabama over LSU (eliminates all 3 way tiebreaker scenarios)
2) Tennessee over Georgia (see above screenshot)

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TheAuditor

TheAuditor 1035

Posted
Posted
38 minutes ago, Pimphand said:

LOL Vandy's path....

image.thumb.png.eba6795cf86ea6bfa16e55e2d87e2aa0.png

Win out + Tennessee over Georgia

This would be delicious.  Dear eight-pound, six-ounce, newborn infant Jesus, who doesn’t even know a word yet—little infant, so cuddly but still omnipotent.......

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Pimphand

Pimphand 5733

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, TheAuditor said:

This would be delicious.  Dear eight-pound, six-ounce, newborn infant Jesus, who doesn’t even know a word yet—little infant, so cuddly but still omnipotent.......

It would definitely go down as one of the coolest CFB events of all time however the number of upsets required to pull that off would be insane.  Vandy winning in Baton Rouge might end the internet lol.

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Js1

Js1 85278

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1 minute ago, ATXbronco said:

don't see any scenario where we aren't in the SECC

We still have 3 SEC games and 2 are bitter rivals who want to ruin our season. Don’t get ahead of yourself 

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gmr548

gmr548 16576

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, BigHorn'13 said:

The 2 bye weeks we had were huge and conveniently placed. Just gotta close it now

Yeah. Most of the bitching about Texas's schedule is dumb. Went up to Michigan, got OU, Georgia, Florida. Not Texas's fault 3/4 are trash. But the bye week placement is a gift.

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ztejas

ztejas 43411

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Extra game to get a bye 

It's a weird calculus but I think you'd rather keep everything rolling for another week to get 20 days off vs. 20 days off then play a game that you may or may not win then play 10 days later. 

Loser of the CCG seems like the real loser, though. It will all have to be adjusted imo sooner rather than later. 

Edited by ztejas
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The_Great_Hornsby

The_Great_Hornsby 3236

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, ztejas said:

It's a weird calculus but I think you'd rather keep everything rolling for another week to get 20 days off vs. 20 days off then play a game that you may or may not win then play 10 days later. 

You are playing presumably one of the best teams in the country in the SEC champ game and will possibly have a very physical matchup that could lead to injuries. And then you may have to play the same team just a few weeks later. 

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ztejas

ztejas 43411

Posted
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

You are playing presumably one of the best teams in the country in the SEC champ game and will possibly have a very physical matchup that could lead to injuries. And then you may have to play the same team just a few weeks later. 

If you play the same team a few weeks later then that team will have played an extra game than you across the course of the entire season. In your scenario that's a huge advantage. 

Edited by ztejas
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The_Great_Hornsby

The_Great_Hornsby 3236

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, ztejas said:

If you play the same team a few weeks later then that team will have played an extra game than you across the course of the entire season. In your scenario that's a huge advantage. 

I wouldn't worry about it if I was you. Just go neg more of my posts from 5 days ago in unrelated threads like you were doing earlier today.

I didnt neg a single one of your posts. I think you have me confused with someone else. 

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BurntEyes

BurntEyes 5958

Posted
Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

SEC Title game is December 7th

First playoff is December 20th

Don't really make a shit. Two weeks off is plenty I think.

 

Not accurate. First round is home the 20th or 21st. Champs will get 7th of Dec to Dec 31st or Jan 1st off (depending on which Quater final game) They also don't have to play a top team risking injuries 2 weeks prior. So, that's 3.5 weeks or nearly a month. If you don't see that as a massive advantage I dunno what to tell you.

College football playoff schedule

Screenshot_20241109_195156_Chrome.jpg.9fb72d3f2ddbf2978fa587c1fb1c2f78.jpg

Edited by BurntEyes
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Zeus

Zeus 6014

Posted
Posted

We’re at 65%
 

All the other dingleberries are ~30%
 

It may be us and Bammer actually after Brian Kelley shits the bed tonight

38 minutes ago, billfromlaketravis said:

Root for ISIS if they’re playing LSU. 

 

 

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BurntEyes

BurntEyes 5958

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Is it? Maybe for injuries. I think taking too much time off can be a problem. 

Two weeks is good. Enough time to rest up and get ready and not so much time you get rusty and out of game shape.

This is a terrible take and you should be ashamed.

You keep over looking playing the game in between they have to play, and if you think Sark or any conference champ team coach is just gonna cut the players loose for 3 weeks.. well.. okay then.

Edited by BurntEyes
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Valmy77

Valmy77 13225

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, BurntEyes said:

This is a terrible take and you should be ashamed.

You keep over looking playing the game in between they have to play, and if you think Sark or any conference champ team coach is just gonna cut the players loose for 3 weeks.. well.. okay then.

We'll see. This is just the same old debate about if it is better to rest players at the end of the regular season or keep them sharp in the NFL. Yet many wild card teams overcome the well rested divisional champs. 

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BurntEyes

BurntEyes 5958

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

We'll see. This is just the same old debate about if it is better to rest players at the end of the regular season or keep them sharp in the NFL. Yet many wild card teams overcome the well rested divisional champs. 

How many games did we have this year during which zero starters were injured? Which games?  

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ATXbronco

ATXbronco 4062

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Dr Fear said:
20 minutes ago, ATXbronco said:
Yep, we'll either see TN or AL, assuming both win out which is very likely
Hey, which do we match up better against?  TN or AL??

Even if you like their chances, Tenn is going to be a dog next week at Georgia???

Gotta assume the dawgs will be on a mission but that won't mean much if their QB keeps throwing picks at the worst time possible

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Zeus

Zeus 6014

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, ATXbronco said:

Yep, we'll either see TN or AL, assuming both win out which is very likely

Hey, which do we match up better against?  TN or AL??

Give me Tennessee all day

Milroe is really good

 plus get to take down Huepel and be the real UT all in one big game 

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ATXbronco

ATXbronco 4062

Posted
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23 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Is this trending in a direction where we will miss not only the SEC champ game but the playoffs altogether if we lose to the aggies? Or would 2 losses get us in. 

We only lose the SECC game but it's highly likely we make the playoffs.

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